Jaxx GroshansC Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 213 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.1 · 2026
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .266 / .319
PA136
HR3
K%31
BB%7
MLB%2%
BAT: -5.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Arb-1$0.8M
2030Arb-2$0.9M
2031Arb-3$0.9M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.2M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $-3M $-6M -$3M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202123 A2 teams 308278 641029 25861 11 .230.296.378.674 .147.294 288 .297 85 -5 -0 +0 +6 +9 0.9
202224 A+Greenville Drive 194176 22424 16701 00 .125.202.239.441 .114.175 368 .200 11 -19 +0 +0 +3 +5 -1.1
202527 AARocket City Trash Pandas 3533 3000 1190 00 .091.118.091.209 .000.200 543 .103 -63 -6 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202628 MLBLAA 136125 26513 9421 31 .208.267.336.603 .128.282 317 .266 61 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202729 MLB 9%LAA 194176 37714 14592 31 .210.276.330.606 .119.283 307 .269 64 -8 +0 -1 +3 +5 -0.0
202830 MLB 19%LAA 254232 47915 18772 41 .203.266.315.581 .112.282 307 .270 65 -10 +0 -2 +5 +7 -0.0
202931 MLB 29%LAA 257234 48915 19782 30 .205.271.316.587 .111.281 307 .269 64 -10 +1 -3 +5 +7 -0.1
203032 MLB 40%LAA 246224 45815 18752 20 .201.266.312.579 .112.280 307 .266 62 -11 +0 -4 +4 +7 -0.2
203133 MLB 54%LAA 220200 39714 16692 10 .195.261.300.561 .105.278 317 .261 58 -11 +0 -4 +4 +6 -0.4
203234 MLB 71%LAA 182165 32613 13592 00 .194.261.297.558 .103.277 327 .254 53 -10 +0 -5 +3 +5 -0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 20261843 363651142 14963415 174 .197.263.313.575 .116.272 317 .261 58 -96 +2 -19 +36 +57 -2.0
/ 162G 650591 11721413 482035 51 .198.264.313.577 .115.274 317 .261 58 -31 +1 -6 +12 +18 -0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202123 A+Greenville Drive 133122 32634 9281 00 .262.318.459.777 .197.308 217 .339 118 +3 +0 +4 0.7
202123 ASalem Red Sox 175141 42705 31350 11 .298.424.454.878 .156.356 2018 .390 156 +11 -0 +5 1.6
202224 A+Greenville Drive 194165 27535 27571 00 .164.285.321.606 .158.212 2914 .278 71 -6 +0 +5 -0.1
202527 AARocket City Trash Pandas 3532 4000 2150 00 .125.176.125.301 .000.222 436 .143 -32 -5 +0 +1 -0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jaxx Groshans (OGILVIE) 28 .203/.266/.319 .116.282 33 31% 7% 61 -0.2
Camden Duzenack
2023 · AAA
28 39→37 49→50 51→50 36 .205/.244/.348 .143.271 1712 31% 4% 59 -1.1 .225/.280/.351 .126.287 1310 26% 6% 75 -0.0 .235/.302/.339.104.29610623%6%79+0.1
Ryan Jorgensen
2007 · AAA
28 38 44→45 48→30 43 .197/.260/.308 .111.260 136 29% 7% 56 -1.3 .211/.260/.328 .117.271 135 26% 6% 60 -1.0 .210/.254/.324.114.26612125%5%54-0.6
Stevie Berman
2023 · AAA
28 39 46→50 48→40 48 .200/.287/.330 .129.255 145 26% 9% 73 -0.1 .215/.296/.335 .120.285 137 27% 9% 79 +0.3 .199/.298/.266.067.2679027%12%60-0.2
Drew Jackson
2021 · AAA
28 39→45 45 49→55 41 .197/.268/.316 .118.283 1317 34% 7% 62 -0.9 .210/.295/.327 .117.326 1225 36% 9% 76 +0.0 .199/.294/.308.110.316123237%10%68-0.2
Brad Cresse
2006 · AAA
28 41 44→50 48→30 43 .204/.269/.324 .120.267 107 27% 7% 64 -0.8 .215/.275/.352 .137.301 156 32% 7% 73 -0.1 .205/.267/.343.138.29119035%7%69-0.2
Zack Short
2023 · MLB
28 37→39 46→50 46→45 50 .191/.285/.319 .128.261 149 31% 11% 70 -0.3 .189/.283/.313 .124.261 1410 31% 11% 68 -0.5 .168/.270/.287.119.22814831%11%54-0.9
Grayson Greiner
2021 · MLB
28 40 46→45 45→30 44 .206/.272/.331 .125.276 154 30% 8% 66 -0.6 .196/.260/.306 .110.334 125 42% 7% 55 -1.4 .177/.244/.263.086.3299146%8%34-0.9
Connor Hoover
2023 · AA
27 34→30 47→50 50 44 .181/.258/.318 .137.259 1513 35% 9% 58 -1.2 .189/.267/.321 .132.273 1612 35% 9% 63 -0.9 .160/.249/.296.136.218191236%9%46-1.0
Gabe Johnson
2008 · AAA
28 38 48→50 45→40 40 .198/.259/.337 .138.279 175 35% 7% 63 -0.8 .207/.265/.317 .110.307 108 34% 7% 59 -1.1 .179/.239/.258.079.2736435%7%31-0.7
Dominic Miroglio
2022 · AA
27 41 44→45 44→40 43 .205/.269/.321 .117.279 115 30% 7% 63 -0.9 .216/.284/.361 .145.260 155 23% 8% 80 +0.4 .203/.270/.374.171.21220216%7%72-0.1
Chris Rabago
2021 · AAA
28 39 41→40 50→55 43 .192/.252/.291 .099.264 914 30% 7% 47 -1.9 .193/.261/.280 .087.291 811 34% 7% 49 -1.8 .161/.236/.224.063.2536836%7%21-1.1
Patrick Brady
2016 · AAA
28 43 47→50 48→45 39 .219/.262/.352 .132.286 1512 29% 5% 67 -0.5 .211/.269/.312 .101.308 711 31% 7% 59 -1.1 .196/.263/.290.094.2954932%8%50-0.9
Alvin Colina
2010 · AAA
28 41 45 45→40 39 .209/.261/.332 .122.276 145 29% 5% 62 -0.9 .215/.263/.342 .127.288 157 30% 5% 66 -0.6 .180/.219/.291.112.24214332%3%31-1.0
Angelo Castellano
2023 · AAA
28 38→42 41→45 47→50 43 .193/.254/.284 .092.249 1012 26% 6% 46 -2.0 .221/.284/.356 .135.267 1614 23% 8% 78 +0.2 .228/.293/.382.154.263201522%8%85+0.3
Jake Means
2023 · AA
27 35→30 47→45 50→45 43 .183/.260/.318 .135.266 159 36% 9% 59 -1.1 .181/.252/.301 .120.260 1410 34% 8% 51 -1.7 .130/.207/.227.097.17215834%8%11-2.0
Joe DeCarlo
2021 · AA
27 40→38 43→50 47→30 40 .197/.265/.308 .111.291 115 34% 7% 58 -1.2 .199/.260/.292 .093.305 96 35% 7% 51 -1.7 .163/.224/.224.061.2498036%7%16-1.3
Andrew Susac
2018 · MLB
28 37→39 48→50 47→30 43 .197/.261/.333 .136.264 163 31% 8% 63 -0.9 .206/.283/.350 .144.290 177 33% 9% 76 +0.1 .198/.293/.339.141.28118034%11%76+0.0
Aaron Sisk
2007 · AA
28 40 50 47→45 43 .211/.269/.364 .152.271 1810 29% 7% 74 -0.1 .223/.279/.372 .149.284 198 28% 7% 80 +0.4 .227/.285/.382.154.27822326%6%84+0.3
David Masters
2021 · AA
28 42→36 46→45 42→40 43 .212/.279/.339 .128.290 143 31% 8% 72 -0.2 .215/.274/.369 .154.312 198 36% 7% 78 +0.2 .170/.231/.347.178.22628639%6%50-0.4
Jason Delay
2022 · AAA
27 38 47→45 48→40 33 .198/.238/.325 .127.287 156 36% 4% 50 -1.7 .216/.269/.301 .085.295 55 27% 6% 56 -1.3 .226/.285/.301.075.2973223%6%61-0.4