Braden Nett — OGILVIE

Braden Nett P Midland RockHounds

+0.3 WAR

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.2 · 2028

ERA4.47

FIP4.47

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.3%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%10.2%

IP86

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.2peak

2028

K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	ACL Padres	3	0	3	15	5	2	0	—	—	—	3.00	—	—
2023	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	14	11	40	184	45	37	0	17.1%	24.7%	0.0%	4.46	4.79	+0.1
2024	22	AA	San Antonio Missions	20	19	65	286	73	40	4	20.3%	15.2%	1.5%	3.88	4.13	+0.6
2025	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	24	24	106	468	116	48	8	20.1%	11.3%	2.0%	3.75	3.92	+1.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	OAK	34	—	34	144	31	16	4	21.3%	11.1%	2.5%	4.47	4.47	+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	OAK	18	18	99	416	91	42	11	21.8%	10.2%	2.6%	4.38	4.34	+1.1
2028	26	MLB	OAK	19	19	106	446	98	44	12	22.0%	10.0%	2.6%	4.34	4.31	+1.2
2029	27	MLB	OAK	20	20	109	459	101	45	12	22.0%	9.9%	2.6%	4.33	4.32	+1.2
2030	28	MLB	OAK	20	20	109	461	101	46	12	21.9%	9.9%	2.7%	4.33	4.34	+1.2
2031	29	MLB	OAK	19	19	107	451	98	45	12	21.8%	10.0%	2.7%	4.36	4.39	+1.1
2032	30	MLB	OAK	19	19	104	437	94	44	12	21.6%	10.1%	2.8%	4.41	4.45	+1.0
2033	31	MLB	OAK	18	18	100	422	90	43	12	21.4%	10.2%	2.8%	4.48	4.52	+0.9
2034	32	MLB	OAK	17	17	96	405	85	42	12	21.1%	10.3%	2.9%	4.56	4.61	+0.7
2035	33	MLB	OAK	17	17	92	387	80	41	12	20.8%	10.5%	3.0%	4.65	4.71	+0.5
2036	34	MLB	OAK	16	16	87	367	75	39	11	20.4%	10.7%	3.1%	4.75	4.82	+0.4
2037	35	MLB	OAK	15	15	82	346	69	38	11	20.1%	10.9%	3.2%	4.86	4.94	+0.2
2038	36	MLB	OAK	14	14	77	324	70	34	11	21.6%	10.4%	3.3%	4.83	4.80	+0.3
2039	37	MLB	OAK	13	13	71	300	64	32	10	21.2%	10.7%	3.5%	4.90	4.95	+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			61	54	214	953	189	144	14	19.8%	15.1%	1.4%	3.91	4.12	+2.9
/ 200 IP	—			57	50	200	891	177	135	13	19.8%	15.1%	1.4%	3.91	4.12	+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Braden Nett (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	21.3%	11.1%	2.5%	—	4.32	21.9%	11.9%	313	-0.15	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	3.00	24.2%	12.6%	70	-1.56	2.12	117	93
Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	24	SU	3.48	23.4%	11.9%	1.6%	.316	4.40	23.0%	9.5%	109	+0.92	3.48	142	91
Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.43 FIP	24	SU	4.43	22.4%	10.9%	3.3%	.261	3.88	20.1%	9.3%	114	-0.55	3.82	142	91
Stephen Jones R 2026 · 3.60 FIP	24	SU	3.60	23.8%	11.0%	2.0%	.304	4.61	21.9%	9.2%	142	+1.01	3.60	246	91
Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.86 FIP	24	SU	4.86	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.51	18.6%	4.7%	123	-0.35	4.05	164	91
Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.10 FIP	23	SU	4.10	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.09	4.10	112	91
Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	21.4%	12.4%	2.4%	.296	5.37	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.16	3.60	146	91
Austin Smith R 2025 · 3.85 FIP	23	SU	3.85	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.19	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.34	3.85	100	89
Logan VanWey R 2026 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	23.9%	14.0%	2.8%	.301	4.39	26.1%	10.7%	96	-0.02	3.95	143	89
Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	23.2%	10.7%	2.2%	.239	5.62	20.0%	6.1%	278	+1.91	3.71	325	89
Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.49 FIP	25	SU	3.49	22.4%	10.2%	1.8%	.330	4.95	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.49	140	89
Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.31 FIP	23	SU	4.31	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.11	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.20	4.01	142	88
Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.53	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.08	3.01	214	88
Hunter Stanley R 2026 · 3.87 FIP	24	SU	3.87	18.9%	10.1%	2.0%	.270	5.33	17.4%	7.1%	148	+1.46	3.87	162	87
Nathanael Santiago R 2027 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.56	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.13	2.48	138	87
Brandon Cunniff R 2028 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	24.5%	13.2%	2.8%	.256	4.33	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.08	3.88	180	87
Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.71 FIP	24	SU	4.71	19.5%	14.1%	2.7%	.319	4.82	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.11	4.56	132	87
Reid Schaller R 2026 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	20.2%	13.1%	2.9%	.298	3.90	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.72	3.63	186	87
Sam Carlson R 2026 · 3.59 FIP	24	SU	3.59	23.5%	11.5%	1.9%	.302	3.45	22.4%	10.4%	108	-0.14	3.20	313	87
Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	24	SU	3.72	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.28	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.56	3.72	105	87

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.2	$10M	+$10M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.2	$11M	+$10M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.1	$10M	+$9M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.0	$10M	+$8M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.9	$4M	+$2M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.7	$4M	+$0.1M
Totals		$11M		$49M	+$38M