Zach Reks
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 27 | AAAOklahoma City… | 379 | .280/.382/.539 | 19 | 0 | 97 | — | .228/.308/.408 | |
| 2022 | 28 | AAATEX | 140 | .331/.421/.579 | 6 | 1 | 124 | — | .278/.350/.460 | |
| 2022 | 28 | MLBTEX | 34 | .265/.265/.294 | 0 | 0 | 56 | -0.5 | ||
| 2024 | 30 | AASD | 242 | .127/.280/.208 | 3 | 1 | 5 | — | .095/.205/.152 | |
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 111 | 102 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 314 | 369 | 382 | 752 | 69 | 361 | 15 | 6 | 343 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 65 | 55 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 309 | 406 | 345 | 752 | 36 | 405 | 20 | 11 | 346 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 296 | 260 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 73 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 288 | 371 | 385 | 755 | 96 | 387 | 25 | 11 | 342 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 38 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 405 | 421 | 703 | 1.124 | 297 | 433 | 13 | 3 | 486 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 385 | 331 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 104 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 284 | 383 | 520 | 902 | 236 | 359 | 27 | 12 | 396 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 133 | 113 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 310 | 397 | 584 | 981 | 274 | 329 | 20 | 11 | 418 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 379 | 321 | 90 | 24 | 1 | 19 | 46 | 108 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 382 | 539 | 921 | 259 | 362 | 28 | 12 | 400 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 34 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 265 | 265 | 294 | 559 | 29 | 375 | 29 | 0 | 251 | 56 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 140 | 121 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 331 | 421 | 579 | 1.000 | 248 | 430 | 26 | 11 | 437 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 242 | 197 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 71 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 127 | 280 | 208 | 488 | 81 | 176 | 29 | 16 | 241 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 34 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 265 | 265 | 294 | 559 | 29 | 375 | 29 | 0 | 251 | 56 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +1 | -0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 111 | 105 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 276 | 315 | 343 | 658 | 67 | 332 | 21 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 65 | 58 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 276 | 344 | 310 | 654 | 34 | 372 | 28 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 296 | 273 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 92 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 253 | 306 | 326 | 632 | 73 | 370 | 31 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 38 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 324 | 342 | 595 | 937 | 270 | 353 | 18 | 3 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 385 | 344 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 132 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 206 | 289 | 366 | 655 | 160 | 286 | 34 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 133 | 119 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 328 | 496 | 824 | 235 | 279 | 26 | 8 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 379 | 338 | 77 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 130 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 308 | 408 | 716 | 180 | 324 | 34 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 34 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 265 | 265 | 294 | 559 | 29 | 375 | 29 | 0 | 251 | 56 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 140 | 126 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 350 | 460 | 810 | 183 | 390 | 31 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 242 | 210 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 88 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 95 | 205 | 152 | 357 | 57 | 144 | 36 | 10 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 176 | 162 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 272 | 326 | 321 | 647 | 49 | 353 | 23 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 176 | 157 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 312 | 383 | 369 | 752 | 57 | 376 | 17 | 8 | 344 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 334 | 310 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 99 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 265 | 313 | 361 | 675 | 97 | 373 | 30 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 334 | 297 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 78 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 303 | 377 | 424 | 801 | 121 | 394 | 23 | 10 | 358 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 463 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 167 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 297 | 395 | 692 | 177 | 288 | 32 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 518 | 444 | 129 | 21 | 2 | 28 | 63 | 131 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 291 | 386 | 536 | 922 | 245 | 351 | 25 | 12 | 402 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 379 | 338 | 77 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 130 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 308 | 408 | 716 | 180 | 325 | 34 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 379 | 321 | 90 | 24 | 1 | 19 | 46 | 108 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 382 | 539 | 921 | 259 | 362 | 28 | 12 | 400 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 174 | 160 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 53 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 275 | 333 | 425 | 758 | 150 | 388 | 30 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 174 | 155 | 49 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 46 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 316 | 391 | 516 | 907 | 200 | 417 | 26 | 9 | 400 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 242 | 210 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 88 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 95 | 205 | 152 | 357 | 57 | 148 | 36 | 10 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 242 | 197 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 71 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 127 | 280 | 208 | 488 | 81 | 176 | 29 | 16 | 241 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 176 | 161 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 273 | 326 | 323 | 649 | 50 | 347 | 23 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 334 | 309 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 99 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 265 | 313 | 362 | 676 | 97 | 368 | 30 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 461 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 167 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 297 | 397 | 694 | 178 | 284 | 32 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 379 | 337 | 77 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 130 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 308 | 409 | 717 | 181 | 324 | 34 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 174 | 158 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 53 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 278 | 333 | 430 | 764 | 152 | 387 | 30 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 242 | 211 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 88 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 95 | 205 | 152 | 357 | 57 | 144 | 36 | 10 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 242 | 211 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 88 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 95 | 205 | 152 | 357 | 57 | 144 | 36 | 10 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 265 | 265 | 294 | 559 | 29 | 375 | 29 | 0 | 251 | 80 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +1 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 650 | 172 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 265 | 265 | 294 | 558 | 29 | 375 | 29 | 0 | 251 | 80 | -34 | -8 | -29 | -36 | +14 | -9.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1823 | 1643 | 368 | 67 | 6 | 46 | 142 | 578 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 224 | 296 | 356 | 652 | 132 | 313 | 32 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +1 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 131 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 51 | 206 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 224 | 297 | 353 | 650 | 130 | 313 | 32 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -34 | -8 | -29 | -36 | +14 | -9.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AASan Antonio Missions · 242 PAwOBA .236 → .176 (−60)K% 29.3% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.34% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.29% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 10.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.940 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.90% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×0.940 | 9.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.957 | ×0.840 | ×0.972 | ×0.940 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.972 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.953 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 1.88% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .236 → .176; ISO .081 → .065; BABIP .176 → .144. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAARound Rock Express · 140 PAwOBA .425 → .352 (−73)K% 25.7% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.71% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.06% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.014 | ×0.982 | 25.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.982 | 10.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.014 | ×0.982 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.06% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 5.07% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .425 → .352; ISO .248 → .194; BABIP .430 → .390. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 379 PAwOBA .391 → .312 (−80)K% 28.5% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.50% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.14% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.60% | ÷0.958 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×0.992 | 20.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.27% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×0.992 | 9.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×0.992 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.92% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 6.10% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 92, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .391 → .312; ISO .259 → .190; BABIP .362 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 385 PAwOBA .387 → .287 (−100)K% 27.0% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.01% | ÷1.014 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.47% | ÷0.993 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 9.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.23% | ÷1.048 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 20.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.37% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.37% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 6.19% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 109, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .387 → .287; ISO .236 → .165; BABIP .359 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AATulsa Drillers · 133 PAwOBA .413 → .343 (−70)K% 20.3% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.30% | ÷0.954 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.28% | ÷1.063 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.74% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 23.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.048 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 1.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷0.925 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.47% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 9.09% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 110, 3B 85, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .413 → .343; ISO .274 → .241; BABIP .329 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AATulsa Drillers · 296 PAwOBA .332 → .286 (−46)K% 24.7% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.66% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.47% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.48% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 29.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.49% | ÷0.991 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷0.907 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.147 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.12% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 81, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .332 → .286; ISO .096 → .078; BABIP .387 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 38 PAwOBA .472 → .363 (−108)K% 13.2% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.16% | ÷0.957 | ×1.340 | — | — | 18.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.63% | ÷1.066 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 1.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷1.025 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 24.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷1.076 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 6.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.978 | 2.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 5.32% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 105, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .472 → .363; ISO .297 → .221; BABIP .433 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 111 PAwOBA .334 → .281 (−53)K% 15.3% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.32% | ÷0.990 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.31% | ÷1.099 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.12% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×0.988 | 31.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.064 | ×0.820 | ×1.036 | ×0.988 | 0.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.036 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.085 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 101, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 98, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .334 → .281; ISO .069 → .055; BABIP .361 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).