Dawil Almonte
P
Fayetteville Woodpeckers
+0.0
WAR
Age 24
RHP
5'9" / 187 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.2%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%10.0%
IP52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
STUF3030
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†4045
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL HOU Blue | 13 | 5 | 40 | 160 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 2.68 | 3.60 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 29 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 43 | 15 | 7 | 17.9% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 4.09 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 33 | 0 | 58 | 255 | 43 | 26 | 3 | 12.6% | 11.9% | 1.4% | 3.55 | 4.30 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 52 | — | 52 | 219 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 17.8% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 41 | 26 | 6 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.95 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.87 | 4.86 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.84 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.85 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 19.4% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 49 | — | 49 | 205 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 19.2% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 19.0% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 18.7% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 5.07 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 18.4% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 5.16 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 18.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 5.26 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | HOU | 38 | — | 38 | 163 | 29 | 20 | 6 | 17.6% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 5.37 | 5.45 | -0.2 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | HOU | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 17.2% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 5.50 | 5.58 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 75 | 5 | 143 | 599 | 93 | 63 | 13 | 15.5% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 3.47 | 4.30 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 105 | 7 | 200 | 840 | 130 | 88 | 18 | 15.5% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 3.47 | 4.30 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dawil Almonte (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.07 | 17.8% | 12.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.88 | 19.1% | 7.6% | 157 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.58 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.14 | 4.44 | 100 | 92 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.50 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .290 | 4.91 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 162 | +0.41 | 4.50 | 217 | 92 |
| David Griffin R 2027 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.42 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.32 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.90 | 4.42 | 239 | 91 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.69 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 4.63 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.06 | 4.58 | 151 | 91 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.56 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .237 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 56 | +0.44 | 4.56 | 120 | 91 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.75 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 3.0% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 124 | 90 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.10 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .291 | 5.74 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.64 | 4.10 | 105 | 89 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.24 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.8% | .287 | 3.96 | 20.3% | 11.1% | 143 | -0.28 | 3.84 | 206 | 89 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.58 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.9% | .341 | 4.72 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.14 | 4.04 | 404 | 88 |
| Scott Oberg R 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.16 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .273 | 2.95 | 22.8% | 15.6% | 188 | -2.21 | 2.59 | 302 | 88 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.16 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .262 | 4.19 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 66 | +0.03 | 4.16 | 135 | 88 |
| Jack Carey R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.22 | 15.6% | 11.3% | 3.6% | .305 | 3.79 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 55 | -1.43 | 3.79 | 217 | 88 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.73 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 149 | 88 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.15 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.8% | .275 | 3.68 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.47 | 3.13 | 143 | 88 |
| Matthew Gorst R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.65 | 16.2% | 11.3% | 2.7% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 199 | 88 |
| Dylan Burns R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.07 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.87 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.07 | 120 | 88 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.3% | .278 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.05 | 3.49 | 237 | 87 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .338 | 3.89 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.64 | 3.89 | 143 | 87 |
| Jack Sinclair R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.92 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 3.4% | .258 | 4.01 | 20.2% | 8.2% | 121 | -0.91 | 2.86 | 245 | 87 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.46 | 16.5% | 13.0% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.99 | 14.5% | -0.5% | 70 | +0.53 | 4.46 | 213 | 87 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.