Gavin Turley — OGILVIE

Gavin TurleyOF Stockton Ports

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 196 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION236 act + 157 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .269 / .314

PA157

HR4

K%36

BB%10

BABIP274

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	125	112	20	6	0	3	9	44	2	0	0	179	252	312	565	134	254	35	7	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	125	107	26	8	0	4	14	34	2	0	0	243	341	430	771	187	310	27	11	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	OAK	—	236	205	30	4	1	6	28	107	2	4	2	146	255	263	519	117	258	45	12	231	35	-17	+0	+0	-1	+7	-1.2
YTD	22	A	OAK	—	236	194	37	5	1	7	39	80	2	4	2	191	332	335	667	144	278	34	17	309	95	-1	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.4
ROS	22	A	OAK	0%	157	140	26	4	1	4	15	57	1	3	1	185	269	314	582	128	273	36	10	267	63	-7	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	22	MLB	OAK	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		270	—	—	258	56	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	22	A	OAK	—	236	206	30	4	1	6	28	107	2	4	2	146	255	262	517	117	255	45	12	231	35	-17	+0	+0	-1	+7	-1.2
TOT	22	A	OAK	—	393	345	56	8	2	10	43	164	3	7	3	162	261	284	544	122	265	42	11	245	46	-24	+0	-1	-2	+11	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	OAK	34%	321	285	54	9	1	9	30	112	3	6	2	189	274	323	596	133	276	35	9	277	70	-11	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.5
2027	23	MLB	OAK	34%	110	98	18	3	0	3	10	38	1	2	1	184	266	306	572	122	274	35	9	268	63	-5	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	110	99	18	3	0	3	10	38	1	2	1	182	266	303	569	121	254	35	9	268	63	-5	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	107	18	0	18	59	225	6	12	6	183	267	306	573	123	256	35	9	268	63	-27	+0	-2	-4	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	603	537	100	19	2	16	54	213	6	9	3	186	268	318	586	132	268	35	9	269	64	-24	+1	-2	-4	+17	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	107	20	2	17	58	229	6	10	3	185	266	314	580	130	266	35	9	269	64	-26	+1	-2	-4	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	125	107	26	8	0	4	14	34	2	0	0	243	341	430	771	187	310	27	11	340	118	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	302	8	5	203	277	343	-2	+0	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	18	12	203	277	343	-4.0	+0.0	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Turley (OGILVIE)	22	20→36	40→56	50→53	44	162/261/284	122	265	10	7	42%	11%	46	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jabari Henry 2013 · A	22	42→40	46→55	49→45	44	211/272/346	135	274	13	6	28%	7%	70	-0.3	203/283/350	147	273	16	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	186/275/344	157	252	18	6	32%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	38→44	46→55	51→50	36	193/259/315	122	286	14	12	36%	5%	58	-1.2	203/261/356	153	281	19	9	34%	5%	69	-0.4	209/271/363	155	281	18	8	32%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→29	47→60	51→50	42	209/299/349	140	319	15	12	36%	8%	84	+0.6	207/283/386	179	333	22	8	41%	8%	86	+0.8	194/270/396	201	315	27	12	45%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	35→34	49→50	54→50	36	188/246/332	144	269	17	14	36%	6%	56	-1.3	199/257/342	143	302	18	13	38%	6%	63	-0.8	180/243/309	129	278	16	12	39%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	36→34	50→60	50	35	193/236/341	148	280	19	14	38%	5%	54	-1.4	209/272/403	194	297	25	14	37%	7%	86	+0.8	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A	23	37	46→55	47→30	44	188/274/317	128	274	14	2	35%	9%	65	-0.7	199/274/344	145	282	17	3	34%	7%	72	-0.2	184/260/325	141	260	18	0	35%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	36→46	50	49→45	38	193/249/349	157	265	18	9	34%	6%	63	-0.9	212/270/345	133	295	14	7	31%	6%	69	-0.4	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Nick Akins 2010 · A	22	42	48→55	47→45	37	209/266/358	149	305	15	5	35%	6%	71	-0.3	207/269/369	162	285	20	4	33%	7%	76	+0.0	192/257/348	156	253	20	4	32%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Jose Peroza 2022 · A	22	43→44	47→45	51→45	41	209/284/345	136	315	14	6	36%	8%	76	+0.0	213/279/336	123	322	13	5	35%	7%	71	-0.3	207/274/328	121	311	13	4	35%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	42→48	48→45	50→65	38	215/264/352	136	293	16	16	32%	6%	69	-0.4	208/270/334	126	279	13	32	29%	7%	66	-0.6	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Alex Glenn 2013 · A	22	40→43	48→55	53→50	39	199/266/342	142	302	15	10	38%	7%	67	-0.5	214/268/366	152	286	16	11	30%	6%	74	-0.1	211/261/370	159	272	16	12	28%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	39→38	47→50	54→55	43	198/273/336	137	281	14	17	33%	8%	69	-0.4	191/270/311	120	270	12	17	32%	8%	62	-0.9	168/253/270	102	226	10	19	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Daniel Reyes 2019 · A	22	42	47→50	49→45	44	213/272/351	138	269	14	13	26%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/330	124	289	11	8	31%	6%	63	-0.9	187/243/321	134	262	12	5	32%	5%	48	-0.9
✕Rece Hinds 2023 · AA	22	37→41	49→60	50→55	33	187/244/331	144	313	17	14	44%	6%	55	-1.4	200/249/369	169	324	21	19	43%	5%	67	-0.5	203/259/391	188	291	25	20	38%	6%	75	-0.0