Alex Binelas — OGILVIE

Alex Binelas1B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 26 L/R 6'2" / 225 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION479 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP308

ISO144

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	132	118	37	11	0	9	12	33	1	0	0	314	382	636	1.017	322	364	25	9	434	180	+13	+0	—	—	+3	1.6
2021	21	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	27	21	6	0	0	0	5	6	1	1	1	286	444	286	730		400	22	19	358	128	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	241	211	35	10	1	11	25	78	1	0	0	166	257	379	637	213	192	32	10	279	75	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	259	216	53	10	1	14	38	69	1	8	0	245	361	495	856	250	285	27	15	371	137	+12	+2	—	—	+6	1.9
2023	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	328	296	66	18	2	16	30	115	1	13	2	223	297	459	756	236	301	35	9	331	110	+4	+2	—	—	+7	1.3
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	350	298	75	13	5	8	46	87	3	13	0	252	357	409	767	158	325	25	13	343	118	+8	+3	—	—	+8	1.8
2025	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	41	35	9	1	0	2	4	17	2	1	1	257	366	457	823	200	438	41	10	369	136	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	25	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	269	226	60	10	1	8	39	73	1	1	0	265	376	425	801	159	351	27	14	357	128	+9	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	132	122	29	7	0	7	8	45	1	0	0	238	290	467	757	230	301	34	6	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	27	23	5	0	0	0	3	9	1	1	1	217	333	217	551		327	33	11	253	57	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	241	219	29	8	1	8	17	96	1	0	0	132	198	288	486	155	170	40	7	212	30	-20	+0	—	—	+5	-1.5
2022	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	259	229	46	8	1	11	25	87	1	8	0	201	282	389	671	188	249	34	10	293	84	-5	+2	—	—	+6	0.2
2023	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	328	307	53	13	2	11	19	140	1	13	2	173	223	336	559	163	265	43	6	242	50	-20	+2	—	—	+7	-1.1
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	350	313	66	10	4	6	31	103	3	13	0	211	288	326	614	115	282	29	9	272	70	-12	+3	—	—	+8	-0.2
2025	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	41	36	7	1	0	1	3	20	2	1	1	194	293	306	598	111	368	49	7	266	66	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	269	238	57	9	1	6	27	88	1	1	0	239	320	361	681	122	336	33	10	301	90	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.3
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	159	145	33	7	0	7	11	54	2	1	1	228	291	421	712	193	306	34	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	159	139	43	11	0	9	17	39	2	1	1	309	392	583	975	273	370	25	11	421	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	500	448	76	16	2	20	42	183	2	8	0	170	244	348	592	179	222	37	8	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	500	427	88	20	2	25	63	147	2	8	0	206	311	438	749	232	240	29	13	327	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	328	307	53	13	2	11	19	140	1	13	2	173	223	336	559	163	268	43	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	328	296	66	18	2	16	30	115	1	13	2	223	297	459	756	236	301	35	9	331	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	350	313	66	10	4	6	31	103	3	13	0	211	288	326	614	115	290	29	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	350	298	75	13	5	8	46	87	3	13	0	252	357	409	767	158	325	25	13	343	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	310	275	64	10	1	7	29	108	3	2	1	233	313	353	665	120	350	35	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	310	261	69	11	1	10	43	90	3	2	1	264	375	429	804	165	360	29	14	359	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	159	145	33	7	0	7	11	54	2	1	1	228	291	421	712	193	305	34	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	500	452	76	16	2	20	42	183	2	8	0	168	244	345	589	177	211	37	8	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	328	305	53	13	2	11	19	140	1	13	2	174	223	338	561	164	265	43	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	350	313	66	10	4	6	31	103	3	13	0	211	288	326	614	115	282	29	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	310	275	64	10	1	7	29	108	3	2	1	233	313	353	665	120	340	35	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	328	305	53	13	2	11	19	140	1	13	2	174	223	338	561	164	265	43	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	350	313	66	10	4	6	31	103	3	13	0	211	288	326	614	115	282	29	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	310	275	64	10	1	7	29	108	3	2	1	233	313	353	665	120	340	35	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	PHI	—	479	425	95	13	2	20	48	171	4	5	0	224	308	405	713	181	318	36	10	310	96	-2	+1	+0	-9	+10	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA RAW	PHI	—	479	401	107	15	2	26	72	140	4	5	0	267	384	509	892	242	342	29	15	392	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AA MLE	PHI	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		305	33	11	301	90	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AA MLE	PHI	—	488	433	96	13	2	20	49	174	4	5	0	222	307	400	706	178	315	36	10	310	96	-2	+1	+0	-9	+11	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PHI	27%	504	446	97	15	2	18	49	171	4	5	0	217	301	381	682	164	301	34	10	303	91	-5	+1	+0	-9	+11	-0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	PHI	40%	524	464	101	16	2	18	51	174	4	5	0	218	301	377	678	159	300	33	10	303	91	-5	+1	-1	-9	+11	-0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	PHI	45%	533	472	102	16	2	18	52	175	4	5	0	216	299	373	672	157	298	33	10	302	90	-6	+1	-1	-10	+12	-0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	PHI	27%	135	120	27	4	1	5	13	46	1	1	0	225	306	400	706	175	305	34	10	304	91	-1	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	PHI	40%	209	185	41	6	1	8	20	69	2	2	0	222	304	395	699	173	303	33	10	304	91	-2	+0	-0	-4	+5	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	PHI	45%	238	211	47	7	1	9	23	78	2	2	0	223	305	393	698	171	301	33	10	302	90	-3	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	582	516	115	17	3	22	56	193	5	5	0	223	305	395	700	172	306	33	10	303	79	-6	+1	-1	-10	+13	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	129	19	3	25	63	216	6	6	0	224	307	398	705	174	308	33	10	303	79	-7	+1	-1	-12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3217	2878	593	103	15	105	285	1111	23	52	4	206	283	362	645	156	289	35	9	285	79	-17	+3	-2	-28	+34	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	120	21	3	21	58	224	5	11	1	206	284	361	645	155	289	34	9	285	79	-7	+1	-1	-12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#4Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	3.4	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
/162	664	17	4	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.9	588	20	6	218	297	378	-10	-2	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	23	7	-11.9	-1.7	-0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Binelas (OGILVIE)	26	45	45	40	60	213/295/374	161	305	9	3	35%	10%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Evan White 2022 · MLB	26	41→51	52→50	43→40	41	214/272/372	157	286	21	5	32%	7%	80	-0.1	214/281/376	162	272	20	7	28%	8%	84	+0.2	162/239/356	193	176	26	0	27%	8%	61	-0.3
✕Marc Krauss 2014 · MLB	26	43→51	49→50	44→45	50	218/298/368	150	278	16	7	27%	10%	88	+0.5	210/285/342	132	283	14	5	29%	9%	78	-0.3	194/271/316	123	265	14	2	31%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Jeff Larish 2010 · MLB	27	45→44	50→55	40→45	49	228/305/384	155	292	18	5	27%	9%	95	+1.0	218/287/374	156	298	18	4	31%	8%	86	+0.3	202/272/357	155	278	18	2	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Erik Castro 2014 · AA	26	44→46	50	37→40	42	225/284/375	150	310	18	4	33%	7%	85	+0.2	212/275/333	121	296	13	6	31%	8%	72	-0.7	145/225/223	78	208	9	0	33%	9%	26	-1.1
✕Cooper Hummel 2021 · AA	26	42→49	47→50	42→55	48	210/303/342	133	289	15	6	31%	10%	86	+0.3	227/320/372	145	302	13	12	27%	11%	98	+1.2	215/328/356	141	293	12	19	28%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Josh Ockimey 2022 · AAA	26	38→45	47→50	44→30	48	191/286/323	132	288	16	3	37%	11%	75	-0.5	202/288/337	135	299	15	6	34%	11%	78	-0.3	180/275/317	137	258	15	3	34%	11%	67	-0.9
✕Danny Putnam 2009 · MLB	26	44→53	47→50	43→45	46	222/292/362	140	284	15	6	27%	8%	85	+0.2	221/282/361	140	280	16	9	26%	7%	81	-0.1	210/268/343	133	258	16	8	25%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Travis Ishikawa 2010 · MLB	26	48→49	51→55	45	46	245/307/404	159	306	18	6	26%	8%	101	+1.4	241/308/374	133	308	13	6	24%	8%	93	+0.8	238/309/373	135	313	13	1	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Jon Kemmer 2017 · AAA	26	46→56	50→55	44→50	40	230/286/387	157	316	17	9	32%	6%	88	+0.5	222/291/385	163	313	19	8	33%	7%	91	+0.6	215/292/388	173	297	22	5	33%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Daniel Palka 2018 · AAA	26	41→43	50→55	46→50	38	213/260/364	150	293	19	8	34%	6%	74	-0.6	215/274/386	171	285	23	4	32%	7%	84	+0.2	207/276/382	174	264	24	4	31%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Carlos Cortes 2023 · AAA	26	39→49	47→55	41→40	41	201/255/335	134	267	14	3	30%	6%	65	-1.2	213/282/359	146	264	16	4	25%	8%	80	-0.1	238/305/400	161	269	19	3	19%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Xavier Scruggs 2014 · AA	26	40→46	51→50	44→45	42	204/284/358	154	300	19	8	37%	8%	82	-0.0	217/293/364	147	296	17	6	31%	8%	86	+0.3	217/295/369	152	287	17	4	29%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Matt Clark 2014 · AAA	27	44→45	50→55	44→30	44	227/285/377	151	295	19	3	29%	7%	86	+0.3	232/287/402	170	283	23	3	26%	6%	93	+0.8	222/280/391	169	270	22	0	26%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Kyle Roller 2014 · AA	26	44→53	48→50	46→30	39	219/285/361	142	313	16	3	34%	6%	82	+0.0	225/291/370	145	327	16	2	34%	7%	87	+0.4	220/289/366	146	321	16	0	34%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Nick Maton 2023 · MLB	26	44→42	46→50	48→45	48	215/293/350	135	287	12	7	28%	9%	83	+0.1	212/302/352	140	270	16	5	26%	10%	87	+0.4	199/299/335	135	249	16	3	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Caleb Gindl 2015 · MLB	26	43→53	45→50	44→50	45	214/271/338	124	273	12	5	26%	7%	72	-0.7	217/266/335	118	270	11	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	235/281/352	117	287	9	1	21%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Rudy Flores 2017 · AA	26	45→48	47→50	40→30	33	219/264/353	134	330	16	3	37%	5%	72	-0.7	233/284/376	143	333	17	3	33%	5%	85	+0.2	238/293/391	153	329	19	1	32%	5%	90	+0.4
✕Dustin Majewski 2008 · AA	26	43→51	48→50	40	51	217/293/361	144	267	15	4	24%	10%	85	+0.2	234/308/348	114	283	8	6	19%	9%	87	+0.4	243/319/350	107	290	6	5	17%	10%	90	+0.4
✕Jason Perry 2007 · AAA	26	47→51	47→55	43→45	40	235/289/374	139	315	15	5	30%	6%	86	+0.3	221/295/389	168	292	20	6	30%	7%	93	+0.8	206/291/385	179	267	22	5	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Chris McGuiness 2014 · MLB	26	42→48	46→45	45→30	49	211/286/341	130	271	14	3	27%	9%	78	-0.3	217/290/323	106	266	9	3	21%	9%	75	-0.5	214/289/307	92	257	7	1	19%	9%	69	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps