Caden PowellSS Asheville Tourists
Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ H +4%HR -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.6 · 2030
wRC+†36
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .254 / .317
PA320
HR8
SB8
K%37
BB%7
MLB%0%
BAT: -23.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-23BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -2.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-3FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -1.30-1.3WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
2032
PWR
5052
SPD
5550
FLD
2545
EYE
4130
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.2peak
2031

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Arb-2$0.9M+0.6$3M+$2M
2031Arb-3$0.9M+0.6$3M+$2M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+0.5$2M+$1M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.6M+0.3$1M+$0.9M
2034Ext / FA-deal$0.4M+0.1$0.5M+$0.1M
2035Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $4M $9M +$5M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202420 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 9489 15211 2472 61 .169.204.247.451 .079.333 502 .207 17 -9 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.4
202521 A2 teams 366331 591028 261587 326 .178.253.293.546 .115.305 437 .239 41 -24 +4 +0 +4 +10 -0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202622 A+Asheville Tourists 6463 11100 1300 21 .175.188.190.378 .016.333 472 .164 -16 -8 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.6
ROS22 MLBHOU 256236 46816 15993 62 .195.252.314.566 .119.295 396 .249 49 -15 +0 -3 +3 +7 -0.7
TOT22 MLBHOU 320299 57916 161293 83 .191.239.288.527 .097.309 405 .232 36 -23 +0 -3 +3 +9 -1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202723 MLB 7%HOU 404370 7813211 271244 92 .211.272.346.618 .135.278 317 .273 67 -15 +1 -4 +4 +11 -0.3
202824 MLB 17%HOU 461421 9015213 321375 103 .214.277.352.629 .138.280 307 .283 75 -13 +1 -5 +5 +13 0.1
202925 MLB 25%HOU 492448 9716215 361445 103 .217.282.362.644 .145.282 297 .290 80 -11 +1 -5 +5 +14 0.4
203026 MLB 35%HOU 509460 10117216 381486 103 .220.288.370.657 .150.283 297 .294 83 -10 +1 -5 +5 +14 0.6
203127 MLB 43%HOU 516466 10217216 391506 102 .219.288.367.655 .148.283 298 .294 83 -10 +1 -5 +6 +15 0.6
203228 MLB 46%HOU 515464 10117216 401516 102 .218.288.366.655 .149.283 298 .293 82 -10 +1 -6 +6 +15 0.5
203329 MLB 49%HOU 508458 10017216 401505 92 .218.288.369.657 .151.282 308 .291 81 -11 +1 -7 +5 +14 0.3
203430 MLB 58%HOU 499452 9616215 391505 81 .212.282.356.638 .144.280 308 .287 78 -12 +1 -7 +5 +14 0.1
203531 MLB 68%HOU 486440 9215214 381485 71 .209.280.348.627 .139.279 308 .284 75 -14 +1 -8 +5 +14 -0.1
203632 MLB 79%HOU 468424 8714213 361455 70 .205.275.340.615 .134.277 318 .279 72 -15 +1 -8 +5 +13 -0.4
203733 MLB 89%HOU 439398 8113212 341394 60 .204.273.337.610 .133.275 328 .274 68 -16 +1 -9 +5 +12 -0.7
203834 MLBHOU 393356 7011110 301274 50 .197.267.317.584 .121.274 328 .267 63 -17 +1 -9 +4 +11 -0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 64065813 121520127182 472201772 14528 .209.277.347.624 .138.283 317 .280 72 -202 +18 -82 +69 +182 -1.6
/ 162G 650590 12320318 482057 153 .208.276.344.620 .136.284 327 .280 72 -20 +2 -8 +7 +18 -0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202420 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 9487 21412 4342 61 .241.290.379.670 .138.365 364 .296 85 -2 +1 +3 0.2
202521 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 346297 7115210 431035 326 .239.345.404.749 .165.330 3012 .338 116 +6 +4 +10 2.1
202521 ROKFCL Astros 2012 1000 572 00 .083.421.083.504 .000.167 3525 .293 83 -0 +0 +1 0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Caden Powell (OGILVIE) 22 20→32 50→52 55→50 30 .191/.254/.317 .126.288 88 37% 7% 56 -0.7
Tucker Mitchell
2023 · A
22 38 43→50 51→45 35 .183/.259/.287 .104.311 1111 42% 6% 51 -1.7 .198/.263/.310 .112.287 137 34% 6% 58 -1.2 .185/.242/.280.095.26113533%5%38-1.0
Sean Coyle
2014 · A
22 36 48→50 54→50 37 .191/.251/.335 .144.272 1614 35% 6% 59 -1.1 .202/.261/.344 .142.302 1713 37% 7% 66 -0.6 .180/.244/.304.124.276151239%7%45-1.1
Alexander Canario
2022 · A
22 37→34 51→60 50 37 .200/.246/.359 .159.282 2014 36% 6% 63 -0.8 .212/.272/.410 .198.294 2614 36% 7% 88 +0.9 .209/.277/.424.216.279301336%8%90+0.6
Johan Mieses
2017 · A
22 37→32 51→55 46→50 36 .200/.247/.364 .164.270 199 34% 5% 65 -0.7 .183/.234/.337 .154.257 204 37% 5% 53 -1.5 .194/.269/.375.181.23726731%7%74-0.0
Sammy Infante
2023 · A
22 33→25 46→50 48→55 34 .172/.237/.297 .125.287 1410 43% 6% 44 -2.1 .187/.252/.282 .095.304 916 39% 6% 46 -2.0 .178/.247/.251.073.28962037%6%33-1.3
Kendall Simmons
2023 · A
23 36 47→50 49→50 38 .190/.256/.326 .136.273 1510 35% 6% 59 -1.1 .205/.269/.352 .147.297 179 35% 6% 72 -0.2 .199/.264/.350.151.29018736%6%66-0.2
Travis Demeritte
2017 · A
22 36→43 49→60 52→50 36 .181/.248/.330 .149.316 1711 46% 8% 56 -1.3 .194/.257/.351 .157.294 188 38% 7% 66 -0.6 .204/.271/.391.188.28824737%8%79+0.2
Marcus Greene Jr.
2017 · A
22 35 46→50 45→40 40 .185/.251/.313 .128.265 155 35% 7% 53 -1.5 .209/.268/.329 .120.279 134 28% 7% 65 -0.7 .211/.271/.321.110.27512227%7%61-0.4
Sam Huff
2020 · A
22 36→40 48→55 45 30 .189/.231/.327 .138.297 176 42% 4% 48 -1.9 .210/.257/.375 .165.328 234 41% 5% 72 -0.2 .214/.277/.391.177.31027138%7%81+0.2
Carlos Dominguez
2022 · A
22 39→27 47→45 49→50 32 .191/.265/.326 .135.316 1511 42% 5% 64 -0.8 .165/.239/.283 .118.350 1512 53% 6% 42 -2.3 .131/.212/.238.107.287151456%6%16-2.1
Rodolfo Castro
2021 · A
22 36→42 48→55 46→50 34 .192/.230/.332 .140.264 166 34% 4% 49 -1.8 .213/.267/.378 .165.281 218 31% 6% 77 +0.1 .207/.276/.361.154.269191130%7%74-0.1
Taylor Snyder
2018 · A
23 36→32 44→55 47→50 33 .188/.230/.306 .119.276 1212 36% 4% 42 -2.3 .190/.235/.310 .120.293 1212 38% 5% 45 -2.1 .185/.235/.340.155.265191237%5%52-1.1
Neyfy Castillo
2023 · A
22 38→29 49→45 49→55 34 .185/.252/.322 .137.332 1816 47% 7% 57 -1.2 .177/.238/.292 .115.308 1316 44% 6% 43 -2.2 .158/.219/.261.103.271121644%6%24-2.6
Pedro Gonzalez
2021 · A
23 35→28 48→50 49→50 35 .187/.234/.325 .138.277 1610 38% 5% 49 -1.8 .171/.229/.272 .101.347 119 50% 6% 33 -2.9 .118/.182/.194.076.2679756%6%-8-3.2
Shawn Bowman
2007 · A
22 39→42 47→55 48→40 32 .195/.247/.328 .133.318 166 42% 5% 56 -1.3 .220/.260/.337 .117.345 126 38% 4% 63 -0.9 .242/.281/.393.151.33117231%4%83+0.3
Niko Hulsizer
2019 · A
22 44→30 47→60 51→50 42 .211/.300/.348 .138.322 1512 36% 8% 84 +0.6 .206/.285/.382 .176.328 219 41% 8% 86 +0.8 .193/.269/.393.200.316271245%8%80+0.2
Jase Bowen
2023 · A
22 39→40 44→45 54→55 35 .194/.253/.305 .111.299 1314 38% 6% 52 -1.6 .200/.252/.326 .126.285 1518 34% 5% 57 -1.2 .198/.249/.325.127.276152233%5%52-1.2
Yusuf Carter
2007 · A
22 37→34 46→50 45→50 35 .194/.240/.317 .122.287 156 37% 5% 49 -1.8 .202/.239/.339 .137.300 1610 37% 5% 54 -1.4 .219/.264/.370.151.296191032%5%70-0.2
Monte Harrison
2018 · A
22 41→43 45→50 52→60 35 .200/.260/.318 .118.311 1215 38% 6% 58 -1.2 .207/.263/.336 .129.348 1522 42% 5% 64 -0.8 .194/.262/.320.126.338174145%7%56-0.6
Miguel Jerez
2021 · A
23 33 48→60 48→40 38 .180/.249/.318 .138.271 174 39% 7% 55 -1.4 .186/.256/.315 .129.302 155 41% 7% 56 -1.3 .127/.206/.264.138.19118044%7%21-1.2