Brandon Hughes
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 30
LHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113122vR 131
ERA4.88
FIP4.98
K%22.3%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2192.4
Whiff%
p7028.5%
K%
p5823.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.451
SI (23%)
SL-3.0 (40%)
FB-7.8 (60%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 16 | 64 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 40.6% | 9.4% | 31.2% | 1.6% | 2.76 | 1.71 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 16 | 64 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 40.6% | 9.4% | 31.2% | 1.6% | 2.76 | 1.81 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 42 | 175 | 60 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 2.5% | 1.71 | 3.62 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 42 | 175 | 60 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 34.3% | 9.7% | 24.6% | 2.3% | 1.71 | 2.70 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 67 | 0 | 74 | 297 | 90 | 21 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.5% | 7.5% | 20.9% | 4.5% | 2.42 | 4.12 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 67 | 0 | 74 | 297 | 90 | 21 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.3% | 7.1% | 23.2% | 3.7% | 2.42 | 3.45 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 25 | 122 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.4% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 8.03 | 5.56 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 25 | 122 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 8.03 | 5.57 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 2 | 66 | 290 | 71 | 28 | 11 | 4% | 1.2 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 3.66 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 2 | 66 | 290 | 71 | 28 | 11 | 4% | 1.2 | 24.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 3.66 | 4.38 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 21 | 0 | 27 | 127 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 6.33 | 5.32 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 21 | 0 | 27 | 127 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.8% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 6.33 | 5.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 22 | 0 | 24 | 99 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 4.88 | 4.98 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 5.01 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 5.04 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 97 | 2 | 97 | 425 | 113 | 38 | 22 | 2% | 1.0 | 26.7% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 5.3% | 4.78 | 4.88 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 199 | 4 | 200 | 876 | 233 | 78 | 45 | 2% | 1.0 | 26.7% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 5.3% | 4.78 | 4.88 | +1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 210 | 2 | 251 | 1076 | 273 | 106 | 41 | 1% | 1.2 | 25.4% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 3.8% | 3.62 | 4.28 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 2 | 200 | 857 | 218 | 84 | 32 | 1% | 1.2 | 25.4% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 3.8% | 3.62 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brandon Hughes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.98 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 3.9% | — | 5.14 | 21.6% | 11.5% | 22 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 85 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.42 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% | .202 | 4.09 | 25.3% | 15.6% | 85 | -0.33 | 2.37 | 296 | 82 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 81 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 77 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 77 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 77 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.55 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 3.9% | .261 | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 26 | -0.79 | 3.10 | 137 | 76 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 75 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 75 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.69 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | .315 | 4.13 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 125 | -0.56 | 4.07 | 424 | 75 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 74 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.16 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 190 | 74 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 73 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .304 | 5.19 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +0.67 | 2.68 | 256 | 72 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.22 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 269 | 72 |
| Zach Duke L 2028 · 4.18 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.18 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .250 | 2.81 | 22.9% | 14.7% | 131 | -1.37 | 2.44 | 215 | 72 |
| Jose Alvarez L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 20.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | .319 | 3.46 | 16.5% | 9.0% | 80 | -0.31 | 2.82 | 375 | 71 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 71 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 71 |
| Felix Doubront L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .304 | 3.39 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 126 | -1.06 | 3.39 | 291 | 71 |