Jose Ledesma — OGILVIE

Jose Ledesma P Tampa Tarpons

Age 23 LHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 136

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%20.8%

BB%16.3%

K-BB%4.4%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	18	0	22	86	28	14	0	0%	1.2	22.1%	20.3%	1.8%	0.0%	1.25	3.81	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	18	0	22	86	28	14	0	0%	1.2	22.1%	20.3%	1.8%	0.0%	1.25	3.81	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	18	0	22	86	28	14	0	0%	1.2	32.6%	16.3%	16.3%	0.0%	1.25	2.45	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	16	0	21	97	19	14	1	0%	1.3	13.3%	18.0%	-4.7%	0.7%	6.53	4.65	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	16	0	21	97	19	14	1	0%	1.3	13.3%	18.0%	-4.7%	0.7%	6.53	4.65	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	16	0	21	97	19	14	1	0%	1.3	19.6%	14.4%	5.2%	1.0%	6.53	3.92	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	31	0	42	182	46	22	1	0%	1.4	18.2%	14.1%	4.0%	0.8%	3.21	3.78	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	31	0	42	182	46	22	1	0%	1.4	18.2%	14.1%	4.0%	0.8%	3.21	3.78	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	NYY	29	0	39	167	41	20	1	0%	1.3	24.6%	12.0%	12.6%	0.6%	3.49	2.87	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	NYY	2	0	3	15	5	2	0	0%	1.6	33.3%	13.3%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.97	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	40	0	42	178	38	25	5	0%	1.1	21.6%	14.1%	7.5%	2.9%	5.13	5.03	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYY	17	0	18	76	16	11	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	14.1%	7.5%	2.9%	5.13	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	76	16	11	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	14.1%	7.5%	2.9%	5.13	4.65	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	122	22	0%	1.1	21.6%	14.1%	7.5%	2.9%	5.13	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		65	0	84	365	65	61	2	0%	1.3	17.8%	16.6%	1.2%	0.6%	3.52	4.02	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	0	200	866	154	144	5	0%	1.3	17.8%	16.6%	1.2%	0.6%	3.52	4.02	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Ledesma (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	20.8%	16.3%	2.9%	—	5.03	21.6%	7.5%	42	-0.36	—	—	—
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	89
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	89
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	88
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	87
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	85
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	85
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	85
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	85
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	83
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	83
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	82
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	81
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	81
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.27	22.8%	8.8%	171	+0.08	3.22	198	81
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	81
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	81
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	80
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	80
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	21.4%	14.6%	1.12	5.19
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99