Aldrin Batista
P
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 23
RHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%20.6%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP97
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 13 | 11 | 41 | 177 | 38 | 23 | 1 | 85% | 3.1 | 14.6% | 16.2% | -1.6% | 0.7% | 1.55 | 4.34 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 13 | 11 | 41 | 177 | 38 | 23 | 1 | 85% | 3.1 | 21.5% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 0.6% | 1.55 | 3.25 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 12 | 63 | 259 | 75 | 22 | 1 | 80% | 4.2 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 0.5% | 3.16 | 3.01 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 12 | 63 | 259 | 75 | 22 | 1 | 80% | 4.2 | 29.0% | 8.5% | 20.5% | 0.4% | 3.16 | 1.97 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 111 | 455 | 116 | 39 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 19.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 2.93 | 4.73 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 111 | 455 | 116 | 39 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 1.8% | 2.93 | 3.00 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 7 | 2 | 14 | 66 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 29% | 2.0 | 19.8% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 2.97 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 7 | 2 | 14 | 66 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 29% | 2.0 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 2.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | CWS | 24 | 24 | 131 | 552 | 114 | 53 | 16 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CWS | 24 | 24 | 134 | 566 | 123 | 50 | 16 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.7% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.32 | +1.7 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 23 | 23 | 136 | 573 | 128 | 48 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.22 | +1.9 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 23 | 23 | 136 | 573 | 130 | 48 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.19 | +1.9 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 22 | 22 | 134 | 565 | 128 | 48 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.6% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.22 | +1.8 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 22 | 22 | 130 | 548 | 123 | 47 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.5% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.31 | +1.7 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 21 | 21 | 124 | 523 | 117 | 46 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.3% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.44 | +1.4 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 116 | 492 | 108 | 45 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.62 | +1.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 109 | 459 | 99 | 43 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.70 | 4.82 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CWS | 10 | 10 | 58 | 245 | 53 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.7% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 15 | 90 | 380 | 85 | 32 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.25 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 108 | 456 | 103 | 38 | 13 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.22 | +1.5 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 114 | 481 | 109 | 41 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.6% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.25 | +1.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 115 | 486 | 109 | 42 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.34 | +1.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 113 | 477 | 106 | 42 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.3% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 4.40 | 4.47 | +1.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 107 | 452 | 99 | 41 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.55 | 4.65 | +0.9 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 17 | 101 | 426 | 92 | 40 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.85 | +0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 135 | 135 | 806 | 3403 | 757 | 298 | 106 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.04 | +12.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 74 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 57 | 47 | 228 | 957 | 178 | 110 | 19 | 82% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 2.92 | 4.07 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 41 | 200 | 839 | 156 | 96 | 17 | 82% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 2.92 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aldrin Batista (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 20.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.24 | 22.3% | 13.7% | 405 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 88 |
| Kenten Egbert R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.6% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .257 | 4.28 | 11.0% | 3.6% | 131 | -0.16 | 3.95 | 229 | 86 |
| Ian Bedell R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.64 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .285 | 5.72 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 178 | +2.08 | 3.64 | 274 | 85 |
| Derek True R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.76 | 18.5% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .333 | 4.67 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 73 | -0.09 | 4.50 | 170 | 84 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 84 |
| Nick Dean R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .275 | 3.50 | 21.7% | 14.6% | 111 | -0.50 | 2.73 | 202 | 84 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 18.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .327 | 3.81 | 17.3% | 8.9% | 324 | -0.69 | 3.46 | 572 | 84 |
| Logan Martin R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.93 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .278 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.7% | 121 | +0.54 | 3.93 | 223 | 83 |
| Buck Farmer R 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.54 | 16.4% | 7.4% | 3.4% | .307 | 4.08 | 19.6% | 10.9% | 370 | -0.46 | 3.05 | 907 | 83 |
| R.J. Gordon R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.24 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .295 | 4.91 | 13.7% | 2.0% | 38 | +0.67 | 4.24 | 167 | 83 |
| Dinelson Lamet R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.36 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.80 | 24.2% | 13.1% | 293 | -0.56 | 2.21 | 778 | 83 |
| Carson Spiers R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.84 | 22.2% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .284 | 4.70 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 355 | +0.86 | 3.69 | 497 | 83 |
| Mitch Spence R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.12 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 2.8% | .314 | 4.50 | 19.2% | 11.6% | 445 | +0.38 | 4.09 | 738 | 83 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.36 | 18.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 4.41 | 21.0% | 11.3% | 266 | +0.05 | 3.41 | 368 | 83 |
| Logan Workman R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.30 | 19.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .287 | 3.81 | 20.4% | 12.5% | 362 | -0.49 | 3.73 | 540 | 83 |
| Zach Peek R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.57 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .339 | 3.40 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 45 | -0.17 | 3.40 | 233 | 82 |
| Logan Evans R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.52 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 2.9% | .257 | 4.20 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 125 | -0.32 | 4.20 | 232 | 82 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.77 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .309 | 3.63 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 123 | -0.14 | 1.87 | 232 | 82 |
| Brett Kerry R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.48 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | .343 | 5.89 | 17.7% | 9.8% | 394 | +1.41 | 4.48 | 578 | 82 |
| Angel Ventura R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 17.9% | 10.9% | 2.1% | .285 | 4.56 | 14.8% | 4.8% | 153 | +0.46 | 3.32 | 393 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 9 | 128 | 22.0% | 8.8% | 1.17 | 4.38 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Danny Duffy ('21) | 7 | 124 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 4.04 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Wade Miley ('23) | 8 | 136 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 1.07 | 4.20 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |
| Julio Teheran ('23) | 7 | 147 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.34 | 4.12 |