Dameivi Tineo

P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.6 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#504ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	18	MIX2 levels	9	7	27	2.70	3.06	26.9%	17.6%	—	K 22.1% · BB 8.4% · FIP 2.31
2025	21	MIX2 levels	17	14	67	3.78	3.57	26.6%	12.5%	—	K 19.4% · BB 14.9% · FIP 4.79
2026	22	MIX2 levels	22	21	94	3.91	3.31	34.0%	15.9%	—	K 25.2% · BB 18.7% · FIP 4.70
2027PROJ	23	MLBMIA	—	—	0	5.37	5.37	25.1%	19.1%	—
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBMIA	7	7	40	5.03	4.92	25.3%	16.4%	0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBMIA	11	11	65	4.80	4.69	25.5%	14.7%	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.4M+2

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 4.3, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 79%

CompsDoug Nikhazy (age 23) · Caden Grice (age 22) · Brandon Knarr (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 135

ERA5.37

FIP5.37

K%25.1%

BB%19.1%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP90

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.3M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	6	6	17	71	18	3	1	100%	2.9	17.2%	5.3%	12.0%	1.4%	3.12	3.09	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	6	6	17	71	18	3	1	100%	2.9	25.4%	4.2%	21.1%	1.4%	3.12	2.29	—
2022	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	7	27	108	29	19	0	78%	3.0	22.1%	8.4%	13.6%	0.0%	2.70	2.31	—
2022	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	7	27	108	29	19	0	78%	3.0	26.9%	17.6%	9.3%	0.0%	2.70	3.06	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	14	67	297	79	37	6	82%	3.9	19.4%	14.9%	4.5%	2.6%	3.78	4.79	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	14	67	297	79	37	6	82%	3.9	19.4%	14.9%	4.5%	2.6%	3.78	4.79	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	14	67	297	79	37	6	82%	3.9	26.6%	12.5%	14.1%	2.0%	3.78	3.57	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	94	415	141	66	8	95%	4.3	25.2%	18.7%	6.5%	2.5%	3.91	4.70	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	94	415	141	66	8	95%	4.3	25.2%	18.7%	6.5%	2.5%	3.91	4.70	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	21	94	415	141	66	8	95%	4.3	34.0%	15.9%	18.1%	1.9%	3.91	3.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	MIA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	25.1%	19.1%	6.0%	2.9%	5.37	5.37	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	17	17	93	394	100	65	11	100%	5.5	25.3%	16.4%	8.9%	2.9%	5.11	5.00	+0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	17	17	98	414	105	61	12	100%	5.8	25.5%	14.7%	10.7%	2.9%	4.88	4.77	+0.7
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIA	17	17	103	434	111	62	13	100%	6.1	25.5%	14.3%	11.2%	2.9%	4.77	4.72	+0.8
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIA	17	17	100	420	107	60	12	100%	5.9	25.4%	14.2%	11.2%	2.9%	4.75	4.75	+0.7
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIA	16	16	95	399	101	57	12	100%	5.9	25.3%	14.4%	10.9%	3.0%	4.80	4.83	+0.6
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIA	15	15	88	371	93	54	12	100%	5.9	25.0%	14.6%	10.4%	3.2%	4.90	4.96	+0.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIA	13	13	80	337	83	50	11	100%	6.1	24.7%	14.9%	9.8%	3.4%	5.04	5.14	+0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	7	7	40	169	43	28	5	100%	5.7	25.3%	16.4%	8.9%	2.7%	5.03	4.92	+0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	11	11	65	274	70	40	7	100%	5.9	25.5%	14.7%	10.7%	2.7%	4.80	4.69	+0.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIA	14	14	81	342	87	49	9	100%	5.8	25.5%	14.3%	11.2%	2.7%	4.69	4.64	+0.6
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIA	14	14	85	359	91	51	10	100%	6.1	25.4%	14.2%	11.2%	2.8%	4.67	4.67	+0.6
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIA	14	14	84	355	90	51	10	100%	6.0	25.3%	14.4%	10.9%	2.9%	4.72	4.75	+0.6
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIA	13	13	80	338	85	49	10	100%	6.2	25.0%	14.6%	10.4%	3.0%	4.81	4.87	+0.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIA	12	12	74	312	77	47	10	100%	6.2	24.7%	14.9%	9.8%	3.2%	4.95	5.05	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		86	86	509	2149	542	315	62	100%	5.9	25.2%	14.7%	10.6%	2.9%	4.79	4.41	+5.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	213	124	24	100%	5.9	25.2%	14.7%	10.6%	2.9%	4.79	4.41	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		54	48	205	891	198	135	19	89%	3.8	22.3%	15.1%	7.2%	2.1%	3.64	4.31	+4.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	47	200	869	194	131	19	89%	3.8	22.3%	15.1%	7.2%	2.1%	3.64	4.31	+1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 83 IPFIP 3.02 → 4.45 (+1.43)K% 36.0% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	35.96%	—	×0.740	26.61%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	16.01%	—	×1.180	18.89%
HR / BF /BF	1.69%	÷1.000	×1.300	2.19%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.02 → 4.45, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 12 IPFIP 5.03 → 6.22 (+1.18)K% 22.0% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.03%	—	×0.770	16.97%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	15.25%	—	×1.150	17.54%
HR / BF /BF	3.39%	÷1.000	×1.250	4.24%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 5.03 → 6.22, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 56 IPFIP 3.56 → 4.69 (+1.13)K% 25.9% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.91%	—	×0.740	19.17%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.15%	—	×1.180	14.33%
HR / BF /BF	2.02%	÷1.035	×1.300	2.54%

Result: FIP 3.56 → 4.69, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Marlins · 11 IPFIP 3.44 → 5.28 (+1.85)K% 30.0% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	30.00%	—	×0.680	20.40%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	14.00%	—	×1.250	17.50%
HR / BF /BF	2.00%	÷0.910	×1.400	3.08%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 82).

Result: FIP 3.44 → 5.28, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Marlins · 21 IPFIP 1.22 → 2.31 (+1.09)K% 32.4% → 22.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	32.43%	—	×0.680	22.05%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.76%	—	×1.250	8.45%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.852	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 1.22 → 2.31, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AJupiter Hammerheads · 6 IPFIP 7.07 → 8.34 (+1.26)K% 14.7% → 10.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	14.71%	—	×0.740	10.88%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	41.18%	—	×1.180	48.59%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.959	×1.300	0.00%

Result: FIP 7.07 → 8.34, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKDSL Marlins · 17 IPFIP 2.27 → 3.09 (+0.82)K% 25.4% → 17.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.35%	—	×0.680	17.24%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	4.23%	—	×1.250	5.28%
HR / BF /BF	1.41%	÷1.399	×1.400	1.41%

Result: FIP 2.27 → 3.09, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dameivi Tineo (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.9%	—	4.83	25.4%	10.3%	294	-0.54	—	—	—
Doug Nikhazy L 2023 · 5.39 FIP	23	SP	5.39	21.9%	16.9%	3.6%	.304	4.71	20.2%	9.3%	258	-0.68	4.12	463	85
Caden Grice L 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	15.7%	2.2%	.282	5.05	17.9%	2.3%	83	+0.72	4.33	133	83
Brandon Knarr L 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	22.6%	13.6%	3.5%	.299	4.15	19.9%	10.8%	158	-0.71	4.08	256	80
Larson Kindreich L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP-	4.27	24.3%	18.6%	1.6%	.275	4.96	22.3%	6.1%	149	+0.69	4.16	214	79
Samy Natera Jr. L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	22.9%	13.3%	4.2%	.294	3.26	30.7%	17.2%	124	-1.88	1.94	208	79
Andrew Sears L 2024 · 4.25 FIP	21	SP	4.25	19.6%	15.4%	1.6%	.248	4.06	19.9%	11.0%	177	-0.19	3.71	266	78
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	77
Brent Headrick L 2021 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	22.9%	14.0%	2.6%	.383	4.55	24.0%	17.0%	227	+0.19	2.36	414	77
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	77
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	77
Noah Dean L 2024 · 4.41 FIP	23	SP-	4.41	25.4%	18.4%	2.0%	.216	5.93	21.1%	1.3%	74	+1.52	4.41	217	76
Brent Killam L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP	4.29	29.1%	14.5%	3.3%	.284	6.64	18.4%	9.6%	80	+2.35	4.29	121	73
Anthony Veneziano L 2021 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP	4.27	24.9%	10.8%	3.5%	.298	4.94	18.6%	8.6%	358	+0.67	4.18	539	71
Cole Ragans L 2021 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	20.2%	11.2%	4.2%	.296	3.34	26.8%	17.5%	445	-1.80	2.48	623	71
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	70
Dylan Carmouche L 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	19.0%	11.6%	2.5%	.332	5.21	16.7%	6.8%	116	+0.86	4.35	239	70
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	70
Connor Bach L 2015 · 4.48 FIP	23	SP-	4.48	16.4%	17.0%	1.1%	.304	5.82	18.5%	-9.3%	14	+1.34	4.48	124	69
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	69
John Doxakis L 2022 · 5.12 FIP	23	SP	5.12	18.2%	11.9%	3.8%	.252	4.76	17.8%	4.4%	113	-0.36	3.19	332	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 2,161 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 910 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.7	93	25.2%	15.3%	1.16	4.94
Tim Conroy ('78-'87, -3 WAR*)	2.3	78	20.8%*	13.6%*	1.12*	5.23*
Touki Toussaint ('25)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.24	5.42
Dan Warthen ('75-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.5	102	24.8%*	14.2%*	1.27*	4.86*
Jonathan Sánchez ('13)	3.9	112	22.8%	12.5%	1.04	4.70
Bob Gibson ('83-'87, -0 WAR*)	1.3	67	20.4%*	14.0%*	1.14*	4.52*
Kazuhisa Ishii ('02-'05, 1 WAR*)	2.8	141	19.8%*	13.6%*	1.14*	4.72*