Caden Powell
SS Asheville Tourists| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | AHOU | 94 | .241/.290/.379 | 2 | 6 | 31 | — | .182/.226/.273 |
| 2025 | 21 | A/ROKHOU | 366 | .233/.349/.392 | 10 | 32 | 50 | — | .176/.261/.285 |
| 2026 | 22 | A+HOU | 474 | .279/.369/.454 | 18 | 30 | 72 | — | .218/.278/.354 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBHOU | 1 | .200/.264/.326 | 0 | 0 | 65 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ22% MLB | 24 | MLBHOU | 91 | .205/.270/.340 | 3 | 3 | 70 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ35% MLB | 25 | MLBHOU | 154 | .208/.274/.348 | 5 | 4 | 74 | 0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 94 | 87 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 241 | 290 | 379 | 670 | 138 | 365 | 36 | 4 | 296 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 346 | 297 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 103 | 5 | 32 | 6 | 239 | 345 | 404 | 749 | 165 | 330 | 30 | 12 | 338 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Astros | — | 20 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 421 | 83 | 504 | 167 | 35 | 25 | 293 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 474 | 412 | 115 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 57 | 131 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 279 | 369 | 454 | 823 | 175 | 365 | 28 | 12 | 366 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 94 | 88 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 182 | 226 | 273 | 499 | 91 | 330 | 48 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 346 | 312 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 141 | 5 | 32 | 6 | 183 | 261 | 298 | 559 | 115 | 292 | 41 | 8 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 20 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 263 | 67 | 330 | 143 | 50 | 10 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 474 | 435 | 95 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 172 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 218 | 278 | 354 | 632 | 136 | 313 | 36 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 94 | 88 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 182 | 226 | 273 | 499 | 91 | 349 | 48 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 94 | 87 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 241 | 290 | 379 | 670 | 138 | 365 | 36 | 4 | 296 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 366 | 327 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 151 | 7 | 32 | 6 | 177 | 261 | 287 | 548 | 110 | 298 | 41 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 366 | 309 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 110 | 7 | 32 | 6 | 233 | 349 | 392 | 740 | 159 | 325 | 30 | 13 | 335 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 474 | 435 | 95 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 172 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 218 | 278 | 354 | 632 | 136 | 319 | 36 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 474 | 412 | 115 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 57 | 131 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 279 | 369 | 454 | 823 | 175 | 365 | 28 | 12 | 366 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 94 | 89 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 180 | 226 | 270 | 495 | 90 | 330 | 48 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 366 | 326 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 151 | 7 | 32 | 6 | 178 | 261 | 288 | 549 | 110 | 284 | 41 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 474 | 435 | 95 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 172 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 218 | 278 | 354 | 632 | 136 | 313 | 36 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 94 | 89 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 180 | 226 | 270 | 495 | 90 | 330 | 48 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 366 | 326 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 151 | 7 | 32 | 6 | 178 | 261 | 288 | 549 | 110 | 284 | 41 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 474 | 435 | 95 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 172 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 218 | 278 | 354 | 632 | 136 | 313 | 36 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | HOU | 0% | 543 | 495 | 98 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 189 | 4 | 18 | 5 | 198 | 262 | 325 | 587 | 127 | 281 | 35 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -23 | +2 | -3 | +6 | +12 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | HOU | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 264 | 326 | 590 | 127 | 285 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 65 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | HOU | 22% | 411 | 375 | 75 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 140 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 203 | 268 | 339 | 607 | 136 | 283 | 34 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -15 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | HOU | 35% | 445 | 406 | 84 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 148 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 206 | 272 | 347 | 620 | 141 | 284 | 33 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | HOU | 42% | 462 | 421 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 151 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 209 | 275 | 352 | 627 | 144 | 284 | 33 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | HOU | 45% | 469 | 427 | 88 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 152 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 209 | 276 | 352 | 629 | 143 | 284 | 32 | 8 | 281 | 77 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | HOU | 50% | 467 | 425 | 88 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 150 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 210 | 277 | 351 | 628 | 141 | 284 | 32 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | HOU | 54% | 458 | 417 | 86 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 148 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 207 | 274 | 345 | 619 | 138 | 282 | 32 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -14 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | HOU | 51% | 447 | 407 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 146 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 205 | 271 | 338 | 608 | 133 | 280 | 33 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -15 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | HOU | 22% | 91 | 83 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 270 | 340 | 610 | 135 | 287 | 34 | 8 | 273 | 70 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | HOU | 35% | 154 | 140 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 274 | 348 | 622 | 140 | 288 | 33 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | HOU | 42% | 193 | 175 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 210 | 277 | 353 | 630 | 143 | 288 | 33 | 8 | 282 | 76 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | HOU | 45% | 209 | 189 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 68 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 278 | 354 | 632 | 142 | 288 | 33 | 8 | 283 | 77 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | HOU | 50% | 234 | 212 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 75 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 211 | 279 | 352 | 631 | 141 | 288 | 32 | 8 | 282 | 76 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | HOU | 54% | 245 | 222 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 79 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 276 | 346 | 622 | 137 | 286 | 32 | 8 | 279 | 74 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | HOU | 51% | 228 | 208 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 75 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 272 | 339 | 612 | 133 | 285 | 33 | 7 | 274 | 71 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1354 | 1229 | 258 | 45 | 5 | 40 | 104 | 442 | 10 | 28 | 7 | 210 | 277 | 352 | 629 | 142 | 290 | 33 | 8 | 279 | 70 | -41 | +3 | -6 | +15 | +29 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 124 | 22 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 212 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 210 | 278 | 351 | 628 | 141 | 290 | 33 | 8 | 279 | 70 | -20 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4303 | 3920 | 798 | 134 | 11 | 123 | 321 | 1476 | 33 | 143 | 37 | 204 | 270 | 338 | 607 | 134 | 288 | 34 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -106 | +7 | -15 | +36 | +73 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 121 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 223 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 204 | 269 | 341 | 611 | 137 | 289 | 34 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -21 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 474 PAwOBA .358 → .275 (−83)K% 27.6% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.64% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 36.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 7.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 24.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 5.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 5.63% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .358 → .275; ISO .175 → .142; BABIP .365 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 346 PAwOBA .330 → .245 (−85)K% 29.8% → 40.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.77% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 40.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.43% | ÷1.072 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.68% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | — | 21.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.73% | ÷1.035 | ×0.830 | ×0.989 | — | 6.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.953 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | — | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.15% | ÷1.005 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.10% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 91, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .330 → .245; ISO .165 → .119; BABIP .330 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Astros · 20 PAwOBA .282 → .198 (−84)K% 35.0% → 51.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.00% | ÷0.984 | ×1.440 | — | — | 51.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 12.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 10.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 7.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 16.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 96, 3B 106, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .282 → .198; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 94 PAwOBA .291 → .214 (−77)K% 36.2% → 48.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.17% | ÷1.020 | ×1.360 | — | — | 48.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.26% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 2.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 24.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷1.132 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.89% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 2.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.118 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .291 → .214; ISO .138 → .093; BABIP .365 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).