Jackson Cox

P Spokane Indians

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.0 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #505MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP46ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	19	ACOL	10	9	31	7.26	3.81	21.5%	13.4%	—	K 15.9% · BB 15.8% · FIP 4.57
2025	21	ACOL	23	23	85	3.39	3.65	27.0%	7.3%	—	K 20.0% · BB 8.7% · FIP 5.40
2026	22	MIX2 levels	20	19	97	4.25	3.81	30.9%	9.4%	—	K 24.3% · BB 10.6% · FIP 4.99
2027PROJ	23	MLBCOL	13	13	68	4.76	4.76	23.8%	10.2%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCOL	7	7	39	4.94	4.90	24.2%	9.6%	0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBCOL	10	10	60	4.84	4.80	24.4%	9.3%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$3M2033Arb-3$3M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff53Control52Command45FB velo52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 10, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 73%

CompsTrent Palmer (age 23) · Cody Laweryson (age 23) · Ryan Jensen (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%23.8%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%13.6%

Proj IP68

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4055

CTRL—55

CMD3545

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	10	9	31	149	32	20	2	90%	3.1	15.9%	15.8%	0.1%	1.5%	7.26	4.57	—
2023	19	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	10	9	31	149	32	20	2	90%	3.1	21.5%	13.4%	8.1%	1.3%	7.26	3.81	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	23	23	85	341	92	25	12	100%	3.7	20.0%	8.7%	11.3%	5.3%	3.39	5.40	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	23	23	85	341	92	25	12	100%	3.7	20.0%	8.7%	11.3%	5.3%	3.39	5.40	—
2025	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	23	23	85	341	92	25	12	100%	3.7	27.0%	7.3%	19.6%	3.5%	3.39	3.65	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	19	97	414	128	39	16	95%	4.9	24.3%	10.6%	13.7%	4.7%	4.25	4.99	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	19	97	414	128	39	16	95%	4.9	24.3%	10.6%	13.7%	4.7%	4.25	4.99	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	19	97	414	128	39	16	95%	4.9	30.9%	9.4%	21.5%	3.9%	4.25	3.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	COL	13	13	68	287	68	29	10	100%	5.2	23.8%	10.2%	13.6%	3.6%	4.76	4.76	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	COL	16	16	90	379	92	37	13	100%	5.6	24.2%	9.6%	14.6%	3.5%	4.64	4.60	+0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	16	16	91	384	94	36	13	100%	5.7	24.4%	9.3%	15.1%	3.5%	4.55	4.51	+0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	COL	15	15	91	384	94	35	13	100%	6.1	24.5%	9.2%	15.3%	3.5%	4.50	4.48	+0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	COL	15	15	90	378	92	35	13	100%	6.0	24.4%	9.2%	15.2%	3.5%	4.50	4.51	+0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	COL	14	14	87	366	89	34	13	100%	6.2	24.3%	9.4%	14.9%	3.6%	4.56	4.59	+0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	COL	14	14	83	350	84	34	13	100%	5.9	24.1%	9.6%	14.5%	3.8%	4.66	4.73	+0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	COL	13	13	78	329	85	30	13	100%	6.0	25.7%	9.1%	16.6%	4.0%	4.64	4.63	+0.2
2035	31	MLB MLE	COL	12	12	73	307	78	29	13	100%	6.0	25.3%	9.5%	15.8%	4.2%	4.76	4.83	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	COL	7	7	39	165	40	16	7	100%	5.6	24.2%	9.6%	14.6%	4.1%	4.94	4.90	+0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	10	10	60	253	62	24	10	100%	6.0	24.4%	9.3%	15.1%	4.0%	4.84	4.80	+0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	COL	12	12	72	304	75	28	12	100%	6.0	24.5%	9.2%	15.3%	4.0%	4.79	4.77	+0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	COL	13	13	76	321	78	30	13	100%	5.8	24.4%	9.2%	15.2%	4.0%	4.79	4.80	+0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	COL	13	13	77	325	79	31	13	100%	5.9	24.3%	9.4%	14.9%	4.2%	4.86	4.89	+0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	COL	12	12	75	317	76	30	14	100%	6.2	24.1%	9.6%	14.5%	4.3%	4.97	5.04	+0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	COL	12	12	72	304	78	28	14	100%	6.0	25.7%	9.1%	16.6%	4.6%	4.97	4.96	+0.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	COL	11	11	68	287	73	27	14	100%	6.2	25.3%	9.5%	15.8%	4.8%	5.11	5.18	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		91	91	539	2277	561	213	97	100%	5.9	24.6%	9.4%	15.3%	4.3%	4.91	4.54	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	208	79	36	100%	6.0	24.6%	9.4%	15.3%	4.3%	4.91	4.54	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		53	51	213	904	192	97	40	96%	4.0	21.3%	10.7%	10.6%	4.4%	4.35	5.08	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	48	200	848	180	91	37	96%	4.0	21.3%	10.7%	10.6%	4.4%	4.35	5.08	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Cox (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	23.8%	10.2%	3.6%	—	4.53	24.4%	15.0%	272	-0.23	—	—	—
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	89
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.48	21.4%	12.8%	178	-0.58	2.48	298	87
Ryan Jensen R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	21.4%	10.8%	4.0%	.236	4.48	22.0%	5.1%	180	-0.38	3.92	311	87
CJ Van Eyk R 2021 · 4.79 FIP	22	SP	4.79	21.8%	12.7%	3.5%	.302	4.64	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.15	4.18	457	86
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	86
Bryce Jarvis R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP	4.99	21.2%	11.0%	4.2%	.276	5.08	17.8%	6.3%	296	+0.09	4.14	536	85
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.42	20.6%	11.4%	217	-0.41	3.07	280	84
Jaden Hamm R 2024 · 3.79 FIP	21	SP	3.79	23.5%	8.9%	2.8%	.273	4.79	17.1%	7.3%	83	+1.00	3.79	182	84
Chase Solesky R 2021 · 5.15 FIP	23	SP	5.15	21.3%	9.2%	4.9%	.362	4.76	13.6%	5.4%	311	-0.39	4.07	567	84
Ryan Garcia R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	24	SP	3.74	23.2%	10.7%	2.3%	.239	5.53	19.8%	6.6%	278	+1.79	3.74	362	83
Blake Wehunt R 2024 · 3.65 FIP	23	SP	3.65	21.8%	10.4%	1.9%	.261	4.30	21.0%	11.4%	164	+0.65	3.65	256	83
Bud Norris R 2009 · 4.47 FIP	24	SP	4.47	21.7%	9.6%	3.6%	.309	4.01	22.5%	13.5%	508	-0.46	3.51	1,221	83
Gabriel Hughes R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	21	SP	5.12	22.2%	10.0%	4.8%	.302	3.85	18.8%	11.1%	207	-1.27	3.22	274	82
Cody Morris R 2019 · 3.73 FIP	22	SP	3.73	21.6%	8.1%	2.6%	.362	2.85	31.1%	20.9%	96	-0.88	2.23	256	82
Chad Patrick R 2022 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP	3.86	20.3%	9.9%	2.2%	.315	4.19	22.1%	14.2%	422	+0.33	3.69	570	82
Dylan DeLucia R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	23	SP	3.88	21.6%	7.4%	3.0%	.241	5.29	18.0%	7.2%	197	+1.41	3.88	232	82
Seth Shuman R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	18.9%	7.6%	4.4%	.297	4.48	15.4%	8.4%	109	-0.38	3.16	357	82
TJ Shook R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP	4.90	21.7%	13.8%	3.4%	.311	4.98	20.7%	10.3%	296	+0.08	3.35	452	82
Ben Gross R 2021 · 4.05 FIP	24	SP-	4.05	23.0%	8.8%	3.2%	.359	4.85	17.6%	2.0%	22	+0.80	4.05	118	82
Ty Madden R 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	24.0%	11.2%	3.7%	.304	4.75	21.2%	12.0%	217	+0.23	4.39	458	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.7	83	24.5%	9.5%	1.42	4.61
Chuck Cary ('85-'93, 3 WAR*)	2.1	68	24.6%*	8.7%*	1.45*	4.41*
Joe Price ('80-'90, 7 WAR*)	4.5	82	23.3%*	8.8%*	1.49*	4.15*
Rich DeLucia ('90-'99, 1 WAR*)	3.1	78	23.2%*	10.5%*	1.55*	4.65*
Daniel Norris ('23)	2.9	73	21.5%	8.9%	1.39	4.73
Félix Peña ('21)	1.3	65	23.9%	8.5%	1.35	4.66
Brad Peacock ('21)	2.8	93	24.7%	10.1%	1.27	4.11