Landon Beidelschies

Landon Beidelschies P Augusta GreenJackets

Age 22 LHP 6'3" / 230 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.6 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 48 ip · rates below = ROS only

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113122vR 131

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%18.5%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP48

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CTRL—50

CMD4050

K†4550

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	6	31	8	2	2	100%	3.2	25.8%	6.5%	19.4%	6.5%	7.11	5.28	—
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	6	31	8	2	2	100%	3.2	25.8%	6.5%	19.4%	6.5%	7.11	5.63	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	14	12	52	253	43	36	8	86%	3.7	12.6%	16.8%	-4.2%	4.1%	7.44	6.42	-1.1
ROS	22	MLB	ATL	9	9	48	203	38	22	6	100%	5.3	18.5%	10.9%	7.6%	3.0%	4.96	4.96	-0.2
ROS	22	MLB	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.5%	10.9%	7.6%	3.0%	4.96	4.96	—
2026 TOT	22	MLB	ATL	—	—	100	456	81	58	14	—	—	17.7%	12.8%	4.9%	3.1%	6.25	5.72	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ATL	9	9	50	210	42	21	6	100%	5.5	20.1%	10.1%	10.0%	3.0%	4.77	4.69	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	ATL	9	9	51	215	45	20	6	100%	5.7	21.0%	9.5%	11.5%	3.0%	4.62	4.53	+0.0
2029	25	MLB	ATL	9	9	52	218	47	20	6	100%	5.7	21.5%	9.2%	12.3%	2.9%	4.51	4.44	+0.1
2030	26	MLB	ATL	9	9	52	218	47	20	6	100%	5.7	21.8%	9.1%	12.6%	2.9%	4.45	4.41	+0.1
2031	27	MLB	ATL	8	8	51	214	47	20	6	100%	6.3	21.7%	9.2%	12.5%	3.0%	4.45	4.45	+0.1
2032	28	MLB	ATL	8	8	49	208	45	19	6	100%	6.2	21.6%	9.4%	12.3%	3.1%	4.50	4.54	+0.0
2033	29	MLB	ATL	8	8	47	199	43	19	6	100%	5.9	21.4%	9.6%	11.8%	3.2%	4.60	4.67	-0.1
2027	23	MLB	ATL	4	4	24	101	20	10	3	100%	6.0	20.1%	10.1%	10.0%	3.0%	4.77	4.69	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	ATL	6	6	36	152	32	14	4	100%	6.0	21.0%	9.5%	11.5%	3.0%	4.62	4.53	+0.0
2029	25	MLB	ATL	7	7	42	177	38	16	5	100%	6.0	21.5%	9.2%	12.3%	2.9%	4.51	4.44	+0.1
2030	26	MLB	ATL	8	8	45	190	41	17	6	100%	5.6	21.8%	9.1%	12.6%	2.9%	4.45	4.41	+0.1
2031	27	MLB	ATL	8	8	46	194	42	18	6	100%	5.8	21.7%	9.2%	12.5%	3.0%	4.45	4.45	+0.1
2032	28	MLB	ATL	8	8	45	190	41	18	6	100%	5.6	21.6%	9.4%	12.3%	3.1%	4.50	4.54	+0.0
2033	29	MLB	ATL	7	7	44	186	40	18	6	100%	6.3	21.4%	9.6%	11.8%	3.2%	4.60	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			48	48	282	1191	255	112	36	100%	5.9	21.4%	9.4%	12.0%	3.0%	4.54	4.14	+4.2
/ 200 IP	—			34	34	200	844	181	79	26	100%	5.9	21.4%	9.4%	12.0%	3.0%	4.54	4.14	+2.9
Career	—			16	14	58	284	40	44	12	88%	3.6	14.0%	15.7%	-1.6%	4.4%	7.41	6.30	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—			55	48	200	974	137	153	43	88%	3.6	14.0%	15.7%	-1.6%	4.4%	7.41	6.30	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Landon Beidelschies (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	18.5%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.55	20.9%	11.3%	152	-0.41	—	—	—
Rylan Kaufman L 2026 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	19.3%	12.1%	2.4%	.305	4.69	18.9%	4.5%	131	+0.34	4.01	212	87
Christian MacLeod L 2027 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	16.4%	10.5%	2.4%	.312	4.46	21.0%	7.7%	184	+0.10	3.84	249	87
Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.04 FIP	22	SP	4.04	18.8%	10.6%	2.2%	.289	4.64	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.60	4.01	258	85
Matt Mikulski L 2027 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP-	4.80	19.4%	10.0%	3.8%	.360	5.95	16.3%	-2.8%	144	+1.15	4.80	223	84
John Beller L 2026 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP	4.59	19.7%	14.1%	2.5%	.326	4.22	22.2%	7.1%	90	-0.37	4.00	170	84
Cole Ragans L 2027 · 5.15 FIP	23	SP	5.15	20.2%	11.2%	4.2%	.296	3.38	26.8%	17.4%	445	-1.77	2.46	623	82
Justin Sinibaldi L 2027 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	15.9%	11.1%	3.0%	.286	6.01	14.0%	3.4%	72	+1.22	4.79	163	81
Aidan Deakins L 2026 · 5.29 FIP	22	SP	5.29	17.1%	11.1%	4.1%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	119	81
Michel Gelabert L 2026 · 4.58 FIP	22	SP	4.58	18.7%	12.1%	2.8%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	107	81
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2026 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP	4.67	19.6%	14.6%	2.5%	.266	3.89	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.78	2.81	146	81
Dominic Perachi L 2026 · 5.25 FIP	22	SP-	5.25	17.5%	13.9%	3.4%	.324	3.93	17.1%	6.8%	182	-1.32	3.47	273	80
Nate Peterson L 2027 · 4.40 FIP	23	SP-	4.40	18.4%	11.4%	2.6%	.284	4.47	17.1%	5.8%	213	+0.07	3.67	288	80
Russell Smith L 2027 · 5.45 FIP	23	SP	5.45	16.0%	10.4%	4.3%	.272	4.52	21.2%	7.8%	107	-0.93	3.89	175	80
Robby Ahlstrom L 2027 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	20.1%	9.0%	3.5%	.349	4.18	22.0%	8.2%	175	-0.31	3.65	308	79
Adalberto Mejía L 2026 · 3.93 FIP	22	SP-	3.93	14.7%	9.4%	1.6%	.237	3.71	19.3%	11.8%	344	-0.22	3.39	427	79
Hayden Mullins L 2027 · 4.33 FIP	23	SP-	4.33	23.4%	12.4%	3.0%	.288	4.01	25.1%	10.7%	150	-0.32	3.72	239	79
T.J. Sikkema L 2028 · 4.71 FIP	24	SP	4.71	21.9%	9.0%	4.2%	.298	4.64	16.9%	7.4%	231	-0.07	3.39	300	79
Mason Molina L 2026 · 4.28 FIP	22	SP	4.28	22.7%	12.6%	2.7%	.276	3.56	23.3%	13.3%	69	-0.72	3.56	165	79
Alex Troop L 2026 · 4.27 FIP	22	SP-	4.27	15.0%	7.5%	2.7%	.339	4.00	20.8%	16.2%	106	-0.27	2.96	379	79
Erik Rivera L 2027 · 5.95 FIP	23	SP-	5.95	19.0%	14.6%	4.8%	.255	4.86	23.2%	5.8%	87	-1.09	4.69	122	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	Yrs	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	8	50	21.0%	9.6%	1.17	4.60
Jacob Barnes ('24)	7	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Bryan Shaw ('23)	8	64	21.4%	9.4%	1.12	4.19
Shane Greene ('21)	7	56	21.4%	8.5%	1.16	4.67
Buck Farmer ('24)	10	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Drew VerHagen ('23)	6	43	19.7%	9.4%	1.40	4.82
Trevor Cahill ('21)	7	67	21.3%	10.1%	1.29	4.66