RJ AustinOF Frederick Keys
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 199 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION205 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .302 / .351
PA136
HR3
SB9
K%25
BB%7
BABIP288
ISO122
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +5.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +9.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.40.60.80.80.80.70.50.3+$32M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT54
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED79
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2032Arb-1$1M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Arb-2$2M+0.5$1M+$0.2M
2034Arb-3$1M+0.3$0.7M+$0.0M
Totals $8M $11M +$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 6860 14300 4142 91 233303283586 50304 216 259 56 — — — — — —
202521 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 6857 15300 7102 91 263364316679 53319 1510 310 95 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 A+BAL — 205181 40425 14488 263 221305348653 127269 237 282 74 -6 +4 +0 -1 +6 0.3
YTD22 A+BAL — 205174 45526 21368 263 259365414778 155291 1810 349 126 +6 +4 +0 -1 +6 1.5
ROS22 A+BAL 0% 136122 28413 10343 91 228302351653 122285 257 294 83 -3 +1 +0 -1 +4 0.2
ROS22 MLBBAL 0% 11 0000 000 00 289 00 281 74 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL22 A+BAL — 206182 40425 14488 263 220304346650 126267 237 282 74 -6 +4 +0 -1 +6 0.3
TOT22 A+BAL — 341303 68838 248211 354 224304349653 125277 247 287 78 -9 +5 +0 -2 +10 0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBBAL 35% 290262 611027 21705 122 233302366668 134286 247 298 86 -5 +2 +0 -2 +8 0.4
202824 MLBBAL 46% 375337 791339 28907 152 234306371677 136287 247 302 89 -5 +2 +0 -2 +11 0.6
202925 MLBBAL 52% 417375 8814311 31998 162 235307376683 141288 247 304 91 -4 +2 +0 -3 +12 0.8
203026 MLBBAL 54% 443398 9315311 341068 162 234307369676 136288 248 305 92 -4 +2 +0 -3 +13 0.8
203127 MLBBAL 54% 451405 9616312 351088 162 237310380691 143288 248 305 92 -4 +2 +0 -3 +13 0.8
203228 MLBBAL 54% 452406 9516312 351098 162 234307377684 143287 248 304 91 -5 +2 -1 -3 +13 0.7
203329 MLBBAL 53% 445399 9215311 351088 152 231305366671 135286 248 302 89 -5 +2 -1 -3 +13 0.5
203430 MLBBAL 52% 437392 9115311 341078 142 232306370676 138285 248 299 87 -6 +2 -2 -3 +12 0.3
203531 MLBBAL 52% 424381 8614210 331057 132 226299352651 126283 258 295 84 -8 +2 -3 -3 +12 0.1
202723 MLBBAL 35% 10091 20312 7242 41 220290341631 121290 247 288 79 -2 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.0
202824 MLBBAL 46% 173155 36614 13423 71 232304361665 129292 248 293 82 -3 +1 +0 -1 +5 0.1
202925 MLBBAL 52% 216194 46816 16524 81 237308381690 144292 247 295 84 -4 +1 +0 -1 +6 0.2
203026 MLBBAL 54% 240216 52926 18574 91 241311384695 144292 248 296 85 -4 +1 +0 -1 +7 0.3
203127 MLBBAL 54% 245220 53927 19594 91 241313395708 155292 248 296 85 -4 +1 +0 -1 +7 0.3
203228 MLBBAL 54% 245220 52926 19594 91 236309377686 141291 248 295 84 -4 +1 -0 -1 +7 0.2
203329 MLBBAL 53% 236212 49816 18574 81 231303363667 132291 248 293 83 -5 +1 -1 -1 +7 0.1
203430 MLBBAL 52% 229205 48816 18564 71 234308371679 137289 248 291 81 -5 +1 -1 -1 +6 -0.0
203531 MLBBAL 52% 221198 44715 17554 71 222297343640 121287 258 287 77 -6 +1 -1 -1 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 19061712 400671248 14546133 689 234306371677 137291 248 293 82 -38 +10 -4 -11 +54 1.1
/ 162G— — 650584 13623416 4915711 233 233304368672 135290 248 293 82 -13 +3 -1 -4 +18 0.4
Career— — 39383537 8231352697 30095072 15120 233306368673 135289 248 301 88 -52 +22 -7 -24 +112 5.2
/ 162G— — 650584 13522416 5015712 253 231305365670 134287 248 301 88 -9 +4 -1 -4 +18 0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 6857 15300 7102 91 263364316679 53319 1510 310 95 -0 +1 — — +2 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA
83,12781135251317406-20-48.98.7
/1626641729-4.2-0.81.9pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#5Damian Jacksonlast yr '06
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA
61,9302195248324354-6-53.63.6
/162664733-1.9-1.61.2pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,9064868233303369-11+02.72.5
/1626641724-4.0+0.00.9pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
RJ Austin (OGILVIE) 22 49→54 40→45 74→79 50 224/304/349 125277 835 24% 7% 78 +0.5 ————————— —————————
✕Masyn Winn
2023 · AA 		21 47→54 44→50 61→55 44 226/282/354 129300 928 27% 7% 76 +0.1 240/293/376 136286 1416 21% 7% 86 +0.8 254/312/374120299111118%7%92+1.0
●Peter Bourjos
2010 · AA 		23 51→56 42→50 62→60 42 245/287/363 119304 828 22% 5% 79 +0.3 243/292/385 142299 1224 22% 5% 88 +0.9 250/310/389140318121824%6%95+0.8
✕Mason Auer
2023 · A 		22 46 46→45 63→60 42 228/288/361 133305 1329 29% 7% 81 +0.4 187/243/297 110292 1031 37% 6% 46 -2.0 158/215/259101256103740%5%21-2.6
✕Pedro Toribio
2012 · A 		22 48 40 65→60 45 228/274/334 105272 627 18% 6% 66 -0.6 250/279/329 79309 323 19% 4% 66 -0.6 280/299/3385834402918%2%72-0.1
✕Johan Rojas
2023 · AA 		22 43→53 42→45 63→65 42 210/257/316 106264 935 24% 5% 56 -1.3 242/284/347 105305 837 22% 5% 74 -0.1 253/294/35310031874122%5%77+0.1
✕Wes Rogers
2016 · A 		22 47→48 38→40 65 43 223/280/308 85293 535 25% 6% 63 -0.8 217/271/302 85297 534 27% 6% 58 -1.2 209/263/2888028853628%6%48-1.5
✕Ceddanne Rafaela
2022 · A 		21 42→48 47→55 59→55 38 216/258/360 144272 1415 26% 4% 68 -0.5 239/275/399 160304 1822 27% 4% 85 +0.7 247/287/396150298152022%4%88+0.7
●Andrew Toles
2014 · A 		22 52→62 40→45 62→60 35 245/271/356 111332 529 28% 3% 70 -0.3 251/285/360 109329 626 24% 4% 78 +0.2 279/317/428149345131422%4%104+1.0
✕Ryan Brett
2014 · AA 		22 52→58 42→45 59→60 44 249/294/358 109301 827 20% 5% 82 +0.5 242/279/345 103296 818 20% 4% 72 -0.2 230/262/3269628781522%3%57-0.7
✕Shawn Payne
2013 · A 		24 56→60 41→45 64→55 53 264/342/371 107317 630 18% 9% 105 +2.1 219/289/324 105289 820 25% 8% 72 -0.2 199/271/30210326871927%8%57-0.9
●Fernando Perez
2006 · A 		23 51→61 39→45 60 48 244/296/340 96295 627 19% 7% 77 +0.1 258/322/357 99358 626 27% 8% 93 +1.3 264/332/36610237963029%9%95+1.3
✕Adalberto Santos
2012 · A 		24 49→53 42→45 60→55 48 238/296/355 118285 821 19% 7% 82 +0.5 249/310/347 98316 720 22% 7% 85 +0.7 253/316/3439032862123%8%84+0.3
✕Dalton Pompey
2015 · MLB 		22 52→59 41→45 62→55 46 245/305/357 112325 727 26% 8% 86 +0.8 246/301/342 96317 724 23% 7% 80 +0.4 249/306/3399031972523%7%79+0.2
✕Delino DeShields
2014 · A 		21 48→55 40→45 62→65 44 228/292/324 96309 737 27% 7% 72 -0.2 229/303/336 107310 835 26% 9% 80 +0.4 242/320/3399732363425%10%85+0.6
●Maikel Garcia
2022 · A 		22 49→59 39→50 58→60 50 232/296/323 91293 522 22% 8% 73 -0.1 247/302/350 103314 827 22% 7% 83 +0.6 263/322/38412230892717%8%99+1.8
✕Shane Sasaki
2023 · A 		23 52→56 44→40 61→60 42 240/303/358 117358 1132 34% 8% 86 +0.8 222/285/312 90334 727 33% 7% 66 -0.6 206/271/2767031043232%7%49-1.0
✕Alex Castellanos
2009 · A 		22 43→49 46→55 58→50 35 215/264/350 135301 1318 32% 4% 68 -0.5 217/268/352 135313 1115 33% 4% 70 -0.3 226/288/398173303171530%6%89+0.8
✕Anthony Norman
2009 · A 		24 47→42 47→50 62→55 52 231/311/376 145274 1324 21% 9% 95 +1.4 218/293/352 134280 1214 25% 8% 81 +0.4 210/282/33512529010929%7%71-0.1
✕Chris Garia
2016 · AAA 		23 48→55 42→40 64→60 38 231/270/340 109306 828 27% 4% 66 -0.6 215/261/329 114284 920 27% 5% 60 -1.0 179/221/29411523092226%5%30-1.0
✕John Raynor
2008 · A 		24 54→57 46→45 61→60 47 260/329/398 138338 1228 25% 8% 108 +2.3 239/302/355 116330 1027 29% 7% 85 +0.7 231/295/33710532292829%7%75+0.0