Dameivi Tineo — OGILVIE

Dameivi Tineo P Beloit Sky Carp

+0.1 WAR

Age 22 LHP 6'3" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.7 · 2029

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%22.3%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%11.6%

IP67

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2029

K†5560

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	6	6	17	71	18	3	1	17.2%	5.3%	1.4%	3.12	3.05	+0.4
2022	18	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	9	7	27	108	29	19	0	22.1%	8.4%	0.0%	2.70	2.31	+0.8
2025	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	17	14	67	297	79	37	6	19.4%	14.9%	2.7%	3.78	4.83	+0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	3	2	7	38	9	8	1	—	—	—	9.82	—	—
ROS	22	MLB	MIA	12	12	67	282	63	30	8	22.3%	10.7%	2.9%	4.57	4.57	+0.3
2026 Total	22	MLB	MIA	—	—	74	320	72	38	9	22.5%	11.9%	2.9%	5.09	4.12	+0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	23	MLB	MIA	13	13	69	292	68	29	8	23.1%	9.9%	2.9%	4.44	4.37	+0.5
2028	24	MLB	MIA	13	13	71	299	71	28	9	23.7%	9.4%	2.9%	4.33	4.25	+0.6
2029	25	MLB	MIA	13	13	72	303	73	28	9	24.1%	9.1%	2.9%	4.24	4.18	+0.7
2030	26	MLB	MIA	13	13	72	303	74	27	9	24.2%	9.0%	2.9%	4.19	4.16	+0.7
2031	27	MLB	MIA	13	13	71	301	73	27	9	24.3%	9.1%	2.9%	4.18	4.17	+0.7
2032	28	MLB	MIA	13	13	70	296	72	27	9	24.2%	9.1%	2.9%	4.19	4.19	+0.7
2033	29	MLB	MIA	12	12	69	290	70	27	9	24.1%	9.2%	3.0%	4.22	4.24	+0.6
2034	30	MLB	MIA	12	12	66	281	67	26	9	23.9%	9.3%	3.0%	4.27	4.30	+0.5
2035	31	MLB	MIA	12	12	64	271	64	26	8	23.6%	9.4%	3.1%	4.33	4.38	+0.4
2036	32	MLB	MIA	11	11	62	260	61	25	8	23.4%	9.6%	3.2%	4.41	4.46	+0.4
2037	33	MLB	MIA	59	—	59	248	57	24	8	23.1%	9.7%	3.3%	4.50	4.56	+0.3
2038	34	MLB	MIA	56	—	56	236	54	23	8	22.7%	9.9%	3.4%	4.60	4.67	+0.2
2039	35	MLB	MIA	53	—	53	223	50	23	8	22.3%	10.2%	3.5%	4.72	4.79	+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			35	29	118	514	103	65	10	20.0%	12.7%	1.9%	3.81	4.08	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—			59	49	200	871	175	110	17	20.0%	12.7%	1.9%	3.81	4.08	+2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dameivi Tineo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	22.3%	10.7%	2.9%	—	4.27	23.6%	14.2%	212	-0.30	—	—	—
Keylan Killgore L 2026 · 4.24 FIP	22	SW	4.24	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	161	93
Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 4.04 FIP	22	SW	4.04	24.0%	12.8%	2.5%	.323	4.14	21.9%	8.9%	41	+0.10	4.04	158	92
Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.28 FIP	22	SW	4.28	18.8%	10.6%	2.6%	.289	4.77	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.49	4.09	219	91
Dante Biasi L 2027 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.64	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.73	4.91	224	90
Nate Peterson L 2027 · 4.45 FIP	23	SW	4.45	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	4.96	17.1%	5.7%	161	+0.51	4.32	236	89
Garrett Irvin L 2028 · 4.43 FIP	24	SW	4.43	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.34	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.09	4.34	110	89
Daniel Stumpf L 2028 · 4.26 FIP	24	SW	4.26	20.8%	11.5%	2.6%	.268	3.50	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.76	1.84	238	89
Joe Kemlage L 2027 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	19.4%	13.5%	2.2%	.278	5.32	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.91	4.41	128	88
Bailey Horn L 2027 · 4.96 FIP	23	SW	4.96	19.7%	12.7%	3.5%	.300	4.72	22.7%	9.5%	152	-0.24	3.96	265	88
Shane McCain L 2027 · 4.31 FIP	23	SW	4.31	19.8%	9.7%	3.0%	.324	4.65	16.6%	10.0%	125	+0.34	4.31	201	88
Jimmy Robbins L 2028 · 3.86 FIP	24	SW	3.86	23.3%	11.3%	2.4%	.286	4.86	18.1%	2.5%	99	+1.00	3.86	176	88
R.C. Orlan L 2028 · 3.91 FIP	24	SW	3.91	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.61	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.70	1.71	206	88
Andrew Walling L 2027 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.66	22.0%	9.8%	95	-0.54	3.14	151	87
Chase Watkins L 2026 · 3.74 FIP	22	SW	3.74	20.6%	11.8%	1.6%	.346	4.33	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.29	213	87
Will Mabrey L 2026 · 4.26 FIP	22	SW	4.26	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.29	19.2%	7.0%	46	+0.03	4.26	112	87
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2028 · 4.61 FIP	24	SW	4.61	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.60	24.1%	7.7%	60	-1.01	3.60	136	86
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2026 · 4.47 FIP	22	SW	4.47	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.91	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.56	2.97	146	86
Caden Monke L 2026 · 5.47 FIP	22	SW	5.47	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.37	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	5.37	118	86
Kyle Twomey L 2026 · 4.07 FIP	22	SW	4.07	17.6%	10.5%	2.1%	.298	3.95	14.8%	6.9%	68	-0.12	3.95	141	86
Ryne Slack L 2027 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	18.8%	9.0%	2.6%	.293	4.99	15.4%	2.5%	142	+0.91	4.08	212	86

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.5	$3M	+$1M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.6M
Totals		$7M		$17M	+$11M