Landon Beidelschies

Landon Beidelschies P Augusta GreenJackets

Age 22 LHP 6'3" / 230 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.0 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117126vR 134

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%18.3%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%4.8%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$0M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CTRL—50

CMD4050

K†4555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	6	31	8	2	2	100%	3.2	25.8%	6.5%	19.4%	6.5%	7.11	5.28	—
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	6	31	8	2	2	100%	3.2	25.8%	6.5%	19.4%	6.5%	7.11	5.28	—
2025	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	6	31	8	2	2	100%	3.2	25.8%	6.5%	19.4%	6.5%	7.11	5.63	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	22	20	86	401	79	55	9	91%	3.9	14.6%	16.2%	-1.6%	2.9%	5.97	5.52	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	22	20	86	401	79	55	9	91%	3.9	14.6%	16.2%	-1.6%	2.9%	5.97	5.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	ATL	22	20	86	401	79	55	9	91%	3.9	19.7%	13.7%	6.0%	2.2%	5.97	4.41	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ATL	16	16	87	369	73	44	11	100%	5.5	19.8%	11.8%	8.0%	3.0%	5.03	4.93	-0.0
2028	24	MLB MLE	ATL	16	16	90	378	78	41	11	100%	5.6	20.7%	10.8%	10.0%	2.9%	4.81	4.70	+0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	ATL	16	16	91	383	81	39	11	100%	5.7	21.2%	10.1%	11.1%	2.9%	4.66	4.57	+0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	ATL	15	15	91	383	82	38	11	100%	6.0	21.4%	10.0%	11.4%	2.9%	4.58	4.54	+0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	ATL	15	15	89	377	81	38	11	100%	6.0	21.4%	10.1%	11.3%	3.0%	4.58	4.58	+0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	ATL	14	14	87	366	78	37	11	100%	6.2	21.3%	10.2%	11.1%	3.1%	4.63	4.66	+0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	ATL	14	14	83	349	74	37	11	100%	5.9	21.1%	10.5%	10.6%	3.2%	4.73	4.79	+0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	ATL	13	13	78	328	75	33	11	100%	6.0	22.7%	10.0%	12.8%	3.4%	4.71	4.70	+0.2
2035	31	MLB MLE	ATL	12	12	72	306	68	32	11	100%	6.0	22.3%	10.3%	12.0%	3.6%	4.82	4.90	0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	ATL	8	8	43	182	36	22	5	100%	5.4	19.8%	11.8%	8.0%	3.0%	5.03	4.93	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	ATL	11	11	63	266	55	29	8	100%	5.7	20.7%	10.8%	10.0%	2.9%	4.81	4.70	+0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	ATL	13	13	74	312	66	32	9	100%	5.7	21.2%	10.1%	11.1%	2.9%	4.66	4.57	+0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	ATL	13	13	79	334	71	33	10	100%	6.1	21.4%	10.0%	11.4%	2.9%	4.58	4.54	+0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	ATL	14	14	81	342	73	34	10	100%	5.8	21.4%	10.1%	11.3%	3.0%	4.58	4.58	+0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	ATL	13	13	80	338	72	35	10	100%	6.2	21.3%	10.2%	11.1%	3.1%	4.63	4.66	+0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	ATL	13	13	77	325	68	34	10	100%	5.9	21.1%	10.5%	10.6%	3.2%	4.73	4.79	+0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	ATL	12	12	73	308	70	31	11	100%	6.1	22.7%	10.0%	12.8%	3.4%	4.71	4.70	+0.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	ATL	12	12	69	291	65	30	11	100%	5.8	22.3%	10.3%	12.0%	3.6%	4.82	4.90	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		108	108	637	2691	576	278	84	100%	5.9	21.4%	10.3%	11.1%	3.1%	4.71	4.31	+4.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	181	87	26	100%	5.9	21.4%	10.3%	11.1%	3.1%	4.71	4.31	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		24	22	92	432	66	67	14	92%	3.8	15.4%	15.5%	-0.1%	3.2%	6.04	5.50	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	48	200	936	144	145	30	92%	3.8	15.4%	15.5%	-0.1%	3.2%	6.04	5.50	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Landon Beidelschies (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	18.3%	13.6%	3.0%	—	4.73	20.6%	9.7%	268	-0.56	—	—	—
Jackson Humphries L 2023 · 4.48 FIP	19	SP	4.48	19.8%	14.0%	2.3%	.302	5.94	20.8%	1.5%	248	+1.46	4.48	305	81
Michel Gelabert L 2019 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	18.7%	12.1%	2.4%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	107	80
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.60	19.5%	5.2%	212	+0.08	3.90	277	80
Gabriel Castellanos L 2016 · 4.49 FIP	22	SP	4.49	15.5%	13.7%	1.8%	.348	3.41	15.3%	2.7%	26	-1.08	3.41	108	80
Evan Shawver L 2022 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	18.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.289	4.73	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.41	3.92	278	80
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	79
John Beller L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP	4.48	19.7%	14.1%	2.3%	.326	4.35	22.2%	7.1%	90	-0.13	4.16	170	79
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	78
Rylan Kaufman L 2021 · 4.60 FIP	22	SP	4.60	19.3%	12.1%	2.9%	.305	4.75	18.9%	4.5%	131	+0.15	4.01	212	78
Pablo Aldonis L 2023 · 4.44 FIP	21	SP	4.44	18.7%	15.6%	1.7%	.240	3.01	21.7%	12.9%	75	-1.43	1.89	135	77
Russell Smith L 2022 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	16.0%	10.4%	3.8%	.272	4.64	21.2%	7.8%	107	-0.50	4.00	175	77
Jared Tobey L 2018 · 5.39 FIP	22	SP	5.39	11.9%	15.1%	2.5%	.289	4.05	22.3%	10.4%	97	-1.34	3.99	158	76
Kyle Backhus L 2021 · 4.31 FIP	23	SP	4.31	15.2%	11.3%	1.9%	.280	3.50	22.9%	11.4%	153	-0.81	2.78	267	76
Brent Headrick L 2021 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	22.9%	14.0%	2.6%	.383	4.58	23.7%	16.7%	227	+0.22	2.21	409	76
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	76
Joe Miller L 2022 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP	4.48	17.4%	13.9%	2.0%	.375	4.22	16.0%	7.7%	273	-0.26	3.76	355	76
Rob Zastryzny L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	23	SP	5.33	13.8%	10.9%	3.7%	.345	4.28	18.5%	9.1%	268	-1.05	3.34	634	76
Frankeli Arias L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	20	SP-	4.27	15.0%	12.2%	1.6%	.318	5.53	16.1%	3.0%	196	+1.26	3.87	298	76
Tyson Guerrero L 2022 · 6.22 FIP	23	SP	6.22	16.0%	10.8%	5.6%	.275	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	207	-1.80	4.26	250	75
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.9	79	21.2%	10.5%	1.20	4.74
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77