Franklin Gómez
P
Lake County Captains
+0.4
WAR
Age 21
LHP
6'0" / 220 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.6 · 2032
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.6%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%9.8%
IP72
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.6peak
2032
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 152 | 42 | 21 | 2 | 18.8% | 17.3% | 1.8% | 3.67 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 18 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 13 | 9 | 51 | 210 | 71 | 17 | 0 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 2.66 | 2.41 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 23 | 16 | 82 | 370 | 83 | 41 | 5 | 16.6% | 13.1% | 2.0% | 4.28 | 4.46 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 20 | 13 | 72 | 307 | 68 | 34 | 2 | 16.6% | 13.0% | 0.9% | 2.76 | 3.83 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.12 | — | — |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CLE | 13 | 13 | 72 | 306 | 63 | 33 | 8 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 21 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 80 | 338 | 74 | 36 | 8 | 21.9% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 4.18 | 4.07 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CLE | 14 | 14 | 76 | 321 | 70 | 32 | 8 | 21.8% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 4.37 | 4.29 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | CLE | 14 | 14 | 79 | 333 | 76 | 31 | 8 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 4.23 | 4.14 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 15 | 15 | 81 | 342 | 79 | 30 | 9 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 4.12 | 4.04 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 17 | 17 | 94 | 396 | 94 | 34 | 10 | 23.6% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 4.03 | 3.98 | +1.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 18 | 18 | 101 | 426 | 101 | 37 | 11 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 3.98 | 3.95 | +1.5 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 19 | 104 | 440 | 105 | 38 | 11 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 3.97 | 3.96 | +1.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 19 | 104 | 441 | 105 | 38 | 11 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 3.98 | 3.99 | +1.6 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 19 | 102 | 431 | 102 | 38 | 11 | 23.6% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 4.01 | 4.04 | +1.5 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 18 | 18 | 99 | 418 | 98 | 37 | 11 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.06 | 4.10 | +1.3 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 17 | 17 | 96 | 403 | 94 | 36 | 11 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.13 | 4.17 | +1.2 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 17 | 17 | 92 | 387 | 89 | 35 | 11 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.26 | +1.0 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 16 | 16 | 88 | 370 | 84 | 35 | 11 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.36 | +0.8 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 15 | 15 | 83 | 351 | 78 | 34 | 11 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.47 | +0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 49 | 247 | 1071 | 201 | 139 | 13 | 18.8% | 12.9% | 1.2% | 3.32 | 3.82 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 40 | 200 | 868 | 163 | 113 | 11 | 18.8% | 12.9% | 1.2% | 3.32 | 3.82 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Franklin Gómez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 2.6% | — | 4.15 | 22.6% | 13.3% | 236 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Evan Shawver L 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.28 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 4.0% | 152 | +0.49 | 4.09 | 219 | 93 |
| Kyle Twomey L 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.07 | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.95 | 14.8% | 6.9% | 68 | -0.12 | 3.95 | 141 | 90 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.24 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 161 | 89 |
| Shane McCain L 2028 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.31 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% | .324 | 4.65 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.34 | 4.31 | 201 | 89 |
| Felix Carvallo L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.57 | 17.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .323 | 4.52 | 17.7% | 4.7% | 67 | -0.05 | 4.52 | 132 | 88 |
| Ryne Slack L 2028 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.08 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .293 | 4.99 | 15.4% | 2.5% | 142 | +0.91 | 4.08 | 212 | 88 |
| Nate Peterson L 2028 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.45 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .284 | 4.96 | 17.1% | 5.7% | 161 | +0.51 | 4.32 | 236 | 88 |
| Avery Short L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 20.1% | 11.4% | 3.5% | .346 | 4.75 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 271 | +0.00 | 4.23 | 387 | 88 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.04 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.5% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.10 | 4.04 | 158 | 88 |
| Chase Watkins L 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.6% | .346 | 4.33 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.59 | 3.29 | 213 | 88 |
| José Torres L 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.35 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 1.6% | .262 | 4.13 | 21.2% | 13.6% | 130 | +0.78 | 3.35 | 204 | 87 |
| Will Mabrey L 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.26 | 18.5% | 12.6% | 2.1% | .256 | 4.29 | 19.2% | 7.0% | 46 | +0.03 | 4.26 | 112 | 87 |
| Ben Onyshko L 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.50 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .349 | 5.44 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 100 | +1.94 | 3.50 | 219 | 86 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2029 · 3.91 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.91 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .326 | 4.61 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.70 | 1.71 | 206 | 86 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 2.6% | .268 | 3.50 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.76 | 1.84 | 238 | 85 |
| Michael Theofanopoulos L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.58 | 18.6% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .344 | 3.65 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 132 | +0.07 | 3.58 | 201 | 85 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.45 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.4% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 85 |
| Dante Biasi L 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.91 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.7% | .251 | 5.64 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +0.73 | 4.91 | 224 | 85 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2028 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.41 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.2% | .278 | 5.32 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.91 | 4.41 | 128 | 85 |
| Michael Johnson L 2029 · 3.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .260 | 4.75 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.88 | 256 | 85 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.4 | $13M | +$12M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.6 | $16M | +$13M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.5 | $15M | +$10M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.3 | $14M | +$7M |
| Totals | $17M | $86M | +$69M | ||