Gage Wood

P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.3 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #45MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP51ETA2028FG ETA2026MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	APHI	1	1	2	4.50	1.10	55.6%	22.2%	—	K 55.6% · BB 22.2% · FIP 1.22
2026	22	MIX2 levels	25	25	95	4.36	3.31	34.4%	7.4%	—	K 27.2% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.51
2027PROJ	23	MLBPHI	17	17	95	4.11	4.11	25.9%	7.8%	0.9
2028PROJ44% MLB	24	MLBPHI	10	10	54	4.20	4.16	26.1%	7.6%	0.6
2029PROJ67% MLB	25	MLBPHI	16	16	96	4.16	4.12	26.2%	7.5%	1.0

Next 3 projected WAR 2.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$5M2033Arb-2$7M2034Arb-3$8M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff54Control54Command52FB velo70

Career WAR1 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 27, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 66%

CompsKyle Brnovich (age 23) · Jaden Hamm (age 21) · Braxton Bragg (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 95

ERA4.11

FIP4.11

K%25.9%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%18.1%

Proj IP95

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 95 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$35M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5555

CTRL5055

CMD4550

K†6060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2032	Arb-1	$5M	+1.2	$7M	+$4M
2033	Arb-2	$7M	+1.0	$5M	+$2M
2034	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$14M		$36M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	1	2	9	5	2	0	100%	2.0	55.6%	22.2%	33.3%	0.0%	4.50	1.22	—
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	1	2	9	5	2	0	100%	2.0	55.6%	22.2%	33.3%	0.0%	4.50	1.22	—
2025	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	1	1	2	9	5	2	0	100%	2.0	55.6%	22.2%	33.3%	0.0%	4.50	1.10	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	95	404	139	30	16	100%	3.8	27.2%	8.4%	18.8%	4.8%	4.36	4.51	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	95	404	139	30	16	100%	3.8	27.2%	8.4%	18.8%	4.8%	4.36	4.51	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	95	404	139	30	16	100%	3.8	34.4%	7.4%	27.0%	4.0%	4.36	3.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	PHI	17	17	95	401	104	31	13	100%	5.6	25.9%	7.8%	18.1%	3.3%	4.11	4.11	+0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	22	22	123	521	136	39	17	100%	5.6	26.1%	7.6%	18.5%	3.3%	4.07	4.03	+1.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	24	24	143	603	158	45	20	100%	6.0	26.2%	7.5%	18.7%	3.2%	4.03	3.99	+1.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	PHI	26	26	155	654	171	49	21	100%	6.0	26.2%	7.4%	18.7%	3.2%	4.01	3.98	+1.7
2031	27	MLB MLE	PHI	25	25	153	644	168	48	21	100%	6.1	26.0%	7.5%	18.5%	3.3%	4.02	4.03	+1.6
2032	28	MLB MLE	PHI	25	25	148	625	162	48	21	100%	5.9	25.9%	7.7%	18.2%	3.4%	4.07	4.11	+1.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	PHI	24	24	141	597	153	47	21	100%	5.9	25.7%	7.9%	17.8%	3.5%	4.17	4.24	+1.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	PHI	22	22	133	561	142	46	21	100%	6.0	25.3%	8.2%	17.1%	3.7%	4.32	4.42	+0.7
2035	31	MLB MLE	PHI	21	21	124	523	130	45	21	100%	5.9	24.9%	8.5%	16.4%	3.9%	4.50	4.62	+0.4
2036	32	MLB MLE	PHI	19	19	114	483	118	43	20	100%	6.0	24.5%	8.9%	15.5%	4.2%	4.71	4.85	+0.1
2037	33	MLB MLE	PHI	18	18	105	444	106	42	20	100%	5.8	24.0%	9.4%	14.6%	4.5%	4.94	5.10	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	10	10	54	228	59	17	8	100%	5.4	26.1%	7.6%	18.5%	3.5%	4.20	4.16	+0.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	16	16	96	405	106	30	14	100%	6.0	26.2%	7.5%	18.7%	3.5%	4.16	4.12	+1.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	PHI	20	20	123	519	136	39	18	100%	6.2	26.2%	7.4%	18.7%	3.5%	4.14	4.11	+1.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	PHI	22	22	130	549	143	41	19	100%	5.9	26.0%	7.5%	18.5%	3.5%	4.15	4.16	+1.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	PHI	22	22	132	557	144	43	20	100%	6.0	25.9%	7.7%	18.2%	3.6%	4.20	4.24	+1.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	PHI	22	22	129	545	140	43	21	100%	5.9	25.7%	7.9%	17.8%	3.8%	4.31	4.38	+1.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	PHI	20	20	122	515	130	42	21	100%	6.1	25.3%	8.2%	17.1%	4.0%	4.47	4.57	+0.7
2035	31	MLB CTX	PHI	19	19	115	486	121	41	21	100%	6.1	24.9%	8.5%	16.4%	4.2%	4.66	4.78	+0.4
2036	32	MLB CTX	PHI	18	18	107	452	111	40	20	100%	5.9	24.5%	8.9%	15.5%	4.5%	4.88	5.02	+0.1
2037	33	MLB CTX	PHI	17	17	100	422	101	40	20	100%	5.9	24.0%	9.4%	14.6%	4.8%	5.12	5.28	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		186	186	1109	4680	1192	377	182	100%	6.0	25.5%	8.1%	17.4%	3.9%	4.42	4.10	+10.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	215	68	33	100%	6.0	25.5%	8.1%	17.4%	3.9%	4.42	4.10	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		26	26	97	413	115	36	19	100%	3.7	27.8%	8.7%	19.1%	4.7%	4.36	4.43	+9.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	54	200	852	237	74	40	100%	3.7	27.8%	8.7%	19.1%	4.7%	4.36	4.43	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gage Wood (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.11	25.9%	7.8%	3.3%	—	4.00	26.1%	18.6%	421	-0.11	—	—	—
Kyle Brnovich R 2021 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP	3.95	25.1%	7.5%	3.7%	.256	5.54	20.7%	11.0%	89	+1.59	3.95	338	86
Jaden Hamm R 2024 · 3.79 FIP	21	SP	3.79	23.5%	8.9%	2.8%	.273	4.79	17.1%	7.3%	83	+1.00	3.79	182	85
Braxton Bragg R 2024 · 3.70 FIP	23	SP	3.70	22.3%	6.4%	3.0%	.325	2.58	26.2%	18.1%	59	-1.12	2.58	155	83
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	81
Mason Black R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SP	4.23	25.2%	10.0%	3.6%	.284	5.09	18.0%	8.3%	333	+0.86	3.95	569	80
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.48	21.4%	12.8%	178	-0.58	2.48	298	80
Cody Morris R 2019 · 3.73 FIP	22	SP	3.73	21.6%	8.1%	2.6%	.362	2.85	31.1%	20.9%	96	-0.88	2.23	256	80
Shumpei Yoshikawa R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	24	SP	3.84	21.8%	5.6%	3.4%	.336	6.33	25.7%	15.1%	20	+2.49	3.84	124	79
Griffin Canning R 2019 · 3.60 FIP	23	SP	3.60	25.0%	7.2%	3.1%	.277	4.71	22.9%	13.0%	119	+1.11	3.60	809	79
David Festa R 2023 · 3.68 FIP	23	SP	3.68	24.5%	11.2%	2.2%	.341	3.71	27.2%	19.1%	209	+0.03	3.67	405	78
Logan Workman R 2022 · 4.33 FIP	23	SP	4.33	19.3%	7.4%	3.5%	.287	3.94	20.1%	12.8%	362	-0.39	3.82	579	78
Nick Sinacola R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SP	4.20	20.3%	7.6%	3.4%	.313	3.97	17.0%	8.6%	166	-0.23	3.56	357	78
Sawyer Gipson-Long R 2021 · 3.87 FIP	23	SP	3.87	24.0%	7.6%	3.4%	.360	4.59	22.7%	15.9%	243	+0.72	3.87	512	78
Ty Madden R 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	24.0%	11.2%	3.7%	.304	4.75	21.2%	12.0%	217	+0.23	4.39	458	77
Owen Wild R 2024 · 3.67 FIP	22	SP	3.67	23.2%	7.2%	2.9%	.319	4.90	21.2%	12.1%	166	+1.23	3.67	287	77
German Nunez R 2024 · 3.00 FIP	22	SP	3.00	24.8%	6.8%	2.1%	.298	3.36	22.1%	11.2%	19	+0.36	2.27	151	77
Connor McCullough R 2023 · 4.66 FIP	23	SP	4.66	21.8%	6.4%	4.7%	.280	4.03	19.7%	12.5%	153	-0.63	3.62	266	77
Carson Ragsdale R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SP	4.21	25.0%	10.7%	3.4%	.349	4.27	25.0%	14.6%	148	+0.06	2.00	352	77
Ben Gross R 2021 · 4.05 FIP	24	SP-	4.05	23.0%	8.8%	3.2%	.359	4.85	17.6%	2.0%	22	+0.80	4.05	118	77
Gavin Williams R 2022 · 3.44 FIP	23	SP	3.44	26.2%	9.9%	2.4%	.238	3.87	25.1%	14.3%	398	+0.43	3.39	697	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7.2	130	25.6%	8.0%	1.38	4.24
Jon Gray ('25)	6.2	123	23.4%	7.8%	1.17	4.49
Carl Erskine ('48-'59, 19 WAR*)	8.6	143	23.7%*	8.4%*	1.30*	4.19*
Floyd Bannister ('77-'92, 28 WAR*)	11.9	159	24.7%*	8.2%*	1.37*	4.18*
John Montefusco ('74-'86, 20 WAR*)	8.3	150	22.5%*	7.3%*	1.20*	4.16*
Jake Odorizzi ('22)	6.3	139	22.2%	8.1%	1.23	3.99
Chris Archer ('22)	6.8	151	25.4%	8.3%	1.09	3.93