Jeffrey German — OGILVIE

Jeffrey German P DSL Phillies White

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%20.1%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%7.3%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	11	10	46	185	46	21	1	91%	4.2	16.9%	14.2%	2.7%	0.6%	2.17	3.82	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	11	10	46	185	46	21	1	91%	4.2	24.9%	11.4%	13.5%	0.5%	2.17	2.75	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	9	8	39	159	27	12	0	89%	4.3	11.5%	9.4%	2.1%	0.0%	4.19	3.32	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	9	8	39	159	27	12	0	89%	4.3	11.5%	9.4%	2.1%	0.0%	4.19	3.32	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	9	8	39	159	27	12	0	89%	4.3	17.0%	7.5%	9.4%	0.0%	4.19	2.63	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	13	7	39	185	37	23	1	54%	3.0	13.6%	15.5%	-1.9%	0.9%	4.38	4.43	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	13	7	39	185	37	23	1	54%	3.0	13.6%	15.5%	-1.9%	0.9%	4.38	4.43	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	13	7	39	185	37	23	1	54%	3.0	20.0%	12.4%	7.6%	0.5%	4.38	3.31	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	PHI	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	20.1%	12.8%	7.3%	2.9%	5.00	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	7	7	37	156	33	18	4	100%	5.3	21.4%	11.3%	10.1%	2.9%	4.78	4.68	+0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	PHI	4	4	18	76	16	9	2	100%	4.5	21.4%	11.3%	10.1%	2.9%	4.78	4.68	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	18	77	16	9	2	100%	4.5	21.4%	11.3%	10.1%	2.9%	4.78	4.30	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	176	99	22	100%	5.1	21.4%	11.3%	10.1%	2.9%	4.78	4.30	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		33	25	123	529	75	70	3	76%	3.7	14.1%	13.2%	0.9%	0.5%	3.50	3.88	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	41	200	858	121	114	5	76%	3.7	14.1%	13.2%	0.9%	0.5%	3.50	3.88	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeffrey German (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	20.1%	12.8%	2.9%	—	4.68	21.4%	10.1%	37	-0.32	—	—	—
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	91
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	88
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	88
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	86
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	85
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	84
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	84
Luis Cohen R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	20	SP-	4.11	17.2%	11.4%	1.9%	.263	4.98	14.1%	3.9%	247	+0.87	3.00	333	83
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	83
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	83
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.92	22.1%	6.6%	260	-0.02	4.21	412	82
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	82
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	82
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	81
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	80
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	80
Dominic Pipkin R 2021 · 4.62 FIP	21	SP-	4.62	19.3%	12.2%	2.9%	.329	5.31	16.5%	0.7%	93	+0.69	4.62	292	80
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	80
Carlos Lagrange R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	20	SP	4.34	22.1%	15.5%	2.1%	.291	3.97	25.4%	12.1%	198	-0.37	3.66	272	80
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.1%	265	+0.44	3.31	408	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	20.9%	11.9%	1.12	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58