Melvyn Amador — OGILVIE

Melvyn Amador P DSL Cubs Red

Age 22 LHP 5'10" / 172 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113121vR 129

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%22.7%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%8.3%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	12	12	34	162	22	30	1	100%	2.9	9.2%	23.1%	-13.9%	0.7%	5.50	5.66	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	12	12	34	162	22	30	1	100%	2.9	13.6%	18.5%	-4.9%	0.6%	5.50	4.82	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	12	2	25	130	29	27	4	17%	2.1	15.2%	26.0%	-10.8%	4.0%	8.64	7.28	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	12	2	25	130	29	27	4	17%	2.1	15.2%	26.0%	-10.8%	4.0%	8.64	7.28	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	12	2	25	130	29	27	4	17%	2.1	22.3%	20.8%	1.5%	3.1%	8.64	6.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	—	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	22.7%	14.4%	8.3%	3.0%	5.04	5.04	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	—	4	4	20	84	20	11	2	100%	5.0	23.5%	12.6%	10.9%	3.0%	4.82	4.72	+0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	—	2	2	10	42	10	5	1	100%	5.0	23.5%	12.6%	10.9%	3.0%	4.82	4.72	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	10	5	1	100%	4.9	23.5%	12.6%	10.9%	3.0%	4.82	4.34	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	37	200	844	203	102	20	100%	5.3	23.5%	12.6%	10.9%	3.0%	4.82	4.34	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		24	14	59	292	35	71	6	58%	2.5	11.9%	24.4%	-12.5%	2.2%	6.83	6.38	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	47	200	984	117	240	21	58%	2.5	11.9%	24.4%	-12.5%	2.2%	6.83	6.38	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Melvyn Amador (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	22.7%	14.4%	3.0%	—	4.72	23.5%	10.9%	20	-0.32	—	—	—
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	82
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.64	21.9%	9.9%	152	-0.35	3.96	265	79
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.83	21.4%	10.7%	156	-0.19	2.44	171	79
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	76
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	74
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	73
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	72
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	72
Larson Kindreich L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP-	4.27	24.3%	18.6%	1.6%	.275	4.96	22.3%	6.1%	149	+0.69	4.16	214	72
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.80	17.3%	7.9%	201	-0.84	2.95	245	71
Joe Kemlage L 2022 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	19.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.278	5.35	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.93	4.42	128	70
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.26	20.8%	9.6%	219	-0.34	2.32	359	70
Tommy Sommer L 2021 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP-	4.65	23.9%	9.3%	4.3%	.196	5.36	18.6%	6.1%	205	+0.71	4.28	230	70
Ronan Kopp L 2023 · 4.66 FIP	21	SP-	4.66	27.6%	19.2%	2.6%	.287	4.24	24.9%	6.8%	152	-0.42	2.97	282	70
Jimmy Robbins L 2022 · 3.85 FIP	24	SP-	3.85	23.3%	11.3%	2.3%	.286	4.83	17.9%	2.7%	99	+0.98	3.85	176	69
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2022 · 4.15 FIP	22	SW	4.15	25.7%	18.4%	1.6%	.317	6.79	19.3%	-7.6%	36	+2.64	2.58	155	69
Ryan Lawlor L 2016 · 4.52 FIP	22	SP-	4.52	16.1%	15.8%	1.4%	.264	2.42	25.5%	15.1%	119	-2.10	2.24	201	69
Andrew Faulkner L 2015 · 4.74 FIP	22	SP-	4.74	18.0%	12.8%	2.8%	.290	4.06	17.7%	6.6%	142	-0.68	3.70	252	69
Jack Patterson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	.299	3.10	19.4%	7.9%	80	-1.62	3.10	127	69
Mac Lardner L 2021 · 4.75 FIP	23	SP-	4.75	18.9%	8.5%	4.0%	.332	4.34	17.5%	8.1%	119	-0.41	3.66	186	69