Franklin Gómez
P
Lake County Captains
Age 21
LHP
6'0" / 220 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 1.0 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 51 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113122vR 131
ERA4.97
FIP4.97
K%17.6%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%5.5%
ROS IP51
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 152 | 42 | 21 | 2 | 69% | 2.6 | 18.8% | 17.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.67 | 4.71 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 152 | 42 | 21 | 2 | 69% | 2.6 | 27.6% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 1.3% | 3.67 | 3.25 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 9 | 51 | 210 | 71 | 17 | 0 | 69% | 3.9 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 2.66 | 2.41 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 9 | 51 | 210 | 71 | 17 | 0 | 69% | 3.9 | 33.8% | 8.1% | 25.7% | 0.0% | 2.66 | 1.30 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 23 | 16 | 82 | 370 | 83 | 41 | 5 | 70% | 3.6 | 16.6% | 13.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.28 | 4.83 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 23 | 16 | 82 | 370 | 83 | 41 | 5 | 70% | 3.6 | 22.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 1.4% | 4.28 | 3.37 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 13 | 72 | 307 | 68 | 34 | 2 | 65% | 3.6 | 16.6% | 13.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 2.76 | 3.86 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 13 | 72 | 307 | 68 | 34 | 2 | 65% | 3.6 | 22.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.7% | 2.76 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 12 | 12 | 58 | 239 | 66 | 18 | 5 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 2.6% | 3.10 | 3.84 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 10 | 51 | 214 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.6% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.6% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 4.97 | 4.97 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 109 | 453 | 104 | 44 | 11 | — | — | 22.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 2.3% | 3.97 | 4.37 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.6% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 4.97 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 10 | 53 | 225 | 44 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 4.74 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 10 | 55 | 233 | 48 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 10 | 57 | 239 | 51 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% | 4.38 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 10 | 57 | 242 | 53 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 4.28 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 10 | 57 | 242 | 53 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 9 | 9 | 56 | 238 | 53 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 9 | 9 | 55 | 231 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.27 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 48 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 44 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 8 | 8 | 46 | 193 | 41 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CLE | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 4.74 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | CLE | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 43 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% | 4.38 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 9 | 9 | 51 | 215 | 47 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 4.28 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 49 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 48 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 47 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.27 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 8 | 8 | 50 | 211 | 46 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 42 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 39 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 79 | 79 | 460 | 1942 | 418 | 186 | 53 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.00 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 81 | 23 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 81 | 59 | 297 | 1278 | 241 | 156 | 22 | 73% | 3.7 | 18.9% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 3.34 | 4.00 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 40 | 200 | 862 | 162 | 105 | 15 | 73% | 3.7 | 18.9% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 3.34 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Franklin Gómez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 17.6% | 12.0% | 2.6% | — | 4.44 | 20.6% | 10.6% | 165 | -0.53 | — | — | — |
| Rylan Kaufman L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.35 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 2.4% | .305 | 4.69 | 18.9% | 4.5% | 131 | +0.34 | 4.01 | 212 | 86 |
| Nate Peterson L 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 85 |
| Packy Naughton L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.45 | 17.0% | 9.9% | 2.8% | .323 | 3.57 | 15.9% | 10.0% | 311 | -0.88 | 2.97 | 504 | 83 |
| John Beller L 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.59 | 19.7% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .326 | 4.22 | 22.2% | 7.1% | 90 | -0.37 | 4.00 | 170 | 83 |
| Avery Short L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.04 | 20.1% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .346 | 4.76 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 271 | -0.28 | 4.31 | 460 | 83 |
| Luis Moncada L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 12.0% | 1.5% | .278 | 3.85 | 17.6% | 5.7% | 68 | +0.04 | 3.81 | 296 | 82 |
| Dominic Perachi L 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.25 | 17.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .324 | 3.93 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 182 | -1.32 | 3.47 | 273 | 82 |
| Adalberto Mejía L 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.7% | 9.4% | 1.6% | .237 | 3.71 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 344 | -0.22 | 3.39 | 427 | 82 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.36 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.4% | .312 | 4.46 | 21.0% | 7.7% | 184 | +0.10 | 3.84 | 249 | 82 |
| Rolando Gutierrez L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.75 | 12.8% | 10.9% | 2.5% | .286 | 3.80 | 16.2% | -0.1% | 18 | -0.95 | 3.51 | 113 | 81 |
| Ryan Lawlor L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.17 | 14.8% | 13.0% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.17 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 107 | -1.00 | 2.24 | 201 | 81 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 81 |
| Kyle Twomey L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.89 | 14.8% | 6.9% | 68 | -0.19 | 3.89 | 141 | 81 |
| Yeffersson Yannuzzi L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.4% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .295 | 6.73 | 12.6% | -24.4% | 10 | +2.17 | 4.56 | 137 | 80 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.3% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .313 | 4.65 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 139 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 234 | 80 |
| Luis Rico L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.17 | 17.2% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .303 | 5.16 | 17.8% | 5.9% | 105 | -0.01 | 4.43 | 199 | 80 |
| Juan Reyes L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.09 | 20.1% | 14.1% | 1.7% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 114 | 79 |
| Gabriel Noguera L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.41 | 15.6% | 15.0% | 1.3% | .231 | 5.34 | 14.2% | 2.1% | 95 | +0.93 | 4.41 | 174 | 79 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2028 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.80 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .360 | 5.95 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.15 | 4.80 | 223 | 79 |
| Armando Vasquez L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.25 | 14.7% | 14.7% | 1.0% | .318 | 5.67 | 21.2% | 3.2% | 94 | +1.42 | 4.25 | 131 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 11 | 54 | 21.1% | 9.8% | 1.06 | 4.46 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Joe Kelly ('24) | 9 | 56 | 24.6% | 10.3% | 0.81 | 4.40 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |