Braden Nett
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.8 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%21.3%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%9.0%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 1.97 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 1.77 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 11 | 40 | 184 | 45 | 37 | 0 | 79% | 2.9 | 17.1% | 24.7% | -7.6% | 0.0% | 4.46 | 4.79 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 11 | 40 | 184 | 45 | 37 | 0 | 79% | 2.9 | 24.5% | 20.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 4.46 | 3.62 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 65 | 286 | 73 | 40 | 4 | 95% | 3.2 | 20.3% | 15.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 3.88 | 4.24 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 65 | 286 | 73 | 40 | 4 | 95% | 3.2 | 25.5% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 1.4% | 3.88 | 3.50 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 24 | 24 | 106 | 468 | 116 | 48 | 8 | 100% | 4.4 | 20.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 1.9% | 3.75 | 3.87 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 24 | 24 | 106 | 468 | 116 | 48 | 8 | 100% | 4.4 | 24.8% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 1.7% | 3.75 | 3.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 8 | 6 | 17 | 84 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 75% | 2.1 | 21.7% | 29.1% | -7.4% | 1.7% | 5.82 | 5.88 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 58 | 34 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.61 | 4.61 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 82 | 358 | 80 | 52 | 9 | — | — | 22.5% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 4.86 | 4.87 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 26 | 109 | 23 | 13 | 3 | — | — | 21.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.58 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 22 | 22 | 127 | 537 | 119 | 60 | 14 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 4.49 | 4.43 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 21 | 21 | 127 | 537 | 121 | 58 | 14 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 4.42 | 4.38 | +1.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 21 | 21 | 125 | 529 | 119 | 57 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +1.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 20 | 20 | 122 | 513 | 114 | 56 | 14 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.49 | +1.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 19 | 116 | 490 | 108 | 54 | 14 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.62 | +1.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 18 | 18 | 109 | 461 | 100 | 53 | 14 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.80 | +0.8 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 17 | 102 | 429 | 91 | 50 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.88 | 5.00 | +0.5 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 16 | 16 | 94 | 397 | 83 | 48 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 5.09 | 5.23 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 82 | 346 | 76 | 39 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 4.40 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 17 | 100 | 422 | 95 | 46 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 4.39 | 4.35 | +1.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 18 | 18 | 106 | 448 | 100 | 48 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +1.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 18 | 18 | 108 | 456 | 102 | 50 | 12 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 4.43 | 4.46 | +1.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 18 | 18 | 105 | 443 | 98 | 49 | 13 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.58 | +1.0 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 17 | 100 | 422 | 92 | 48 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.76 | +0.7 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 16 | 16 | 95 | 401 | 85 | 47 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.96 | +0.4 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 88 | 372 | 77 | 45 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 5.05 | 5.19 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 138 | 138 | 810 | 3422 | 749 | 386 | 97 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.24 | +11.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 95 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 69 | 60 | 231 | 1037 | 207 | 168 | 15 | 87% | 3.3 | 19.9% | 16.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 4.05 | 4.27 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 52 | 200 | 898 | 179 | 146 | 13 | 87% | 3.3 | 19.9% | 16.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 4.05 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Braden Nett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 21.3% | 12.3% | 2.5% | — | 4.41 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 380 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| David Lebron R 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 83 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 82 |
| Zach Fruit R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 1.8% | .258 | 4.83 | 15.4% | -0.2% | 44 | +0.57 | 4.26 | 151 | 82 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 81 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.62 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.26 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.36 | 1.21 | 621 | 81 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 81 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 80 |
| Cole Sands R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.57 | 23.3% | 11.5% | 1.8% | .269 | 3.64 | 25.1% | 17.3% | 216 | +0.07 | 2.28 | 473 | 80 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 80 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 79 |
| J.P. Massey R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.62 | 16.1% | 14.2% | 2.0% | .283 | 5.64 | 15.5% | -1.3% | 46 | +1.02 | 4.62 | 195 | 78 |
| Alex Pham R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.85 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.63 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 79 | -0.22 | 3.48 | 331 | 78 |
| Carson Seymour R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.11 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 2.5% | .292 | 4.64 | 19.9% | 9.2% | 315 | +0.53 | 3.28 | 538 | 78 |
| Patrick Reilly R 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.75 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 119 | 77 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 77 |
| Logan Martin R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.08 | 15.9% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .266 | 5.68 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 29 | +1.60 | 3.93 | 223 | 77 |
| Matt Ball R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.63 | 21.3% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 312 | 77 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2028 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 77 |
| Yoel Tejeda Jr. R 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.66 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 1.5% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 158 | 77 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.64 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 3.9% | .261 | 4.28 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 173 | -0.36 | 3.41 | 368 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 9 | 112 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 1.11 | 4.60 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Aaron Sanchez ('22) | 7 | 93 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 0.98 | 4.32 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| Wade Miley ('23) | 8 | 136 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 1.07 | 4.20 |
| Julio Teheran ('23) | 7 | 147 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.34 | 4.12 |