Jaxx Groshans — OGILVIE

Jaxx GroshansC Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 213 lbs AA K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .236 / .263

PA12

HR0

K%37

BB%6

ISO82

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	133	122	32	6	3	4	9	28	1	0	0	262	318	459	777	197	308	21	7	339	116	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2021	23	A	Salem Red Sox	—	175	141	42	7	0	5	31	35	0	1	1	298	424	454	878	156	356	20	18	390	150	+10	-0	—	—	+4	1.4
2022	24	A+	Greenville Drive	—	194	165	27	5	3	5	27	57	1	0	0	164	285	321	606	158	212	29	14	278	74	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	27	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	35	32	4	0	0	0	2	15	0	0	0	125	176	125	301		222	43	6	143	-17	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	133	125	25	4	2	3	6	38	1	0	0	200	242	336	578	136	267	29	5	267	67	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2021	23	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	175	152	37	5	0	5	20	49	0	1	1	243	331	375	706	132	308	28	11	312	97	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2022	24	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	194	174	22	4	2	4	18	72	1	0	0	126	212	241	454	115	178	37	9	204	24	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.4
2025	27	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	35	33	3	0	0	0	1	18	0	0	0	91	118	91	209		198	51	3	112	-38	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	308	277	63	10	2	8	26	86	1	1	1	227	296	365	661	137	294	28	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	308	263	74	13	3	9	40	63	1	1	1	281	378	456	835	175	333	20	13	368	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	194	174	22	4	2	4	18	72	1	0	0	126	212	241	454	115	182	37	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	—	194	165	27	5	3	5	27	57	1	0	0	164	285	321	606	158	212	29	14	278	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	35	33	3	0	0	0	1	18	0	0	0	91	118	91	209		188	51	3	112	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	35	32	4	0	0	0	2	15	0	0	0	125	176	125	301		222	43	6	143	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	308	278	63	10	2	8	26	86	1	1	1	227	296	363	659	137	290	28	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	194	173	22	4	2	4	18	72	1	0	0	127	212	243	455	116	178	37	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	35	34	3	0	0	0	1	18	0	0	0	88	118	88	206		198	51	3	112	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	27	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	35	34	3	0	0	0	1	18	0	0	0	88	118	88	206		198	51	3	112	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	LAA	2%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		282	33	8	229	41	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	LAA	23%	194	179	34	5	1	3	12	69	1	2	1	190	245	279	524	89	282	36	6	237	46	-12	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.6
2027	29	MLB CTX	LAA	23%	44	41	8	1	0	1	3	16	0	1	0	195	250	293	543	98	282	36	7	232	46	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	44	41	8	1	0	1	3	16	0	1	0	195	250	293	543	98	292	36	7	232	52	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	606	119	15	0	15	44	236	0	15	0	196	251	295	546	99	293	36	7	232	52	-41	+3	-5	+12	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	743	674	124	19	5	15	58	249	3	3	2	184	252	294	545	110	261	34	8	245	52	-13	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	108	17	4	13	51	218	3	3	2	183	252	292	543	108	260	34	8	245	52	-42	+0	-4	+12	+14	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaxx Groshans (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	182/236/263	81	282	2	2	37%	6%	41	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ali Solis 2016 · AAA	28	33	36→45	45→30	32	168/196/231	63	240	4	4	32%	3%	17	-4.7	191/226/277	86	268	8	5	31%	4%	40	-3.1	194/230/312	118	254	15	2	30%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	38→36	42→45	49→40	36	185/242/292	107	298	10	9	40%	6%	50	-2.3	195/273/300	105	301	9	9	35%	9%	64	-1.3	175/268/272	96	267	7	6	34%	10%	54	-1.5
✕Arden Pabst 2022 · AA	27	33	44→45	44→30	30	179/207/288	109	269	13	4	39%	3%	35	-3.4	188/249/321	133	285	17	6	38%	7%	60	-1.6	107/209/207	100	155	15	0	42%	10%	19	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→38	40	42→50	41	200/256/286	87	277	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	188/252/288	100	262	11	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	153/225/238	85	211	12	11	32%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Chandler Seagle 2023 · AA	27	41	39→40	44→45	38	199/254/282	84	287	6	5	32%	5%	52	-2.2	181/227/257	76	296	6	7	39%	5%	36	-3.4	148/189/203	55	257	3	4	42%	3%	7	-1.6
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	40	42→45	44→45	39	197/254/295	99	296	10	6	35%	7%	55	-1.9	198/255/294	96	327	9	8	39%	7%	55	-1.9	157/217/238	81	251	10	4	40%	6%	26	-0.8
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	29	37→29	44→45	44→30	33	191/228/304	113	280	12	4	36%	4%	47	-2.5	174/211/260	86	292	8	4	42%	4%	30	-3.8	140/173/207	67	257	7	1	47%	3%	2	-2.1
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Drew Longley 2017 · AA	28	35	44→40	46→40	33	173/229/281	108	305	12	4	45%	6%	42	-2.9	186/243/289	103	327	8	5	43%	6%	49	-2.4	150/205/241	91	278	4	0	45%	6%	22	-1.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Pat Cantwell 2018 · AAA	28	41	37→30	45→40	38	199/254/266	67	281	5	9	30%	5%	49	-2.4	227/300/335	108	316	10	10	29%	7%	82	-0.0	253/339/383	130	321	13	6	24%	8%	105	+0.4
✕Joe Hudson 2019 · AAA	28	41	40→45	47→40	44	201/259/295	94	267	7	3	27%	7%	57	-1.8	196/251/311	115	284	13	4	34%	7%	57	-1.8	175/280/306	130	256	18	8	36%	11%	67	-0.3
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	42	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	223/280/308	85	291	5	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	217/273/283	67	280	2	2	22%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Jason Martinson 2017 · AAA	28	37→41	43→45	52→50	34	183/238/288	105	294	10	12	40%	6%	47	-2.5	189/248/303	114	319	12	8	42%	6%	55	-1.9	146/206/240	94	258	13	0	46%	6%	22	-1.5
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	40	41→40	49→55	44	196/256/294	98	264	8	14	28%	7%	55	-1.9	194/262/280	86	289	7	11	33%	7%	55	-2.0	164/237/224	60	253	5	8	35%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	43	40→30	48→45	39	209/261/299	90	290	7	9	30%	5%	58	-1.7	221/293/296	75	282	5	8	22%	7%	70	-0.8	211/292/243	32	271	0	2	20%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→45	48→55	41	179/243/283	104	257	11	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	188/252/274	86	270	7	15	31%	7%	50	-2.3	156/222/216	60	225	4	19	31%	6%	24	-2.1
✕Dane Sardinha 2007 · AAA	28	36→32	40	47→30	38	184/230/266	82	246	9	4	29%	5%	39	-3.1	177/219/270	93	241	10	4	30%	4%	36	-3.4	153/213/233	79	221	9	0	34%	6%	23	-1.4
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→32	46→45	51→45	43	183/260/311	127	264	14	9	35%	8%	62	-1.4	186/255/300	114	261	13	10	32%	8%	57	-1.8	133/209/225	92	172	14	8	32%	7%	22	-1.9