Brandon Hughes
P
Iowa Cubs
+0.0
WAR
Age 30
LHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AAA
ERA6.04
FIP4.88
xFIP5.14
SIERA4.24
K%22.2%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%12.4%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5555
FB Velo
p2192.4
Whiff%
p7028.5%
K%
p5823.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.451
SI (23%)
SL-3.0 (40%)
FB-7.8 (60%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | South Bend Cubs | 12 | 0 | 16 | 64 | 26 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.76 | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 26 | 0 | 42 | 175 | 60 | 17 | 4 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 1.71 | 3.63 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 67 | 0 | 74 | 297 | 90 | 21 | 11 | 28.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.42 | 4.32 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 28 | 0 | 25 | 122 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 20.4% | 13.5% | 4.4% | 8.03 | 5.51 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 55 | 2 | 66 | 290 | 71 | 28 | 11 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 3.66 | 4.54 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 21 | 0 | 27 | 127 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 6.33 | 5.60 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 34 | — | 34 | 142 | 32 | 14 | 6 | 22.7% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 6.11 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 32 | — | 32 | 137 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 5.44 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 31 | — | 31 | 131 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 21.6% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 5.21 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 5.18 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 210 | 2 | 251 | 1076 | 273 | 106 | 43 | 25.4% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 3.62 | 4.39 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 2 | 200 | 857 | 218 | 84 | 34 | 25.4% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 3.62 | 4.39 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brandon Hughes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.99 | 22.7% | 9.9% | 4.0% | — | 5.10 | 21.6% | 11.6% | 93 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.54 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 4.2% | .268 | 7.97 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.43 | 2.98 | 145 | 79 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.77 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.44 | 3.70 | 181 | 78 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.34 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 3.8% | .202 | 4.17 | 25.3% | 15.6% | 85 | -0.17 | 2.37 | 296 | 77 |
| Brandon Mann L 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 77 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 3.03 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.70 | 2.38 | 306 | 77 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.07 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 190 | 76 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% | .315 | 4.24 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 125 | -0.37 | 4.10 | 424 | 75 |
| Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.81 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.63 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.18 | 4.62 | 249 | 75 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 75 |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.68 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | .321 | 4.72 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 74 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 74 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.33 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .245 | 3.85 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.48 | 3.06 | 244 | 73 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.4% | .304 | 5.45 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +1.05 | 2.65 | 256 | 73 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 72 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.43 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 3.7% | .261 | 3.85 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 26 | -0.58 | 3.19 | 137 | 72 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 155 | 72 |
| Felix Doubront L 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .304 | 3.44 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 126 | -0.60 | 3.44 | 291 | 71 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.83 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.4% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 204 | 71 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2024 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 176 | 70 |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.88 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 1.7% | .234 | 3.60 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 99 | -0.28 | 1.60 | 309 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.