RJ AustinOF Frederick Keys
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 199 lbs A+ HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.1 · 2031
wRC+†86
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .280 / .328
PA81
HR1
SB6
K%28
BB%7
MLB%0%
BAT: -1.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +2.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2031

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Arb-2$0.9M+1.0$9M+$8M
2031Arb-3$0.9M+1.1$10M+$9M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+1.0$10M+$9M
2033Ext / FA-deal$2M+0.9$4M+$3M
2034Ext / FA-deal$2M+0.7$4M+$1M
2035Ext / FA-deal$2M+0.4$2M+$0.1M
Totals $9M $39M +$30M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 ADelmarva Shorebirds 6860 14300 4142 91 .233.303.283.586 .050.304 216 .254 53 -4 +1 +0 -0 +2 -0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202622 A+Frederick Keys 5649 11122 4162 50 .224.309.449.758 .224.281 297 .305 92 -1 +1 +0 -0 +2 0.2
ROS22 MLBBAL 2523 4100 270 10 .174.240.217.457 .043.288 288 .281 73 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 0.0
TOT22 MLBBAL 8172 15222 6232 60 .208.287.375.662 .167.271 287 .298 86 -1 +1 +0 -0 +2 0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202723 MLB 11%BAL 174156 36624 14422 51 .231.302.372.674 .141.281 248 .299 87 -3 +1 +0 -1 +5 0.2
202824 MLB 26%BAL 288258 601038 24684 81 .233.308.388.695 .155.282 248 .307 93 -2 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.5
202925 MLB 44%BAL 357318 7513310 31835 101 .236.314.390.703 .154.284 239 .312 97 -1 +2 +0 -2 +10 0.8
203026 MLB 59%BAL 403360 8414312 35945 111 .233.310.389.699 .156.285 239 .314 99 -1 +2 +0 -2 +11 1.0
203127 MLB 76%BAL 425378 8915412 38996 121 .235.315.392.707 .156.285 239 .315 99 -1 +2 +0 -3 +12 1.1
203228 MLB 84%BAL 436388 9116412 391036 121 .235.314.389.703 .155.284 249 .313 98 -1 +2 -1 -3 +12 1.0
203329 MLB 90%BAL 434386 9015412 391046 111 .233.313.386.699 .153.283 249 .311 96 -2 +2 -1 -3 +12 0.9
203430 MLBBAL 430382 8815312 391046 100 .230.311.380.691 .149.282 249 .308 94 -3 +2 -2 -3 +12 0.7
203531 MLBBAL 420374 8414311 381035 70 .225.305.366.671 .142.280 259 .304 91 -4 +1 -3 -3 +12 0.4
203632 MLBBAL 403359 7913310 361015 50 .220.300.357.657 .136.279 259 .300 88 -6 +1 -4 -2 +11 0.1
203733 MLBBAL 375333 731239 34975 40 .219.301.354.655 .135.277 269 .294 83 -7 +1 -4 -2 +11 -0.2
203834 MLBBAL 331295 631028 29884 20 .214.293.342.635 .129.276 279 .288 78 -8 +0 -5 -2 +9 -0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 45694070 93015737120 402110761 1078 .229.307.374.681 .145.283 249 .305 92 -42 +18 -20 -27 +129 6.0
/ 162G 650579 13222517 571579 151 .228.307.371.678 .143.282 249 .305 92 -6 +3 -3 -4 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 ADelmarva Shorebirds 6857 15300 7102 91 .263.364.316.679 .053.319 1510 .310 95 -0 +1 +2 0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
RJ Austin (OGILVIE) 22 .215/.280/.328 .112.290 12 28% 7% 70 -0.0
Alex Call
2017 · A
22 47→48 42→50 48→50 43 .229/.285/.333 .104.290 912 24% 6% 72 -0.2 .197/.256/.302 .105.271 98 29% 6% 53 -1.5 .221/.325/.367.147.256161720%12%99+1.2
Rainel Rosario
2011 · A
22 42→51 45→50 46→50 44 .207/.283/.342 .135.296 119 32% 8% 74 -0.1 .210/.267/.310 .100.310 89 33% 7% 59 -1.1 .253/.308/.402.150.28519618%7%96+1.1
Justyn-Henry Malloy
2022 · A
22 46→56 45→50 48→45 47 .224/.294/.345 .121.300 1310 29% 9% 79 +0.3 .233/.321/.379 .146.324 185 31% 11% 100 +1.7 .234/.340/.391.157.32018530%12%109+2.0
Connor Norby
2022 · A
22 48→49 43→55 49→50 45 .228/.300/.340 .113.324 1011 31% 8% 81 +0.4 .238/.298/.405 .167.308 2011 28% 7% 97 +1.5 .239/.300/.413.174.310211129%7%97+1.5
Christopher Morel
2021 · A
22 43→46 43→60 45→50 37 .214/.254/.324 .110.290 109 29% 4% 56 -1.3 .215/.273/.390 .175.301 2214 35% 7% 82 +0.5 .224/.302/.431.208.280281030%9%102+1.8
Edward Olivares
2018 · A
22 42→52 47→55 51→55 39 .214/.266/.352 .138.266 1413 25% 4% 69 -0.4 .223/.265/.352 .129.280 1316 25% 4% 68 -0.5 .259/.316/.431.172.293201619%6%108+1.4
Jonathan India
2019 · A
22 43→51 45→50 51→50 45 .208/.290/.333 .125.296 1210 32% 8% 76 +0.0 .217/.304/.340 .123.297 1210 29% 9% 83 +0.6 .243/.342/.393.150.294171122%10%107+1.9
Mark Zagunis
2015 · A
22 48→53 41→45 55→50 47 .227/.299/.337 .110.295 714 24% 8% 79 +0.3 .237/.325/.365 .128.306 119 24% 10% 98 +1.6 .233/.329/.369.136.30312825%10%98+1.2
Johnathan Rodríguez
2022 · A
22 49→52 43→60 47→45 39 .234/.281/.342 .108.326 107 31% 6% 72 -0.2 .234/.284/.404 .170.340 215 36% 6% 91 +1.1 .250/.316/.429.179.34524433%8%107+1.9
Blaze Alexander
2021 · A
22 45→48 42→50 51→50 43 .218/.284/.328 .110.300 911 29% 7% 71 -0.3 .204/.275/.332 .128.317 1412 38% 7% 69 -0.4 .220/.308/.345.126.328131034%8%84+0.4
Ronarsy Ledesma
2015 · A
22 46 41→45 48→50 41 .222/.274/.327 .106.285 710 24% 5% 66 -0.6 .199/.244/.287 .088.315 88 38% 5% 43 -2.2 .176/.217/.234.058.29881042%4%14-1.4
José Osuna
2015 · A
22 44→54 43→55 46→45 41 .220/.260/.332 .112.270 108 23% 5% 61 -1.0 .238/.276/.367 .129.292 126 22% 5% 77 +0.1 .250/.298/.418.168.28617419%6%98+1.0
Dave Sappelt
2009 · A
22 45→55 43→50 49→55 42 .220/.262/.339 .119.277 107 24% 5% 63 -0.8 .252/.290/.365 .113.300 818 18% 5% 82 +0.5 .268/.307/.384.116.31281916%5%91+1.0
Nick Ahmed
2012 · A
22 43→53 39→55 50→55 45 .210/.267/.297 .088.269 613 24% 7% 55 -1.4 .217/.262/.301 .084.277 520 22% 5% 53 -1.5 .244/.306/.411.168.27818719%8%98+1.3
Christian Villanueva
2013 · A
22 44→45 44→55 48→50 39 .218/.271/.331 .113.279 1113 26% 4% 66 -0.6 .211/.259/.351 .140.267 156 27% 5% 66 -0.6 .222/.280/.396.173.25523323%6%86+0.6
Luken Baker
2019 · A
22 50→47 43→60 48→30 45 .240/.294/.352 .112.310 105 25% 7% 81 +0.4 .206/.267/.341 .135.285 143 31% 7% 67 -0.5 .209/.295/.433.224.24332029%10%102+1.5
Joe Benson
2010 · A
22 47→50 40→60 48→50 43 .219/.297/.314 .095.322 715 32% 8% 73 -0.1 .227/.297/.402 .175.313 1915 32% 7% 96 +1.5 .218/.286/.407.189.295201532%7%90+0.8
Jabari Henry
2013 · A
22 42→41 46→55 49→45 44 .212/.273/.344 .133.277 137 28% 7% 70 -0.3 .209/.287/.363 .154.271 176 28% 9% 82 +0.5 .193/.280/.360.167.25120630%10%75-0.0
Efrain Contreras
2009 · A
22 46 43→45 53→55 44 .225/.288/.337 .112.264 1113 19% 5% 76 +0.0 .205/.261/.289 .084.285 79 29% 6% 51 -1.7 .186/.239/.251.065.2756733%5%28-1.3
Matthew Lugo
2023 · A
22 46→48 45→55 52→50 40 .229/.272/.355 .127.290 1313 26% 5% 72 -0.2 .217/.264/.360 .143.297 1514 31% 5% 71 -0.3 .204/.254/.354.151.293161435%5%62-0.6