Dominic Pipkin — OGILVIE

Dominic Pipkin P Altoona Curve

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 99

ERA4.34

FIP4.34

K%23.4%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%14.1%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies East	10	8	30	116	18	8	3	80%	3.0	10.6%	8.6%	1.9%	3.6%	3.64	5.29	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies East	10	8	30	116	18	8	3	80%	3.0	15.5%	6.9%	8.6%	2.6%	3.64	4.01	—
2019	19	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	24	12	72	331	44	45	4	50%	3.0	9.8%	16.0%	-6.2%	1.9%	5.15	5.37	—
2019	19	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	24	12	72	331	44	45	4	50%	3.0	13.3%	13.6%	-0.3%	1.2%	5.15	4.48	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	16	12	58	255	64	27	6	75%	3.6	19.3%	12.2%	7.1%	2.9%	4.97	4.62	—
2021	21	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	16	12	58	255	64	27	6	75%	3.6	25.1%	10.6%	14.5%	2.4%	4.97	3.63	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	30	13	74	335	64	51	6	43%	2.5	14.7%	17.5%	-2.8%	2.5%	5.01	5.47	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	30	13	74	335	64	51	6	43%	2.5	19.1%	15.2%	3.9%	1.8%	5.01	4.50	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	1	25	106	30	10	3	4%	1.1	23.3%	9.6%	13.7%	4.3%	5.40	4.70	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	1	25	106	30	10	3	4%	1.1	23.3%	9.6%	13.7%	4.3%	5.40	4.70	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	1	25	106	30	10	3	4%	1.1	28.3%	9.4%	18.9%	2.8%	5.40	3.46	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	0	9	40	10	5	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.00	2.57	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	0	9	40	10	5	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.00	2.57	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	9	0	9	40	10	5	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.00	2.54	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	21	10	42	186	43	34	3	48%	2.0	18.6%	20.9%	-2.2%	2.1%	4.68	5.31	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	21	10	42	186	43	34	3	48%	2.0	18.6%	20.9%	-2.2%	2.1%	4.68	5.31	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	ROK RAW	PIT	2	1	2	8	3	0	0	50%	1.1	37.5%	0.0%	37.5%	0.0%	0.00	-0.07	—
2026	26	A RAW	PIT	1	0	1	4	0	1	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	0.00	6.27	—
2026	26	AA RAW	PIT	18	9	39	174	40	33	3	50%	2.2	23.0%	19.0%	4.0%	1.7%	5.08	4.51	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PIT	39	0	41	173	40	16	5	0%	1.0	23.4%	9.4%	14.0%	3.1%	4.36	4.38	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	PIT	14	0	15	63	15	6	2	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.4%	14.0%	3.1%	4.36	4.38	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	15	6	2	0%	1.0	23.4%	9.4%	14.0%	3.1%	4.36	4.00	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	195	78	26	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.4%	14.0%	3.1%	4.36	4.00	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		133	56	309	1369	213	207	35	42%	2.3	15.5%	15.1%	0.4%	2.6%	4.74	5.10	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	36	200	885	138	134	23	42%	2.3	15.5%	15.1%	0.4%	2.6%	4.74	5.10	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dominic Pipkin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.34	23.4%	9.3%	3.0%	—	4.38	23.4%	14.0%	41	+0.04	—	—	—
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	81
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	72
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	71
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	71
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	71
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	70
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.67	18.2%	7.1%	248	-0.15	4.29	360	70
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	70
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	70
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	69
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	69
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	69
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	69
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.11	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.05	3.84	249	68
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	68
Orlando Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	23.0%	11.9%	3.1%	.278	4.67	13.7%	3.1%	41	+0.27	4.40	119	68
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	67
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	67
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	67
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	23.4%	9.3%	1.18	4.36
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97