Logan Driscoll — OGILVIE

Logan DriscollC Durham Bulls

Age 28 L/R 5'11" / 225 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION169 act + 112 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .278 / .331

PA112

HR2

K%28

BB%6

BABIP287

ISO117

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT41

Whiff%

1016.2%

xwOBA

150.267

POWER37

Barrel%

396.7

Avg EV

1786.6

Bat Spd

3369.5

EYE44

Chase%

2237.1%

SPEED43

Sprint

1025.5

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.3M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$1M	+0.7	$3M	+$1M
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.5M
2029	Arb-4	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	21	19	6	0	0	2	2	3	0	0	0	316	381	632	1.013	316	286	14	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	21	19	6	0	0	2	2	3	0	0	0	316	381	632	1.013	316	286	14	10	437	193	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	225	204	47	13	1	4	14	86	4	2	0	230	293	363	656	132	368	38	6	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	225	198	57	16	1	6	20	62	4	2	0	288	365	470	835	182	383	28	9	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	245	217	40	6	1	5	18	71	6	3	1	184	266	290	556	106	243	29	7	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	245	205	47	8	1	7	30	53	6	3	1	229	344	380	725	151	270	22	12	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	429	395	92	14	1	9	18	135	12	4	2	233	287	342	629	109	325	31	4	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	429	384	101	18	2	12	29	110	12	4	2	263	334	414	748	151	335	26	7	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	331	303	76	21	1	6	21	77	4	1	0	251	308	386	694	135	314	23	6	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	331	295	82	24	1	8	29	67	4	1	0	278	351	447	798	169	332	20	9	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	TB	—	169	152	33	5	2	1	14	48	3	0	0	217	296	296	592	79	311	28	8	264	60	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
YTD	28	AAA	TB	—	169	143	35	6	2	1	23	38	3	0	0	245	361	336	697	91	327	22	14	324	106	+1	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.9
ROS	28	AAA	TB	10%	112	102	22	4	1	2	7	32	2	1	0	214	278	331	609	117	297	28	6	281	73	-3	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.3
ROS	28	MLB	TB	10%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		301	27	9	270	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	AAA	TB	—	180	162	35	5	2	1	15	51	3	0	0	216	294	290	585	74	309	28	8	264	60	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
TOT	28	AAA	TB	—	281	254	55	9	3	3	21	80	5	1	0	216	289	310	599	94	301	28	7	271	65	-11	+0	+1	+5	+8	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	TB	33%	380	345	76	15	2	7	26	107	6	2	1	220	286	336	623	116	296	28	7	283	74	-11	+0	+1	+7	+11	0.8
2028	30	MLB	TB	46%	380	346	77	15	2	8	26	107	5	2	1	223	286	347	633	124	295	28	7	283	75	-11	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.7
2029	31	MLB	TB	54%	354	321	71	14	2	7	25	100	5	1	1	221	288	343	630	121	292	28	7	281	73	-11	-0	-0	+6	+10	0.5
2030	32	MLB	TB	58%	325	295	63	12	1	6	23	92	4	1	0	214	280	322	602	108	288	28	7	276	69	-11	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.3
2027	29	MLB	TB	33%	124	113	25	5	1	2	8	35	2	1	0	221	285	336	621	115	299	28	6	273	67	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	30	MLB	TB	46%	174	157	35	7	1	3	12	49	3	1	0	223	291	338	628	115	298	28	7	273	67	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	31	MLB	TB	54%	190	172	38	7	1	4	13	53	3	1	0	221	287	343	630	122	295	28	7	271	66	-7	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	32	MLB	TB	58%	189	171	37	7	1	3	13	54	3	1	0	216	283	322	605	105	292	29	7	267	62	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	725	658	143	26	4	13	48	200	11	4	0	217	282	328	610	111	289	28	7	267	63	-31	+1	+2	+18	+21	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	129	23	4	12	43	179	10	4	0	219	283	332	615	114	290	28	7	267	63	-28	+1	+2	+16	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	2802	2547	570	114	12	56	180	810	48	17	6	224	287	344	631	120	302	29	6	278	71	-91	+1	+3	+50	+79	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	132	26	3	13	42	188	11	4	1	223	287	343	631	120	301	29	6	278	71	-21	+0	+1	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	21	19	6	0	0	2	2	3	0	0	0	316	381	632	1.013	316	286	14	10	437	193	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	97	87	21	7	0	2	8	25	0	0	0	241	305	391	696	149	306	26	8	305	92	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2021	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	128	111	36	9	1	4	12	37	4	2	0	324	409	532	941	207	451	29	9	412	173	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2022	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	245	205	47	8	1	7	30	53	6	3	1	229	344	380	725	151	270	22	12	326	108	+2	+0	—	—	+7	0.9
2023	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	76	68	18	4	0	2	7	20	1	0	1	265	342	412	754	147	348	26	9	339	118	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	25	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	353	316	83	14	2	10	22	90	11	4	1	263	332	415	747	152	332	25	6	332	112	+5	+0	—	—	+10	1.5
2024	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	37	35	6	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	171	194	257	452	86	172	16	3	197	9	-4	+0	+3	+6	+1	0.6
2024	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	294	260	76	24	1	7	28	61	4	1	0	292	370	473	843	181	356	21	10	372	143	+14	+0	—	—	+8	2.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	37	35	6	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	171	194	257	452	86	172	16	3	197	9	-4	+0	+3	+6	+1	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	702	14	3	220	283	339	+13	+6	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	13	3	220	283	339	+11.9	+5.3	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Driscoll (OGILVIE)	28	41	37	43	44	216/289/310	94	301	3	1	28%	7%	65	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	41	48→45	46→30	43	210/274/348	137	279	17	4	30%	8%	72	-0.2	197/260/308	111	344	12	5	43%	7%	56	-1.3	179/245/267	88	331	10	1	45%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Bryan Holaday 2017 · MLB	29	46	45	43→40	41	229/275/350	121	280	12	5	23%	5%	72	-0.2	229/282/357	128	264	13	3	18%	6%	78	+0.2	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	45	47→30	44	235/285/349	114	286	14	3	23%	6%	76	+0.1	223/276/327	104	271	13	4	22%	6%	66	-0.6	235/302/338	104	290	12	3	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	36→43	49→50	46→40	50	190/284/340	150	262	16	6	32%	11%	75	-0.0	214/291/357	143	326	16	7	36%	10%	82	+0.5	207/287/340	133	326	15	4	38%	10%	73	-0.1
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB	28	43→38	43→45	44→40	43	213/270/326	113	269	11	3	25%	6%	64	-0.8	220/284/316	96	287	6	3	24%	7%	67	-0.5	220/291/305	85	286	5	0	23%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Francisco Arcia 2019 · MLB	29	43	43→40	46→40	40	215/266/319	104	265	11	6	23%	4%	61	-1.0	205/247/294	89	256	9	7	23%	4%	46	-2.0	166/199/201	35	209	2	0	21%	2%	-2	-2.2
✕José Godoy 2023 · MLB	28	45	44→45	47→30	39	223/263/332	109	288	12	4	27%	5%	63	-0.9	215/272/323	108	271	12	8	25%	6%	64	-0.8	227/301/331	104	269	15	8	21%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Chris Herrmann 2016 · MLB	28	44→48	43→50	51→50	44	216/272/330	114	278	9	8	25%	6%	66	-0.6	222/297/375	153	285	17	10	27%	9%	89	+0.9	217/305/384	166	277	20	8	28%	11%	92	+0.5
✕Bruce Maxwell 2019 · MLB	28	48	43→45	46→30	47	230/294/345	115	306	10	3	27%	8%	79	+0.3	237/299/391	154	301	19	4	27%	8%	94	+1.3	248/312/424	175	293	24	0	24%	8%	106	+1.8
✕Bryan Anderson 2014 · MLB	27	41→51	44→45	48→30	43	207/265/321	114	273	11	4	28%	7%	60	-1.0	216/273/341	125	293	12	4	29%	7%	69	-0.4	210/267/330	120	289	11	0	30%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Mitchell Tolman 2022 · AAA	28	45→50	47→45	47→50	42	223/287/360	138	292	14	8	28%	6%	81	+0.4	238/310/381	143	299	14	9	24%	8%	95	+1.4	242/323/385	143	300	14	7	22%	9%	98	+1.1
✕Brett Hayes 2012 · MLB	28	43	48→45	48→40	43	220/269/365	145	274	16	4	26%	6%	74	-0.1	217/256/369	152	290	18	6	31%	5%	70	-0.3	187/219/319	133	241	16	2	30%	3%	36	-1.1
✕Juan Centeno 2018 · MLB	28	52	40→45	43→40	44	250/290/339	89	298	7	4	19%	5%	75	-0.0	232/282/322	90	278	8	5	19%	6%	68	-0.5	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Beau Taylor 2018 · AAA	28	47→45	42→45	42→30	44	224/287/324	101	310	10	3	30%	8%	70	-0.3	218/304/331	113	317	10	4	31%	10%	80	+0.4	206/299/309	103	303	9	1	32%	11%	71	-0.1
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA	28	48	43→45	47→50	43	236/289/345	109	300	11	10	25%	6%	76	+0.1	236/300/346	110	323	12	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	237/305/328	92	327	11	5	29%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Andrew Susac 2017 · MLB	27	41→40	47→50	47→30	43	210/272/345	135	276	15	3	29%	7%	70	-0.3	196/269/337	141	275	17	5	33%	9%	68	-0.5	165/254/305	140	229	19	0	35%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA	29	42	44→45	47→30	43	212/272/328	116	281	12	3	28%	7%	66	-0.6	219/288/371	152	273	16	5	25%	8%	84	+0.6	214/294/383	169	256	18	1	23%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	49→50	48→45	49	233/301/374	141	274	17	6	22%	8%	90	+1.0	239/299/374	135	304	15	6	25%	8%	89	+1.0	230/288/355	125	295	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Danny Mendick 2022 · MLB	28	46→49	43→45	43→50	46	225/285/331	105	277	11	8	23%	7%	72	-0.2	236/295/361	125	290	14	12	23%	7%	84	+0.6	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1