RJ Austin — OGILVIE

RJ AustinOF Frederick Keys

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 199 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION274 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP285

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED77

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	57	15	3	0	0	7	10	2	9	1	263	364	316	679	53	319	15	10	310	96	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	60	14	3	0	0	4	14	2	9	1	233	303	283	586	50	286	21	6	253	57	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	60	14	3	0	0	4	14	2	9	1	233	303	283	586	50	304	21	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	57	15	3	0	0	7	10	2	9	1	263	364	316	679	53	319	15	10	310	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	62	14	3	0	0	4	14	2	9	1	226	303	274	577	48	286	21	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	62	14	3	0	0	4	14	2	9	1	226	303	274	577	48	286	21	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	BAL	—	274	244	53	6	4	6	18	64	9	31	5	217	295	348	644	131	266	23	7	279	75	-8	+4	+0	-2	+6	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	BAL	—	274	234	60	8	4	7	28	48	9	31	5	256	358	415	772	158	291	18	10	345	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	BAL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		281	22	11	293	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	BAL	—	283	252	54	6	4	6	19	66	9	32	5	214	293	341	634	127	262	23	7	279	75	-8	+4	+0	-2	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	272	246	55	9	2	6	19	64	5	11	2	224	293	350	642	126	283	24	7	297	87	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	BAL	46%	361	326	76	13	3	9	26	85	6	14	3	233	302	374	676	141	285	24	7	301	90	-4	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	407	367	86	15	3	10	30	95	7	15	3	234	304	373	678	139	285	23	7	303	92	-4	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	436	393	92	16	3	11	33	101	7	16	3	234	305	374	679	140	285	23	8	304	92	-4	+2	+0	-3	+9	0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	447	402	94	16	4	11	34	104	8	16	3	234	306	376	682	142	285	23	8	305	92	-4	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	449	403	93	16	3	11	35	105	8	15	3	231	305	367	672	136	284	23	8	304	92	-5	+2	-1	-3	+10	0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	443	398	91	15	3	11	34	105	8	14	3	229	302	364	667	136	283	24	8	302	90	-5	+2	-1	-3	+10	0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	436	392	89	15	3	10	34	104	7	14	3	227	300	357	657	130	282	24	8	299	88	-6	+2	-2	-3	+9	0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	94	85	19	3	1	2	7	22	2	4	1	224	298	353	651	129	287	23	7	288	87	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	BAL	46%	167	150	35	6	1	4	12	39	3	6	1	233	303	367	670	133	289	23	7	293	90	-2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	210	188	45	8	2	5	16	49	4	8	1	239	312	383	695	144	289	23	8	296	92	-2	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	236	212	51	9	2	6	18	55	4	8	2	241	312	387	699	146	289	23	8	297	92	-2	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	243	218	52	9	2	6	19	57	4	9	2	239	311	381	692	142	289	23	8	297	92	-2	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	244	219	52	9	2	6	19	57	4	8	2	237	310	379	689	142	288	23	8	296	92	-2	+1	-0	-1	+5	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	235	211	49	8	2	6	18	56	4	8	1	232	305	374	679	142	288	24	8	294	90	-3	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	229	205	48	8	2	6	18	55	4	7	1	234	308	380	689	146	286	24	8	291	88	-3	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1658	1488	351	60	14	41	127	390	29	58	11	236	308	378	686	142	291	24	8	294	90	-18	+7	-2	-10	+36	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	138	24	5	16	50	153	11	23	4	237	309	377	686	141	293	24	8	294	90	-7	+3	-1	-4	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3328	2995	691	118	24	79	250	779	58	125	24	231	302	365	668	135	284	23	8	301	90	-37	+14	-4	-20	+71	2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	135	23	5	15	49	152	11	24	5	231	302	364	666	133	285	23	8	301	90	-7	+3	-1	-4	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	4.8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
/162	664	12	20	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.5	1,658	41	58	233	302	373	-10	+0	2.5	2.5
/162	664	16	23	-4.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
RJ Austin (OGILVIE)	22	48→53	39→44	72→77	50	224/294/351	127	281	3	8	24%	7%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	46→54	43→50	61→55	45	223/282/346	122	298	9	28	27%	7%	77	-0.3	240/293/371	131	287	13	16	20%	7%	87	+0.4	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Peter Bourjos 2009 · A	22	49→55	42→50	60	37	237/270/352	115	307	9	27	26%	4%	74	-0.6	246/290/378	132	304	10	27	22%	5%	87	+0.4	251/300/396	145	307	11	28	21%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	46→55	49→55	58→55	37	233/270/393	160	293	16	19	27%	4%	84	+0.1	242/279/395	153	304	16	23	25%	4%	88	+0.4	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Mason Auer 2023 · A	22	46	46→45	63→60	43	228/289/362	134	305	13	29	29%	7%	84	+0.1	186/244/296	110	285	10	31	36%	6%	52	-2.2	158/217/258	100	251	9	37	39%	6%	30	-2.6
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	50→58	39→50	58→60	50	236/300/327	91	298	5	22	21%	8%	79	-0.2	247/302/345	98	313	7	27	22%	7%	84	+0.1	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→50	57→55	49	219/303/341	122	299	9	19	28%	10%	84	+0.2	220/282/334	114	289	10	21	26%	7%	75	-0.5	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Ryan Brett 2014 · AA	22	52→57	41→45	59→60	45	249/294/357	108	298	8	27	19%	5%	83	+0.1	241/278/343	102	295	8	18	20%	4%	74	-0.5	231/263/324	93	289	7	15	22%	3%	61	-0.8
✕Alex Castellanos 2009 · A	22	43→51	46→55	58→50	35	215/264/350	135	301	13	18	32%	4%	72	-0.7	217/269/350	133	312	11	15	33%	4%	74	-0.6	233/294/405	172	309	17	15	29%	6%	94	+0.7
●Fernando Perez 2006 · A	23	51→61	39→45	60	48	244/296/340	96	295	6	27	19%	7%	80	-0.2	258/323/356	98	357	6	26	27%	8%	94	+0.9	265/333/364	99	379	6	30	29%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	48	40	65→60	45	228/274/334	105	272	6	27	18%	6%	70	-0.8	246/275/326	80	306	3	23	20%	4%	68	-1.0	271/291/330	59	338	0	29	19%	2%	70	-0.3
✕Tyler Austin 2013 · A	21	53→56	49→60	59→45	41	257/309/419	162	347	14	17	29%	6%	104	+1.6	234/287/349	115	312	10	9	27%	6%	80	-0.2	229/290/423	195	307	24	3	33%	7%	96	+0.7
✕Clay Fuller 2009 · A	22	45	42→45	59→55	44	212/292/327	115	313	8	20	32%	8%	77	-0.3	208/277/318	110	293	11	18	31%	7%	70	-0.9	202/268/308	105	278	12	18	30%	7%	61	-1.1
✕Adalberto Santos 2012 · A	24	51→54	43→45	59→55	48	246/306/367	121	297	8	21	20%	7%	91	+0.6	255/316/349	94	318	6	20	20%	7%	90	+0.6	259/323/341	82	327	5	21	21%	8%	88	+0.2
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	49→55	59→55	47	205/293/360	155	287	16	24	33%	10%	86	+0.3	245/323/418	173	327	19	21	29%	9%	109	+2.0	229/312/387	159	297	19	21	28%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	41→45	63→65	42	213/260/314	102	267	8	35	24%	5%	61	-1.5	243/285/345	102	306	7	37	22%	5%	78	-0.3	254/296/351	97	318	7	41	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Shane Sasaki 2023 · A	23	52→56	44→45	61→60	42	239/301/357	117	355	11	32	34%	8%	86	+0.3	225/289/318	93	333	7	27	32%	8%	74	-0.6	213/279/286	73	314	4	32	31%	8%	60	-0.9
✕José Rodríguez 2023 · AA	22	51→52	45→50	58→55	43	249/286/376	126	289	12	28	18%	5%	85	+0.2	230/264/349	119	281	13	26	23%	4%	71	-0.8	224/253/334	110	274	13	27	24%	3%	60	-0.7
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	84	+0.1	252/304/335	83	284	5	13	13%	6%	82	-0.0	264/325/345	82	303	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→45	58→60	54	211/315/327	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	86	+0.3	215/313/338	123	273	13	33	24%	11%	88	+0.5	211/310/338	127	264	13	40	24%	11%	84	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps