Dawil Almonte — OGILVIE

Dawil Almonte P Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 24 RHP 5'9" / 187 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 125

ERA5.71

FIP5.71

K%12.2%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%-1.4%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	13	5	40	160	41	10	2	38%	3.1	17.4%	7.8%	9.6%	1.8%	2.68	3.59	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	13	5	40	160	41	10	2	38%	3.1	25.6%	6.2%	19.4%	1.2%	2.68	2.46	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	44	184	43	15	7	0%	1.5	17.9%	10.7%	7.2%	3.5%	4.09	4.88	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	44	184	43	15	7	0%	1.5	17.9%	10.7%	7.2%	3.5%	4.09	4.88	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	44	184	43	15	7	0%	1.5	23.4%	8.2%	15.2%	3.8%	4.09	4.24	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	58	255	43	26	3	0%	1.8	12.6%	11.9%	0.7%	1.4%	3.55	4.31	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	58	255	43	26	3	0%	1.8	12.6%	11.9%	0.7%	1.4%	3.55	4.31	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	58	255	43	26	3	0%	1.8	16.9%	10.2%	6.7%	1.2%	3.55	3.63	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	HOU	5	0	5	21	3	3	1	0%	1.0	12.2%	13.6%	-1.4%	2.8%	5.71	5.71	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	65	0	68	287	42	37	8	0%	1.0	14.6%	12.8%	1.8%	2.8%	5.47	5.41	-0.6
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	65	0	68	287	46	36	8	0%	1.0	15.9%	12.4%	3.5%	2.8%	5.31	5.26	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	64	0	67	283	46	35	8	0%	1.0	16.3%	12.4%	3.9%	2.9%	5.26	5.25	-0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	HOU	62	0	65	274	45	34	8	0%	1.0	16.3%	12.4%	3.9%	3.0%	5.28	5.31	-0.6
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	28	0	29	122	18	16	3	0%	1.0	14.6%	12.8%	1.8%	2.8%	5.47	5.41	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	43	0	45	190	30	24	5	0%	1.0	15.9%	12.4%	3.5%	2.8%	5.31	5.26	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	50	0	52	220	36	27	6	0%	1.0	16.3%	12.4%	3.9%	2.9%	5.26	5.25	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	HOU	52	0	55	232	38	29	7	0%	1.1	16.3%	12.4%	3.9%	3.0%	5.28	5.31	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	762	121	95	22	0%	1.0	15.9%	12.5%	3.5%	2.9%	5.31	4.92	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	134	105	24	0%	1.1	15.9%	12.5%	3.5%	2.9%	5.31	4.92	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		75	5	143	599	93	63	13	7%	1.9	15.5%	10.5%	5.1%	2.1%	3.47	4.29	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	7	200	840	130	88	18	7%	1.9	15.5%	10.5%	5.1%	2.1%	3.47	4.29	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dawil Almonte (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.71	12.2%	13.6%	2.8%	—	5.31	15.6%	3.1%	203	-0.40	—	—	—
Johendí Jiminian R 2017 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	11.5%	14.0%	3.3%	.300	4.77	13.9%	3.6%	164	-0.93	4.01	419	90
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	90
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	88
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	87
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	86
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	86
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	86
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	85
Parker Markel R 2015 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	13.6%	12.3%	2.1%	.313	3.18	15.9%	6.2%	61	-1.49	3.18	266	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	85
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	84
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	13.2%	13.8%	1.5%	.330	5.30	16.5%	-2.2%	23	+0.76	4.54	132	84
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	83
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	83
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	83
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	83
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	83
Miguel Nunez R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	13.2%	13.7%	2.6%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	154	83
Claudio Custodio R 2015 · 5.31 FIP	24	SU	5.31	11.1%	13.2%	2.7%	.351	3.79	11.5%	4.8%	37	-1.52	3.08	186	82
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	15.1%	12.7%	1.11	5.41
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91