Pablo Aldonis
P
Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 24
LHP
6'1" / 160 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 93102vR 111
ERA4.05
FIP4.05
K%23.2%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%14.8%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 6 | 40 | 166 | 49 | 11 | 4 | 67% | 4.4 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 3.86 | 4.25 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 6 | 40 | 166 | 49 | 11 | 4 | 67% | 4.4 | 29.5% | 6.6% | 22.9% | 2.4% | 3.86 | 2.77 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 5 | 5 | 20 | 83 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 18.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.05 | 4.53 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 5 | 5 | 20 | 83 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 25.3% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 1.2% | 4.05 | 3.30 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 1 | 55 | 207 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 3% | 1.8 | 23.2% | 5.9% | 17.3% | 0.0% | 1.64 | 1.89 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 1 | 55 | 207 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 3% | 1.8 | 30.9% | 4.8% | 26.1% | 0.0% | 1.64 | 1.32 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 23 | 0 | 32 | 139 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.1% | 13.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.26 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 4.05 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 58 | 250 | 58 | 25 | 8 | — | — | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 3.2% | 4.17 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.2% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 3.67 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 4.04 | 4.02 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 4.04 | 4.02 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 4.04 | 3.64 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 69 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 4.04 | 3.64 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 68 | 12 | 146 | 595 | 124 | 58 | 12 | 18% | 2.2 | 20.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 3.14 | 3.64 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 16 | 200 | 813 | 170 | 79 | 16 | 18% | 2.2 | 20.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 3.14 | 3.64 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pablo Aldonis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.05 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.02 | 23.6% | 15.2% | 26 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 84 |
| Chris Cotton L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .288 | 4.13 | 9.7% | 3.3% | 61 | +0.47 | 3.66 | 128 | 83 |
| Greg Nappo L 2028 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .267 | 5.45 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +2.05 | 3.40 | 144 | 82 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.54 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .275 | 4.75 | 19.5% | 3.9% | 45 | +1.21 | 3.54 | 146 | 82 |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 82 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 82 |
| Carson Skipper L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.14 | 25.0% | 8.2% | 2.0% | .322 | 4.21 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 77 | +1.07 | 2.87 | 186 | 81 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 81 |
| Josh Dye L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.57 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .298 | 5.40 | 16.7% | 10.2% | 79 | +1.83 | 2.81 | 238 | 81 |
| Trevor Lane L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.39 | 21.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% | .360 | 3.11 | 21.2% | 12.6% | 91 | -0.28 | 2.07 | 246 | 81 |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 80 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .276 | 3.94 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.23 | 2.83 | 271 | 80 |
| Michael Theofanopoulos L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 201 | 80 |
| Darien Núñez L 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 26.4% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .377 | 2.59 | 34.2% | 23.5% | 78 | -0.59 | 2.50 | 122 | 80 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 79 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 79 |
| Kirby Snead L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.03 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.05 | 24.6% | 15.6% | 98 | -0.98 | 2.09 | 365 | 79 |
| Brendon Little L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.69 | 24.7% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .333 | 4.14 | 20.4% | 8.4% | 187 | +0.45 | 2.63 | 478 | 79 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2027 · 3.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.12 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 1.6% | .379 | 4.28 | 18.2% | 7.1% | 80 | +1.16 | 3.12 | 142 | 79 |
| Colton Johnson L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 23.4% | 8.4% | 1.03 | 4.04 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Sam Hentges ('24) | 4 | 52 | 25.4% | 8.4% | 0.78 | 4.18 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |