Daniel Federman — OGILVIE

Daniel Federman P Aberdeen IronBirds

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 98

ERA4.28

FIP4.28

K%23.5%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%14.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	13	56	12	3	2	0%	1.3	17.1%	6.8%	10.3%	4.8%	2.77	5.17	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	13	56	12	3	2	0%	1.3	21.4%	5.4%	16.1%	3.6%	2.77	3.95	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	11	71	318	80	18	11	52%	3.4	19.0%	6.6%	12.4%	4.1%	5.58	4.57	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	11	71	318	80	18	11	52%	3.4	25.2%	5.7%	19.5%	3.5%	5.58	3.62	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	10	6	36	152	47	11	4	60%	3.6	23.8%	8.3%	15.5%	3.6%	4.71	4.12	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	10	6	36	152	47	11	4	60%	3.6	23.8%	8.3%	15.5%	3.6%	4.71	4.12	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	10	6	36	152	47	11	4	60%	3.6	30.9%	7.2%	23.7%	2.6%	4.71	2.85	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	3	0	4	17	4	1	0	0%	1.4	23.5%	5.9%	17.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.86	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	3	0	4	17	4	1	0	0%	1.4	23.5%	5.9%	17.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.86	—
2025	26	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	3	0	4	17	4	1	0	0%	1.4	23.5%	5.9%	17.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.95	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	BAL	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	23.5%	8.9%	14.6%	3.0%	4.28	4.28	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BAL	20	0	21	89	21	8	3	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.1%	14.3%	3.1%	4.33	4.37	+0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	BAL	8	0	8	34	8	3	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	9.1%	14.3%	3.1%	4.33	4.37	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	8	3	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.1%	14.3%	3.1%	4.33	3.99	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	78	26	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.1%	14.3%	3.1%	4.33	3.99	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		44	17	125	543	110	39	21	39%	2.8	20.3%	7.1%	13.2%	3.9%	4.84	4.42	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	27	200	871	177	62	34	39%	2.8	20.3%	7.1%	13.2%	3.9%	4.84	4.42	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Federman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.28	23.5%	8.9%	3.0%	—	4.37	23.4%	14.3%	21	+0.09	—	—	—
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	78
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	74
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	74
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	73
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	73
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	73
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	72
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	71
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.67	18.2%	7.1%	248	-0.15	4.29	360	71
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	70
DJ Baxendale R 2018 · 3.49 FIP	27	SW	3.49	18.1%	6.0%	2.1%	.355	5.71	20.0%	8.3%	49	+2.22	2.88	426	70
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	70
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	70
Heath Holder R 2019 · 3.26 FIP	26	SW	3.26	21.9%	7.5%	1.9%	.263	5.51	19.8%	4.9%	85	+2.25	2.94	367	69
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	68
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	68
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	68
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	68
Randall Delgado R 2017 · 3.09 FIP	27	SW	3.09	23.2%	5.4%	2.3%	.302	4.83	16.1%	8.3%	81	+1.74	3.09	290	67
Phil Klein R 2016 · 3.10 FIP	27	SW	3.10	24.5%	6.6%	2.2%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	178	67