Juan Cota — OGILVIE

Juan Cota P FCL Twins

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%19.9%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%9.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	10	5	30	117	30	7	0	50%	3.0	17.4%	7.5%	10.0%	0.0%	2.73	2.57	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	10	5	30	117	30	7	0	50%	3.0	17.4%	7.5%	10.0%	0.0%	2.73	2.57	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	10	5	30	117	30	7	0	50%	3.0	25.6%	6.0%	19.7%	0.0%	2.73	1.79	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	7	6	15	70	9	10	0	86%	2.2	8.7%	17.9%	-9.1%	0.0%	7.04	4.62	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	7	6	15	70	9	10	0	86%	2.2	8.7%	17.9%	-9.1%	0.0%	7.04	4.62	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	7	6	15	70	9	10	0	86%	2.2	12.9%	14.3%	-1.4%	0.0%	7.04	3.88	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	9	4	24	107	25	7	4	44%	2.6	15.9%	8.2%	7.7%	5.2%	6.08	5.65	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	9	4	24	107	25	7	4	44%	2.6	15.9%	8.2%	7.7%	5.2%	6.08	5.65	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	9	4	24	107	25	7	4	44%	2.6	23.4%	6.5%	16.8%	3.7%	6.08	4.07	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	MIN	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	19.9%	10.0%	9.9%	3.0%	4.72	4.72	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	4	4	22	95	20	9	3	100%	5.6	21.3%	9.2%	12.1%	3.0%	4.56	4.48	+0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	2	2	11	46	10	4	1	100%	5.5	21.3%	9.2%	12.1%	3.0%	4.56	4.48	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	11	46	10	4	1	100%	5.5	21.3%	9.2%	12.1%	3.0%	4.56	4.10	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	182	73	18	100%	5.1	21.3%	9.2%	12.1%	3.0%	4.56	4.10	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		26	15	69	294	44	30	6	58%	2.6	14.8%	10.2%	4.6%	1.9%	4.85	4.18	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	44	200	856	127	87	16	58%	2.6	14.8%	10.2%	4.6%	1.9%	4.85	4.18	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Cota (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	19.9%	10.0%	3.0%	—	4.48	21.3%	12.1%	22	-0.24	—	—	—
Florencio Serrano R 2021 · 3.84 FIP	21	SP-	3.84	19.3%	8.5%	2.4%	.264	4.80	14.1%	3.4%	117	+0.96	3.84	206	86
Jonathan Petit R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.3%	9.1%	3.2%	.272	5.11	15.6%	2.4%	113	+0.47	2.70	189	84
Wilmer Ortega R 2022 · 4.01 FIP	21	SP-	4.01	18.2%	7.9%	2.6%	.304	5.81	16.1%	1.8%	30	+1.80	3.62	158	83
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	81
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	80
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	80
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	80
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	80
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	80
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	79
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	79
Saul Gonzalez R 2021 · 3.66 FIP	21	SP-	3.66	16.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.320	3.24	19.8%	9.6%	70	-0.42	2.94	110	79
Eiberson Castellano R 2022 · 3.94 FIP	21	SW	3.94	21.8%	10.3%	2.5%	.266	3.93	22.0%	12.3%	189	-0.01	3.67	383	79
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	79
Luis Rosario R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	17.5%	11.8%	2.8%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	206	79
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	78
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	78
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	78
Jose Gonzalez R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	21	SP-	4.11	16.0%	10.4%	1.9%	.318	3.51	21.0%	14.0%	293	-0.60	2.47	369	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	78