Patrick BaileyC
San Francisco Giants
Age 27
S/R
6'0" / 223 lbs
MLB
BB -3%
Svc 2.791S2 · Ctrl thru 2029
peak 0.9 · 2026
wRC+†vL 2255vR 63
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .281 / .334
PA462
HR9
K%26
BB%7
MLB%100%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
40→40
SPD
40→40
EYE
48↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut 2023
Service 2.791 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2029
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.9 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.8 | $3M | +$0.8M |
| 2029 | Arb-4 | $3M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $8M | $13M | +$5M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | 3 teams | 418 | 380 | 77 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 138 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .203 | .272 | .329 | .601 | .126 | .289 | 33 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -19 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 325 | 284 | 49 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 98 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .173 | .261 | .313 | .574 | .141 | .217 | 30 | 10 | .253 | 52 | -18 | -0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | 3 teams | 473 | 435 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 135 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .239 | .294 | .359 | .653 | .120 | .322 | 29 | 6 | .290 | 80 | -11 | +1 | +26 | +8 | +13 | 3.8 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 448 | 401 | 94 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 100 | 0 | 4 | 0 | .234 | .302 | .344 | .646 | .110 | .284 | 22 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -11 | +1 | +37 | +8 | +13 | 4.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 452 | 409 | 92 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 133 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .225 | .283 | .328 | .610 | .103 | .312 | 29 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -18 | +0 | +35 | +8 | +13 | 3.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 66 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .148 | .212 | .197 | .409 | .049 | .167 | 18 | 8 | .192 | 5 | -7 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SF | 396 | 362 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 100 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .213 | .275 | .320 | .595 | .108 | .269 | 25 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -16 | +0 | +8 | +7 | +11 | 1.0 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | SF | 462 | 423 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 112 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .203 | .266 | .303 | .568 | .099 | .256 | 24 | 7 | .257 | 55 | -23 | +0 | +10 | +8 | +13 | 0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 457 | 418 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 104 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .211 | .273 | .316 | .589 | .105 | .259 | 23 | 7 | .267 | 63 | -19 | +0 | +8 | +8 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SF | 446 | 408 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 103 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .208 | .271 | .314 | .585 | .105 | .258 | 23 | 7 | .265 | 61 | -20 | +0 | +8 | +8 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SF | 435 | 397 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 102 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .212 | .275 | .320 | .595 | .108 | .256 | 23 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -20 | +0 | +7 | +8 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | SF | 407 | 371 | 75 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 97 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .202 | .267 | .299 | .567 | .097 | .255 | 24 | 8 | .258 | 56 | -20 | +0 | +5 | +7 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | SF | 377 | 345 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 92 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .262 | .293 | .555 | .093 | .253 | 24 | 7 | .254 | 52 | -20 | +0 | +4 | +7 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | SF | 338 | 309 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 85 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .197 | .260 | .288 | .548 | .091 | .252 | 25 | 7 | .248 | 48 | -20 | +0 | +3 | +6 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | SF | 287 | 263 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .194 | .256 | .281 | .538 | .087 | .250 | 26 | 7 | .242 | 44 | -18 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5259 | 4782 | 1006 | 190 | 18 | 96 | 398 | 1361 | 25 | 26 | 4 | .210 | .275 | .318 | .592 | .107 | .271 | 26 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -230 | +4 | +141 | +94 | +149 | 16.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 591 | 124 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 168 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .210 | .274 | .316 | .590 | .107 | .269 | 26 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -28 | +1 | +17 | +12 | +18 | 2.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 155 | 135 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 2 | 6 | 0 | .185 | .290 | .296 | .587 | .111 | .256 | 28 | 12 | .274 | 68 | -6 | +1 | — | — | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | 207 | 177 | 57 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .322 | .417 | .531 | .949 | .209 | .403 | 23 | 14 | .416 | 177 | +18 | -0 | — | — | +6 | 2.4 |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | 56 | 48 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .292 | .382 | .417 | .798 | .125 | .419 | 30 | 12 | .355 | 130 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 325 | 267 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 72 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .225 | .349 | .419 | .769 | .195 | .253 | 22 | 15 | .339 | 117 | +6 | -0 | — | — | +9 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 353 | 326 | 76 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 100 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .233 | .286 | .359 | .645 | .126 | .314 | 28 | 6 | .287 | 78 | -9 | +0 | +26 | +8 | +10 | 3.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 60 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .216 | .322 | .353 | .675 | .137 | .257 | 25 | 12 | .305 | 92 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 60 | 54 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .333 | .400 | .481 | .881 | .148 | .410 | 22 | 10 | .393 | 159 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 448 | 401 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 100 | 0 | 4 | 0 | .234 | .302 | .339 | .641 | .105 | .287 | 22 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -11 | +1 | +37 | +8 | +13 | 4.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 452 | 409 | 91 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 133 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .222 | .281 | .325 | .606 | .103 | .308 | 29 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -18 | +0 | +35 | +8 | +13 | 3.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 1253 | 1136 | 261 | 52 | 5 | 21 | 90 | 333 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .230 | .290 | .340 | .630 | .110 | .302 | 27 | 7 | .280 | 73 | -39 | +1 | +98 | +25 | +36 | 12.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Patrick Bailey (OGILVIE) | 27 | 45 | 40 | 40 | 50 | .211/.272/.318 | .107 | .259 | 9 | 4 | 23% | 7% | 63 | -0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Michael Papierski 2023 · MLB |
27 | 41 | 42→40 | 38→40 | 50 | .200/.286/.300 | .100 | .257 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .211/.290/.320 | .109 | .273 | 11 | 4 | 25% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.291/.312 | .106 | .268 | 11 | 1 | 26% | 10% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Tres Barrera 2023 · MLB |
28 | 44→43 | 44→45 | 41→40 | 47 | .218/.287/.330 | .112 | .274 | 12 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.271/.322 | .115 | .261 | 14 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .178/.246/.271 | .094 | .225 | 13 | 2 | 27% | 7% | 37 | -1.1 |
|
✕Cristhian Adames 2018 · MLB |
27 | 47→55 | 42→45 | 43→50 | 46 | .228/.278/.333 | .104 | .274 | 9 | 8 | 20% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .225/.276/.340 | .115 | .272 | 11 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.280/.341 | .112 | .271 | 11 | 5 | 19% | 7% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2020 · MLB |
27 | 41 | 45 | 44→30 | 45 | .208/.272/.325 | .117 | .274 | 13 | 3 | 28% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .200/.264/.316 | .116 | .307 | 13 | 4 | 37% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .177/.244/.263 | .086 | .329 | 9 | 1 | 46% | 8% | 34 | -0.9 |
|
✕Carlos Corporán 2011 · AAA |
27 | 42 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 38 | .209/.257/.328 | .119 | .267 | 12 | 5 | 26% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .219/.272/.339 | .120 | .283 | 12 | 4 | 26% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .233/.289/.364 | .130 | .287 | 17 | 1 | 24% | 5% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 43→40 | 44 | .207/.270/.318 | .111 | .255 | 12 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .215/.284/.339 | .124 | .270 | 15 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .207/.269/.313 | .106 | .237 | 12 | 3 | 18% | 6% | 59 | -0.4 |
|
✕Tony Cruz 2014 · MLB |
27 | 47→37 | 42→45 | 41→40 | 43 | .227/.269/.335 | .108 | .271 | 9 | 4 | 20% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .218/.269/.319 | .101 | .267 | 9 | 4 | 21% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .216/.267/.320 | .104 | .280 | 10 | 1 | 26% | 6% | 60 | -0.4 |
|
✕Cam Gallagher 2020 · MLB |
27 | 47 | 42→45 | 42→30 | 47 | .231/.283/.333 | .102 | .266 | 10 | 4 | 18% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .229/.288/.344 | .115 | .276 | 11 | 5 | 20% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .180/.228/.260 | .080 | .237 | 6 | 0 | 26% | 6% | 27 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jan Vázquez 2018 · AAA |
27 | 47 | 41→40 | 45 | 44 | .225/.296/.323 | .097 | .299 | 8 | 9 | 26% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .220/.296/.330 | .110 | .300 | 11 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .177/.272/.265 | .088 | .252 | 9 | 0 | 31% | 8% | 50 | -0.5 |
|
✕Craig Tatum 2010 · MLB |
27 | 43→46 | 43→45 | 42→30 | 40 | .214/.258/.323 | .109 | .274 | 11 | 3 | 26% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .212/.269/.290 | .078 | .271 | 6 | 5 | 23% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .212/.276/.251 | .039 | .270 | 0 | 4 | 20% | 8% | 44 | -0.6 |
|
✕Xorge Carrillo 2016 · AAA |
27 | 48 | 42→40 | 42→30 | 44 | .236/.293/.335 | .099 | .278 | 10 | 3 | 19% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .224/.277/.320 | .096 | .278 | 10 | 3 | 22% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .231/.284/.323 | .092 | .283 | 10 | 1 | 21% | 5% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Sandy León 2016 · MLB |
27 | 39→49 | 39→45 | 41→30 | 47 | .192/.256/.271 | .079 | .240 | 7 | 3 | 23% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .230/.289/.345 | .115 | .292 | 12 | 3 | 24% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .224/.285/.344 | .121 | .281 | 13 | 1 | 24% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Yariel Gonzalez 2021 · AAA |
27 | 46→53 | 45 | 42→45 | 44 | .229/.269/.344 | .115 | .263 | 13 | 5 | 19% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .218/.267/.348 | .130 | .275 | 17 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .209/.259/.335 | .126 | .262 | 18 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jeff Mathis 2010 · MLB |
27 | 41→46 | 45→50 | 40→45 | 46 | .206/.274/.323 | .116 | .260 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .198/.249/.310 | .112 | .259 | 12 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .213/.264/.317 | .104 | .291 | 8 | 1 | 28% | 6% | 54 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jose Herrera 2023 · MLB |
26 | 45 | 42→40 | 48→40 | 48 | .221/.290/.318 | .097 | .288 | 10 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .212/.284/.296 | .084 | .274 | 7 | 4 | 23% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .195/.277/.267 | .072 | .250 | 6 | 1 | 22% | 10% | 50 | -0.7 |
|
✕Rey Navarro 2017 · MLB |
27 | 47→50 | 42→45 | 41→50 | 44 | .227/.261/.331 | .104 | .258 | 9 | 6 | 17% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .219/.260/.317 | .098 | .256 | 10 | 6 | 18% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .215/.260/.310 | .095 | .246 | 11 | 5 | 17% | 5% | 53 | -1.1 |
|
✕Héctor Sánchez 2016 · MLB |
26 | 43→49 | 45→50 | 43→30 | 42 | .219/.266/.337 | .118 | .267 | 13 | 3 | 24% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .226/.275/.396 | .170 | .273 | 22 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .223/.271/.428 | .205 | .257 | 30 | 0 | 27% | 6% | 88 | +0.3 |
|
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2012 · AAA |
28 | 45→44 | 44→45 | 38→40 | 44 | .221/.275/.338 | .117 | .264 | 11 | 4 | 21% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .210/.255/.320 | .110 | .254 | 10 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .220/.265/.328 | .108 | .255 | 11 | 2 | 18% | 5% | 59 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jeff Kunkel 2011 · AAA |
28 | 44 | 41→40 | 43→30 | 41 | .215/.263/.309 | .094 | .279 | 9 | 4 | 26% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .207/.262/.298 | .091 | .283 | 9 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .142/.200/.176 | .034 | .209 | 4 | 0 | 32% | 3% | -6 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jose Lozada 2013 · AA |
27 | 45 | 42→45 | 42→45 | 42 | .219/.274/.325 | .106 | .280 | 9 | 6 | 24% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .228/.281/.298 | .070 | .303 | 5 | 9 | 25% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .242/.292/.278 | .037 | .324 | 2 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 58 | -0.4 |