Dallas Macias — OGILVIE

Dallas MaciasOF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 203 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION250 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .310 / .375

PA166

HR5

SB5

K%27

BB%8

BABIP287

ISO150

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	38	33	1	0	0	0	2	13	3	0	0	30	158	30	188		50	34	5	102	-64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	38	32	1	0	0	0	3	9	3	0	0	31	184	31	215		43	24	8	137	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	ATL	—	250	216	43	5	0	8	22	68	10	10	6	199	302	333	636	134	246	27	9	277	70	-8	-0	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
YTD	22	A	ATL	—	250	203	48	6	0	9	35	48	10	10	6	236	375	399	774	163	264	19	14	352	128	+8	-0	+0	-2	+7	1.3
ROS	22	A	ATL	0%	166	146	33	5	1	5	14	45	4	5	2	225	310	375	685	150	272	27	8	295	84	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
ROS	22	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	276	69	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	22	A	ATL	—	250	217	43	5	0	8	22	68	10	10	6	198	302	332	634	134	245	27	9	277	70	-8	-0	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
TOT	22	A	ATL	—	416	362	76	10	1	13	36	113	14	15	8	210	305	350	656	141	263	27	9	284	76	-11	-0	+0	-3	+12	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ATL	34%	319	281	62	10	1	9	28	83	7	7	3	221	307	359	666	139	274	26	9	299	87	-5	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.3
2028	24	MLB	ATL	46%	398	351	79	13	2	11	35	102	9	9	4	225	311	368	679	142	277	26	9	303	90	-4	+0	+0	-2	+11	0.5
2029	25	MLB	ATL	52%	432	382	86	14	2	13	38	110	9	10	4	225	310	374	684	149	278	25	9	305	92	-4	+0	+0	-3	+12	0.6
2030	26	MLB	ATL	54%	453	400	90	15	2	13	40	115	10	11	4	225	311	370	681	145	278	25	9	306	92	-4	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.7
2031	27	MLB	ATL	54%	457	403	90	15	2	13	41	116	10	11	4	223	311	367	678	144	278	25	9	306	92	-4	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.7
2027	23	MLB	ATL	34%	110	97	20	3	0	3	10	29	2	2	1	206	294	330	623	124	274	26	9	282	74	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	ATL	46%	184	162	36	6	1	5	16	47	4	4	2	222	308	364	672	142	277	26	9	287	78	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	ATL	52%	223	197	45	7	1	7	19	57	5	5	2	228	312	381	693	152	278	26	9	290	80	-5	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.0
2030	26	MLB	ATL	54%	246	217	49	8	1	7	22	62	5	6	2	226	311	369	680	143	278	25	9	290	80	-5	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.0
2031	27	MLB	ATL	54%	248	219	49	8	1	7	22	63	5	6	2	224	309	365	674	142	278	25	9	291	81	-5	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1011	893	199	32	4	29	89	258	21	23	9	223	308	365	673	142	278	26	9	289	79	-24	+1	+0	-6	+29	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	129	21	3	19	57	166	14	15	6	225	311	371	682	146	281	26	9	289	79	-15	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2263	1996	441	72	10	64	198	584	52	53	21	221	308	363	671	142	277	26	9	300	88	-31	+2	+0	-14	+64	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	127	21	3	18	57	168	15	15	6	222	309	363	672	141	279	26	9	300	88	-9	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	38	32	1	0	0	0	3	9	3	0	0	31	184	31	215		43	24	8	137	-37	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ricky Ledeelast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,897 PA	7	1,897	52	21	239	323	404	-8	-6	5.0	5.0
	/162	664	18	7	239	323	404	-2.9	-2.1	1.7	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,135	33	26	224	306	368	-7	+0	1.5	1.5
	/162	664	19	15	224	306	368	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dallas Macias (OGILVIE)	22	43→48	45→50	53→58	60	210/305/350	141	263	13	15	27%	9%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/298/376	137	272	15	16	19%	7%	89	+1.0	226/295/379	153	275	18	9	24%	8%	89	+1.0	216/291/376	160	255	19	8	23%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	48	45→55	56→55	43	235/298/363	128	318	13	19	29%	7%	85	+0.7	217/270/366	149	357	16	25	41%	6%	75	-0.0	210/278/395	185	354	23	23	44%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	46→55	48→50	56→60	50	230/303/374	143	281	15	18	24%	9%	90	+1.0	227/285/354	127	322	12	22	31%	7%	78	+0.2	229/293/352	123	335	9	33	32%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	47	47→55	54→40	46	234/295/376	142	288	14	5	24%	7%	88	+0.9	207/267/292	85	288	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	167/229/205	38	244	0	2	29%	7%	13	-1.3
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Phillip Ervin 2014 · A	22	47→50	48→50	54→55	46	235/299/377	141	293	16	14	25%	8%	90	+1.0	211/279/333	122	267	11	20	24%	7%	70	-0.3	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	45→50	52→55	47	239/299/361	122	305	12	14	25%	8%	85	+0.7	235/292/364	129	293	13	23	23%	7%	83	+0.6	228/280/351	122	287	13	26	24%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2015 · A	22	50→53	41→50	53→50	49	240/298/343	104	292	7	12	20%	8%	79	+0.3	235/285/337	102	290	8	9	21%	6%	72	-0.2	245/307/382	136	293	13	9	20%	7%	91	+0.9
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	87	+0.8	209/284/358	149	274	16	19	29%	9%	79	+0.3	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	48→49	45	50→55	46	233/298/359	126	318	12	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	226/296/346	120	335	10	17	32%	9%	80	+0.4	222/291/344	122	331	10	21	33%	9%	74	-0.0
●Derek Fisher 2016 · A	22	42→52	49→55	54→55	41	211/275/355	143	307	17	18	36%	8%	74	-0.1	230/301/385	155	327	18	19	33%	9%	93	+1.3	231/306/412	181	317	23	18	33%	9%	98	+1.2
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→59	40→45	56→55	48	247/307/344	98	310	7	17	22%	8%	84	+0.6	263/324/374	111	306	8	19	16%	8%	98	+1.6	266/334/365	99	304	8	20	14%	8%	99	+1.4
●Cedric Mullins 2017 · A	22	43→53	47→55	56→60	39	220/252/364	144	270	14	16	24%	4%	66	-0.6	223/265/361	138	265	14	16	21%	5%	71	-0.3	250/319/421	170	288	19	27	19%	8%	106	+2.2
✕Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	45→53	44→45	53→50	48	218/288/344	126	281	9	14	25%	8%	76	+0.1	229/295/348	119	286	9	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	238/306/369	131	290	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Dustin Harris 2022 · A	23	50→51	52→55	55→60	46	256/312/420	164	298	20	16	22%	7%	107	+2.2	230/299/387	157	287	18	24	26%	8%	92	+1.2	236/306/357	121	292	13	33	22%	8%	85	+0.6
●Domonic Brown 2010 · AA	22	51→54	46→55	53→55	47	251/308/386	136	311	13	17	23%	7%	95	+1.4	251/312/396	145	310	14	16	23%	8%	100	+1.7	252/316/413	162	285	18	11	18%	8%	101	+1.4
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Caleb Gindl 2011 · AA	22	49→55	45→50	48→50	47	239/299/368	128	301	12	10	24%	8%	87	+0.8	240/297/369	129	298	12	7	22%	7%	86	+0.8	238/296/373	135	295	13	4	23%	7%	83	+0.5