Eliazar Dishmey

P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.9 · 2030

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP44ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	17	16	68	5.29	3.26	25.2%	9.2%	—	K 17.4% · BB 11.0% · FIP 4.74
2025	20	MIX2 levels	22	20	99	2.90	2.77	26.7%	11.9%	—	K 20.0% · BB 14.0% · FIP 3.69
2026	21	MIX2 levels	23	23	105	2.92	2.52	33.3%	11.2%	—	K 26.5% · BB 12.5% · FIP 3.40
2027PROJ	22	MLBMIA	18	18	90	4.39	4.39	25.9%	13.8%	0.5
2028PROJ50% MLB	23	MLBMIA	12	12	66	4.19	4.11	26.3%	12.3%	0.6
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBMIA	20	20	113	4.06	3.98	26.6%	11.4%	1.1

Next 3 projected WAR 2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$5M2034Arb-2$8M+1

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff56Control45Command39FB velo54

Career WAR1 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 25, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 67%

CompsTrace Bright (age 22) · Cade Smith (age 22) · Brandon Young (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 100

ERA4.39

FIP4.39

K%25.9%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%12.2%

Proj IP90

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$57M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5055

CTRL4045

CMD3040

K†6060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$8M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$8M	+1.2	$6M	+$2M
2035	Arb-3	$9M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$16M		$45M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	10	3	23	102	37	11	1	30%	2.3	24.7%	13.5%	11.2%	1.4%	2.74	3.47	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	10	3	23	102	37	11	1	30%	2.3	36.3%	10.8%	25.5%	1.0%	2.74	1.88	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	7	3	20	91	24	11	3	43%	2.9	17.9%	15.1%	2.8%	4.6%	6.64	6.05	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	7	3	20	91	24	11	3	43%	2.9	26.4%	12.1%	14.3%	3.3%	6.64	4.28	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	16	68	294	74	27	6	94%	4.0	17.4%	11.0%	6.5%	3.1%	5.29	4.74	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	16	68	294	74	27	6	94%	4.0	17.4%	11.0%	6.5%	3.1%	5.29	4.74	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	16	68	294	74	27	6	94%	4.0	25.2%	9.2%	16.0%	2.0%	5.29	3.26	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	20	99	404	108	48	3	91%	4.5	20.0%	14.0%	6.0%	0.9%	2.90	3.69	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	20	99	404	108	48	3	91%	4.5	20.0%	14.0%	6.0%	0.9%	2.90	3.69	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	20	99	404	108	48	3	91%	4.5	26.7%	11.9%	14.9%	0.7%	2.90	2.77	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	105	420	140	47	6	100%	4.6	26.5%	12.5%	14.0%	1.7%	2.92	3.40	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	105	420	140	47	6	100%	4.6	26.5%	12.5%	14.0%	1.7%	2.92	3.40	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	105	420	140	47	6	100%	4.6	33.3%	11.2%	22.1%	1.4%	2.92	2.52	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIA	18	18	90	380	99	52	9	100%	5.0	25.9%	13.8%	12.2%	2.5%	4.39	4.39	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	25	25	132	556	146	68	14	100%	5.3	26.3%	12.3%	14.0%	2.5%	4.26	4.18	+1.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	29	29	161	680	180	77	17	100%	5.6	26.6%	11.4%	15.2%	2.5%	4.13	4.05	+1.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	30	30	175	739	197	80	18	100%	5.8	26.7%	10.9%	15.8%	2.5%	4.04	3.97	+1.9
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	29	29	175	739	198	80	19	100%	6.0	26.8%	10.8%	16.0%	2.5%	4.00	3.96	+2.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIA	29	29	172	728	195	79	19	100%	5.9	26.8%	10.8%	15.9%	2.6%	4.00	4.00	+1.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIA	28	28	167	706	188	78	19	100%	6.0	26.7%	11.0%	15.7%	2.7%	4.05	4.08	+1.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIA	27	27	160	674	178	76	19	100%	5.9	26.4%	11.2%	15.2%	2.8%	4.15	4.21	+1.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIA	25	25	150	634	165	73	19	100%	6.0	26.1%	11.5%	14.5%	3.0%	4.29	4.39	+0.9
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIA	23	23	140	591	152	70	19	100%	6.1	25.7%	11.9%	13.8%	3.2%	4.47	4.59	+0.5
2037	32	MLB MLE	MIA	22	22	130	547	138	67	19	100%	5.9	25.2%	12.3%	13.0%	3.5%	4.68	4.82	+0.1
2038	33	MLB MLE	MIA	20	20	119	502	124	64	19	100%	5.9	24.7%	12.7%	12.0%	3.8%	4.91	5.07	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	12	12	66	279	73	34	7	100%	5.5	26.3%	12.3%	14.0%	2.4%	4.19	4.11	+0.6
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	20	20	113	477	127	54	11	100%	5.7	26.6%	11.4%	15.2%	2.4%	4.06	3.98	+1.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	24	24	142	600	160	65	14	100%	5.9	26.7%	10.9%	15.8%	2.4%	3.97	3.90	+1.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	26	26	153	646	173	70	15	100%	5.9	26.8%	10.8%	16.0%	2.4%	3.93	3.89	+1.7
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIA	26	26	156	659	176	71	16	100%	6.0	26.8%	10.8%	15.9%	2.4%	3.93	3.93	+1.7
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIA	26	26	154	650	173	72	16	100%	5.9	26.7%	11.0%	15.7%	2.5%	3.98	4.01	+1.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIA	25	25	149	629	166	71	17	100%	6.0	26.4%	11.2%	15.2%	2.7%	4.07	4.13	+1.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIA	24	24	141	595	155	69	17	100%	5.9	26.1%	11.5%	14.5%	2.9%	4.21	4.31	+0.8
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIA	22	22	133	562	144	67	17	100%	6.0	25.7%	11.9%	13.8%	3.1%	4.38	4.50	+0.5
2037	32	MLB CTX	MIA	20	20	123	519	131	64	17	100%	6.2	25.2%	12.3%	13.0%	3.3%	4.58	4.72	+0.1
2038	33	MLB CTX	MIA	19	19	113	477	118	61	17	100%	5.9	24.7%	12.7%	12.0%	3.6%	4.81	4.97	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		244	244	1443	6092	1598	697	165	100%	5.9	26.2%	11.4%	14.8%	2.7%	4.17	3.82	+18.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	221	97	23	100%	5.9	26.2%	11.4%	14.8%	2.7%	4.17	3.82	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		79	65	315	1311	285	169	26	82%	4.0	21.7%	12.9%	8.9%	2.0%	3.65	3.98	+12.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	41	200	832	181	107	16	82%	4.0	21.7%	12.9%	8.9%	2.0%	3.65	3.98	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eliazar Dishmey (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.39	25.9%	13.8%	2.5%	—	4.06	26.5%	15.1%	468	-0.33	—	—	—
Trace Bright R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	22	SP-	4.26	26.3%	14.7%	2.8%	.297	4.85	19.4%	6.3%	322	+0.59	4.26	422	94
Cade Smith R 2024 · 3.86 FIP	22	SP	3.86	23.2%	13.3%	1.9%	.273	5.35	18.2%	6.6%	157	+1.49	3.86	243	89
Brandon Young R 2021 · 4.13 FIP	22	SP	4.13	24.5%	12.3%	2.8%	.297	3.48	22.2%	14.6%	150	-0.65	3.03	492	89
Jackson Baumeister R 2024 · 3.32 FIP	22	SP	3.32	25.2%	13.4%	1.2%	.270	5.44	18.9%	6.2%	166	+2.12	3.32	265	88
George Klassen R 2024 · 3.50 FIP	22	SP	3.50	27.0%	13.6%	1.7%	.299	4.01	20.6%	9.1%	221	+0.51	3.50	314	84
CJ Van Eyk R 2021 · 4.79 FIP	22	SP	4.79	21.8%	12.7%	3.5%	.302	4.64	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.15	4.18	457	82
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	82
Rubby De La Rosa R 2011 · 3.75 FIP	22	SP-	3.75	23.6%	11.0%	2.3%	.300	4.27	16.2%	8.8%	113	+0.52	3.75	455	82
Kyle Bradish R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	22	SP-	4.56	20.8%	13.7%	2.7%	.309	3.84	24.1%	14.7%	238	-0.72	2.20	750	82
Brandon Bailey R 2017 · 3.54 FIP	22	SP-	3.54	24.6%	9.9%	2.3%	.290	4.44	21.2%	9.6%	215	+0.90	3.54	306	82
Trevor Martin R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP	4.25	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.19	20.3%	11.0%	243	-0.06	3.94	353	82
Luke Russo R 2024 · 3.74 FIP	23	SP	3.74	21.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.326	5.00	19.6%	8.8%	159	+1.26	3.74	260	82
Tanner Burns R 2021 · 4.34 FIP	22	SP	4.34	22.2%	10.6%	3.2%	.292	5.31	19.4%	6.5%	244	+0.97	4.34	382	82
Patrick Reilly R 2024 · 4.96 FIP	22	SP	4.96	23.2%	13.6%	3.8%	.242	5.00	27.8%	20.2%	40	+0.04	4.96	159	82
Mike Vasil R 2022 · 3.63 FIP	22	SP	3.63	21.9%	10.5%	1.9%	.264	4.53	18.9%	10.0%	359	+0.90	3.63	429	82
Jimmy Endersby R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP-	4.29	20.9%	14.1%	2.1%	.310	5.71	16.3%	4.2%	225	+1.42	2.86	357	81
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	81
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	81
Zach Peek R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	22.8%	10.1%	2.1%	.339	3.51	17.5%	9.8%	45	-0.11	3.51	256	80
Blade Tidwell R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	22	SP	4.84	24.5%	14.7%	3.5%	.284	4.37	20.4%	10.5%	363	-0.47	3.89	479	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	8.9	148	26.2%	11.6%	1.08	4.25
Bob Turley ('51-'63, 17 WAR*)	8.6	156	27.0%*	13.0%*	0.97*	4.22*
Bill Hallahan ('25-'38, 18 WAR*)	8.7	158	26.9%*	12.0%*	0.78*	4.17*
Bobby Witt ('86-'01, 17 WAR*)	12.3	164	22.7%*	11.8%*	1.00*	4.69*
Hideo Nomo ('08)	9.9	180	22.7%	10.7%	1.14	4.24
Rich Harden ('11)	4.6	103	24.2%	10.7%	1.02	3.76
Ubaldo Jiménez ('17)	9.3	170	21.3%	10.5%	0.90	4.34