Caden Powell

SS Asheville Tourists
Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2222ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420AHOU94.241/.290/.3792631—.182/.226/.273
202521A/ROKHOU366.233/.349/.392103250—.176/.261/.285
202622A+HOU474.279/.369/.454183072—.218/.278/.354
2027PROJMLE23MLBHOU1.200/.264/.3260065-0.0
2028PROJ22% MLB24MLBHOU91.205/.270/.3403370-0.0
2029PROJ35% MLB25MLBHOU154.208/.274/.34854740.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$1M2033Arb-3$1.0M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
wOBA67
ISO61
BB%54
wRC+52
Speed50
Chase%36
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.9, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%
CompsJase Bowen (age 23) · Sean Coyle (age 22) · Kendall Simmons (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .264 / .326
PA1
HR0
K%35
BB%7
BABIP285
ISO135
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -1.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.10.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-1$1M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-2$1M———
2033Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $0.0M $0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202420 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 9487 21412 4342 61 241290379670 138365 364 296 31 — — — — — —
202521 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 346297 7115210 431035 326 239345404749 165330 3012 338 52 — — — — — —
202521 ROKFCL Astros — 2012 1000 572 00 8342183504 167 3525 293 20 — — — — — —
202622 A+Asheville Tourists — 474412 11518018 571312 309 279369454823 175365 2812 366 72 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 9488 16311 3452 61 182226273499 91330 483 214 31 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 346312 571127 281415 326 183261298559 115292 418 245 52 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 2015 1000 2102 00 6726367330 143 5010 198 20 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 474435 9514015 341722 309 218278354632 136313 367 275 72 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 9488 16311 3452 61 182226273499 91349 483 214 31 — — — — — —
202420 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 9487 21412 4342 61 241290379670 138365 364 296 31 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 366327 581127 301517 326 177261287548 110298 418 242 50 — — — — — —
202521 A RAW2 teams — 366309 7215210 481107 326 233349392740 159325 3013 335 50 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 474435 9514015 341722 309 218278354632 136319 367 275 72 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAWAsheville Tourists — 474412 11518018 571312 309 279369454823 175365 2812 366 72 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 9489 16311 3452 61 180226270495 90330 483 214 31 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 366326 581127 301517 326 178261288549 110284 418 242 50 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 474435 9514015 341722 309 218278354632 136313 367 275 72 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 9489 16311 3452 61 180226270495 90330 483 214 31 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 366326 581127 301517 326 178261288549 110284 418 242 50 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 474435 9514015 341722 309 218278354632 136313 367 275 72 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEHOU 0% 543495 9816115 391894 185 198262325587 127281 357 264 65 -23 +2 -3 +6 +12 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXHOU 0% 11 0000 000 00 200264326590 127285 00 265 65 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEHOU 22% 411375 7512112 301403 123 203268339607 136283 347 272 70 -15 +1 -1 +4 +9 -0.1
202925 MLB MLEHOU 35% 445406 8414114 331483 123 206272347620 141284 337 277 74 -14 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.0
203026 MLB MLEHOU 42% 462421 8715114 351513 113 209275352627 144284 338 281 76 -13 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.1
203127 MLB MLEHOU 45% 469427 8815114 361523 113 209276352629 143284 328 281 77 -13 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.2
203228 MLB MLEHOU 50% 467425 8815114 361503 93 210277351628 141284 328 281 76 -13 +1 -2 +5 +10 0.0
203329 MLB MLEHOU 54% 458417 8615113 351483 72 207274345619 138282 328 277 74 -14 +1 -3 +5 +10 -0.2
203430 MLB MLEHOU 51% 447407 8314113 341463 62 205271338608 133280 338 273 71 -15 +0 -3 +5 +10 -0.4
202824 MLB CTXHOU 22% 9183 17303 7311 31 205270340610 135287 348 273 70 -3 +0 -0 +1 +2 -0.0
202925 MLB CTXHOU 35% 154140 29505 12511 41 208274348622 140288 338 278 74 -5 +0 -0 +2 +3 0.0
203026 MLB CTXHOU 42% 193175 37616 15631 51 210277353630 143288 338 282 76 -6 +1 -1 +2 +4 0.1
203127 MLB CTXHOU 45% 209189 40716 16682 51 211278354632 142288 338 283 77 -6 +1 -1 +2 +5 0.1
203228 MLB CTXHOU 50% 234212 45817 18752 41 211279352631 141288 328 282 76 -7 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.0
203329 MLB CTXHOU 54% 245222 47817 19792 41 209276346622 137286 328 279 74 -8 +0 -1 +3 +5 -0.1
203430 MLB CTXHOU 51% 228208 43816 17751 31 206272339612 133285 337 274 71 -8 +0 -2 +2 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13541229 25845540 10444210 287 210277352629 142290 338 279 70 -41 +3 -6 +15 +29 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 12422219 502125 133 210278351628 141290 338 279 70 -20 +1 -3 +7 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 43033920 79813411123 321147633 14337 204270338607 134288 347 272 70 -106 +7 -15 +36 +73 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650592 12120219 482235 226 204269341611 137289 347 272 70 -21 +1 -3 +7 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 474 PAwOBA .358 → .275 (−83)K% 27.6% → 36.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.64%÷1.000×1.310——36.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.03%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9987.20%
HBP% /PA0.42%—×0.770—×0.9980.32%
Singles /BIP28.11%÷1.000×0.870×1.016×0.99824.79%
Doubles /BIP6.41%÷1.000×0.780×1.016×0.9985.06%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.016×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP6.41%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9985.63%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .358 → .275; ISO .175 → .142; BABIP .365 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 346 PAwOBA .330 → .245 (−85)K% 29.8% → 40.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.77%÷0.996×1.360——40.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.43%÷1.072×0.690——8.00%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.780——1.13%
Singles /BIP22.68%÷0.979×0.920×0.989—21.08%
Doubles /BIP7.73%÷1.035×0.830×0.989—6.13%
Triples /BIP1.03%÷0.953×0.910×0.989—0.97%
Home runs /BIP5.15%÷1.005×0.800——4.10%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 91, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .330 → .245; ISO .165 → .119; BABIP .330 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Astros · 20 PAwOBA .282 → .198 (−84)K% 35.0% → 51.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.00%÷0.984×1.440——51.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷0.992×0.620—×0.97512.19%
HBP% /PA10.00%—×0.720—×0.9757.02%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.956×0.820—×0.97516.72%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.982×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.030×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 96, 3B 106, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .282 → .198; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 94 PAwOBA .291 → .214 (−77)K% 36.2% → 48.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.17%÷1.020×1.360——48.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.26%÷1.024×0.690—×1.0152.91%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.780—×1.0151.68%
Singles /BIP26.42%÷1.038×0.920×1.050×1.01524.95%
Doubles /BIP7.55%÷1.132×0.830×1.050×1.0155.90%
Triples /BIP1.89%÷0.900×0.910×1.050×1.0152.03%
Home runs /BIP3.77%÷1.118×0.800—×1.0152.74%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .291 → .214; ISO .138 → .093; BABIP .365 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).