Alex Binelas

1B Reading Fightin Phils
Age 27 L/R 6'2" / 225 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AABOS350.252/.357/.40981375—.218/.297/.333
202525AAA/AA2 orgs310.264/.375/.42910290—.237/.319/.358
202626AAPHI479.267/.384/.50926596—.226/.310/.407
2027PROJMLE27MLBPHI3.212/.296/.3710085-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB28MLBPHI60.211/.294/.3682184-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO87
BB%87
wOBA85
wRC+82
Chase%62
Speed37
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%
CompsTravis Blankenhorn (age 27) · Josh Ockimey (age 26) · Matt Clark (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .296 / .371
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%10
BABIP297
ISO152
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202121 ACarolina Mudcats — 132118 371109 12331 00 3143826361.017 322364 259 434 103 — — — — — —
202121 ROKACL Brewers Gold — 2721 6000 561 11 286444286730 400 2219 358 55 — — — — — —
202222 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 241211 3510111 25781 00 166257379637 213192 3210 279 36 — — — — — —
202222 A+Greenville Drive — 259216 5310114 38691 80 245361495856 250285 2715 371 86 — — — — — —
202323 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 328296 6618216 301151 132 223297459756 236301 359 331 55 — — — — — —
202424 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 350298 751358 46873 130 252357409767 158325 2513 343 75 — — — — — —
202525 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 4135 9102 4172 11 257366457823 200438 4110 369 71 — — — — — —
202525 AAReading Fightin Phils — 269226 601018 39731 10 265376425801 159351 2714 357 93 — — — — — —
202626 AAReading Fightin Phils — 479401 10715226 721404 50 267384509892 242342 2915 392 96 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202121 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 132122 29707 8451 00 238290467757 230306 346 321 103 — — — — — —
202121 ROK MLEACL Brewers Gold — 2723 5000 391 11 217333217551 322 3311 250 55 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 241218 30818 18961 00 138207294500 156181 407 221 36 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 259231 478113 23851 80 203278416694 212241 339 296 86 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 328306 5513211 201401 132 180232343576 163278 436 250 55 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 350312 681046 321033 130 218297333630 115293 299 279 75 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 4136 7101 3202 11 194293306598 111381 497 273 71 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLEReading Fightin Phils — 269238 58916 27881 10 244323366689 122344 3310 305 93 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEReading Fightin Phils — 479425 9613220 481714 50 226310407717 181315 3610 310 96 — — — — — —
202121 A MLE2 teams — 159145 34707 11542 11 234297428725 193318 347 309 95 — — — — — —
202121 A RAW2 teams — 159139 431109 17392 11 309392583975 273370 2511 421 95 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLE2 teams — 500449 7716221 411812 80 171244356600 185220 368 260 62 — — — — — —
202222 A+ RAW2 teams — 500427 8820225 631472 80 206311438749 232240 2913 327 62 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 328306 5513211 201401 132 180232343576 163282 436 250 55 — — — — — —
202323 AA RAWPortland Sea Dogs — 328296 6618216 301151 132 223297459756 236301 359 331 55 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 350312 681046 321033 130 218297333630 115301 299 279 75 — — — — — —
202424 AA RAWPortland Sea Dogs — 350298 751358 46873 130 252357409767 158325 2513 343 75 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLE2 teams — 310274 651017 301083 21 237319358677 120358 3510 301 90 — — — — — —
202525 AA RAW2 teams — 310261 6911110 43903 21 264375429804 165360 2914 359 90 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEReading Fightin Phils — 479425 9613220 481714 50 226310407717 181322 3610 310 96 — — — — — —
202626 AA RAWReading Fightin Phils — 479401 10715226 721404 50 267384509892 242342 2915 392 96 — — — — — —
202121 A MLE2 teams — 159145 34707 11542 11 234297428725 193309 347 309 95 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLE2 teams — 500453 7716221 411812 80 170244353597 183212 368 260 62 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 328304 5513211 201401 132 181232345578 164278 436 250 55 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 350312 681046 321033 130 218297333630 115293 299 279 75 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLE2 teams — 310274 651017 301083 21 237319358677 120349 3510 301 90 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEReading Fightin Phils — 479424 9613220 481714 50 226310408718 182315 3610 310 96 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 350312 681046 321033 130 218297333630 115293 299 279 75 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLE2 teams — 310274 651017 301083 21 237319358677 120349 3510 301 90 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEReading Fightin Phils — 479424 9613220 481714 50 226310408718 182315 3610 310 96 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLEPHI 2% 380337 7110213 371313 41 209293361654 152295 3410 294 85 -7 +0 +0 -7 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXPHI 2% 33 0000 010 00 212296371667 160297 330 298 85 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLEPHI 27% 222196 41617 22762 20 209292358651 150293 3410 292 84 -4 +0 -1 -4 +5 -0.4
202828 MLB CTXPHI 27% 6054 11202 6210 10 211294368663 157295 3510 297 84 -1 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 6054 11202 6210 10 204283352635 148290 3510 297 78 -1 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 12022022 652280 110 205285356640 150293 3510 297 78 -12 +2 -2 -12 +14 -1.0
Career— MLE — 25032245 465791384 21988718 464 207283366649 159295 359 284 78 -7 +1 -1 -7 +8 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 12121322 572305 121 208284367651 160295 359 284 78 -12 +1 -1 -12 +14 -1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAReading Fightin Phils · 479 PAwOBA .382 → .310 (−72)K% 29.2% → 35.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.23%÷1.000×1.220——35.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.61%÷1.000×0.700—×0.98810.11%
HBP% /PA0.84%—×0.850—×0.9880.70%
Singles /BIP24.52%÷1.000×0.970×1.007×0.98823.67%
Doubles /BIP5.75%÷1.000×0.860×1.007×0.9884.92%
Triples /BIP0.77%÷1.000×0.950×1.007×0.9880.72%
Home runs /BIP9.96%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9887.68%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .382 → .310; ISO .242 → .188; BABIP .342 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAReading Fightin Phils · 269 PAwOBA .351 → .305 (−46)K% 27.1% → 32.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.14%÷1.016×1.220——32.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.13%÷0.982×0.700—×0.99810.05%
HBP% /PA0.37%—×0.850—×0.9980.32%
Singles /BIP26.80%÷0.968×0.970×1.020×0.99827.34%
Doubles /BIP6.54%÷1.004×0.860×1.020×0.9985.70%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷0.959×0.950×1.020×0.9980.66%
Home runs /BIP5.23%÷1.036×0.780—×0.9983.93%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .351 → .305; ISO .159 → .128; BABIP .351 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 41 PAwOBA .359 → .273 (−86)K% 41.5% → 49.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA41.46%÷1.013×1.200——49.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.76%÷1.042×0.690—×1.0336.67%
HBP% /PA4.88%—×0.940—×1.0334.74%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.060×0.930—×1.03330.20%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷0.991×0.830—×1.0334.81%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970—×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP11.11%÷0.984×0.700—×1.0338.16%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .359 → .273; ISO .200 → .135; BABIP .438 → .381. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 350 PAwOBA .337 → .279 (−59)K% 24.9% → 29.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.86%÷1.033×1.220——29.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.14%÷1.025×0.700—×1.0129.08%
HBP% /PA0.86%—×0.850—×1.0120.74%
Singles /BIP23.22%÷1.004×0.970×0.984×1.01222.36%
Doubles /BIP6.16%÷1.165×0.860×0.984×1.0124.53%
Triples /BIP2.37%÷1.150×0.950×0.984×1.0121.95%
Home runs /BIP3.79%÷1.018×0.780—×1.0122.94%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 101, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .337 → .279; ISO .158 → .123; BABIP .325 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 328 PAwOBA .321 → .250 (−71)K% 35.1% → 42.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.06%÷1.000×1.220——42.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.84%÷1.032×0.700—×1.0276.16%
HBP% /PA0.30%—×0.850—×1.0270.27%
Singles /BIP16.57%÷0.972×0.970×1.009×1.02717.15%
Doubles /BIP9.94%÷1.144×0.860×1.009×1.0277.75%
Triples /BIP1.10%÷0.900×0.950×1.009×1.0271.21%
Home runs /BIP8.84%÷1.048×0.780—×1.0276.76%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 94, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .321 → .250; ISO .236 → .171; BABIP .301 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Greenville Drive · 259 PAwOBA .367 → .296 (−72)K% 26.6% → 32.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.64%÷1.059×1.310——32.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.67%÷1.001×0.600—×1.0128.90%
HBP% /PA0.39%—×0.770—×1.0120.30%
Singles /BIP19.05%÷1.005×0.870×1.003×1.01216.75%
Doubles /BIP6.80%÷1.000×0.780×1.003×1.0125.39%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷1.150×0.850×1.003×1.0120.51%
Home runs /BIP9.52%÷0.996×0.880—×1.0128.52%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 112, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .367 → .296; ISO .250 → .222; BABIP .285 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 241 PAwOBA .275 → .221 (−54)K% 32.4% → 39.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.37%÷0.994×1.220——39.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.37%÷1.026×0.700—×1.0427.37%
HBP% /PA0.41%—×0.850—×1.0420.37%
Singles /BIP9.77%÷0.983×0.970×1.015×1.04210.20%
Doubles /BIP7.52%÷1.066×0.860×1.015×1.0426.41%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷1.150×0.950×1.015×1.0420.66%
Home runs /BIP8.27%÷1.004×0.780—×1.0426.69%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .275 → .221; ISO .213 → .167; BABIP .192 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ACarolina Mudcats · 132 PAwOBA .425 → .321 (−104)K% 25.0% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.996×1.360——34.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.017×0.690—×1.0156.26%
HBP% /PA0.76%—×0.780—×1.0150.60%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.990×0.920×1.006×1.01518.98%
Doubles /BIP12.94%÷1.177×0.830×1.006×1.0159.32%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.052×0.910×1.006×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP10.59%÷0.974×0.800—×1.0158.82%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 135, 3B 110, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .425 → .321; ISO .322 → .236; BABIP .364 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).