Brendan Jones — OGILVIE

Brendan JonesLF Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 24 L/L 5'9" / 180 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION431 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP254

ISO133

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	63	47	11	2	0	2	16	13	0	13	0	234	429	404	833	170	281	21	25	385	146	+3	+3	—	—	+1	0.8
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	41	28	9	3	0	1	13	8	0	5	0	321	537	536	1.072	214	421	20	32	476	208	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	340	284	71	14	6	7	52	71	1	28	5	250	368	415	783	165	306	21	15	350	123	+9	+4	—	—	+7	2.1
2025	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	209	174	41	6	2	4	30	38	2	23	4	236	354	362	716	126	274	18	14	325	106	+1	+3	—	—	+5	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	63	53	10	2	0	2	10	18	0	13	0	189	317	340	657	151	241	29	16	279	75	-2	+3	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	41	32	8	3	0	1	9	12	0	5	0	250	415	438	852	188	379	29	22	379	143	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	340	301	63	12	5	5	35	89	1	28	5	209	294	332	626	123	274	26	10	283	78	-9	+4	—	—	+7	0.2
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	209	184	36	5	2	3	20	52	2	23	4	196	282	293	575	98	236	25	10	256	59	-10	+3	—	—	+5	-0.3
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	104	85	18	4	0	3	19	30	0	18	0	212	356	365	720	153	288	29	18	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	104	75	20	5	0	3	29	21	0	18	0	267	471	453	924	187	333	20	28	421	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	549	485	99	17	7	9	55	141	3	51	9	204	289	324	613	120	264	26	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	549	458	112	20	8	11	82	109	3	51	9	245	363	395	758	151	294	20	15	341	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	104	84	18	4	0	3	19	30	0	18	0	214	356	369	725	155	295	29	18	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	549	486	99	17	7	9	55	141	3	51	9	204	289	323	612	119	260	26	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	104	84	18	4	0	3	19	30	0	18	0	214	356	369	725	155	295	29	18	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	549	486	99	17	7	9	55	141	3	51	9	204	289	323	612	119	260	26	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	MIA	—	431	386	72	13	6	11	38	125	4	44	9	187	266	337	603	150	242	29	9	264	65	-18	+5	+0	-5	+9	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	MIA	—	352	299	70	13	7	12	46	81	4	36	8	234	344	445	789	211	279	23	13	348	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA RAW	MIA	—	79	69	14	3	0	2	10	22	0	8	1	203	304	333	637	130	267	28	13	293	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	MIA	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		261	22	11	282	77	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	MIA	—	440	394	73	13	6	11	39	127	4	45	9	185	265	332	598	147	240	29	9	264	65	-18	+5	+0	-5	+10	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	43%	370	329	68	13	4	9	35	99	3	26	5	207	289	353	641	146	264	27	9	289	82	-8	+3	+1	-4	+8	0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	62%	407	362	76	14	5	10	39	107	3	29	6	210	292	359	651	149	267	26	10	293	85	-7	+3	+1	-4	+9	0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIA	69%	420	374	80	15	5	11	40	110	3	30	6	214	295	369	664	155	268	26	10	295	86	-7	+4	+2	-4	+9	0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIA	72%	425	378	81	15	5	11	41	112	3	29	5	214	296	368	664	153	268	26	10	295	86	-7	+4	+1	-5	+9	0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIA	72%	420	373	79	15	4	11	41	111	3	26	5	212	295	362	657	150	268	26	10	293	85	-8	+3	+0	-4	+9	0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIA	72%	414	368	76	14	4	10	40	111	3	23	4	207	290	348	637	141	267	27	10	291	83	-8	+3	-1	-4	+9	-0.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	MIA	72%	401	356	73	13	4	10	39	108	3	20	4	205	289	348	637	143	264	27	10	287	80	-9	+2	-1	-4	+9	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIA	43%	160	143	29	5	2	4	15	43	1	11	2	203	283	350	633	147	257	27	9	276	82	-3	+1	+1	-2	+3	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	62%	254	226	46	8	3	6	24	67	2	18	3	204	286	345	631	142	259	26	9	280	85	-5	+2	+1	-3	+6	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIA	69%	289	257	52	9	3	7	28	76	2	21	4	202	286	342	628	140	260	26	10	282	86	-5	+3	+1	-3	+6	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIA	72%	307	272	55	10	3	7	30	81	2	21	4	202	286	338	624	136	261	26	10	281	86	-5	+3	+1	-3	+7	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIA	72%	303	269	55	10	3	7	29	80	2	19	4	204	287	342	629	138	260	26	10	280	85	-6	+2	+0	-3	+7	0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIA	72%	298	265	53	9	3	7	29	80	2	17	3	200	284	336	620	136	259	27	10	278	83	-6	+2	-0	-3	+6	-0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	MIA	72%	288	256	52	9	3	7	28	78	2	14	3	203	287	344	630	141	257	27	10	274	80	-7	+2	-1	-3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1899	1688	342	60	20	45	183	505	13	121	23	203	286	342	627	139	259	27	10	279	82	-37	+15	+2	-20	+41	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	117	21	7	15	63	173	4	41	8	202	285	341	626	138	260	27	10	279	82	-13	+5	+1	-7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3519	3118	651	120	38	84	350	931	24	253	44	209	294	352	646	144	267	26	10	290	82	-56	+23	+3	-31	+62	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	121	22	7	16	65	172	4	47	8	210	295	356	650	146	268	26	10	290	82	-13	+5	+1	-7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#4Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	3.3	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.1
/162	664	19	24	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.9	1,906	48	121	211	291	360	+7	+15	3.7	3.7
/162	664	17	42	+2.3	+5.3	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendan Jones (OGILVIE)	24	50	47	62	56	200/281/339	140	261	7	27	27%	9%	77	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bradley Zimmer 2017 · AAA	24	46→51	46→50	57→60	43	220/296/353	134	329	13	29	35%	8%	85	+0.2	230/294/365	135	343	13	26	34%	7%	86	+0.3	229/307/355	126	348	13	28	35%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Eric Patterson 2007 · AAA	24	51→55	44→50	61→60	45	247/297/374	127	309	10	30	23%	6%	88	+0.5	244/294/368	124	303	10	28	22%	7%	86	+0.3	245/299/370	126	301	11	31	22%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2023 · MLB	24	50→52	42→45	58→60	45	242/297/353	111	305	8	27	23%	7%	84	+0.1	242/306/342	100	326	6	31	25%	8%	84	+0.2	242/313/336	94	331	6	39	26%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Brent Lillibridge 2008 · AAA	24	51→55	43→50	59→60	45	245/303/361	116	313	10	31	24%	7%	88	+0.4	216/273/314	98	288	7	29	26%	6%	66	-1.1	222/280/354	132	299	17	36	30%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Juan Silva 2015 · A	24	50→46	41→45	56→55	52	235/315/337	102	312	8	29	26%	10%	87	+0.4	217/291/304	87	283	5	17	23%	9%	71	-0.8	198/269/272	74	259	3	10	23%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Vidal Bruján 2022 · MLB	24	45→55	43→45	61→65	48	221/277/334	113	260	10	41	19%	7%	72	-0.7	221/284/332	111	270	10	30	21%	7%	75	-0.5	224/301/331	107	277	8	25	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	48→47	39→40	64→70	41	218/312/303	85	321	6	41	31%	6%	80	-0.1	220/307/306	86	308	5	49	28%	6%	79	-0.2	224/314/320	95	301	5	64	25%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Roman Quinn 2016 · AA	23	51→55	41→45	59→65	43	244/297/344	100	315	9	34	25%	6%	82	-0.0	245/299/348	103	333	6	35	26%	6%	83	+0.1	245/301/378	133	333	11	48	28%	7%	89	+0.2
✕José Caballero 2023 · AA	26	46	44→45	58→70	60	221/332/342	120	278	12	33	23%	13%	96	+1.0	227/322/343	116	296	11	49	25%	10%	93	+0.8	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→50	48→50	55	46	234/298/377	143	301	16	24	27%	8%	91	+0.6	226/293/350	124	292	12	15	25%	8%	82	+0.0	225/293/333	108	284	10	17	23%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	43→42	48→50	58→60	47	219/291/369	150	281	15	28	27%	8%	86	+0.3	206/275/345	139	286	14	25	31%	8%	75	-0.5	190/261/322	133	270	13	24	33%	8%	62	-0.9
✕Delino DeShields 2015 · AA	22	48→55	42→45	62→65	46	229/300/335	106	305	9	41	26%	8%	82	-0.0	234/309/333	99	313	7	32	25%	9%	84	+0.2	239/318/333	94	320	6	34	25%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Samad Taylor 2023 · AAA	25	46→54	48→45	58→65	42	230/293/371	140	312	17	33	31%	7%	87	+0.4	233/305/343	110	322	10	40	28%	9%	85	+0.2	233/306/336	103	319	9	43	28%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Tito Polo 2019 · AA	24	48→54	43→45	58→60	40	233/287/345	112	306	10	29	27%	5%	78	-0.3	222/270/323	101	291	8	20	25%	5%	67	-1.1	213/241/297	84	275	3	25	23%	3%	46	-0.5
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	53→59	40→45	63→60	43	249/298/351	102	329	6	35	25%	6%	83	+0.1	256/301/349	93	330	5	28	23%	6%	84	+0.1	254/299/339	85	328	5	27	23%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Daniel Carroll 2013 · AA	24	47→48	45	58→60	43	222/300/344	121	330	13	31	34%	8%	84	+0.1	204/278/292	88	306	7	25	33%	6%	64	-1.3	182/258/250	68	283	4	28	34%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Cam Eden 2022 · A	24	48→49	42→40	62→65	45	223/308/329	105	321	9	35	31%	8%	84	+0.1	204/274/301	97	308	9	42	34%	7%	65	-1.2	194/265/267	73	285	5	49	31%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	46→48	40→45	59→60	44	218/292/312	94	289	7	32	26%	7%	74	-0.5	225/316/336	111	307	10	25	28%	9%	88	+0.5	221/319/328	107	303	11	22	28%	10%	86	+0.2
✕John Raynor 2009 · AA	25	54→57	46→45	62→60	46	258/327/395	137	344	12	34	27%	8%	105	+1.7	228/286/325	97	315	8	20	28%	7%	74	-0.6	212/267/286	74	297	6	17	29%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Steward Berroa 2022 · A	23	45→49	43→45	64→65	50	216/296/333	117	300	10	40	30%	10%	80	-0.2	208/280/322	114	308	10	46	33%	9%	71	-0.8	221/299/315	94	323	7	52	31%	9%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps