Jace LaViolette — OGILVIE

Jace LaVioletteOF Lake County Captains

Age 22 L/L 6'6" / 228 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION507 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP278

ISO166

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	22	A+ MLE	CLE	—	507	454	69	12	2	18	44	252	6	16	2	152	236	306	542	154	274	50	9	239	48	-31	+2	+0	-3	+11	-2.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	CLE	—	388	332	79	15	2	19	47	147	6	11	2	238	342	467	809	229	359	38	12	356	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	CLE	—	119	103	19	3	1	7	15	44	0	5	0	184	288	437	725	252	226	37	13	317	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	CLE	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		279	44	11	269	68	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	CLE	—	516	462	70	12	2	18	45	256	6	16	2	152	236	303	539	152	274	50	9	240	48	-32	+2	+0	-3	+11	-2.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	43%	548	489	93	17	2	21	48	217	6	12	2	190	271	362	633	172	283	40	9	282	77	-15	+2	+0	-3	+12	-0.5
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	58%	591	528	105	19	3	23	52	225	6	13	2	199	278	377	655	178	285	38	9	290	82	-12	+2	+0	-4	+13	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	615	548	111	20	3	25	55	228	7	14	2	203	284	387	670	184	286	37	9	295	86	-10	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	627	559	114	20	3	26	56	230	7	14	2	204	285	390	675	186	286	37	9	298	88	-9	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	629	560	114	20	3	26	57	232	7	14	2	204	285	389	675	186	286	37	9	298	88	-9	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	626	557	112	20	3	25	57	231	7	14	2	201	283	382	666	181	285	37	9	297	87	-10	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	617	548	110	19	3	25	57	229	7	13	2	201	284	383	668	182	284	37	9	295	86	-10	+2	-1	-4	+13	-0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	CLE	43%	238	212	40	7	1	9	21	94	3	5	1	189	271	358	630	170	282	39	9	273	77	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	58%	343	306	60	11	1	13	30	131	4	8	1	196	276	366	642	170	284	38	9	281	82	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	399	357	72	13	2	16	35	148	4	9	1	202	280	384	664	182	285	37	9	286	86	-7	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	427	381	77	14	2	17	38	157	5	10	2	202	283	383	666	181	285	37	9	289	88	-6	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	428	381	77	14	2	17	39	158	5	10	2	202	285	383	668	181	285	37	9	289	88	-6	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	426	379	77	14	2	17	39	157	5	9	2	203	286	385	671	182	284	37	9	288	87	-7	+1	-0	-3	+9	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	410	365	72	13	1	16	38	152	4	9	1	197	280	370	650	173	283	37	9	286	86	-7	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2671	2381	475	86	11	105	240	997	30	60	10	199	281	377	658	178	286	37	9	286	85	-46	+8	-1	-16	+58	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	116	21	3	26	58	243	7	15	2	200	281	382	662	181	288	37	9	286	85	-11	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4262	3797	760	135	20	171	383	1596	47	94	14	200	282	381	663	181	287	37	9	294	85	-76	+13	-2	-26	+92	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	116	21	3	26	58	243	7	14	2	200	281	382	662	181	288	37	9	294	85	-12	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	5.1	3,373	207	32	195	320	459	-29	-11	13.5	14.1
/162	664	41	6	-5.6	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 15
#3Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#4Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4.0	2,671	107	59	201	279	382	-16	+3	2.1	2.1
/162	664	27	15	-4.0	+0.7	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jace LaViolette (OGILVIE)	22	36→42	55→60	56	60	178/258/336	158	279	11	9	42%	9%	68	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Nelson 2006 · A	23	43→41	52→55	47→45	45	225/290/398	173	287	19	10	28%	8%	93	+0.8	214/284/388	174	304	20	6	34%	8%	88	+0.5	204/279/384	180	291	21	3	36%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	88	+0.5	208/282/344	136	276	15	19	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Derek Fisher 2016 · A	22	43→50	50→55	55	42	218/282/367	149	303	18	18	33%	8%	82	+0.0	229/299/385	156	321	18	19	32%	8%	93	+0.8	225/302/403	177	309	23	18	33%	9%	95	+0.7
✕George Valera 2022 · AA	21	43→40	51→50	49→45	51	217/316/377	160	294	20	12	32%	11%	98	+1.2	207/288/352	145	288	17	6	32%	10%	82	-0.0	215/282/349	134	280	16	5	28%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Jarred Kelenic 2021 · AA	22	44→54	53→60	53→50	42	230/285/405	175	295	20	14	29%	7%	92	+0.7	223/288/402	179	283	21	13	28%	8%	93	+0.8	223/292/404	181	286	20	15	29%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→45	50	51→45	45	210/316/367	157	290	18	7	32%	8%	97	+1.1	216/320/366	150	270	16	7	25%	8%	98	+1.2	214/321/360	146	266	16	7	24%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Nicky Delmonico 2014 · A	22	39→47	48→50	48→45	46	203/280/344	141	266	16	8	30%	9%	77	-0.3	216/272/353	137	293	13	6	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/299/381	151	284	16	4	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Keegan McGovern 2019 · A	23	44	53→60	47→30	40	227/282/399	172	310	21	5	33%	6%	91	+0.6	199/274/353	154	316	19	5	41%	7%	78	-0.3	160/251/301	141	268	19	5	44%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Addison Barger 2022 · A	22	40→45	50→55	52→45	36	200/265/354	154	321	18	7	41%	7%	74	-0.6	219/281/370	151	299	18	7	31%	7%	83	+0.1	218/289/380	162	269	18	6	25%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2022 · A	20	38→40	54→55	50→40	51	205/308/389	184	250	22	8	27%	10%	98	+1.2	204/267/371	167	284	22	5	35%	7%	78	-0.3	209/275/391	181	265	24	2	30%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Sergio Pedroza 2006 · A	22	41→47	54→60	51→45	38	217/277/394	178	297	23	6	35%	6%	88	+0.4	226/310/407	181	301	21	5	30%	9%	103	+1.5	223/310/396	173	295	20	5	30%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Ryan Costello 2018 · A	22	46→39	50	50→30	44	228/293/387	159	316	16	6	32%	8%	91	+0.7	203/278/344	141	279	16	3	31%	9%	76	-0.4	187/268/327	140	252	16	1	31%	10%	67	-0.9
✕Alex Binelas 2022 · A	22	47→43	52→50	46→50	41	234/292/399	165	325	20	6	33%	7%	94	+0.9	193/257/351	158	280	20	10	37%	8%	70	-0.9	219/299/362	143	313	18	8	34%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Chris Lubanski 2006 · A	21	45→50	55	54→45	38	237/278/423	186	303	23	10	30%	5%	94	+0.9	227/279/379	152	294	15	7	27%	7%	84	+0.1	216/271/362	146	282	14	6	28%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Joey Wiemer 2022 · A	23	45→44	54→55	54→55	45	235/308/409	174	306	23	19	30%	8%	102	+1.5	211/280/354	143	291	16	19	31%	8%	79	-0.2	197/270/324	127	275	13	20	32%	8%	66	-0.8
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43	48→55	56→50	47	211/301/358	147	306	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.4	216/294/377	161	276	19	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	211/292/376	165	256	20	8	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Daniel Palka 2016 · A	24	40→43	54→55	50	39	212/268/389	176	296	22	11	36%	7%	82	+0.0	215/265/381	166	303	22	7	35%	6%	79	-0.2	207/276/382	174	264	24	4	31%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	44	48→55	51→45	44	220/290/372	152	284	15	6	27%	7%	87	+0.4	226/287/341	115	299	8	7	26%	6%	78	-0.3	221/280/392	172	282	21	5	29%	5%	85	+0.1
●Jerry Sands 2010 · A	22	41→46	55→60	50→45	45	221/288/405	184	277	24	4	29%	8%	94	+0.9	230/295/415	185	284	23	7	27%	8%	99	+1.2	223/290/403	180	273	23	6	27%	8%	94	+0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps