Brendan Jones — OGILVIE

Brendan JonesCF Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 24 L/L 5'9" / 180 lbs AA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION279 act + 186 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .288 / .358

PA186

HR4

SB15

K%27

BB%10

BABIP270

ISO152

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$11M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.3M
2034	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$37M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	104	86	17	4	0	2	18	32	0	18	0	198	337	314	650	116	288	31	17	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	104	75	20	5	0	3	29	21	0	18	0	267	471	453	924	187	333	20	28	421	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	549	483	98	17	6	9	57	150	3	51	9	203	291	319	610	116	270	27	10	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	549	458	112	20	8	11	82	109	3	51	9	245	363	395	758	151	294	20	15	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	MIA	—	279	248	45	10	5	7	26	81	3	31	5	181	267	347	614	165	236	29	9	268	63	-12	+4	+0	+1	+8	0.2
YTD	24	AA	MIA	—	279	236	52	12	6	8	38	63	3	31	5	220	336	424	759	203	265	23	14	337	116	+5	+4	+0	+1	+8	1.9
ROS	24	AA	MIA	2%	186	165	34	7	3	4	18	51	1	15	2	206	288	358	646	152	263	27	10	285	76	-5	+2	+1	+1	+5	0.4
ROS	24	MLB	MIA	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						259	25	0	275	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	AA	MIA	—	283	252	45	10	5	7	26	82	3	31	5	179	263	341	605	163	232	29	9	268	63	-12	+4	+0	+1	+8	0.2
TOT	24	AA	MIA	—	465	413	79	17	8	11	44	132	4	46	7	191	275	351	627	160	250	28	9	275	68	-17	+6	+1	+2	+13	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	MIA	43%	560	496	103	20	7	14	55	151	4	40	6	208	292	361	653	153	265	27	10	291	81	-12	+6	+2	+2	+16	1.4
2028	26	MLB	MIA	62%	575	509	108	21	7	15	57	153	4	41	7	212	296	369	666	157	267	27	10	295	84	-10	+5	+2	+2	+16	1.6
2029	27	MLB	MIA	69%	580	513	109	21	7	15	57	153	5	41	7	212	297	368	666	156	269	26	10	297	85	-10	+5	+2	+2	+16	1.7
2030	28	MLB	MIA	72%	579	511	109	21	7	15	58	153	5	39	6	213	300	370	670	157	269	26	10	297	85	-10	+5	+2	+2	+16	1.6
2031	29	MLB	MIA	72%	574	508	106	21	6	14	57	153	4	36	6	209	293	356	650	148	268	27	10	295	84	-10	+5	+1	+2	+16	1.4
2032	30	MLB	MIA	72%	567	501	104	20	6	14	57	153	4	32	5	208	294	355	649	148	267	27	10	293	82	-12	+4	+0	+2	+16	1.2
2033	31	MLB	MIA	72%	559	494	101	20	6	13	56	152	4	28	4	204	291	348	639	144	265	27	10	289	79	-13	+4	-0	+2	+16	0.8
2034	32	MLB	MIA	78%	549	485	98	19	6	12	55	152	4	22	4	202	289	340	629	138	262	28	10	284	75	-15	+3	-1	+2	+16	0.4
2035	33	MLB	MIA	76%	475	422	83	16	5	10	47	134	3	15	2	197	282	329	611	133	258	28	10	277	70	-16	+2	-2	+2	+13	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	MIA	43%	242	214	44	9	3	6	24	65	2	17	3	206	292	360	651	154	260	27	10	282	74	-7	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.4
2028	26	MLB	MIA	62%	359	318	66	13	4	9	35	95	3	26	4	208	292	358	651	151	263	26	10	286	77	-9	+4	+2	+1	+10	0.7
2029	27	MLB	MIA	69%	399	354	74	14	5	10	39	106	3	28	5	209	293	362	655	153	264	27	10	287	78	-10	+4	+2	+1	+11	0.8
2030	28	MLB	MIA	72%	418	370	77	15	5	10	42	111	3	28	5	208	294	357	651	149	264	27	10	287	78	-11	+4	+1	+1	+12	0.8
2031	29	MLB	MIA	72%	414	367	76	15	5	10	41	111	3	26	4	207	292	357	649	150	264	27	10	285	76	-11	+4	+1	+1	+12	0.7
2032	30	MLB	MIA	72%	408	361	74	14	5	10	41	110	3	23	4	205	291	355	646	150	263	27	10	283	75	-12	+3	+0	+1	+12	0.5
2033	31	MLB	MIA	72%	402	356	71	14	4	9	40	110	3	20	3	199	286	337	623	138	261	27	10	279	72	-13	+3	-0	+1	+11	0.3
2034	32	MLB	MIA	78%	430	381	75	14	5	9	43	119	3	18	3	197	283	331	614	134	258	28	10	274	68	-15	+2	-1	+2	+12	-0.0
2035	33	MLB	MIA	76%	359	317	62	11	4	8	36	101	3	11	2	196	284	331	615	136	254	28	10	268	64	-15	+1	-2	+1	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3435	3042	619	119	40	81	341	929	26	197	33	203	289	349	638	145	263	27	10	281	73	-103	+26	+4	+12	+97	3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	118	23	8	15	65	176	5	37	6	205	291	351	642	146	265	27	10	281	73	-19	+5	+1	+2	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	5857	5173	1070	207	66	137	592	1587	41	378	58	207	293	352	645	145	268	27	10	290	80	-134	+52	+8	+21	+166	11.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	118	23	7	15	66	176	5	42	6	206	293	348	642	143	266	27	10	290	80	-15	+6	+1	+2	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	63	47	11	2	0	2	16	13	0	13	0	234	429	404	833	170	281	21	25	385	152	+4	+3	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	41	28	9	3	0	1	13	8	0	5	0	321	537	536	1.072	214	421	20	32	476	223	+6	+1	—	—	+1	0.8
2025	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	340	284	71	14	6	7	52	71	1	28	5	250	368	415	783	165	306	21	15	350	126	+10	+4	—	—	+10	2.4
2025	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	209	174	41	6	2	4	30	38	2	23	4	236	354	362	716	126	274	18	14	325	107	+2	+3	—	—	+6	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Corey Pattersonlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA	10	4,422	116	215	254	292	403	-2	+56	15.8	16.6
	/162	664	17	32	254	292	403	-0.3	+8.4	2.4	pk7: 17
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,437	83	198	208	290	357	+7	+18	5.4	5.3
	/162	664	16	38	208	290	357	+1.4	+3.5	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendan Jones (OGILVIE)	24	50	47	62	57	191/275/351	160	250	11	46	28%	9%	68	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Eric Patterson 2007 · AAA	24	51→55	44→50	61→60	45	247/296/376	129	310	10	30	23%	6%	87	+0.8	244/294/368	124	303	11	28	22%	7%	85	+0.7	245/299/370	126	301	11	31	22%	7%	85	+0.7
✕Roman Quinn 2016 · AA	23	52→53	42→45	59→65	44	248/302/351	103	319	9	34	24%	6%	83	+0.6	240/294/342	102	333	7	35	28%	6%	77	+0.1	244/301/381	137	331	12	48	28%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Bradley Zimmer 2017 · AAA	24	45→51	48→50	57→60	42	218/296/359	142	329	15	29	36%	8%	85	+0.7	230/294/368	138	344	14	26	35%	7%	85	+0.7	231/308/356	126	350	13	28	35%	8%	86	+0.4
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2023 · MLB	24	48→51	43→45	58→60	44	235/288/354	119	298	9	27	24%	6%	79	+0.3	239/301/343	104	323	7	31	26%	8%	81	+0.4	240/313/341	101	332	7	39	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA	25	44→45	46→45	55→70	46	221/294/354	133	287	14	29	27%	8%	82	+0.5	225/330/346	121	289	12	41	24%	11%	96	+1.5	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Vidal Bruján 2022 · MLB	24	46→56	44→45	61→65	48	226/280/344	117	264	11	41	19%	7%	72	-0.2	222/284/336	114	269	11	30	21%	7%	72	-0.2	214/288/314	100	265	7	24	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Delino DeShields 2017 · MLB	24	48→55	42→45	57→65	49	231/305/336	105	307	8	31	26%	9%	81	+0.4	234/313/327	93	309	7	32	24%	10%	82	+0.5	233/316/318	85	306	6	36	24%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Brent Lillibridge 2008 · AAA	24	50→55	44→50	59→60	44	245/303/366	121	314	11	31	25%	7%	88	+0.9	217/274/319	102	289	8	29	26%	6%	63	-0.8	223/282/355	132	300	17	36	30%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	43→42	49→50	58→60	47	220/294/377	156	286	16	28	28%	8%	88	+0.9	208/278/359	151	291	16	25	32%	8%	76	+0.1	191/261/336	146	274	15	24	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	47→45	39→40	64→70	40	216/309/302	86	322	7	41	32%	6%	77	+0.1	216/302/305	89	306	6	49	29%	5%	74	-0.1	223/313/324	101	306	6	64	26%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Steward Berroa 2022 · A	23	46→47	43→45	64→65	52	222/306/340	118	304	10	40	28%	11%	83	+0.6	209/279/328	119	311	11	46	33%	8%	69	-0.4	223/304/322	99	313	9	48	29%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Cam Eden 2022 · A	24	49→48	43→40	62→65	46	228/314/338	110	329	10	35	31%	9%	87	+0.8	203/275/304	101	309	10	42	35%	7%	62	-0.9	191/263/268	77	283	6	49	32%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Juan Silva 2015 · A	24	49→46	40→45	56→55	51	230/310/328	99	307	7	29	26%	10%	82	+0.5	217/289/307	90	287	5	17	24%	9%	67	-0.5	200/268/279	79	266	4	10	24%	8%	48	-0.7
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	52→60	40→45	63→60	44	247/298/348	101	326	6	35	25%	7%	80	+0.4	257/301/351	94	334	6	28	23%	6%	82	+0.5	255/298/342	87	332	5	27	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	41→44	43→45	60	46	205/272/319	114	263	11	32	26%	8%	63	-0.8	204/276/304	100	278	9	28	28%	8%	61	-1.0	193/270/284	91	271	9	30	30%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	55	46	237/301/388	152	305	17	24	28%	8%	94	+1.3	230/296/357	127	295	12	15	25%	8%	83	+0.6	231/293/342	111	293	10	15	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕John Raynor 2009 · AA	25	54→57	46→45	62→60	46	257/326/398	141	345	13	34	28%	8%	106	+2.2	228/287/328	100	315	8	20	28%	7%	72	-0.2	213/270/288	75	297	6	17	29%	6%	51	-0.9
●Mallex Smith 2018 · MLB	25	53→61	40→45	63→65	47	252/307/353	101	321	6	39	23%	7%	85	+0.7	252/317/360	108	322	6	40	22%	8%	92	+1.2	251/323/357	106	324	5	47	22%	8%	91	+0.8