Harrison Kreiling

P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 25 RHP A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	24	MIX3 levels	9	9	25	4.68	3.70	29.4%	11.8%	—	K 17.6% · BB 22.5% · FIP 6.72
2027PROJ	25	MLBBAL	10	10	60	5.51	5.51	21.6%	17.3%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBBAL	5	5	31	5.37	5.35	22.2%	16.4%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBBAL	7	7	44	5.30	5.31	22.3%	16.0%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Command50FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 89%

CompsLuis Quiñones (age 25) · Jackson Fristoe (age 23) · Levi Wells (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.51

FIP5.51

K%21.6%

BB%17.3%

K-BB%4.3%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4555

CMD3550

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	9	25	102	30	12	3	100%	2.8	17.6%	22.5%	-4.9%	4.1%	4.68	6.72	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	9	25	102	30	12	3	100%	2.8	17.6%	22.5%	-4.9%	4.1%	4.68	6.72	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	9	9	25	102	30	12	3	100%	2.8	29.4%	11.8%	17.6%	2.9%	4.68	3.70	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	BAL	10	10	60	253	55	44	8	100%	6.0	21.6%	17.3%	4.3%	3.0%	5.51	5.51	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	BAL	12	12	72	302	67	50	9	100%	6.0	22.2%	16.4%	5.8%	3.0%	5.37	5.35	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	BAL	12	12	70	297	66	47	9	100%	5.9	22.3%	16.0%	6.4%	3.1%	5.30	5.31	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	BAL	11	11	68	288	64	45	9	100%	6.2	22.2%	15.8%	6.5%	3.2%	5.31	5.34	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	BAL	11	11	65	275	61	44	9	100%	5.9	22.0%	15.8%	6.2%	3.3%	5.38	5.45	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	BAL	10	10	61	259	56	42	9	100%	6.1	21.7%	16.1%	5.6%	3.5%	5.53	5.63	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	BAL	5	5	31	131	29	22	4	100%	6.2	22.2%	16.4%	5.8%	3.0%	5.37	5.35	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	BAL	7	7	44	186	41	30	6	100%	6.3	22.3%	16.0%	6.4%	3.1%	5.30	5.31	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	BAL	8	8	51	215	48	34	7	100%	6.4	22.2%	15.8%	6.5%	3.2%	5.31	5.34	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	BAL	9	9	53	224	49	35	7	100%	5.9	22.0%	15.8%	6.2%	3.3%	5.38	5.45	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	BAL	9	9	53	224	49	36	8	100%	5.9	21.7%	16.1%	5.6%	3.5%	5.53	5.63	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		39	39	232	978	216	156	32	100%	5.9	22.1%	16.0%	6.1%	3.3%	5.38	5.05	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	187	135	28	100%	6.0	22.1%	16.0%	6.1%	3.3%	5.38	5.05	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		9	9	25	102	18	23	4	100%	2.8	17.6%	22.5%	-4.9%	4.1%	4.68	6.72	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	72	200	816	144	183	34	100%	2.8	17.6%	22.5%	-4.9%	4.1%	4.68	6.72	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Harrison Kreiling (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.51	21.6%	17.3%	3.0%	—	5.33	22.3%	6.2%	210	-0.18	—	—	—
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.80	22.4%	10.8%	160	+0.03	3.69	326	79
Jackson Fristoe R 2024 · 4.81 FIP	23	SP	4.81	18.8%	19.6%	1.5%	.266	6.79	13.5%	-4.0%	74	+1.98	4.81	139	76
Levi Wells R 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	20.0%	12.1%	2.6%	.360	3.82	19.0%	10.2%	132	-0.53	3.70	192	75
Alonzo Tredwell R 2024 · 4.43 FIP	22	SP-	4.43	19.3%	17.4%	1.4%	.336	4.19	22.0%	9.9%	100	-0.24	4.19	166	74
Cole Henry R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	25	SP	5.88	17.3%	16.2%	4.0%	.243	4.69	20.6%	10.7%	87	-1.19	2.96	186	74
Riley Thompson R 2022 · 5.32 FIP	26	SP	5.32	21.7%	14.7%	4.0%	.289	5.03	18.0%	7.4%	189	-0.29	4.48	340	74
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	73
Alex McFarlane R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP	4.91	21.9%	19.2%	2.2%	.344	3.91	21.3%	8.0%	128	-1.00	3.47	179	71
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	69
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	69
Noah Hall R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	23	SP	5.65	15.1%	17.0%	3.1%	.450	4.88	18.6%	3.6%	236	-0.77	4.27	248	69
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	68
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	68
Leonardo Pestana R 2023 · 5.67 FIP	25	SP	5.67	21.5%	13.1%	5.0%	.324	5.30	22.3%	8.6%	66	-0.37	3.61	155	67
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.04	22.9%	13.8%	138	-1.17	3.38	292	66
Ryan Costeiu R 2024 · 4.35 FIP	23	SP	4.35	20.5%	13.6%	2.3%	.208	4.91	18.4%	7.9%	241	+0.56	4.34	397	66
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	66
Landon Knack R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP	4.38	23.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.335	4.41	21.2%	12.3%	382	+0.03	3.64	556	65
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	65
Trace Bright R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	23	SP	4.53	19.9%	13.5%	2.5%	.314	5.03	19.2%	6.3%	210	+0.50	4.26	422	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	66	22.0%	16.2%	1.24	5.39
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*