Alex Binelas — OGILVIE

Alex Binelas1B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 26 L/R 6'2" / 225 lbs AA HR +11%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.5 · 2026

wRC+†105

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .274 / .338

PA250

HR7

SB5

K%36

BB%9

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

45→45

SPD

40→40

EYE

55↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-3M		$-19M	-$16M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	2 teams	159	145	35	7	0	8	11	53	2	1	1	.241	.304	.455	.759	.214	.318	33	7	.316	100	-0	-0	+0	-3	+5	0.1
2022	22	A+	2 teams	500	450	76	16	1	22	40	185	2	8	0	.169	.240	.356	.595	.187	.216	37	8	.256	54	-26	+2	+0	-9	+14	-1.9
2023	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	328	306	53	12	2	12	20	147	1	13	2	.173	.226	.343	.569	.170	.277	45	6	.247	47	-20	+2	+0	-6	+9	-1.5
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	350	312	66	10	3	7	32	108	3	13	0	.212	.291	.330	.621	.119	.295	31	9	.272	66	-13	+3	+0	-6	+10	-0.7
2025	25	AA	2 teams	310	274	63	9	1	8	30	112	3	2	1	.230	.313	.358	.670	.128	.350	36	10	.301	88	-4	+0	+0	-6	+9	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	59	49	12	2	0	7	7	17	1	1	0	.245	.351	.714	1.065	.469	.185	29	12	.416	176	+5	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.6
ROS	26	MLB	PHI	191	170	35	6	1	7	17	67	2	4	0	.206	.286	.376	.662	.171	.278	35	9	.293	83	-4	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
TOT	26	MLB	PHI	250	219	47	8	1	14	24	84	3	5	0	.215	.301	.452	.753	.237	.266	34	10	.322	105	+1	+1	+0	-4	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 11%	PHI	324	286	59	10	1	12	32	99	3	6	1	.206	.293	.374	.667	.168	.266	31	10	.301	88	-4	+1	+0	-6	+9	-0.0
2028	28	MLB 22%	PHI	355	314	67	12	2	13	35	107	3	6	0	.213	.298	.389	.687	.175	.268	30	10	.301	89	-5	+1	-1	-6	+10	-0.0
2029	29	MLB 34%	PHI	365	323	68	12	2	13	36	109	3	5	0	.211	.296	.381	.676	.170	.269	30	10	.300	88	-5	+1	-1	-7	+10	-0.2
2030	30	MLB 44%	PHI	372	330	69	12	2	13	36	112	3	4	0	.209	.293	.376	.668	.167	.268	30	10	.298	86	-6	+1	-2	-7	+11	-0.3
2031	31	MLB 53%	PHI	363	322	66	12	1	12	35	111	3	3	0	.205	.289	.360	.649	.155	.266	31	10	.294	83	-7	+1	-3	-6	+10	-0.5
2032	32	MLB 64%	PHI	348	308	62	11	1	12	34	108	3	1	0	.201	.287	.360	.647	.159	.264	31	10	.289	80	-8	+0	-4	-6	+10	-0.8
2033	33	MLB 74%	PHI	320	283	56	10	1	10	31	102	3	0	0	.198	.284	.346	.630	.148	.262	32	10	.284	75	-9	+0	-4	-6	+9	-1.0
2034	34	MLB 91%	PHI	278	247	47	8	1	8	27	91	2	0	0	.190	.275	.328	.603	.138	.260	33	10	.277	70	-9	+0	-5	-5	+8	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4563	4070	822	147	19	157	416	1511	36	66	5	.202	.282	.363	.645	.161	.273	33	9	.286	77	-120	+11	-20	-81	+129	-8.2
/ 162G	—			650	580	117	21	3	22	59	215	5	9	1	.202	.281	.362	.643	.160	.274	33	9	.286	77	-17	+1	-3	-12	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	132	118	37	11	0	9	12	33	1	0	0	.314	.382	.636	1.017	.322	.364	25	9	.434	191	+14	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
2021	21	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	27	21	6	0	0	0	5	6	1	1	1	.286	.444	.286	.730	.000	.400	22	19	.358	132	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	241	211	35	10	1	11	25	78	1	0	0	.166	.257	.379	.637	.213	.192	32	10	.279	72	-8	+0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	259	216	53	10	1	14	38	69	1	8	0	.245	.361	.495	.856	.250	.285	27	15	.371	142	+12	+2	—	—	+7	2.2
2023	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	328	296	66	18	2	16	30	115	1	13	2	.223	.297	.459	.756	.236	.301	35	9	.331	111	+4	+2	—	—	+9	1.6
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	350	298	75	13	5	8	46	87	3	13	0	.252	.357	.409	.767	.158	.325	25	13	.343	121	+8	+3	—	—	+10	2.1
2025	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	41	35	9	1	0	2	4	17	2	1	1	.257	.366	.457	.823	.200	.438	41	10	.369	141	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	25	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	269	226	60	10	1	8	39	73	1	1	0	.265	.376	.425	.801	.159	.351	27	14	.357	132	+10	+0	—	—	+8	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Binelas (OGILVIE)	26	45	45	40	60	.199/.274/.338	.139	.292	7	5	36%	9%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Carlos Cortes 2023 · AAA	26	39→49	48→55	41→40	40	.204/.258/.348	.144	.273	16	3	31%	6%	65	-0.7	.215/.283/.370	.155	.267	18	4	26%	8%	82	+0.5	.223/.296/.393	.171	.258	21	3	22%	9%	91	+0.7
✕Josh Ockimey 2022 · AAA	26	38→46	51→50	43→30	48	.196/.291/.355	.159	.286	20	3	37%	11%	82	+0.5	.203/.290/.349	.146	.301	17	5	35%	11%	79	+0.3	.184/.281/.333	.150	.264	17	3	35%	11%	69	-0.4
✕Nick Maton 2023 · MLB	26	44→41	47→50	48→45	47	.217/.294/.358	.141	.288	13	7	28%	9%	83	+0.6	.217/.305/.366	.149	.274	17	5	26%	10%	90	+1.0	.205/.305/.354	.149	.253	18	3	26%	11%	84	+0.3
✕Mike Costanzo 2010 · AAA	26	44→48	46→50	42→40	41	.218/.276/.346	.128	.314	13	3	34%	7%	72	-0.2	.213/.270/.345	.132	.306	13	5	33%	7%	69	-0.4	.208/.268/.346	.138	.291	15	4	32%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	44→45	45→55	45	.202/.287/.319	.117	.301	13	8	35%	9%	71	-0.3	.224/.301/.331	.107	.295	10	18	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.230/.306/.325	.095	.290	9	25	22%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Erik Castro 2014 · AA	26	43	50	37→40	41	.221/.281/.373	.152	.309	19	4	34%	7%	82	+0.5	.210/.273/.336	.126	.295	14	5	32%	8%	69	-0.4	.144/.224/.225	.080	.207	9	0	33%	9%	16	-1.1
✕Mike Papi 2019 · AAA	26	44→47	46→45	45	49	.220/.298/.347	.127	.290	13	5	28%	9%	82	+0.5	.217/.284/.324	.107	.302	9	7	29%	8%	69	-0.4	.167/.226/.209	.042	.248	0	0	30%	6%	12	-0.7
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2017 · AAA	26	46	48→50	47→45	39	.230/.275/.372	.142	.311	17	9	31%	6%	78	+0.2	.225/.272/.359	.134	.312	15	9	32%	6%	73	-0.1	.221/.269/.352	.131	.311	14	8	32%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Baltazar Lopez 2010 · AAA	26	49	46→50	45	38	.243/.281/.372	.129	.321	14	9	29%	4%	81	+0.4	.229/.264/.351	.122	.334	13	8	34%	4%	68	-0.5	.228/.280/.372	.144	.335	18	0	36%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Gabe Matthews 2023 · AAA	25	37→41	48→50	47→40	41	.188/.271/.327	.138	.287	15	5	38%	8%	66	-0.6	.206/.299/.338	.132	.309	15	5	35%	9%	82	+0.5	.200/.311/.326	.126	.298	15	2	34%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Cooper Hummel 2021 · AA	26	42→49	48→50	41→55	47	.208/.302/.346	.138	.292	16	6	32%	10%	85	+0.7	.225/.320/.376	.151	.301	14	11	27%	11%	98	+1.6	.217/.330/.365	.148	.295	13	19	28%	12%	98	+1.1
✕Matt Curry 2014 · AA	26	47→50	47→50	47→40	41	.228/.285/.368	.139	.319	13	6	32%	7%	81	+0.4	.219/.264/.335	.116	.317	12	7	33%	6%	63	-0.8	.208/.250/.304	.096	.296	11	2	32%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	40	46→50	49→50	45	.202/.285/.330	.128	.282	15	9	32%	9%	72	-0.2	.215/.302/.373	.158	.297	19	5	32%	9%	92	+1.2	.211/.305/.392	.181	.283	23	1	32%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Brad Nelson 2008 · AAA	25	43→48	46→50	43→50	45	.219/.280/.349	.129	.282	14	9	27%	8%	75	-0.0	.217/.278/.359	.142	.258	17	9	22%	8%	76	+0.1	.215/.284/.369	.153	.257	19	2	24%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Ben Paulsen 2014 · AAA	26	43→53	47→55	41→40	36	.216/.256/.357	.140	.300	15	3	33%	5%	66	-0.6	.230/.279/.381	.151	.319	16	4	31%	6%	82	+0.5	.229/.281/.375	.146	.309	15	2	30%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Marc Krauss 2014 · MLB	26	42→52	49→55	44→45	49	.215/.295/.371	.156	.278	17	6	28%	10%	87	+0.8	.210/.285/.340	.130	.282	14	5	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.191/.269/.308	.117	.262	14	2	31%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Darick Hall 2021 · AA	26	39→38	50→55	48→40	40	.204/.275/.359	.154	.271	18	5	31%	6%	76	+0.1	.216/.279/.389	.173	.268	21	4	27%	7%	85	+0.7	.219/.280/.401	.183	.261	25	2	27%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Jon Kemmer 2017 · AAA	26	46→54	51→55	45→50	40	.231/.287/.393	.163	.314	18	9	32%	6%	89	+1.0	.223/.291/.390	.167	.313	20	8	34%	7%	91	+1.1	.218/.295/.397	.179	.298	23	5	33%	7%	91	+0.7
✕Jason Cooper 2007 · AAA	26	40→39	50→55	44→45	40	.208/.265/.364	.157	.282	18	6	33%	6%	72	-0.2	.214/.279/.366	.152	.276	14	8	26%	7%	79	+0.3	.217/.291/.379	.162	.266	13	7	23%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Daniel Palka 2018 · AAA	26	41→43	53→60	47→50	37	.215/.262/.383	.168	.298	22	9	35%	6%	76	+0.0	.219/.277/.401	.182	.288	25	4	32%	7%	87	+0.8	.212/.281/.401	.189	.265	26	4	30%	8%	87	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)