John Doxakis
P
Columbus Clippers
Age 27
LHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 127
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
K%21.3%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%9.3%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 103 | 412 | 114 | 19 | 7 | 91% | 4.5 | 21.0% | 5.3% | 15.7% | 2.2% | 3.94 | 3.21 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 103 | 412 | 114 | 19 | 7 | 91% | 4.5 | 27.7% | 4.6% | 23.1% | 1.7% | 3.94 | 2.32 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 116 | 494 | 113 | 53 | 15 | 93% | 4.3 | 18.2% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.89 | 5.16 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 25 | 116 | 494 | 113 | 53 | 15 | 93% | 4.3 | 22.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.20 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 84 | 382 | 84 | 43 | 11 | 0% | 2.3 | 18.2% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 5.89 | 4.47 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 84 | 382 | 84 | 43 | 11 | 0% | 2.3 | 22.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 5.89 | 4.34 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 20 | 0 | 31 | 155 | 30 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.0% | 19.0% | -1.9% | 2.5% | 7.26 | 5.45 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 20 | 0 | 31 | 155 | 30 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.4% | 18.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 7.26 | 5.55 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 24 | 0 | 25 | 107 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.45 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 93 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 46 | 334 | 1443 | 272 | 157 | 41 | 43% | 3.1 | 18.9% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 5.07 | 4.45 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 28 | 200 | 865 | 163 | 94 | 25 | 43% | 3.1 | 18.9% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 5.07 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| John Doxakis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 21.3% | 12.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.83 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 25 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 72 |
| Tommy Vail L 2025 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 151 | 71 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 71 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 71 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 69 |
| Chris Reed L 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 68 |
| Stu Flesland III L 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 18.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 211 | 67 |
| Hunter Barco L 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 20.3% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 212 | 67 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.70 | 17.0% | 12.8% | 2.6% | .308 | 4.02 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 81 | -0.68 | 3.38 | 353 | 67 |
| Nate Peterson L 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.67 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 288 | 67 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.68 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 1.3% | .328 | 4.26 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 129 | +0.58 | 3.24 | 298 | 67 |
| Joe Adametz L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.13 | 16.6% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 236 | 66 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 66 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 66 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 310 | 66 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 65 |
| Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 65 |
| Garrett Williams L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 24.9% | 14.2% | 3.3% | .323 | 4.39 | 24.3% | -0.2% | 53 | -0.21 | 3.36 | 470 | 65 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.01 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 381 | 64 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2029 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 21.3% | 11.9% | 1.15 | 4.79 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |