Francisco Perez — OGILVIE

Francisco PerezC DSL Rangers Red

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 188 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+70

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .284 / .323

PA110

HR2

K%25

BB%6

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$43M	+$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	195	172	34	4	0	5	9	40	6	4	1	198	262	308	570	110	220	21	5	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	195	166	42	5	0	9	15	28	6	4	1	253	337	446	783	193	246	14	8	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	—	—	110	100	23	3	1	2	7	27	2	1	0	230	294	340	634	110	288	25	6	277	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	—	34%	199	181	41	6	1	4	13	49	3	2	1	227	289	337	626	110	290	25	7	285	77	-5	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2028	21	MLB	—	48%	332	302	71	11	2	7	22	80	5	4	1	235	298	354	652	119	291	24	7	292	81	-7	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.9
2029	22	MLB	—	54%	428	389	90	14	2	9	29	102	7	5	1	231	296	347	644	116	292	24	7	296	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.3
2030	23	MLB	—	57%	492	447	106	17	3	11	34	117	8	6	2	237	303	362	665	125	293	24	7	298	87	-7	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.6
2031	24	MLB	—	57%	520	471	112	18	3	12	36	123	8	6	2	238	303	365	668	127	294	24	7	300	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2032	25	MLB	—	57%	520	470	112	18	3	12	36	123	9	6	2	238	305	366	671	128	294	24	7	301	89	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2033	26	MLB	—	56%	520	470	113	18	3	13	36	123	9	6	2	240	307	374	681	134	294	24	7	302	89	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2034	27	MLB	—	55%	520	469	113	18	3	13	37	123	9	6	2	241	309	375	684	134	294	24	7	302	89	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2035	28	MLB	—	55%	520	469	111	17	3	12	37	124	9	6	2	237	305	362	667	126	293	24	7	301	88	-7	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2036	29	MLB	—	53%	520	469	111	17	3	12	38	125	8	6	2	237	305	362	667	126	292	24	7	299	87	-8	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2037	30	MLB	—	53%	520	469	110	17	3	12	38	127	8	5	1	235	303	360	663	126	291	24	7	296	85	-9	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.4
2038	31	MLB	—	52%	504	454	104	16	2	11	37	124	8	4	1	229	299	346	644	117	289	25	7	292	81	-11	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.0
2039	32	MLB	—	52%	489	443	99	15	2	10	35	122	8	3	1	223	292	334	626	111	286	25	7	286	77	-13	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.7
2027	20	MLB	—	34%	68	63	13	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	206	265	286	550	79	290	25	6	285	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2028	21	MLB	—	48%	161	146	34	5	1	3	11	39	3	2	1	233	300	342	642	110	291	24	7	292	81	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2029	22	MLB	—	54%	232	210	49	8	1	5	16	55	4	3	1	233	300	352	652	119	292	24	7	296	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2030	23	MLB	—	57%	278	252	59	9	2	6	19	66	5	3	1	234	301	357	658	123	293	24	7	298	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2031	24	MLB	—	57%	294	267	64	10	2	7	20	70	5	4	1	240	305	371	676	131	294	24	7	300	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2032	25	MLB	—	57%	294	266	64	10	2	7	21	70	5	4	1	241	308	372	680	132	294	24	7	301	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2033	26	MLB	—	56%	294	266	64	10	2	7	21	70	5	4	1	241	308	372	680	132	294	24	7	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2034	27	MLB	—	55%	288	261	63	10	2	7	20	68	5	4	1	241	308	375	683	134	294	24	7	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2035	28	MLB	—	55%	285	258	62	10	2	7	20	68	5	3	1	240	307	376	683	136	293	24	7	301	88	-4	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.9
2036	29	MLB	—	53%	278	251	59	9	1	7	20	67	5	3	1	235	304	363	667	127	292	24	7	299	87	-4	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.8
2037	30	MLB	—	53%	274	248	57	9	1	6	20	67	4	3	1	230	298	347	645	117	291	24	7	296	85	-5	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.7
2038	31	MLB	—	52%	263	238	54	8	1	6	19	65	4	2	1	227	295	345	640	118	289	25	7	292	81	-6	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.5
2039	32	MLB	—	52%	254	230	52	8	1	5	18	64	4	2	0	226	294	335	628	109	286	25	7	286	77	-7	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3263	2956	694	108	18	74	229	786	55	38	11	235	302	359	660	124	294	24	7	297	86	-53	+3	-6	+58	+92	9.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	139	22	4	15	46	157	11	8	2	236	303	363	667	127	296	24	7	297	86	-11	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.9
Career	—			—	6389	5775	1350	209	34	145	444	1529	107	70	21	234	301	357	658	123	291	24	7	295	84	-115	+6	-10	+114	+181	17.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	137	21	3	15	45	156	11	7	2	233	300	355	655	122	290	24	7	295	84	-12	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	132	111	31	4	0	7	11	19	5	3	1	279	370	505	875	225	270	14	8	372	143	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2025	18	INTL	Tucson Baseball Team	—	63	55	11	1	0	2	4	9	1	1	0	200	267	327	594	127	200	14	6	257	55	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,373	77	38	236	299	360	+60	+32	9.8	8.3
	/162	664	15	7	236	299	360	+11.9	+6.3	1.9	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Perez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	224/284/323	100	288	2	1	25%	6%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	83	+0.6	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	39	232/274/353	122	292	11	4	25%	4%	72	-0.2	213/267/301	88	291	7	5	28%	6%	56	-1.3	176/240/214	38	249	3	2	28%	6%	21	-1.0
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	72	-0.2	201/244/277	76	295	6	5	32%	5%	39	-2.5	180/204/231	51	257	9	0	33%	2%	11	-0.8
✕Alejandro Segovia 2009 · A	19	45	41→50	47→30	46	219/276/313	93	249	9	6	16%	5%	63	-0.8	222/269/317	95	258	8	4	17%	4%	61	-1.0	212/293/363	151	249	18	1	22%	8%	81	+0.2
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/368	117	300	12	2	20%	6%	89	+0.9	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→45	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	209/269/336	127	287	13	8	30%	7%	66	-0.6	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	41→50	42→45	44	204/265/299	95	266	8	5	26%	7%	55	-1.4	186/235/263	77	243	5	4	25%	5%	32	-3.0	245/304/378	133	272	15	0	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→42	45→50	48→40	45	215/281/332	117	268	13	4	25%	7%	71	-0.3	214/290/343	129	271	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→47	39→55	49→30	44	205/276/287	82	282	6	6	28%	7%	56	-1.3	210/273/295	85	266	7	4	22%	7%	57	-1.2	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕René Pinto 2016 · A	19	44	42→60	49→40	43	217/263/331	114	262	9	7	21%	5%	62	-0.9	222/264/330	108	283	9	4	24%	5%	62	-0.9	211/247/384	172	288	24	3	35%	4%	67	-0.3
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Jordan Groshans 2019 · A	19	45→48	42→45	47→30	41	220/268/324	104	286	10	3	26%	5%	63	-0.9	232/289/338	106	320	9	4	28%	7%	75	-0.0	226/294/308	82	283	7	1	21%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→46	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	83	+0.6	199/251/326	127	280	13	7	32%	5%	56	-1.3	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Ismerling Mota 2017 · A	19	43	40→45	46→40	41	211/253/301	90	262	8	5	23%	5%	50	-1.8	203/254/278	75	282	5	4	28%	5%	44	-2.1	180/231/230	51	220	3	0	19%	5%	20	-0.9
✕Francisco Herrera 2013 · A	19	47	42→45	44→30	49	230/294/334	104	267	9	5	18%	7%	76	+0.1	221/277/315	94	270	8	6	21%	6%	64	-0.8	208/255/286	78	243	9	5	18%	4%	43	-0.6
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	42	201/285/303	102	283	9	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	214/290/334	120	285	13	5	28%	8%	76	+0.0	213/279/330	117	277	14	2	27%	7%	69	-0.2