Tatem Levins — OGILVIE

Tatem LevinsC Durham Bulls

Age 27 L/R 6'1" / 206 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION233 act + 155 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .285 / .333

PA155

HR4

K%30

BB%9

BABIP269

ISO130

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	22	18	7	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	389	500	389	889		412	5	18	391	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	22	15	7	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	467	636	467	1.103		500	5	32	510	248	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	Modesto Nuts	—	279	257	65	13	1	11	20	73	0	0	0	253	307	440	747	187	309	26	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	Modesto Nuts	—	279	248	71	18	1	9	29	57	0	0	0	286	361	476	837	190	337	20	10	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	293	261	41	7	0	6	22	103	7	1	0	157	241	253	494	96	226	35	8	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	293	251	55	8	0	8	32	70	7	1	0	219	324	347	671	127	267	24	11	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	396	331	71	19	1	8	54	126	8	2	0	215	338	350	689	136	317	32	14	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	396	308	75	20	1	7	77	100	8	2	0	244	407	383	790	140	335	25	19	364	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	TB	—	233	210	42	7	0	8	15	67	2	3	2	200	260	348	608	148	245	29	6	260	57	-11	-0	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
YTD	27	AAA	TB	—	233	201	47	8	0	9	22	56	2	3	2	234	313	408	721	174	271	24	9	313	98	-1	-0	+0	+4	+7	1.0
ROS	27	AAA	TB	10%	155	138	28	6	0	4	14	46	2	1	1	202	285	333	618	130	264	30	9	279	71	-5	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
ROS	27	MLB	TB	10%	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	200	250	267	517	67	267	31	6	269	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	AAA	TB	—	249	225	45	8	0	8	16	72	2	3	2	200	259	342	601	142	248	29	6	261	58	-12	-0	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
TOT	27	AAA	TB	—	388	348	70	13	0	12	29	113	4	4	3	201	270	342	612	141	254	29	7	267	63	-16	-0	+0	+7	+11	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TB	38%	333	296	61	12	1	9	30	98	4	3	1	206	288	345	632	139	268	29	9	282	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2028	29	MLB	TB	49%	352	313	65	13	1	9	32	102	4	3	1	208	289	342	631	134	269	29	9	283	75	-10	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.5
2029	30	MLB	TB	55%	363	323	66	13	1	9	33	105	4	2	1	204	286	334	620	130	269	29	9	282	74	-11	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.4
2030	31	MLB	TB	59%	347	308	63	12	1	9	32	101	4	2	1	205	288	338	625	133	267	29	9	279	72	-11	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.2
2031	32	MLB	TB	61%	324	288	57	11	0	8	29	95	4	2	1	198	280	319	600	122	264	29	9	274	68	-12	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.0
2027	28	MLB	TB	38%	125	111	22	4	0	3	11	37	2	1	0	198	282	315	598	117	271	30	9	273	67	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	29	MLB	TB	49%	171	151	31	6	0	4	16	50	2	1	1	205	290	325	614	119	272	29	9	274	68	-6	-0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2029	30	MLB	TB	55%	200	178	36	7	0	5	18	58	2	1	1	202	283	326	609	124	272	29	9	274	68	-7	-0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2030	31	MLB	TB	59%	205	182	37	7	0	5	19	60	2	1	1	203	286	324	610	121	270	29	9	271	65	-8	-0	-2	+4	+6	-0.0
2031	32	MLB	TB	61%	198	176	36	7	0	5	18	58	2	1	0	205	286	330	615	125	266	29	9	266	61	-9	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	915	813	165	32	0	22	83	268	10	5	3	203	285	323	608	121	271	29	9	271	66	-35	-0	-6	+16	+26	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	118	23	0	16	59	190	7	4	2	204	286	327	613	123	271	29	9	271	66	-25	+0	-4	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2864	2533	524	106	6	73	270	850	37	16	6	207	293	340	632	133	277	30	9	282	74	-83	+1	-10	+51	+81	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	119	24	1	17	61	193	8	4	1	207	291	341	632	134	276	30	9	282	74	-19	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	22	15	7	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	467	636	467	1.103		500	5	32	510	248	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	24	A	Modesto Nuts	—	279	248	71	18	1	9	29	57	0	0	286	361	476	837	190	337	20	10	368	140	+12	+0	—	—	+8	2.1
2024	25	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	293	251	55	8	0	8	32	70	7	1	219	324	347	671	127	267	24	11	306	92	-3	+0	—	—	+8	0.6
2025	26	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	396	308	75	20	1	7	77	100	8	2	244	407	383	790	140	335	25	19	364	136	+16	+0	—	—	+11	2.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	925	23	6	204	284	333	+17	+12	1.2	1.2
	/162	664	17	4	204	284	333	+11.9	+8.6	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tatem Levins (OGILVIE)	27	40	40	45	60	201/270/342	141	254	12	4	29%	7%	63	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Collins 2022 · MLB	27	42→43	48→50	44→40	51	207/302/350	143	292	15	4	32%	12%	85	+0.7	202/287/348	146	299	16	6	35%	10%	78	+0.2	188/274/332	143	282	16	5	37%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Johnny Monell 2013 · AAA	27	42→44	47→50	42→45	43	214/275/353	139	286	14	4	30%	7%	74	-0.1	222/286/353	131	290	13	7	27%	8%	78	+0.2	224/289/345	121	286	13	8	25%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	50	42→40	43	209/294/364	155	295	17	3	34%	8%	85	+0.7	225/296/383	158	313	17	4	32%	7%	91	+1.1	219/289/370	151	311	17	2	33%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Andrew Susac 2017 · MLB	27	41→40	47→50	47→30	43	210/272/345	135	276	15	3	29%	7%	70	-0.3	196/269/337	141	275	17	5	33%	9%	68	-0.5	165/254/305	140	229	19	0	35%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Bryan Anderson 2014 · MLB	27	41→51	44→45	48→30	43	207/265/321	114	273	11	4	28%	7%	60	-1.0	216/273/341	125	293	12	4	29%	7%	69	-0.4	210/267/330	120	289	11	0	30%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Chris Herrmann 2014 · MLB	26	44→48	44→50	44→50	47	219/279/332	112	273	11	5	24%	8%	69	-0.4	223/279/346	123	289	11	8	25%	7%	72	-0.2	217/305/384	166	277	20	8	28%	11%	92	+0.5
✕Grayson Greiner 2020 · MLB	27	42	45	45→30	45	212/276/331	119	282	13	3	29%	8%	68	-0.5	203/266/324	121	314	14	4	37%	7%	63	-0.9	179/245/267	88	331	10	1	45%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→38	50	47→45	50	192/289/343	151	253	19	7	31%	10%	79	+0.3	193/288/320	127	267	14	10	30%	11%	72	-0.2	180/282/293	113	252	12	11	31%	12%	61	-0.6
✕Brian Jeroloman 2011 · AAA	26	44→37	44→45	43→40	51	206/303/321	115	312	11	3	34%	12%	78	+0.2	204/284/272	68	299	5	6	30%	9%	56	-1.3	176/255/236	60	237	6	0	26%	9%	33	-0.9
✕Will Toffey 2021 · AA	26	44	43→45	46→50	50	211/298/330	120	301	10	7	31%	11%	78	+0.2	203/285/335	132	340	13	12	41%	8%	73	-0.1	184/270/318	133	318	14	13	42%	8%	60	-0.5
✕Matt Wallach 2013 · AA	27	44	44→50	48→40	49	219/294/326	108	258	12	6	20%	8%	75	-0.0	201/267/285	84	278	8	6	29%	7%	53	-1.5	164/230/215	51	237	6	0	32%	7%	17	-1.8
✕Isan Díaz 2022 · MLB	26	42	48→55	38→45	48	214/291/356	142	281	16	4	29%	9%	82	+0.5	218/292/403	185	293	25	9	33%	9%	95	+1.4	193/273/381	188	236	29	8	32%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2020 · MLB	27	43→48	47→50	46→45	47	222/284/353	131	259	16	5	22%	7%	78	+0.2	240/304/379	139	298	16	5	24%	8%	92	+1.2	246/308/377	131	314	15	3	25%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Beau Taylor 2017 · AA	27	44→45	40→45	43→30	44	211/278/301	90	303	8	3	31%	8%	61	-1.0	223/299/329	106	319	9	3	30%	9%	77	+0.1	218/307/332	114	311	11	1	30%	11%	80	+0.2
✕Stephen McGee 2018 · AAA	27	43	44→40	45→30	48	211/296/329	119	298	12	4	31%	10%	76	+0.1	205/286/314	109	330	10	6	37%	9%	69	-0.4	128/227/184	56	255	4	0	46%	11%	8	-1.0
✕Greg Cullen 2023 · AAA	26	50→43	44→45	47→40	52	239/325/352	114	313	12	5	26%	10%	95	+1.4	233/322/337	104	325	10	9	28%	10%	90	+1.0	224/335/298	74	329	7	8	30%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Raffy Lopez 2015 · AAA	27	47→50	41→50	43→40	47	230/289/327	97	291	9	3	24%	7%	72	-0.2	218/273/325	107	293	11	5	28%	7%	65	-0.7	209/265/344	135	274	16	3	29%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Reese Havens 2013 · AA	26	42→40	47→45	43→40	44	207/286/340	133	309	15	4	36%	9%	76	+0.0	211/279/322	111	290	11	8	29%	8%	67	-0.5	186/248/248	62	231	4	5	20%	7%	32	-0.5
✕Peter Maris 2021 · AAA	27	42→48	47→50	50	44	215/276/351	136	277	14	9	27%	7%	73	-0.1	233/285/386	153	310	18	9	29%	7%	86	+0.8	237/285/421	183	304	24	5	30%	6%	93	+0.4
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	43→45	45→55	45	199/286/310	111	301	11	8	35%	9%	68	-0.5	224/301/327	103	295	10	18	26%	8%	78	+0.2	228/306/322	93	290	9	25	23%	7%	76	+0.0