Nico PerezSS Great Lakes Loons
Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION223 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .305 / .349
PA148
HR3
SB9
K%28
BB%9
BABIP293
ISO129
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +4.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +4.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +10.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +1.20+1.2WAR
0.01.22.50.01.01.41.71.81.92.01.81.61.4+$98M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.8$11M+$10M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.9$10M+$10M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.0$10M+$10M
2033Arb-1$4M+1.8$8M+$7M
2034Arb-2$6M+1.6$7M+$5M
2035Arb-3$7M+1.4$6M+$3M
Totals $19M $52M +$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 INTLRA12 1616 3000 070 00 188188188375 333 440
202318 INTLRA12 1616 3000 070 00 188188188375 333 440 170 -12
202419 ROKACL Dodgers 126114 18202 9543 141 158238228466 70276 437 220 27
202419 ROKACL Dodgers 126106 28403 17363 141 264381387768 123373 2913 353 128
202520 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 251216 45812 26762 356 208299282582 74299 3010 269 64
202520 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 251207 581223 35552 356 280389401790 121355 2214 350 126
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 A+LAD 223197 431025 18747 254 218306365672 147319 338 296 85 -4 +3 +0 +2 +6 0.8
YTD21 A+LAD 223190 561337 25557 254 295396505902 211380 2511 397 162 +16 +3 +0 +2 +6 2.8
ROS21 A+LAD 0% 148131 29613 13413 92 220305349654 129296 289 290 80 -3 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.4
ROS21 MLBLAD 0% 11 0000 000 00 292 00 273 67 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL21 A+LAD 224198 431025 18747 254 217305364669 146317 338 296 85 -4 +3 +0 +2 +6 0.8
TOT21 A+LAD 371328 721638 3111510 346 219306359665 140308 318 294 83 -7 +4 +0 +4 +11 1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBLAD 43% 366325 721527 32986 143 222303345648 123295 279 297 86 -6 +2 +0 +4 +10 1.0
202823 MLBLAD 61% 436388 8918310 381157 153 229309369678 139296 269 303 90 -5 +2 +0 +5 +12 1.4
202924 MLBLAD 66% 481428 9920311 431257 153 231312369681 138297 269 307 93 -4 +2 +0 +5 +14 1.7
203025 MLBLAD 69% 503445 10421312 451298 143 234315375691 142297 269 309 94 -3 +2 +0 +5 +14 1.8
203126 MLBLAD 70% 514455 10521312 461328 142 231312369682 138296 269 309 95 -3 +2 +0 +6 +15 1.9
203227 MLBLAD 69% 516456 10521312 471338 142 230313368682 138296 269 309 95 -3 +2 +0 +6 +15 2.0
203328 MLBLAD 68% 513453 10421312 471338 132 230313369682 139296 269 308 94 -3 +2 -1 +5 +15 1.8
203429 MLBLAD 67% 504445 10321312 461328 122 231315373688 142295 269 307 93 -4 +2 -1 +5 +14 1.6
203530 MLBLAD 66% 494437 9920311 461308 112 227312362673 135294 269 304 91 -5 +1 -2 +5 +14 1.4
203631 MLBLAD 71% 480426 9619311 441287 102 225308362670 136292 279 300 88 -7 +1 -3 +5 +14 1.1
203732 MLBLAD 68% 462410 9118310 421257 92 222305354659 132289 279 295 84 -8 +1 -4 +5 +13 0.7
202722 MLBLAD 43% 159141 31613 14433 61 220304340644 121291 279 282 74 -5 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.2
202823 MLBLAD 61% 266237 541126 23704 92 228307367674 139292 269 288 78 -7 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.5
202924 MLBLAD 66% 318282 641327 28825 102 227308362670 135292 269 291 81 -7 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203025 MLBLAD 69% 345306 701428 31895 102 229310366676 137292 269 293 83 -7 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.8
203126 MLBLAD 70% 359318 731528 32926 102 230312365677 135292 269 294 83 -7 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.9
203227 MLBLAD 69% 356315 711428 32926 92 225309359668 133292 269 294 83 -7 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.8
203328 MLBLAD 68% 351311 701428 32915 92 225307360668 135292 269 293 83 -7 +1 -0 +4 +10 0.7
203429 MLBLAD 67% 336297 671328 31885 81 226309364673 138291 269 292 81 -7 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.6
203530 MLBLAD 66% 325287 651327 30865 71 226311359669 132290 269 289 80 -8 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.5
203631 MLBLAD 71% 340301 661327 31915 71 219303346648 126288 279 286 77 -9 +1 -2 +4 +10 0.3
203732 MLBLAD 68% 315278 601226 29855 61 216301338639 122285 279 281 73 -10 +1 -2 +3 +9 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 34713074 6911382176 31390954 9117 225307358665 133292 269 290 80 -79 +11 -7 +37 +98 6.2
/ 162G 650576 12926414 5917010 173 224307356663 132290 269 290 80 -15 +2 -1 +7 +18 1.2
Career 58105145 116223134127 524155890 19935 226308358666 132296 279 300 88 -80 +26 -10 +62 +165 16.6
/ 162G 650576 13026414 5917410 224 226309358667 132296 279 300 88 -9 +3 -1 +7 +18 1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 INTLRA12 1616 3000 070 00 188188188375 333 440 170 -12 -2 +0 +0 -0.2
202419 ROKACL Dodgers 126106 28403 17363 141 264381387768 123373 2913 353 128 +4 +2 +4 1.0
202520 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 251207 581223 35552 356 280389401790 121355 2214 350 126 +7 +5 +7 1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23810957246292387+42+6818.017.6
/162664179+6.6+10.62.8pk7: 17
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA
72,8359025245302422+30+1413.013.0
/162664216+7.1+3.23.0pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,4718091230309368+37+2111.09.7
/1626641517+7.1+4.02.1pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nico Perez (OGILVIE) 21 45 30 60 55 219/306/359 140308 834 31% 8% 83 +1.2
Imbewer Alvarez
2008 · A
22 48 40 52→55 47 227/297/321 94300 718 26% 8% 74 -0.1 200/258/275 75312 511 35% 5% 46 -2.0 135/182/184492234540%2%-12-1.0
Jenner Emeterio
2014 · A
21 45 35→30 54→60 52 209/291/266 57279 325 24% 10% 58 -1.2 222/308/290 68293 220 22% 10% 71 -0.3 235/336/3016630202819%12%85+0.3
Adrian Abreu
2013 · A
22 45 40 53→55 53 218/296/306 88253 919 18% 9% 70 -0.3 203/280/285 82264 613 23% 9% 58 -1.2 141/245/2147418441424%11%24-0.7
Maximo Rivera
2014 · A
21 46 39→45 53→60 43 222/276/307 85284 721 24% 6% 61 -1.0 213/264/284 71297 410 28% 6% 50 -1.8 203/245/250472803727%5%29-0.9
Juan Mora
2021 · A
21 43 42→45 53→55 49 209/289/317 108255 914 21% 8% 71 -0.3 228/292/345 117310 1010 28% 6% 79 +0.3 224/280/33311029810827%5%68-0.2
Nacho Alvarez Jr.
2023 · A
20 51→53 39→40 54→50 56 239/327/329 91293 614 19% 11% 89 +1.0 243/317/334 91314 814 23% 8% 86 +0.8 243/318/3318831381423%8%83+0.4
Geraldo Quintero
2023 · A
21 46→50 41→40 56→60 46 222/287/330 108287 620 24% 7% 72 -0.2 217/282/308 91288 726 25% 7% 65 -0.7 206/276/2948927183226%7%55-0.9
Henry Henry
2008 · A
21 52 41→40 50→60 53 246/331/344 98291 814 18% 9% 95 +1.4 238/298/316 78271 521 13% 6% 72 -0.2 250/305/3176727743011%6%72-0.1
Jared Serna
2023 · A
21 41→49 42→45 54→50 49 201/291/307 106264 921 26% 9% 69 -0.4 217/273/331 114272 1115 24% 6% 66 -0.6 211/266/314103262101623%6%56-1.2
Kelby Tomlinson
2012 · A
22 49→59 40 56→60 44 236/285/341 105298 613 22% 6% 73 -0.1 220/276/279 59297 221 25% 7% 53 -1.5 281/340/3506934232417%7%94+1.0
Gorkys Hernández
2009 · A
21 51→59 39→45 57→55 44 242/288/335 93301 622 21% 5% 72 -0.2 246/291/324 78338 417 27% 5% 71 -0.3 263/321/381118325111621%7%95+1.0
Felix Valerio
2022 · A
21 47→46 42→45 52→55 51 226/303/335 110270 918 19% 9% 81 +0.4 201/265/309 108254 1119 24% 7% 58 -1.2 185/247/285100237112026%6%42-1.3
Frank Frias
2015 · A
21 49 37→40 54→55 44 226/292/302 75315 419 28% 7% 66 -0.6 223/293/326 103344 810 34% 8% 74 -0.1 212/302/34513335614540%10%79+0.1
Osleivis Basabe
2022 · A
21 53→61 38→45 55→50 44 249/292/335 86307 515 20% 5% 74 -0.1 258/303/359 101313 515 18% 5% 85 +0.7 259/305/36010031251518%5%83+0.4
Erlin Cerda
2015 · A
21 47 36→40 56→55 51 218/295/297 79272 116 19% 8% 67 -0.5 204/264/277 73282 211 26% 6% 48 -1.9 164/205/208442350729%3%1-1.1
Wes Rogers
2015 · A
21 45→48 41→40 57→65 42 217/271/315 97295 918 28% 6% 61 -1.0 221/279/307 86297 534 26% 6% 62 -0.9 221/279/3078629854226%6%60-0.8
Nicky Lopez
2017 · A
22 47→57 42→40 57→55 51 229/304/337 108264 1017 17% 8% 82 +0.5 248/300/333 85280 513 13% 6% 77 +0.1 266/326/3508430641413%8%90+0.8
Leo Rivas
2018 · A
20 47→54 37→40 56→65 55 219/317/294 75290 319 23% 11% 77 +0.1 188/270/271 83290 610 34% 10% 50 -1.7 239/352/3359531894424%14%101+1.2
Franklin Rollin
2017 · A
21 53 39→40 56→55 45 250/303/343 94291 420 16% 5% 82 +0.5 209/251/293 84266 616 23% 4% 46 -2.0 185/227/2597324061625%4%24-1.7
Christian Cairo
2022 · A
21 39→46 40 53→60 46 187/281/276 89288 716 34% 10% 58 -1.2 194/293/274 80293 618 32% 11% 63 -0.9 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4