Owen Carapellotti

Owen CarapellottiC Stockton Ports

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 215 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 149 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .304 / .414

PA149

HR6

K%30

BB%9

BABIP289

ISO188

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$14M	+$13M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$12M	+$11M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$10M	+$9M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.8	$8M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$53M	+$46M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	OAK	—	90	79	16	2	0	7	11	30	0	1	0	203	300	494	794	291	214	33	12	340	118	+2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.6
YTD	23	A	OAK	—	90	75	20	3	0	8	15	22	0	1	0	267	389	627	1.016	360	267	24	17	435	191	+9	+0	+0	+2	+3	1.4
ROS	23	A	OAK	0%	149	133	30	5	1	6	14	45	1	2	0	226	304	414	718	188	278	30	9	313	98	-0	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
ROS	23	MLB	OAK	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	306	92	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	A	OAK	—	90	80	16	2	0	7	11	30	0	1	0	200	300	487	787	287	209	33	12	340	118	+2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.6
TOT	23	A	OAK	—	239	212	46	7	1	13	25	75	1	3	0	217	303	443	746	226	264	31	10	323	105	+1	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	OAK	42%	244	219	49	8	1	10	22	72	1	3	1	224	298	406	704	183	283	30	9	317	100	+0	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.2
2028	25	MLB	OAK	62%	386	346	79	13	2	16	35	112	2	5	1	228	303	416	719	188	284	29	9	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.9
2029	26	MLB	OAK	71%	478	428	98	16	2	20	44	137	3	6	2	229	305	416	721	187	284	29	9	318	102	+1	+0	+0	+9	+14	2.4
2030	27	MLB	OAK	73%	520	464	106	18	2	21	48	148	3	7	2	228	305	412	716	183	284	28	9	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2031	28	MLB	OAK	75%	520	464	106	18	2	21	48	149	3	7	2	228	305	412	716	183	284	29	9	317	101	+1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2032	29	MLB	OAK	73%	520	463	104	17	2	21	49	150	3	7	2	225	303	406	709	181	283	29	9	316	100	-0	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.3
2033	30	MLB	OAK	73%	520	463	104	17	2	21	49	151	3	7	2	225	303	406	709	181	282	29	9	313	98	-1	+1	-2	+9	+15	2.1
2034	31	MLB	OAK	72%	504	449	99	16	2	20	47	148	3	6	2	220	299	399	697	178	279	29	9	309	94	-3	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.8
2035	32	MLB	OAK	72%	489	437	94	15	2	18	46	146	3	6	2	215	294	382	676	167	275	30	9	303	90	-5	+0	-4	+9	+14	1.4
2036	33	MLB	OAK	78%	473	423	89	14	2	17	44	144	3	6	2	210	289	374	663	163	271	30	9	296	85	-8	+0	-4	+8	+13	1.0
2037	34	MLB	OAK	74%	435	390	80	12	2	15	40	135	2	5	1	205	282	362	644	156	265	31	9	288	78	-11	+1	-5	+8	+12	0.5
2038	35	MLB	OAK	69%	374	335	65	9	1	12	34	119	2	4	1	194	272	334	607	140	258	32	9	278	71	-12	+0	-6	+7	+11	-0.0
2039	36	MLB	OAK	60%	312	280	53	7	1	10	28	102	1	4	1	189	265	329	594	139	252	33	9	267	63	-13	+0	-6	+6	+9	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	OAK	42%	103	92	20	3	0	4	9	30	1	1	0	217	294	380	675	163	280	29	9	309	95	-1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
2028	25	MLB	OAK	62%	239	214	48	8	1	10	22	69	1	3	1	224	300	411	711	187	282	29	9	310	95	-1	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2029	26	MLB	OAK	71%	340	304	69	11	2	14	31	97	2	5	1	227	303	414	717	188	282	29	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.5
2030	27	MLB	OAK	73%	382	341	77	13	2	15	35	109	3	5	1	226	303	408	711	182	282	29	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.7
2031	28	MLB	OAK	75%	388	346	78	13	2	15	36	111	3	5	1	225	304	405	709	179	281	29	9	309	95	-2	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.6
2032	29	MLB	OAK	73%	382	341	77	13	2	15	36	110	2	5	1	226	303	408	711	182	280	29	9	308	94	-3	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.5
2033	30	MLB	OAK	73%	379	338	75	12	2	15	36	110	2	5	1	222	301	402	703	180	279	29	9	305	92	-4	+1	-2	+7	+11	1.3
2034	31	MLB	OAK	72%	365	326	71	12	1	14	34	107	2	5	1	218	296	390	685	172	276	29	9	301	89	-5	+1	-2	+7	+10	1.1
2035	32	MLB	OAK	72%	353	315	67	11	1	13	33	105	2	4	1	213	291	378	669	165	273	30	9	296	85	-6	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.8
2036	33	MLB	OAK	78%	371	332	69	11	1	13	34	113	2	5	1	208	285	364	650	157	269	30	9	289	80	-9	+1	-3	+7	+11	0.6
2037	34	MLB	OAK	74%	322	287	58	9	1	11	30	100	2	4	1	202	282	355	638	153	263	31	9	281	73	-10	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.2
2038	35	MLB	OAK	69%	260	233	45	6	1	8	24	83	1	3	1	193	271	330	602	137	256	32	9	271	66	-10	+0	-4	+5	+7	-0.2
2039	36	MLB	OAK	60%	188	168	32	4	1	6	17	61	1	2	1	190	269	333	602	143	250	32	9	261	58	-9	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4072	3638	786	126	17	153	377	1205	24	52	12	216	294	386	680	170	275	30	9	298	87	-62	+6	-22	+73	+115	11.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	125	20	3	24	60	192	4	8	2	215	293	384	677	169	274	30	9	298	87	-10	+1	-4	+12	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	5924	5294	1156	185	24	228	548	1758	33	75	21	218	296	392	687	173	278	30	9	306	92	-52	+7	-31	+106	+168	20.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	127	20	3	25	60	193	4	8	2	219	296	392	689	174	279	30	9	306	92	-6	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,311	166	55	220	294	394	+61	+40	15.6	13.5
	/162	664	25	8	220	294	394	+9.4	+6.2	2.4	pk7: 11
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Owen Carapellotti (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	217/303/443	226	264	13	3	31%	10%	105	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Massey 2022 · A	24	42→51	53→55	51→50	44	223/278/397	173	250	21	11	21%	6%	86	+0.8	242/291/412	170	288	20	10	23%	5%	96	+1.5	249/295/423	175	291	22	9	22%	5%	99	+1.3
●Pedro Álvarez 2010 · AA	23	47→46	56→60	45	42	240/296/430	190	320	24	4	32%	8%	103	+1.9	233/300/413	180	315	22	3	31%	9%	100	+1.7	238/310/455	217	291	31	4	29%	9%	108	+2.1
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→44	52→55	54→50	48	206/295/372	166	284	19	16	33%	10%	88	+0.9	216/301/395	179	269	22	10	27%	10%	96	+1.5	207/293/388	181	246	23	6	26%	10%	89	+0.7
●Daniel Johnson 2018 · A	23	45→50	51→55	48→55	39	233/275/388	155	283	19	13	26%	4%	83	+0.6	237/283/395	158	306	17	15	28%	5%	88	+0.9	234/288/409	175	280	23	21	25%	6%	91	+0.8
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	44	48→60	51→45	44	220/290/372	152	284	15	6	27%	7%	85	+0.7	225/286/339	114	297	8	7	26%	6%	74	-0.1	224/283/416	193	281	26	5	30%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Ryan Casteel 2014 · A	23	42→48	57→55	48→40	40	228/278/423	195	292	25	4	31%	6%	94	+1.3	231/272/380	149	309	18	5	30%	5%	79	+0.3	194/252/391	198	247	28	0	34%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Keegan McGovern 2019 · A	23	45	53→60	47→30	40	228/283/400	172	314	21	5	34%	6%	89	+1.0	205/277/382	177	324	23	5	42%	7%	83	+0.6	168/253/343	175	273	25	5	46%	7%	61	-0.4
●Yonathan Perlaza 2022 · A	23	45→51	49→60	43→50	42	227/284/374	147	308	18	7	31%	7%	82	+0.5	229/302/413	184	302	20	11	30%	9%	101	+1.8	232/306/413	181	303	19	12	28%	9%	98	+1.5
✕Travis Scott 2008 · A	23	44	50→55	43→40	44	225/284/373	148	289	18	3	28%	7%	82	+0.5	223/277/378	155	288	17	5	28%	7%	81	+0.4	217/270/376	158	275	18	3	27%	6%	76	+0.0
●Austin Allen 2018 · A	24	45→51	50→65	42→40	40	231/277/381	150	286	19	2	27%	5%	82	+0.5	240/284/445	205	287	28	2	27%	5%	102	+1.9	240/279/473	232	266	34	0	25%	4%	104	+1.3
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	54→55	45→40	38	228/271/405	177	288	23	7	30%	5%	85	+0.7	236/291/384	148	336	17	5	33%	6%	89	+0.9	253/338/392	139	338	17	1	28%	9%	109	+1.1
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	46→47	54→55	41→40	49	238/309/421	183	282	21	7	24%	9%	106	+2.2	222/289/377	155	277	18	4	26%	8%	86	+0.8	241/316/409	168	288	21	2	23%	9%	102	+0.7
✕Danny Richar 2006 · A	23	49→59	53→55	51→50	44	250/289/432	182	274	20	8	18%	5%	100	+1.7	250/295/391	141	292	13	11	19%	6%	91	+1.1	248/295/384	137	291	12	12	19%	6%	86	+0.7
●Travis Shaw 2013 · AA	23	43→53	51→60	49→45	46	219/292/386	167	284	18	9	29%	8%	90	+1.0	221/288/372	151	280	17	6	26%	8%	84	+0.6	251/334/473	222	282	28	7	22%	11%	123	+3.2
✕Andrew Young 2018 · A	24	46→47	51→60	50→40	40	231/299/391	160	298	18	7	28%	6%	94	+1.3	227/304/400	173	278	22	5	26%	6%	99	+1.7	218/299/409	191	277	25	3	30%	6%	96	+1.1
●Drew Sutton 2006 · A	23	45→55	49→50	46→50	48	228/303/380	152	288	16	7	26%	9%	92	+1.2	236/297/371	135	287	14	14	22%	8%	88	+0.9	249/323/392	143	313	13	10	23%	9%	101	+1.4
●Ryan Ward 2022 · A	24	45→48	58→60	44→50	40	241/293/438	198	309	27	7	31%	6%	104	+2.0	216/270/395	179	285	24	8	32%	6%	83	+0.6	233/290/443	210	282	29	11	28%	7%	100	+1.4
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	87	+0.8	209/284/358	149	274	16	19	29%	9%	79	+0.3	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
●Adam Rosales 2006 · A	23	47→49	50→55	45	40	236/287/388	152	305	18	6	28%	5%	88	+0.9	227/288/373	146	286	13	8	25%	6%	84	+0.6	237/303/394	157	285	14	8	21%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	43	52→55	44→40	39	226/276/388	162	283	20	4	28%	5%	83	+0.6	205/250/323	118	284	13	3	32%	5%	55	-1.4	218/304/386	168	282	22	0	30%	10%	93	+0.6