Dameivi Tineo — OGILVIE

Dameivi Tineo P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 22 LHP 6'3" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.1 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121129vR 137

ERA5.47

FIP5.47

K%19.3%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%3.5%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$7M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4550

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	6	6	17	71	18	3	1	100%	2.9	17.2%	5.3%	12.0%	1.4%	3.12	3.09	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	6	6	17	71	18	3	1	100%	2.9	25.4%	4.2%	21.1%	1.4%	3.12	2.29	—
2022	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	7	27	108	29	19	0	78%	3.0	22.1%	8.4%	13.6%	0.0%	2.70	2.31	—
2022	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	7	27	108	29	19	0	78%	3.0	26.9%	17.6%	9.3%	0.0%	2.70	3.06	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	14	67	297	79	37	6	82%	3.9	19.4%	14.9%	4.5%	2.6%	3.78	4.79	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	14	67	297	79	37	6	82%	3.9	19.4%	14.9%	4.5%	2.6%	3.78	4.79	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	14	67	297	79	37	6	82%	3.9	26.6%	12.5%	14.1%	2.0%	3.78	3.57	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	22	21	94	415	141	66	8	95%	4.3	25.2%	18.7%	6.5%	2.5%	3.91	4.70	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	22	21	94	415	141	66	8	95%	4.3	25.2%	18.7%	6.5%	2.5%	3.91	4.70	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	MIA	18	18	83	356	128	57	6	100%	4.6	36.0%	16.0%	19.9%	1.7%	2.94	3.02	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	MIA	4	3	12	59	13	9	2	75%	2.9	22.0%	15.3%	6.8%	3.4%	10.80	5.03	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	18	18	96	405	82	56	12	100%	5.3	20.3%	13.8%	6.5%	2.9%	5.20	5.11	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	18	18	98	415	87	52	12	100%	5.5	21.0%	12.5%	8.5%	2.9%	4.98	4.88	+0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	17	17	100	420	90	49	12	100%	5.9	21.4%	11.7%	9.7%	2.9%	4.82	4.74	+0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIA	17	17	100	420	91	49	12	100%	5.9	21.6%	11.6%	10.0%	2.9%	4.74	4.70	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIA	16	16	98	414	89	48	12	100%	6.1	21.6%	11.7%	9.9%	2.9%	4.74	4.74	+0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIA	16	16	95	402	86	48	12	100%	5.9	21.5%	11.8%	9.6%	3.0%	4.79	4.83	+0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIA	15	15	91	383	81	46	12	100%	6.1	21.2%	12.1%	9.2%	3.2%	4.89	4.96	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIA	14	14	85	361	75	45	12	100%	6.1	20.9%	12.4%	8.5%	3.4%	5.04	5.14	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIA	9	9	47	198	40	27	5	100%	5.2	20.3%	13.8%	6.5%	2.8%	5.12	5.03	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	12	12	69	291	61	36	8	100%	5.8	21.0%	12.5%	8.5%	2.7%	4.90	4.80	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	14	14	81	342	73	40	9	100%	5.8	21.4%	11.7%	9.7%	2.7%	4.74	4.66	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIA	14	14	87	367	79	43	10	100%	6.2	21.6%	11.6%	10.0%	2.7%	4.66	4.62	+0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIA	15	15	88	372	80	43	10	100%	5.9	21.6%	11.7%	9.9%	2.8%	4.66	4.66	+0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIA	15	15	88	372	80	44	11	100%	5.9	21.5%	11.8%	9.6%	2.9%	4.71	4.75	+0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIA	14	14	84	355	75	43	11	100%	6.0	21.2%	12.1%	9.2%	3.0%	4.80	4.87	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIA	13	13	80	338	71	42	11	100%	6.2	20.9%	12.4%	8.5%	3.2%	4.95	5.05	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	106	624	2634	560	318	75	100%	5.9	21.3%	12.1%	9.2%	2.9%	4.79	4.41	+3.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	180	102	24	100%	5.9	21.3%	12.1%	9.2%	2.9%	4.79	4.41	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		54	48	205	891	198	135	19	89%	3.8	22.3%	15.1%	7.2%	2.1%	3.64	4.31	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	47	200	869	194	131	19	89%	3.8	22.3%	15.1%	7.2%	2.1%	3.64	4.31	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dameivi Tineo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.47	19.3%	15.8%	2.9%	—	4.91	20.9%	8.2%	294	-0.56	—	—	—
John Beller L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP	4.48	19.7%	14.1%	2.3%	.326	4.35	22.2%	7.1%	90	-0.13	4.16	170	87
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	85
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	84
Jackson Humphries L 2023 · 4.48 FIP	19	SP	4.48	19.8%	14.0%	2.3%	.302	5.94	20.8%	1.5%	248	+1.46	4.48	305	84
Rylan Kaufman L 2021 · 4.60 FIP	22	SP	4.60	19.3%	12.1%	2.9%	.305	4.75	18.9%	4.5%	131	+0.15	4.01	212	82
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	82
Gabriel Castellanos L 2016 · 4.49 FIP	22	SP	4.49	15.5%	13.7%	1.8%	.348	3.41	15.3%	2.7%	26	-1.08	3.41	108	80
Brent Headrick L 2021 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	22.9%	14.0%	2.6%	.383	4.58	23.7%	16.7%	227	+0.22	2.21	409	79
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.60	19.5%	5.2%	212	+0.08	3.90	277	79
Evan Shawver L 2022 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	18.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.289	4.73	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.41	3.92	278	79
Brooks Gosswein L 2022 · 5.13 FIP	23	SP	5.13	14.7%	14.8%	2.5%	.328	5.61	15.2%	-2.7%	66	+0.48	5.13	165	78
Michel Gelabert L 2019 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	18.7%	12.1%	2.4%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	107	78
Samy Natera Jr. L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	22.9%	13.3%	4.2%	.294	3.29	30.4%	16.9%	124	-1.85	1.94	208	78
Doug Nikhazy L 2022 · 4.99 FIP	22	SP	4.99	21.8%	19.9%	2.2%	.270	4.78	20.6%	8.1%	312	-0.21	4.16	461	77
Blake Taylor L 2018 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	16.7%	15.7%	1.2%	.317	3.77	21.2%	10.9%	130	-0.56	3.18	395	77
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	77
Brandon Knarr L 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	22.6%	13.6%	3.5%	.299	4.15	19.9%	10.8%	158	-0.71	4.08	256	77
Jacob Heatherly L 2018 · 6.27 FIP	20	SP	6.27	18.1%	27.2%	2.3%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	192	77
Keegan Akin L 2017 · 4.55 FIP	22	SP	4.55	20.2%	12.5%	2.9%	.303	4.23	22.2%	10.7%	276	-0.32	2.62	743	77
Steve Hajjar L 2023 · 5.59 FIP	22	SP	5.59	17.4%	23.3%	1.8%	.231	7.00	15.0%	-10.6%	40	+1.41	3.67	141	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.1	91	21.1%	12.4%	1.16	4.93
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25