Michael Feliz
P
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Age 33
RHP
6'4" / 250 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 90 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.31
FIP4.34
K%24.0%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.8%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4093.8
Whiff%
p7429.1%
K%
p6224.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.376
SL+1.5
FB-1.3
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 17 | 119 | 483 | 110 | 36 | 9 | 61% | 4.3 | 18.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 3.17 | 3.56 | +2.6 |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 17 | 119 | 483 | 110 | 36 | 9 | 61% | 4.3 | 22.8% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 1.9% | 3.17 | 3.14 | +3.2 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 2 | 73 | 309 | 102 | 29 | 11 | 4% | 1.5 | 35.2% | 8.1% | 27.0% | 3.5% | 5.03 | 3.08 | +1.5 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 2 | 73 | 309 | 102 | 29 | 11 | 4% | 1.5 | 33.0% | 9.4% | 23.6% | 3.6% | 5.03 | 3.45 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 1 | 50 | 224 | 73 | 22 | 8 | 2% | 1.0 | 32.1% | 9.6% | 22.5% | 3.5% | 5.40 | 3.51 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 1 | 50 | 224 | 73 | 22 | 8 | 2% | 1.0 | 32.6% | 9.8% | 22.8% | 3.6% | 5.40 | 3.58 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 58 | 260 | 67 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 5.93 | 3.84 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 58 | 260 | 67 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 3.1% | 5.93 | 3.83 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 68 | 1 | 71 | 304 | 95 | 33 | 12 | 1% | 1.0 | 30.4% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 4.1% | 3.41 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 68 | 1 | 71 | 304 | 95 | 33 | 12 | 1% | 1.0 | 31.2% | 10.9% | 20.4% | 3.9% | 3.41 | 4.01 | +0.7 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.6 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 32.40 | 8.38 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.6 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 32.40 | 12.10 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 1 | 39 | 163 | 46 | 9 | 6 | 3% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 5.4% | 20.6% | 2.8% | 5.59 | 3.13 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 1 | 39 | 163 | 46 | 9 | 6 | 3% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 5.5% | 22.7% | 3.7% | 5.59 | 3.44 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 3 | 53 | 210 | 56 | 21 | 2 | 8% | 1.4 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 0.7% | 2.73 | 2.82 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 3 | 53 | 210 | 56 | 21 | 2 | 8% | 1.4 | 26.7% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 1.0% | 2.73 | 2.66 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 13 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 3.9% | 3.38 | 4.43 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 13 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.8% | 9.3% | 18.5% | 3.7% | 3.38 | 3.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 133 | 0 | 139 | 588 | 141 | 54 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 4.34 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 121 | 0 | 127 | 535 | 124 | 52 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 4.51 | 4.64 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 108 | 0 | 114 | 480 | 106 | 49 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 4.79 | 4.98 | +0.6 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 4.51 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 4.79 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 236 | 1 | 258 | 1131 | 336 | 110 | 44 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.7% | 9.8% | 19.9% | 3.9% | 5.27 | 3.97 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 183 | 1 | 200 | 877 | 260 | 85 | 34 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.7% | 9.8% | 19.9% | 3.9% | 5.27 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 341 | 25 | 478 | 2019 | 534 | 184 | 56 | 7% | 1.4 | 26.5% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 3.54 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 143 | 10 | 200 | 845 | 224 | 77 | 23 | 7% | 1.4 | 26.5% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 3.54 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Feliz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 24.0% | 9.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.80 | 22.6% | 12.7% | 241 | +0.46 | — | — | — |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 72 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 23.0% | 8.0% | 2.5% | .252 | 4.01 | 18.9% | 10.0% | 186 | +0.49 | 2.78 | 326 | 70 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 69 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 69 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 68 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 67 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 66 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 66 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 66 |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.81 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.13 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 76 | +0.32 | 3.10 | 197 | 66 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.95 | 19.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | .277 | 4.37 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 16 | +0.42 | 2.95 | 260 | 65 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 25.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | .290 | 4.17 | 24.9% | 16.5% | 121 | -0.09 | 2.61 | 339 | 65 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 65 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.31 | 28.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | .266 | 4.20 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 126 | -0.11 | 3.65 | 429 | 64 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.43 | 22.8% | 12.6% | 174 | -0.09 | 3.08 | 349 | 64 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 63 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 63 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.32 | 22.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% | .242 | 3.84 | 24.6% | 15.2% | 65 | +0.52 | 3.32 | 132 | 63 |
| Joe Blanton R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.30 | 22.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.78 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 124 | +0.48 | 3.13 | 240 | 63 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.44 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .356 | 4.68 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.24 | 2.73 | 410 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 127 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 1.32 | 4.52 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Triston McKenzie ('24) | 4 | 105 | 26.0% | 9.4% | 1.52 | 3.94 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |