John Doxakis — OGILVIE

John Doxakis P Columbus Clippers

Age 27 LHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 132

ERA5.21

FIP5.21

K%18.3%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%5.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	103	412	114	19	7	91%	4.5	21.0%	5.3%	15.7%	2.2%	3.94	3.19	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	103	412	114	19	7	91%	4.5	27.7%	4.6%	23.1%	1.7%	3.94	2.32	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	25	116	494	113	53	15	93%	4.3	18.2%	11.9%	6.3%	3.7%	4.89	5.12	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	25	116	494	113	53	15	93%	4.3	22.9%	10.7%	12.1%	3.0%	4.89	4.20	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	84	382	84	43	11	0%	2.3	18.2%	12.2%	6.0%	2.7%	5.89	4.58	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	84	382	84	43	11	0%	2.3	18.2%	12.2%	6.0%	2.7%	5.89	4.58	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	84	382	84	43	11	0%	2.3	22.0%	11.3%	10.7%	2.9%	5.89	4.34	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	20	0	31	155	30	28	4	0%	1.6	16.1%	16.3%	-0.2%	2.7%	7.26	5.27	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	20	0	31	155	30	28	4	0%	1.6	16.1%	16.3%	-0.2%	2.7%	7.26	5.27	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	20	0	31	155	30	28	4	0%	1.6	19.4%	18.1%	1.3%	2.6%	7.26	5.55	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	CLE	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.3%	13.1%	5.2%	2.9%	5.21	5.21	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CLE	24	0	25	107	20	14	3	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.9%	5.8%	3.0%	5.17	5.20	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	CLE	10	0	11	46	9	6	1	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.9%	5.8%	3.0%	5.17	5.20	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	8	6	1	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.9%	5.8%	3.0%	5.17	4.82	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	149	112	19	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.9%	5.8%	3.0%	5.17	4.82	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		106	46	334	1443	271	152	42	43%	3.1	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.9%	5.07	4.45	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	28	200	865	162	91	25	43%	3.1	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.9%	5.07	4.45	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
John Doxakis (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	18.3%	13.1%	2.9%	—	5.20	18.7%	5.8%	25	-0.01	—	—	—
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	74
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	73
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	71
Matt Whitehouse L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	27	SW	4.55	17.0%	12.8%	2.3%	.308	4.07	20.1%	9.2%	81	-0.48	3.37	353	70
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	69
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	68
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	68
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	68
Eric Jokisch L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	27	SW	4.64	12.4%	9.6%	2.5%	.330	3.93	15.2%	7.6%	283	-0.71	3.78	412	68
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	68
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	68
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	66
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	66
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	66
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	65
Cam Vieaux L 2021 · 5.10 FIP	27	SP-	5.10	18.0%	11.8%	3.7%	.288	4.49	19.7%	10.5%	122	-0.61	4.20	620	64
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	64
Anderson Polanco L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	18.9%	16.3%	2.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	64
Jake Drehoff L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SW	5.21	16.8%	9.0%	4.4%	.418	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	153	64
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	18.5%	13.0%	1.16	5.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82