Colin Tuft — OGILVIE

Colin TuftC Frederick Keys

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 206 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION222 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .293 / .318

PA148

HR3

SB6

K%31

BB%9

BABIP272

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$8M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	79	66	9	2	0	1	6	36	7	7	3	136	278	212	491	76	276	46	8	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	79	62	11	3	0	1	10	27	7	7	3	177	354	274	629	97	294	34	13	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	273	236	41	5	3	2	30	103	6	26	8	174	283	246	529	72	298	38	11	238	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	273	220	47	6	3	2	46	73	6	26	8	214	364	295	659	82	310	27	17	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	BAL	—	222	192	35	6	3	7	19	80	8	14	3	182	283	354	637	172	259	36	9	273	67	-8	+2	+0	+4	+6	0.4
YTD	23	A+	BAL	—	222	182	40	7	3	9	29	60	8	14	3	220	352	440	791	220	267	27	13	350	126	+7	+2	+0	+4	+6	1.9
ROS	23	A+	BAL	0%	148	129	25	5	1	3	14	46	4	6	1	194	293	318	610	124	264	31	9	271	65	-6	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.2
ROS	23	MLB	BAL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						268	0	0	255	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	BAL	—	223	193	35	6	3	7	19	80	8	14	3	181	282	352	634	171	257	36	9	273	67	-8	+2	+0	+4	+6	0.4
TOT	23	A+	BAL	—	370	321	60	11	4	10	33	126	12	20	4	187	287	340	626	153	265	34	9	272	66	-14	+2	+0	+7	+10	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	BAL	30%	353	309	60	11	3	7	33	106	8	10	3	194	289	317	606	123	266	30	9	276	69	-12	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.5
2028	25	MLB	BAL	44%	402	353	71	13	3	9	38	118	8	11	3	201	293	331	625	130	268	29	9	281	74	-12	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.8
2029	26	MLB	BAL	51%	433	381	77	14	3	10	40	125	9	12	3	202	293	333	626	131	270	29	9	284	76	-12	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.0
2030	27	MLB	BAL	52%	444	390	79	15	3	10	42	128	9	12	3	203	295	333	628	131	270	29	9	285	77	-12	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.0
2031	28	MLB	BAL	53%	448	393	79	15	3	10	43	130	9	11	3	201	294	331	625	130	270	29	10	284	76	-12	+1	-1	+8	+13	0.9
2027	24	MLB	BAL	30%	107	94	19	4	1	2	10	32	2	3	1	202	292	330	622	128	270	30	9	264	60	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	25	MLB	BAL	44%	178	155	31	6	1	4	17	52	4	5	1	200	295	329	624	129	272	29	10	270	65	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	26	MLB	BAL	51%	220	193	40	8	2	5	21	64	4	6	1	207	298	347	645	140	274	29	10	273	67	-8	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	27	MLB	BAL	52%	233	204	42	8	2	5	22	67	5	6	2	206	299	338	637	132	274	29	9	274	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2031	28	MLB	BAL	53%	239	209	43	8	2	5	23	69	5	6	1	206	300	335	635	129	274	29	10	273	67	-9	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	978	856	175	34	8	21	93	284	20	26	6	204	297	336	634	132	277	29	10	272	66	-37	+3	-0	+17	+28	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	116	23	5	14	62	189	13	17	4	204	297	336	632	132	276	29	10	272	66	-25	+2	-0	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	2580	2257	441	80	19	52	246	792	60	95	27	195	291	317	608	121	273	31	10	275	69	-91	+8	-1	+46	+73	3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	111	20	5	13	62	200	15	24	7	195	291	316	608	121	273	31	10	275	69	-23	+2	-0	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	79	62	11	3	0	1	10	27	7	7	3	177	354	274	629	97	294	34	13	309	94	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	66	56	13	1	1	1	9	15	1	7	1	232	348	339	688	107	300	23	14	319	102	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	207	164	34	5	2	1	37	58	5	19	7	207	369	280	649	73	314	28	18	313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+6	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	978	21	26	201	290	330	+17	+8	2.0	2.0
	/162	664	15	18	201	290	330	+11.9	+5.4	1.3	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colin Tuft (OGILVIE)	23	25	25	60	60	187/287/340	153	265	10	20	34%	9%	66	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	40→45	54→60	55	161/294/251	90	257	7	24	35%	14%	59	-1.1	189/306/294	105	299	8	20	35%	12%	73	-0.1	189/308/299	110	300	9	21	35%	12%	73	-0.1
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	38→40	53→60	49	182/289/262	80	287	6	16	35%	11%	58	-1.2	202/293/281	79	297	5	23	30%	10%	63	-0.8	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	42→43	39→40	52→50	58	198/312/287	89	285	6	14	30%	14%	73	-0.1	204/300/291	87	305	4	9	30%	12%	69	-0.4	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
●Levi Michael 2014 · A	23	39→49	37→45	55	49	187/266/263	76	252	4	13	26%	9%	46	-2.0	219/285/303	84	294	4	16	25%	7%	64	-0.8	226/293/341	115	319	10	11	30%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	52→45	43	203/264/285	81	271	6	9	26%	6%	50	-1.7	230/291/295	65	314	4	6	26%	7%	64	-0.8	225/288/284	59	300	4	5	25%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Rob Henry 2019 · A	24	41	37→30	54→55	49	193/289/269	76	284	4	18	30%	10%	59	-1.1	181/267/257	76	330	6	12	43%	9%	46	-2.0	143/238/200	56	291	6	12	48%	8%	17	-2.6
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→65	42	219/287/293	74	318	4	14	30%	7%	63	-0.9	230/317/295	65	313	3	29	25%	9%	76	+0.1	252/330/304	52	316	1	49	19%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Onix Vega 2022 · A	23	44	38→30	51→45	44	210/278/291	81	275	5	7	24%	6%	59	-1.1	210/286/283	73	281	5	6	25%	8%	60	-1.0	200/282/256	56	267	4	5	24%	9%	50	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	184/267/283	99	306	9	16	39%	8%	53	-1.5	197/288/298	101	277	10	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	191/290/281	90	261	9	10	28%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A	23	44	36→40	51→55	42	205/266/276	70	280	2	11	26%	6%	49	-1.8	196/240/268	72	301	3	8	34%	5%	35	-2.8	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	46	-2.0	217/272/277	60	282	3	17	23%	6%	51	-1.7	231/276/282	51	286	2	23	19%	5%	51	-0.6
✕Nick Sinay 2017 · A	23	45	36→30	56→60	49	205/317/266	61	285	3	23	26%	9%	72	-0.2	205/319/264	59	293	3	20	29%	7%	72	-0.2	181/319/211	31	274	2	26	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	33→36	41→45	53→55	43	170/253/270	99	234	9	20	30%	7%	44	-2.1	183/267/288	105	279	10	20	36%	8%	55	-1.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7