Jonny Farmelo

CF Everett AquaSox

Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #58MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP52ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A+SEA	129	.230/.320/.460	6	2	55	—	.171/.242/.333
2025	20	INTLPeoria Javeli…	101	.234/.410/.442	2	12	144	—
2026	21	AASEA	214	.222/.357/.358	4	15	68	—	.188/.291/.296
2026	21	A+SEA	399	.267/.387/.477	13	26	84	—	.206/.302/.357
2027PROJ4% MLB	22	MLBSEA	14	.203/.296/.341	0	0	83	0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	23	MLBSEA	210	.210/.302/.360	6	7	90	0.4
2029PROJ47% MLB	24	MLBSEA	286	.215/.307/.373	8	9	94	0.7

Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$5M2032Arb-2$8M2033Arb-3$10M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%92

Speed89

Chase%71

Z-Con%61

wRC+60

wOBA51

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 18, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 80%

CompsJakob Marsee (age 22) · Matt McLain (age 23) · Derek Fisher (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .296 / .341

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%14

BABIP283

ISO136

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$8M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$10M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$14M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	221	178	47	10	3	4	36	52	5	18	2	264	402	421	823	157	347	24	16	371	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	129	113	26	6	1	6	14	38	1	2	1	230	320	460	780	230	286	29	11	342	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	101	77	18	4	3	2	20	28	3	12	2	234	410	442	852	208	333	28	20	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	214	176	39	8	2	4	35	60	2	15	1	222	357	358	715	136	310	28	16	329	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	399	333	89	17	7	13	62	98	3	26	14	267	387	477	864	210	341	25	16	383	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	221	189	40	7	2	4	25	71	5	18	2	212	320	333	653	122	303	32	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	129	117	20	5	1	4	10	54	1	2	1	171	242	333	576	162	253	42	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	214	186	35	7	2	3	25	73	2	15	1	188	291	296	587	108	287	34	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	399	350	72	13	5	10	45	132	3	26	14	206	302	357	659	151	296	33	11	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	221	189	40	7	2	4	25	71	5	18	2	212	320	333	653	122	310	32	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	221	178	47	10	3	4	36	52	5	18	2	264	402	421	823	157	347	24	16	371	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	230	206	35	8	1	8	18	95	4	14	3	170	250	335	585	165	257	41	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	230	190	44	10	4	8	34	66	4	14	3	232	360	453	812	221	305	29	15	359	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	613	536	107	20	7	13	70	206	5	41	15	200	298	336	634	136	295	34	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	613	509	128	25	9	17	97	158	5	41	15	251	376	436	813	185	330	26	16	364	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	221	189	40	7	2	4	25	71	5	18	2	212	320	333	653	122	303	32	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	230	206	35	8	1	8	18	95	4	14	3	170	250	335	585	165	253	41	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	613	533	107	20	7	13	70	206	5	41	15	201	298	338	636	137	293	34	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	221	189	40	7	2	4	25	71	5	18	2	212	320	333	653	122	303	32	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	230	206	35	8	1	8	18	95	4	14	3	170	250	335	585	165	253	41	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	613	533	107	20	7	13	70	206	5	41	15	201	298	338	636	137	293	34	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SEA	4%	574	503	103	20	5	13	62	179	4	20	7	205	298	346	645	141	285	31	11	291	83	-11	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	SEA	4%	14	12	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	203	296	341	637	138	283	29	14	288	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SEA	36%	581	509	108	20	5	16	63	176	4	20	6	212	305	366	671	154	287	30	11	301	90	-7	+2	+1	+2	+13	1.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	SEA	47%	609	533	116	22	5	18	66	181	5	20	6	217	309	379	688	162	288	30	11	308	94	-4	+2	+1	+2	+13	1.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	627	549	120	22	5	19	68	183	5	19	6	220	311	386	697	166	289	29	11	311	97	-2	+1	+1	+2	+14	1.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	638	560	123	23	5	20	68	184	5	19	6	222	312	390	702	168	289	29	11	313	98	-1	+1	+1	+2	+14	1.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	646	567	125	23	5	20	69	185	5	19	6	222	311	388	699	166	288	29	11	312	97	-2	+1	+1	+2	+14	1.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	642	564	124	23	5	20	68	186	5	17	6	220	309	383	692	163	287	29	11	309	96	-3	+1	+1	+2	+14	1.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	632	555	121	22	5	19	67	185	5	15	6	217	306	377	683	159	285	29	11	306	93	-5	+1	-0	+2	+14	1.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	622	548	118	22	5	18	65	184	4	13	6	214	303	368	671	154	283	30	10	301	90	-7	+0	-1	+2	+13	0.8
2036	31	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	558	491	103	19	4	15	58	167	4	9	6	210	298	358	656	149	280	30	10	295	86	-9	-1	-2	+2	+12	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	SEA	36%	210	183	39	7	2	6	23	64	2	7	2	210	302	360	663	150	284	30	11	298	90	-2	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	SEA	47%	286	251	54	10	3	8	31	85	2	9	3	215	307	373	679	158	285	30	11	305	94	-2	+1	+1	+1	+6	0.7
2030	25	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	326	285	62	11	3	10	35	95	3	10	3	217	309	380	689	163	286	29	11	308	97	-1	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.9
2031	26	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	347	304	67	12	3	11	37	100	3	10	4	219	310	383	693	164	286	29	11	310	98	-1	+0	+1	+1	+8	0.9
2032	27	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	351	308	69	13	3	11	37	101	3	10	3	219	309	382	691	162	285	29	11	309	97	-1	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.9
2033	28	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	349	306	66	12	3	10	37	101	3	9	3	217	307	377	684	160	284	29	11	306	96	-2	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.8
2034	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	336	295	64	12	3	10	36	98	2	8	3	215	304	371	675	156	283	29	11	303	93	-3	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	326	287	60	11	2	9	34	96	2	7	3	212	301	363	663	151	280	29	10	298	90	-4	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	290	256	53	10	2	8	30	87	2	5	3	207	296	353	649	145	277	30	10	292	86	-5	-0	-1	+1	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2821	2475	534	98	24	83	300	827	22	75	27	216	306	375	681	160	285	29	11	304	90	-21	+4	+2	+10	+61	5.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	124	23	6	19	69	191	5	17	6	218	307	379	686	161	289	29	11	304	90	-5	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6939	6087	1297	242	57	197	740	2103	58	235	78	213	304	369	673	156	288	30	11	301	90	-49	+9	+4	+21	+127	11.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	121	23	5	18	69	197	5	22	7	212	302	365	667	153	288	30	11	301	90	-5	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Jose Cruz'97-'08 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,448 PA	8.2	5,448	204	113	237*	325*	431*	-24	-5	18.2	16.5
/162	664	25	14	-2.9	-0.6	2.2	pk7: 15
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#4Chad Curtis'92-'01 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,650 PA	7.0	4,650	101	212	253*	335*	391*	-14	-3	12.4	11.8
/162	664	14	30	-2.1	-0.4	1.8	pk7: 11
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#6Billy Maloney'01-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,762 PA	4.2	2,762	6	155	235*	299*	373*	+5	+9	6.9	6.9
/162	664	1	37	+1.1	+2.1	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.3	2,836	84	76	218	305	380	-17	+6	4.3	4.2
/162	664	20	18	-4.0	+1.4	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonny Farmelo (OGILVIE)	22	39→48	44→53	68→66	49	204/296/343	139	285	7	11	31%	11%	83	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	41→51	50→55	59→55	48	209/297/370	161	292	17	24	33%	10%	89	+0.5	248/327/426	178	332	20	21	29%	9%	113	+2.3	229/312/388	159	300	18	22	28%	9%	98	+1.1
●Derek Fisher 2017 · AAA	23	46→52	49→55	55	46	225/299/371	146	316	17	20	32%	9%	90	+0.6	234/306/405	171	327	21	18	33%	9%	100	+1.3	231/307/412	181	317	23	18	33%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	49→51	45→55	56→55	43	240/300/365	125	317	13	19	28%	7%	88	+0.5	222/275/369	147	357	16	25	40%	6%	80	-0.1	220/289/397	177	359	21	23	42%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Bradley Zimmer 2016 · AA	23	47→51	46→50	58→60	41	229/299/362	132	319	14	28	31%	7%	88	+0.4	228/299/366	138	343	13	28	35%	8%	88	+0.5	230/307/358	128	349	13	28	35%	7%	90	+0.3
●Zac Veen 2024 · AA	22	44→53	41→55	60	45	211/282/314	103	302	8	34	31%	8%	70	-0.8	229/289/373	144	306	14	25	28%	7%	86	+0.3	243/302/419	176	316	18	22	28%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Brett Jackson 2011 · AA	22	51→53	46→55	57→55	46	242/316/387	145	337	11	20	30%	8%	99	+1.3	214/288/365	151	335	15	19	37%	9%	84	+0.2	194/271/342	147	315	15	19	40%	9%	71	-0.7
●Dylan Beavers 2024 · AA	22	50→52	45→50	53→55	47	237/304/372	135	322	10	19	28%	8%	91	+0.7	228/307/363	135	303	14	20	27%	10%	91	+0.7	225/312/362	137	293	15	21	27%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Akil Baddoo 2022 · MLB	23	50→53	50	58→55	49	248/318/415	167	325	17	20	28%	9%	106	+1.8	229/307/372	143	303	14	23	27%	10%	93	+0.8	213/293/369	156	278	16	28	28%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Parker Meadows 2024 · MLB	24	43→48	49→55	57→55	46	219/284/373	154	279	17	17	28%	8%	84	+0.2	234/303/394	160	302	16	20	26%	9%	96	+1.0	236/310/408	171	300	16	22	26%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Jordan Lawlar 2024 · MLB	22	47→55	47→50	59→60	47	231/310/369	138	309	14	28	28%	8%	94	+0.9	240/311/398	158	324	15	25	29%	8%	100	+1.3	247/313/444	196	333	20	28	30%	7%	109	+1.0
●Garrett Mitchell 2022 · AA	23	47→57	45→50	56→60	49	224/308/340	116	331	13	20	34%	11%	86	+0.3	245/316/382	137	359	13	26	33%	9%	99	+1.2	257/341/429	172	366	16	21	31%	10%	119	+1.4
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	47→55	50→55	58→55	37	238/275/402	164	298	17	19	26%	4%	88	+0.4	245/282/399	154	307	17	23	25%	4%	90	+0.6	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	48→53	44→50	61→55	46	231/292/359	128	308	9	28	27%	8%	84	+0.1	243/298/376	133	291	13	16	20%	7%	90	+0.6	248/309/365	117	296	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→54	43→40	58→65	50	212/292/336	124	282	9	19	27%	10%	79	-0.2	228/288/323	95	287	7	44	22%	6%	74	-0.5	222/287/310	87	280	7	49	22%	7%	70	-0.8
●Josh Lowe 2021 · AA	23	43→53	47→55	53→60	43	214/281/352	138	303	15	20	33%	8%	78	-0.3	248/309/412	164	350	18	26	32%	8%	103	+1.5	257/316/433	176	355	19	31	31%	8%	109	+1.7
✕Eric Patterson 2006 · AA	23	53→55	46→50	58→60	45	255/311/395	140	331	11	23	26%	7%	99	+1.2	250/300/377	127	312	11	27	22%	7%	91	+0.6	252/307/381	130	310	11	31	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jasson Domínguez 2024 · MLB	21	48→53	47→50	58→60	48	233/310/375	141	327	15	26	31%	10%	95	+0.9	247/314/381	134	324	15	28	27%	9%	97	+1.1	247/312/375	128	312	15	31	25%	8%	94	+0.6

Jonny Farmelo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps