Trevor Larnach — OGILVIE

Trevor LarnachRF Minnesota Twins

Age 29 L/R 6'3" / 223 lbs MLB Svc 4.081 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION291 act + 274 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 77116vR 131

AVG/OBP/SLG.266 / .349 / .432

PA274

HR8

K%20

BB%11

BABIP313

ISO166

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

689.1%

xwOBA

710.332

POWER50

Barrel%

508.2

Avg EV

6990.4

Bat Spd

4370.6

EYE55

Chase%

9022.6%

SPEED40

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1019 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

141

878

—

wRC+

119

▶▶R

wOBA

271

341

▶▶R

ISO

078

171

▶▶R

BABIP

315

300

◀L

26.2%

20.7%

▶▶R

BB%

6.4%

10.5%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2021

Service 4.081 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	+1.1	$9M	+$7M
2027	Arb-3	$8M	+1.7	$13M	+$6M
Totals		$9M		$22M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	2 teams	—	177	160	38	10	1	3	13	40	2	3	0	237	303	369	672	131	294	23	7	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	2 teams	—	177	152	46	13	1	5	21	28	2	3	0	303	394	500	894	197	339	16	12	391	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	2 teams	—	542	496	126	28	1	9	37	181	4	4	1	254	311	369	680	115	376	33	7	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	2 teams	—	542	476	147	30	1	13	57	124	4	4	1	309	387	458	845	149	390	23	11	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	MLB	2 teams	—	363	313	65	13	0	9	35	130	13	1	0	208	313	335	648	128	318	36	10	291	81	-8	+0	-1	-4	+10	-0.2
2021	24	MLB	2 teams	—	363	311	67	13	0	10	37	125	13	1	0	215	324	354	678	138	320	34	10	310	96	-2	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.4
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	221	197	44	13	0	5	21	71	0	0	0	223	298	365	664	142	315	32	10	289	79	-5	+0	+1	-2	+6	-0.0
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	221	196	45	13	0	5	22	68	0	0	0	230	307	372	680	143	317	31	10	303	90	-3	+0	+1	-2	+6	0.3
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	535	465	101	14	4	21	57	186	3	3	3	217	307	400	707	183	299	35	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	535	445	110	21	4	23	77	162	3	3	3	247	362	467	829	220	322	30	14	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	400	355	92	17	0	15	40	89	3	4	1	259	339	434	773	175	304	22	10	337	116	+7	+0	-0	-4	+11	1.5
2024	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	400	355	92	17	0	15	40	89	3	4	1	259	339	434	773	175	304	22	10	344	121	+10	+0	-0	-4	+11	1.7
2025	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	567	504	126	24	1	17	53	122	4	4	4	250	326	403	729	153	294	22	9	317	101	+1	-1	-6	-6	+16	0.4
2025	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	567	503	126	24	1	17	53	122	4	4	4	250	326	404	730	153	295	22	9	324	106	+4	-1	-6	-6	+16	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	MIN	—	291	253	73	18	1	7	34	50	3	2	2	289	379	451	830	162	337	17	12	364	137	+12	-0	-0	-3	+8	1.7
YTD	29	MLB	MIN	—	291	253	73	18	1	7	34	50	3	2	2	289	379	451	830	162	337	17	12	370	142	+14	-0	-0	-3	+8	1.8
ROS	29	MLB	MIN	100%	274	241	64	14	1	8	29	55	2	2	1	266	349	432	781	166	311	20	11	347	123	+7	+0	-1	-3	+8	1.1
ROS	29	MLB	MIN	100%	274	241	64	14	1	8	29	55	2	2	1	266	349	432	781	166	311	20	11	341	119	+6	+0	-1	-3	+8	1.0
FULL	29	MLB	MIN	—	565	494	137	32	2	15	63	105	5	4	3	277	365	441	806	164	325	19	11	353	128	+18	-0	-2	-6	+16	2.6
TOT	29	MLB	MIN	—	565	494	137	32	2	15	63	105	5	4	3	277	365	441	806	164	325	19	11	355	130	+19	-0	-2	-6	+16	2.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	MIN	100%	556	487	126	27	1	16	59	113	5	4	2	259	345	417	762	158	305	20	11	340	119	+12	+0	-4	-6	+16	1.8
2028	31	MLB	MIN	100%	545	477	121	26	1	15	58	113	5	3	2	254	341	407	747	153	301	21	11	336	115	+9	-0	-5	-6	+15	1.4
2029	32	MLB	MIN	100%	534	469	117	25	1	14	56	113	4	3	2	249	335	397	731	147	297	21	10	329	110	+6	-0	-6	-6	+15	1.0
2030	33	MLB	MIN	100%	487	429	104	21	1	13	51	105	4	2	1	242	329	387	715	145	290	22	10	320	103	+2	+0	-6	-5	+14	0.4
2031	34	MLB	MIN	100%	440	388	91	18	1	11	46	98	3	1	1	235	320	371	692	137	282	22	10	309	95	-3	-0	-7	-5	+12	-0.2
2032	35	MLB	MIN	100%	385	339	76	14	1	9	40	88	3	1	0	224	312	351	663	127	273	23	10	297	86	-6	+0	-7	-4	+11	-0.6
2027	30	MLB	MIN	100%	556	487	126	27	1	16	59	113	5	4	2	259	345	417	762	158	305	20	11	335	114	+9	+0	-4	-6	+16	1.5
2028	31	MLB	MIN	100%	545	477	121	26	1	15	58	113	5	3	2	254	341	407	747	153	302	21	11	330	111	+6	-0	-5	-6	+15	1.1
2029	32	MLB	MIN	100%	534	469	117	25	1	14	56	113	4	3	2	249	335	397	731	147	297	21	10	323	105	+3	-0	-6	-6	+15	0.7
2030	33	MLB	MIN	100%	487	429	104	21	1	13	51	105	4	2	1	242	329	387	715	145	291	22	10	315	99	-1	+0	-6	-5	+14	0.2
2031	34	MLB	MIN	100%	440	388	91	18	1	11	46	98	3	1	1	235	320	371	692	137	282	22	10	304	91	-4	-0	-7	-5	+12	-0.4
2032	35	MLB	MIN	100%	385	339	76	14	1	9	40	88	3	1	0	224	312	351	663	127	273	23	10	292	82	-8	+0	-7	-4	+11	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4881	4291	1051	218	11	138	508	1129	41	26	15	245	331	397	728	152	299	23	10	322	104	+24	-1	-45	-57	+138	6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	139	29	1	18	68	150	5	3	2	243	329	392	721	149	297	23	10	322	104	+3	-0	-6	-8	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	6026	5320	1291	264	14	165	595	1504	55	35	18	243	325	391	716	148	305	25	10	317	101	+8	-0	-45	-65	+171	7.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	139	28	2	18	64	162	6	4	2	242	325	392	717	150	303	25	10	317	101	+1	+0	-5	-7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	102	91	27	8	1	3	11	17	0	1	0	297	373	505	878	209	338	17	11	386	154	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2018	21	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	75	61	19	5	0	2	10	11	2	2	0	311	425	492	916	180	340	15	13	399	163	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2019	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	181	156	46	4	0	7	22	50	2	0	0	295	389	455	844	160	390	28	12	377	146	+10	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2019	22	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	361	320	101	26	1	6	35	74	2	4	1	316	387	459	846	144	389	20	10	374	144	+18	+0	—	—	+10	2.9
2021	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	301	260	58	12	0	7	31	104	8	1	0	223	324	350	674	127	338	35	10	308	94	-2	+0	-1	-4	+9	0.2
2021	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	62	51	9	1	0	3	6	21	5	0	0	176	323	373	695	196	222	34	10	321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	180	160	37	13	0	5	18	57	0	0	0	231	309	406	715	175	320	32	10	316	100	-0	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.4
2022	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	41	36	8	0	0	0	4	11	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		308	27	10	245	45	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	212	183	39	7	3	8	27	72	0	1	1	213	314	415	730	202	295	34	13	322	105	+1	-0	-4	-6	+6	-0.3
2023	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	323	262	71	14	1	15	50	90	3	2	2	271	394	504	897	233	339	28	15	387	154	+20	-0	—	—	+9	2.9
2024	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	400	355	92	17	0	15	40	89	3	4	1	259	339	434	773	175	304	22	10	344	121	+10	+0	-0	-4	+11	1.7
2025	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	567	503	126	24	1	17	53	122	4	4	4	250	326	404	730	153	295	22	9	324	106	+4	-1	-6	-6	+16	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1660	1461	352	73	4	52	169	444	15	10	6	241	326	403	729	162	306	27	10	325	107	+13	-0	-10	-22	+47	2.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Josh Reddicklast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA	13	4,879	146	61	262	321	426	-52	-8	13.1	13.0
	/162	664	20	8	262	321	426	-7.1	-1.1	1.8	pk7: 13
#2Eric Hinskelast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA	12	4,310	137	61	249	332	430	-34	-33	13.0	12.9
	/162	664	21	9	249	332	430	-5.2	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Ryan Ludwicklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,938 PA	11	3,938	150	17	261	330	451	-42	-34	11.8	12.7
	/162	664	25	3	261	330	451	-7.0	-5.8	2.0	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	5,463	155	31	248	329	402	-59	-35	12.7	11.9
	/162	664	19	4	248	329	402	-7.1	-4.2	1.5	pk7: 11
#4Matt Joycelast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,318 PA	13	4,318	146	34	242	343	425	-46	-44	11.7	11.9
	/162	664	22	5	242	343	425	-7.1	-6.7	1.8	pk7: 12
#5Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	11	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.7
#5Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	/162	664	24	17	252	326	437	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#6Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trevor Larnach (OGILVIE)	29	50	50	40	55	277/365/441	164	325	15	4	19%	11%	130	+2.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Colin Moran 2022 · MLB	29	51→57	51→55	45→30	49	257/324/418	161	315	20	3	25%	9%	111	+2.5	225/295/356	131	292	16	4	27%	9%	83	+0.6	203/273/312	109	269	13	0	28%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Ben Grieve 2005 · MLB	29	51→57	50→55	46→45	59	251/356/411	160	306	17	4	22%	13%	123	+3.3	240/321/398	158	292	18	4	23%	10%	105	+2.1	226/304/379	153	270	18	0	23%	10%	89	+0.6
✕George Kottaras 2012 · MLB	29	48→53	52→55	43→30	54	244/322/422	178	289	19	4	22%	10%	111	+2.5	228/334/418	190	293	24	5	28%	13%	115	+2.8	192/322/383	191	246	27	1	32%	16%	97	+0.4
●Josh Whitesell 2010 · MLB	28	50→55	50→55	42→40	52	247/333/402	155	320	17	3	27%	10%	111	+2.5	244/319/371	127	324	12	6	26%	9%	97	+1.5	261/331/409	148	332	17	5	25%	8%	113	+1.4
●Matt Joyce 2015 · MLB	30	48→53	50→60	40→50	58	242/337/405	163	284	18	6	21%	12%	113	+2.6	232/337/407	175	277	20	4	22%	13%	115	+2.7	238/352/447	209	270	25	3	21%	15%	125	+2.2
✕Brennan Boesch 2014 · MLB	29	51→58	50→60	46→50	46	257/309/416	159	295	18	7	20%	6%	104	+2.0	238/277/381	143	299	16	9	25%	5%	81	+0.4	234/269/369	135	294	15	9	26%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Bobby Kielty 2006 · MLB	29	50→53	48→50	45	60	247/342/393	145	277	15	6	17%	12%	111	+2.5	245/318/384	139	298	14	5	21%	9%	99	+1.7	235/308/368	133	295	13	2	24%	9%	89	+0.4
●Jason Kubel 2012 · MLB	30	52→57	54→60	41→40	52	267/333/446	180	306	21	2	20%	9%	122	+3.3	243/316/417	174	312	20	3	27%	10%	108	+2.3	232/312/405	172	306	20	1	29%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Robert Fick 2003 · MLB	29	53→54	52→55	37→40	53	266/332/439	172	287	19	2	15%	8%	119	+3.1	254/324/400	146	273	15	3	13%	9%	106	+2.2	249/326/380	131	266	13	1	12%	9%	96	+0.8
●Paul McAnulty 2009 · MLB	28	47→50	49→60	41→40	53	237/316/389	152	283	16	2	22%	10%	100	+1.7	225/289/388	163	269	20	3	24%	8%	89	+0.9	235/297/429	194	268	26	2	23%	8%	101	+1.5
✕Matt Beaty 2022 · MLB	29	53→58	49→50	46→45	49	266/344/417	151	304	17	7	18%	7%	119	+3.1	237/320/350	113	286	12	4	20%	7%	92	+1.2	227/310/318	91	273	9	0	19%	6%	77	+0.0
✕Dustan Mohr 2005 · MLB	29	53→54	49→55	41→45	54	259/345/417	157	320	15	6	23%	11%	119	+3.1	220/293/398	178	303	21	4	33%	9%	93	+1.3	191/255/371	179	272	23	2	37%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Donovan Walton 2022 · MLB	28	54→59	52→55	40→45	49	273/335/444	171	296	20	6	16%	7%	122	+3.3	237/297/372	135	271	13	8	17%	7%	88	+0.9	254/316/372	119	283	14	5	16%	7%	94	+0.9
✕Mike Carp 2014 · MLB	28	51→56	53→55	44→40	47	257/322/436	179	319	20	5	25%	8%	115	+2.8	219/296/344	125	286	11	7	26%	8%	81	+0.4	173/277/235	62	232	2	0	23%	10%	44	-0.6
✕Mark Teahen 2011 · MLB	29	54→60	45→55	44→50	49	263/326/397	133	323	12	7	22%	8%	105	+2.1	229/291/327	98	305	8	7	26%	8%	72	-0.2	209/269/284	75	289	5	5	28%	7%	50	-0.8
✕Todd Hollandsworth 2004 · MLB	31	54→56	51→55	43→50	50	269/330/445	176	320	16	9	21%	8%	120	+3.1	260/319/427	167	306	17	7	20%	8%	111	+2.5	258/311/426	167	300	17	4	20%	7%	102	+0.8
✕Omar Narváez 2021 · MLB	29	51→55	53→50	42→30	54	258/341/423	165	302	22	3	22%	10%	120	+3.1	242/322/373	131	288	14	2	20%	10%	98	+1.6	236/317/352	116	280	12	0	19%	10%	87	+0.4
✕Wilson Betemit 2011 · MLB	29	50→56	52→60	44→40	47	252/315/425	173	316	19	4	26%	8%	109	+2.4	264/326/424	160	350	16	5	27%	8%	113	+2.6	238/301/391	153	323	17	2	30%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Scott Moore 2013 · MLB	29	49→51	49→55	42→50	46	243/308/393	150	299	16	5	24%	7%	98	+1.6	207/273/342	135	273	14	3	29%	6%	70	-0.3	180/249/302	122	242	13	1	30%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Chris Duncan 2010 · MLB	29	46→50	47→60	42→40	56	230/320/370	140	282	15	3	23%	12%	97	+1.5	205/271/319	114	265	12	7	26%	8%	63	-0.8	162/214/242	80	212	11	7	29%	6%	17	-2.0