Brandon Hughes — OGILVIE

Brandon Hughes P Iowa Cubs

Age 30 LHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 129

ERA4.93

FIP5.02

K%21.7%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%12.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2192.4

Whiff%

p7028.5%

p5823.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.451

SI (23%)

SL-3.0 (40%)

FB-7.8 (60%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	A MLE	South Bend Cubs	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2018	22	A RAW	South Bend Cubs	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	16	64	26	6	1	0%	1.4	40.6%	9.4%	31.2%	1.6%	2.76	1.71	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	16	64	26	6	1	0%	1.4	40.6%	9.4%	31.2%	1.6%	2.76	1.81	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	42	175	60	17	4	0%	1.6	27.0%	11.1%	15.9%	2.7%	1.71	3.68	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	42	175	60	17	4	0%	1.6	34.3%	9.7%	24.6%	2.3%	1.71	2.70	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	67	0	74	297	90	21	11	0%	1.1	28.5%	7.5%	20.9%	4.8%	2.42	4.28	+0.2
2022	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	67	0	74	297	90	21	11	0%	1.1	30.3%	7.1%	23.2%	3.7%	2.42	3.45	+1.0
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	25	122	26	16	5	0%	0.9	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	4.5%	8.03	5.45	-0.3
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	25	122	26	16	5	0%	0.9	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	4.5%	8.03	5.45	-0.3
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	25	122	26	16	5	0%	0.9	21.3%	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	8.03	5.57	-0.3
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	2	66	290	71	28	11	4%	1.2	21.6%	9.0%	12.5%	3.9%	3.66	4.58	-0.0
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	2	66	290	71	28	11	4%	1.2	21.6%	9.0%	12.5%	3.9%	3.66	4.58	-0.0
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	2	66	290	71	28	11	4%	1.2	24.5%	9.7%	14.8%	3.8%	3.66	4.38	+0.1
2025	29	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	21	0	27	127	29	12	7	0%	1.3	19.0%	8.5%	10.4%	5.4%	6.33	5.53	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	21	0	27	127	29	12	7	0%	1.3	19.0%	8.5%	10.4%	5.4%	6.33	5.53	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	21	0	27	127	29	12	7	0%	1.3	22.8%	9.4%	13.4%	5.5%	6.33	5.66	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			89	2	89	391	106	35	21	2%	1.0	27.1%	9.0%	18.2%	5.4%	4.75	4.97	-0.4
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	CHC	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	21.7%	9.2%	12.5%	4.0%	4.93	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CHC	21	0	22	92	19	9	4	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.6%	11.5%	4.1%	5.05	5.18	-0.2
2027	31	MLB CTX	CHC	8	0	8	34	7	3	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.6%	11.5%	4.0%	4.96	5.09	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		97	2	97	425	113	38	22	2%	1.0	26.6%	9.0%	17.6%	5.3%	4.77	4.88	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		199	4	200	876	233	78	45	2%	1.0	26.6%	9.0%	17.6%	5.3%	4.77	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		210	2	251	1076	269	100	44	1%	1.2	25.0%	9.3%	15.7%	4.1%	3.62	4.39	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		167	2	200	857	214	80	35	1%	1.2	25.0%	9.3%	15.7%	4.1%	3.62	4.39	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brandon Hughes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	21.7%	9.2%	4.0%	—	5.18	21.1%	11.5%	22	+0.16	—	—	—
Antonio Bastardo L 2016 · 4.43 FIP	30	SU	4.43	24.9%	9.8%	4.0%	.268	8.05	15.0%	-1.4%	20	+3.62	3.10	145	85
Ryan Buchter L 2017 · 4.45 FIP	30	SU	4.45	24.3%	9.3%	4.0%	.202	4.19	25.3%	15.6%	85	-0.26	2.37	296	82
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	78
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	77
Fernando Abad L 2016 · 3.77 FIP	30	SU	3.77	20.7%	10.1%	2.1%	.271	2.95	21.8%	17.1%	88	-0.82	2.37	306	77
Dan Jennings L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	30	SU	4.32	19.1%	9.0%	3.1%	.245	3.88	16.6%	8.5%	64	-0.44	3.11	244	76
Jeff Beliveau L 2017 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	25.2%	11.3%	3.6%	.261	3.86	23.3%	8.9%	26	-0.54	3.19	137	75
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	74
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	74
Vidal Nuño L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	30	SU	4.57	20.7%	8.1%	4.0%	.315	4.17	20.6%	15.0%	125	-0.40	4.00	424	73
Sammy Solís L 2019 · 4.05 FIP	30	SU	4.05	26.2%	8.9%	3.7%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	190	73
Luis Avilán L 2019 · 4.51 FIP	30	SU	4.51	21.3%	9.9%	3.5%	.304	5.40	22.2%	12.2%	26	+0.89	2.62	256	71
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	71
Zach Duke L 2015 · 4.21 FIP	32	SU	4.21	25.9%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	2.85	22.9%	14.7%	131	-1.36	2.44	215	71
Felix Doubront L 2017 · 4.12 FIP	29	SU	4.12	23.7%	9.0%	3.4%	.304	3.44	17.6%	12.6%	126	-0.68	3.44	291	71
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	71
Jared Koenig L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	29	SU	4.16	20.7%	9.2%	3.0%	.364	2.92	23.7%	16.1%	146	-1.24	2.79	473	70
Chris Narveson L 2015 · 4.79 FIP	33	SW	4.79	23.6%	8.0%	4.9%	.333	4.59	14.1%	4.5%	193	-0.20	4.59	249	70
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	70
James Pazos L 2021 · 4.41 FIP	30	SU	4.41	26.0%	12.0%	3.6%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.55	261	68