Brendan Jones

LF Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 25 L/L 5'9" / 180 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2418ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+/ANYY104.267/.471/.45331896—.220/.346/.381
202523AA/A+NYY549.245/.363/.395115173—.206/.291/.324
202624AAA/AAMIA447.231/.340/.423144869—.190/.270/.338
2027PROJMLE25MLBMIA4.198/.281/.3280079-0.0
2028PROJ39% MLB26MLBMIA98.200/.283/.3312680-0.0
2029PROJ53% MLB27MLBMIA148.201/.284/.33131080-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed83
BB%79
Chase%76
K%23
Max EV16
Whiff%12
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%
CompsMike Antico (age 25) · Cooper Bowman (age 24) · David Hamilton (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .281 / .328
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%10
BABIP270
ISO139
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202422 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 6347 11202 16130 130 234429404833 170281 2125 385 73 — — — — — —
202422 ATampa Tarpons — 4128 9301 1380 50 3215375361.072 214421 2032 476 132 — — — — — —
202523 AASomerset Patriots — 340284 711467 52711 285 250368415783 165306 2115 350 85 — — — — — —
202523 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 209174 41624 30382 234 236354362716 126274 1814 325 53 — — — — — —
202624 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 9582 18402 13270 121 220326341668 122302 2814 308 51 — — — — — —
202624 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 352299 7013712 46814 368 234344445789 211279 2313 348 74 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202422 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 6354 10202 9180 130 185302333635 148232 2914 276 73 — — — — — —
202422 A MLETampa Tarpons — 4133 9301 8110 50 273415455869 182358 2720 364 132 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 340299 651255 37891 285 217306341647 124288 2611 294 85 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 209186 35424 18512 234 188267296563 108223 249 247 53 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 9586 15301 9320 121 174253244497 70275 349 243 51 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 352314 6111610 31994 368 194275363638 169242 289 277 74 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE2 teams — 10487 18403 17290 180 207337356693 149273 2816 311 96 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAW2 teams — 10475 20503 29210 180 267471453924 187333 2028 421 96 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 549485 1011779 551403 519 208293328621 120269 2610 276 73 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAW2 teams — 549458 11220811 821093 519 245363395758 151294 2015 341 73 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLE2 teams — 447400 7715611 401314 489 193273343615 150254 299 270 69 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAW2 teams — 447381 8817714 591084 489 231340423763 192284 2413 339 69 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE2 teams — 10486 18403 17290 180 209337360697 151282 2816 311 96 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 549486 1011779 551403 519 208293327620 119263 2610 276 73 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLE2 teams — 447400 7715611 401314 489 193273343615 150249 299 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLE2 teams — 10486 18403 17290 180 209337360697 151282 2816 311 96 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 549486 1011779 551403 519 208293327620 119263 2610 276 73 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLE2 teams — 447400 7715611 401314 489 193273343615 150249 299 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEMIA 2% 380338 691348 361143 255 206288344632 138280 309 284 79 -10 +3 +1 -4 +8 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXMIA 2% 44 0000 010 00 198281328609 129270 250 275 79 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEMIA 39% 254226 48936 24752 173 208290347636 139280 309 286 80 -6 +2 +1 -3 +6 -0.0
202927 MLB MLEMIA 53% 281250 521036 27832 183 209290347638 139281 3010 287 80 -7 +2 +1 -3 +6 -0.0
203028 MLB MLEMIA 60% 297265 561137 28872 173 209290346636 137280 299 286 80 -7 +2 +0 -3 +6 -0.2
203129 MLB MLEMIA 62% 296264 541036 28862 153 208289343632 135280 299 285 79 -7 +2 -1 -3 +6 -0.3
203230 MLB MLEMIA 63% 294263 541036 27862 133 208287340626 132279 299 282 77 -8 +1 -1 -3 +6 -0.5
202826 MLB CTXMIA 39% 9888 17312 9291 61 200283331614 130271 309 277 80 -2 +1 +0 -1 +2 -0.0
202927 MLB CTXMIA 53% 148132 26513 14441 102 201284331615 130271 309 278 80 -3 +1 +0 -2 +3 -0.0
203028 MLB CTXMIA 60% 178158 33624 17521 102 201283330613 129271 2910 277 80 -4 +1 +0 -2 +4 -0.1
203129 MLB CTXMIA 62% 183163 33624 17531 102 201282328610 127270 299 276 79 -5 +1 -0 -2 +4 -0.2
203230 MLB CTXMIA 63% 185165 34624 17541 82 200280324604 124269 299 274 77 -5 +1 -1 -2 +4 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 792706 14326817 742325 449 203283334617 132273 299 276 77 -20 +5 -0 -8 +17 -0.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 11821714 611904 367 204284337621 133275 299 276 77 -16 +4 -0 -7 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 27322427 498933059 26678018 21136 205288341630 136274 2910 282 77 -41 +12 +1 -17 +35 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 11822714 631864 509 205287340627 135274 2910 282 77 -16 +5 +0 -7 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 352 PAwOBA .340 → .277 (−63)K% 23.0% → 28.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.01%÷1.000×1.220——28.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.78%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0128.80%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.840—×1.0120.97%
Singles /BIP17.43%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×1.01215.42%
Doubles /BIP5.96%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×1.0125.22%
Triples /BIP3.21%÷1.000×0.880×0.950×1.0122.72%
Home runs /BIP5.50%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0124.46%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .340 → .277; ISO .211 → .176; BABIP .279 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 95 PAwOBA .300 → .243 (−58)K% 28.4% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.42%÷1.000×1.200——34.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.68%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0489.90%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0480.00%
Singles /BIP21.82%÷1.000×0.930×0.969×1.04820.61%
Doubles /BIP7.27%÷1.000×0.830×0.969×1.0486.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.969×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP3.64%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0482.67%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .300 → .243; ISO .122 → .092; BABIP .302 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AASomerset Patriots · 340 PAwOBA .343 → .294 (−49)K% 20.9% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.88%÷0.970×1.220——26.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.71%÷0.977×0.700—×1.02710.82%
HBP% /PA0.29%—×0.850—×1.0270.26%
Singles /BIP20.66%÷0.969×0.970×0.950×1.02720.17%
Doubles /BIP6.57%÷0.953×0.860×0.950×1.0275.79%
Triples /BIP2.82%÷1.056×0.950×0.950×1.0272.47%
Home runs /BIP3.29%÷1.030×0.780—×1.0272.56%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 111, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .343 → .294; ISO .165 → .138; BABIP .306 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 209 PAwOBA .322 → .247 (−74)K% 18.2% → 24.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.18%÷0.985×1.310——24.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.35%÷0.984×0.600—×0.9988.73%
HBP% /PA0.96%—×0.770—×0.9980.74%
Singles /BIP21.32%÷0.991×0.870×0.950×0.99817.75%
Doubles /BIP4.41%÷1.014×0.780×0.950×0.9983.22%
Triples /BIP1.47%÷0.975×0.850×0.950×0.9981.22%
Home runs /BIP2.94%÷0.969×0.880—×0.9982.67%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .322 → .247; ISO .126 → .109; BABIP .274 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 63 PAwOBA .376 → .276 (−101)K% 20.6% → 28.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.63%÷0.946×1.310——28.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.40%÷1.099×0.600—×1.01214.03%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP20.59%÷1.025×0.870—×1.01217.68%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.070×0.780—×1.0124.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP5.88%÷1.032×0.880—×1.0125.08%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 105, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 89, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .376 → .276; ISO .170 → .151; BABIP .281 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ATampa Tarpons · 41 PAwOBA .466 → .364 (−102)K% 19.5% → 27.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.51%÷0.959×1.360——27.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA31.71%÷1.061×0.690——20.62%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.035×0.920——22.22%
Doubles /BIP15.00%÷1.028×0.830——12.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.971×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷0.979×0.800——4.09%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 94, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .466 → .364; ISO .214 → .185; BABIP .421 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).