Francisco Perez

C DSL Rangers Red

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 188 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#945ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROK/INTL2 orgs	195	.253/.337/.446	9	4	45	—	.165/.244/.261
2027PROJMLE	20	MLB—	242	.228/.290/.320	3	4	73	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLB—	25	.231/.294/.330	0	0	77	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLB—	79	.233/.297/.338	1	1	80	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

ISO95

Whiff%88

K%85

Z-Con%84

wOBA74

wRC+68

CompsJeferson Quero (age 20) · Wilfredo Rodriguez (age 20) · Luis Torrens (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA

wRC+73

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .288 / .317

PA42

HR1

K%23

BB%6

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	132	111	31	4	0	7	11	19	5	3	1	279	370	505	875	225	270	14	8	372	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	INTL	Tucson Baseball Team	—	63	55	11	1	0	2	4	9	1	1	0	200	267	327	594	127	200	14	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	132	115	19	2	0	3	7	23	5	3	1	165	244	261	505	96	169	17	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	195	170	28	3	0	4	11	34	6	4	1	165	241	253	494	88	175	17	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	195	166	42	5	0	9	15	28	6	4	1	253	337	446	783	193	246	14	8	335	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	195	176	28	3	0	4	11	34	6	4	1	159	241	244	485	85	169	17	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	195	176	28	3	0	4	11	34	6	4	1	159	241	244	485	85	169	17	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	242	220	49	7	1	3	16	56	4	4	1	228	290	320	610	92	288	23	7	276	73	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	74	68	15	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	231	294	330	623	99	289	23	7	282	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	—	48%	164	149	35	5	1	3	11	37	3	3	1	233	297	338	635	105	290	23	7	287	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	—	54%	259	235	56	9	2	5	18	59	4	5	1	235	299	345	645	110	291	23	7	291	83	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	—	55%	348	316	75	12	2	7	24	79	5	6	2	237	302	352	653	115	292	23	7	294	85	-6	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	—	56%	399	362	86	14	2	8	28	90	6	7	2	238	303	356	659	119	292	23	7	296	87	-6	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	431	392	93	15	2	9	30	98	6	8	2	238	303	357	660	120	292	23	7	297	87	-7	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	444	404	96	15	3	9	31	101	6	8	3	237	302	355	657	118	291	23	7	295	86	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	445	405	95	15	2	9	31	103	6	7	3	235	300	350	650	115	290	23	7	292	84	-8	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.9
2036	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	441	401	93	14	2	9	31	103	6	7	3	232	297	344	641	111	289	23	7	289	81	-10	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2037	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	432	393	90	14	2	8	30	102	6	7	3	229	293	336	629	107	287	24	7	284	78	-11	+0	-2	+8	+9	0.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	398	363	81	12	2	7	27	96	5	6	4	225	288	326	614	101	284	24	7	278	74	-12	-0	-3	+7	+9	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	25	23	5	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	231	294	330	623	99	289	24	8	282	77	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	—	48%	79	73	16	3	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	233	297	338	635	105	290	23	6	287	80	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	—	54%	140	127	31	5	1	3	10	32	2	3	1	235	299	345	645	110	291	23	7	291	83	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	—	55%	193	175	41	6	1	4	13	44	3	3	1	237	302	352	653	115	292	23	7	294	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	—	56%	223	202	49	8	1	5	16	51	3	4	1	238	303	356	659	119	292	23	7	296	87	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	242	219	51	8	1	5	17	55	4	4	1	238	303	357	660	120	292	23	7	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	246	223	52	8	1	5	17	56	4	4	1	237	302	355	657	118	291	23	7	295	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	244	222	52	8	1	5	17	56	3	4	1	235	300	350	650	115	290	23	7	292	84	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	236	215	50	8	1	5	16	55	3	4	2	232	297	344	641	111	289	23	7	289	81	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	227	206	47	7	1	4	16	54	3	4	2	229	293	336	629	107	287	24	7	284	78	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	207	188	42	6	1	4	14	50	3	3	2	225	288	326	614	101	284	24	7	278	74	-6	-0	-1	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2062	1873	436	68	9	41	143	477	29	34	12	233	297	344	642	112	290	23	7	290	80	-42	+2	-4	+37	+45	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	137	21	3	13	45	150	9	11	4	232	297	344	641	112	288	23	7	290	80	-13	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4072	3696	852	131	20	80	280	929	61	70	25	231	296	342	637	111	285	23	7	287	80	-81	+4	-7	+69	+84	7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	136	21	3	13	45	148	10	11	4	231	297	342	639	112	284	23	7	287	80	-14	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 132 PAwOBA .373 → .225 (−149)K% 14.4% → 17.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.39%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	17.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷1.034	×0.700	—	×0.995	5.61%
HBP% /PA	3.79%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.64%
Singles /BIP	21.74%	÷0.993	×0.680	×0.997	×0.995	14.77%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷1.108	×0.600	×0.997	×0.995	2.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.997	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.61%	÷1.259	×0.470	—	×0.995	2.83%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 99, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .373 → .225; ISO .225 → .095; BABIP .270 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Jake Gibbs'63-'71 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	25	28	244*	299*	362*	+32	+0	5.4	5.4
/162	664	9	10	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.2	2,106	41	36	235	296	347	+38	+28	5.5	5.0
/162	664	13	11	+11.9	+8.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Perez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	226/288/317	91	288	1	1	23%	6%	73	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	47	44→50	49→45	43	230/281/347	117	293	11	9	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/290/369	137	282	16	7	23%	7%	86	+0.3	222/285/355	133	266	16	4	23%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43	44→50	48→40	45	215/283/328	113	270	12	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/296/343	127	275	13	4	25%	8%	83	+0.1	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Leo Bernal 2024 · A	20	45→50	42→45	47→50	49	220/293/323	103	283	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	231/296/349	118	296	13	8	25%	8%	83	+0.1	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→41	43→50	47→55	47	209/276/317	108	258	11	9	23%	7%	69	-0.9	216/283/359	143	277	16	17	27%	7%	81	-0.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→47	39→45	48→45	52	232/310/319	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	82	-0.0	216/290/316	100	284	8	6	25%	9%	74	-0.6	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/319	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	187/230/267	80	281	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	146/183/206	60	224	4	0	36%	2%	4	-1.5
✕Jacob Reimer 2024 · A	20	46→49	40→45	44→50	50	217/316/303	86	302	8	5	28%	10%	82	-0.0	226/307/346	120	303	11	9	27%	9%	87	+0.4	226/302/377	150	302	15	14	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	43	43→45	47→40	50	206/312/318	112	281	10	9	28%	10%	84	+0.1	220/283/339	119	285	13	4	26%	7%	76	-0.4	216/276/324	108	281	13	2	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	52	39→45	50	52	244/318/335	91	274	6	10	13%	7%	88	+0.5	225/293/315	90	280	7	8	21%	7%	74	-0.5	214/269/345	131	274	15	8	27%	5%	69	-0.5
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	50→59	42→45	53→60	43	241/287/350	109	301	9	12	23%	5%	80	-0.2	253/301/351	98	299	7	24	17%	5%	84	+0.2	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Austin Hedges 2013 · A	20	46→41	43→60	45	42	226/274/339	114	275	10	12	22%	5%	73	-0.6	216/261/316	100	272	8	7	23%	5%	62	-1.4	230/269/417	186	275	25	4	26%	4%	90	+0.4
✕Franklin Barreto 2016 · A	20	49→50	44→55	49→50	38	241/278/365	124	307	10	9	25%	4%	80	-0.2	237/282/369	132	323	14	16	30%	5%	82	+0.0	221/279/390	169	326	20	13	37%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48→50	43→50	52→50	43	227/289/346	119	322	8	10	30%	7%	80	-0.2	205/274/309	104	307	9	11	34%	7%	66	-1.1	246/324/371	124	344	12	15	29%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	48	41→30	47→45	49	228/316/330	102	281	8	6	21%	8%	88	+0.4	213/315/286	73	292	4	7	26%	10%	78	-0.3	207/330/269	62	273	4	7	22%	12%	77	-0.2

Francisco Perez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps