Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 14 | 10 | 68 | 275 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 71% | 4.9 | 11.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 1.0% | 2.77 | 3.22 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 14 | 10 | 68 | 275 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 71% | 4.9 | 16.7% | 3.3% | 13.5% | 0.7% | 2.77 | 2.53 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 153 | 653 | 119 | 39 | 10 | 100% | 5.7 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 3.53 | 3.84 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 153 | 653 | 119 | 39 | 10 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.2% | 6.0% | 12.3% | 1.5% | 3.53 | 3.16 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 145 | 606 | 75 | 38 | 11 | 100% | 5.6 | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.10 | 4.27 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 145 | 606 | 75 | 38 | 11 | 100% | 5.6 | 12.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 3.10 | 3.84 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 23 | 113 | 476 | 86 | 37 | 12 | 92% | 4.5 | 15.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 4.15 | 4.11 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 23 | 113 | 476 | 86 | 37 | 12 | 92% | 4.5 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 4.15 | 3.94 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 28 | 25 | 134 | 605 | 100 | 41 | 24 | 89% | 4.8 | 14.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 6.90 | 4.07 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 28 | 25 | 134 | 605 | 100 | 41 | 24 | 89% | 4.8 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 6.90 | 4.85 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 14 | 8 | 42 | 205 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 57% | 3.0 | 15.9% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 6.91 | 4.38 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 14 | 8 | 42 | 205 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 57% | 3.0 | 18.0% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 6.91 | 4.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 4 | 4 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.9 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.25 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 76 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 134 | 119 | 655 | 2820 | 373 | 206 | 56 | 89% | 4.9 | 13.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 4.37 | 4.01 | +10.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 36 | 200 | 861 | 114 | 63 | 17 | 89% | 4.9 | 13.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 4.37 | 4.01 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| John Parke (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.63 | 22.0% | 12.1% | 21 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Mann L 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 4.14 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.59 | 3.60 | 190 | 78 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2029 · 3.79 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.79 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 4.03 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.24 | 3.39 | 138 | 73 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 72 |
| Franklin Morales L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.06 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 2.2% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 101 | 69 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.68 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .214 | 4.11 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 107 | +0.43 | 3.68 | 146 | 67 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 67 |
| Jeff Locke L 2024 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.18 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 328 | 67 |
| Danny Duffy L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.69 | 23.6% | 9.1% | 4.4% | .281 | 3.35 | 24.8% | 13.7% | 92 | -1.34 | 3.29 | 915 | 66 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.73 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 0.6% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 108 | 65 |
| David Price L 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.41 | 24.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.64 | 25.8% | 18.9% | 283 | +0.23 | 2.65 | 922 | 63 |
| Tomas Solis L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.35 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .264 | 5.50 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +1.15 | 4.35 | 327 | 61 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.85 | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% | .298 | 4.45 | 10.4% | 3.0% | 129 | +0.60 | 3.85 | 237 | 60 |
| Everett Teaford L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 59 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.61 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.10 | 4.24 | 445 | 59 |
| Carlos Teller L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.83 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.69 | 13.1% | -1.1% | 60 | -0.14 | 3.72 | 333 | 59 |
| James Paxton L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.91 | 28.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | .358 | 4.43 | 24.2% | 14.5% | 118 | +0.52 | 2.48 | 924 | 58 |
| Eric Surkamp L 2024 · 5.15 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.15 | 16.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 182 | 58 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.18 | 12.0% | 10.8% | 3.2% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 360 | 58 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.17 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 311 | 57 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.78 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .404 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 383 | 57 |