Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022
17
ROKMLE
DSL Braves
11
11
44
173
50
10
2
100%
4.0
19.7%
7.2%
12.4%
1.8%
2.25
3.36
—
2022
17
ROKRAW
DSL Braves
11
11
44
173
50
10
2
100%
4.0
28.9%
5.8%
23.1%
1.2%
2.25
2.10
—
2023
18
AMLE
Augusta GreenJackets
10
7
26
114
27
12
6
70%
2.6
17.5%
12.4%
5.1%
7.0%
7.27
7.04
—
2023
18
ARAW
Augusta GreenJackets
10
7
26
114
27
12
6
70%
2.6
23.7%
10.5%
13.2%
5.3%
7.27
5.41
—
2024
19
AMLE
Augusta GreenJackets
18
17
76
305
98
21
8
94%
4.2
23.8%
8.1%
15.7%
3.4%
2.74
3.97
—
2024
19
AMLE
Augusta GreenJackets
18
17
76
305
98
21
8
94%
4.2
23.8%
8.1%
15.7%
3.4%
2.74
3.97
—
2024
19
ARAW
Augusta GreenJackets
18
17
76
305
98
21
8
94%
4.2
32.1%
6.9%
25.2%
2.6%
2.74
2.72
—
2025
20
MIXMLE
4 levels
17
17
70
307
83
22
10
100%
4.1
22.9%
7.5%
15.4%
3.5%
6.30
4.04
+0.7
2025
20
MIXMLE
4 levels
17
17
70
307
83
22
10
100%
4.1
22.9%
7.5%
15.4%
3.5%
6.30
4.04
+0.7
2025
20
MIXRAW
4 levels
17
17
70
307
83
22
10
100%
4.1
27.0%
7.2%
19.9%
3.3%
6.30
3.53
+1.2
2026
21
MIXMLE
2 levels
61
4
90
360
112
25
7
7%
1.5
30.3%
6.8%
23.6%
2.0%
2.40
2.48
+2.3
2026
21
MIXMLE
2 levels
61
4
90
360
112
25
7
7%
1.5
30.3%
6.8%
23.6%
2.0%
2.40
2.48
+2.3
2026
21
MIXRAW
2 levels
61
4
90
360
112
25
7
7%
1.5
31.1%
6.9%
24.2%
1.9%
2.40
2.46
+2.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career
—
62
5
86
366
104
25
12
8%
1.4
28.4%
6.8%
21.6%
3.3%
4.17
3.37
+1.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
22
MLB
ATL
56
0
59
249
72
16
7
0%
1.1
29.0%
6.5%
22.5%
2.9%
3.70
3.46
+0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
23
MLBMLE
ATL
99
0
104
439
127
28
13
0%
1.1
29.0%
6.3%
22.7%
2.9%
3.56
3.41
+1.5
2029
24
MLBMLE
ATL
117
0
123
518
150
32
15
0%
1.0
29.0%
6.2%
22.8%
2.9%
3.48
3.38
+1.8
2030
25
MLBMLE
ATL
130
0
136
575
167
35
16
0%
1.0
29.0%
6.2%
22.9%
2.8%
3.43
3.37
+2.0
2031
26
MLBMLE
ATL
136
0
143
604
176
37
17
0%
1.1
29.1%
6.2%
22.9%
2.9%
3.40
3.37
+2.1
2032
27
MLBMLE
ATL
138
0
145
612
178
38
18
0%
1.1
29.1%
6.2%
22.8%
2.9%
3.40
3.41
+2.0
2033
28
MLBMLE
ATL
138
0
145
612
177
39
18
0%
1.1
28.9%
6.4%
22.6%
3.0%
3.45
3.49
+1.9
2034
29
MLBMLE
ATL
132
0
138
585
166
39
18
0%
1.0
28.3%
6.6%
21.7%
3.1%
3.57
3.65
+1.5
2035
30
MLBMLE
ATL
124
0
130
550
152
38
18
0%
1.0
27.7%
6.9%
20.8%
3.4%
3.74
3.86
+1.1
2036
31
MLBMLE
ATL
116
0
121
513
138
37
18
0%
1.0
26.9%
7.2%
19.7%
3.6%
3.95
4.09
+0.7
2037
32
MLBMLE
ATL
107
0
112
474
124
36
18
0%
1.0
26.1%
7.6%
18.4%
3.8%
4.19
4.34
+0.3
2028
23
MLBCTX
ATL
94
0
99
418
121
26
12
0%
1.1
29.0%
6.3%
22.7%
2.9%
3.56
3.41
+1.4
2029
24
MLBCTX
ATL
110
0
116
490
142
30
14
0%
1.1
29.0%
6.2%
22.8%
2.9%
3.48
3.38
+1.7
2030
25
MLBCTX
ATL
123
0
129
545
158
33
16
0%
1.0
29.0%
6.2%
22.9%
2.8%
3.43
3.37
+1.9
2031
26
MLBCTX
ATL
130
0
136
574
167
35
16
0%
1.0
29.1%
6.2%
22.9%
2.9%
3.40
3.37
+2.0
2032
27
MLBCTX
ATL
131
0
138
583
169
36
17
0%
1.1
29.1%
6.2%
22.8%
2.9%
3.40
3.41
+1.9
2033
28
MLBCTX
ATL
131
0
138
583
169
37
17
0%
1.1
28.9%
6.4%
22.6%
3.0%
3.45
3.49
+1.8
2034
29
MLBCTX
ATL
126
0
132
557
158
37
18
0%
1.0
28.3%
6.6%
21.7%
3.1%
3.57
3.65
+1.4
2035
30
MLBCTX
ATL
118
0
124
524
145
36
18
0%
1.1
27.7%
6.9%
20.8%
3.4%
3.74
3.86
+1.0
2036
31
MLBCTX
ATL
110
0
115
486
131
35
17
0%
1.0
26.9%
7.2%
19.7%
3.6%
3.95
4.09
+0.6
2037
32
MLBCTX
ATL
102
0
107
452
118
35
17
0%
1.0
26.1%
7.6%
18.4%
3.8%
4.19
4.34
+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
1237
5
1320
5573
1581
367
174
0%
1.1
28.4%
6.6%
21.8%
3.1%
3.64
3.25
+20.4
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
187
1
200
845
240
56
26
0%
1.1
28.4%
6.6%
21.8%
3.1%
3.64
3.25
+3.1
Career
—
MLE
117
56
306
1259
306
99
39
48%
2.6
24.3%
7.9%
16.4%
3.1%
3.77
3.75
+15.6
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
77
37
200
824
200
65
26
48%
2.6
24.3%
7.9%
16.4%
3.1%
3.77
3.75
+2.3
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.