Carlos Garcia — OGILVIE

Carlos Garcia P ACL Cubs

Age 24 LHP 6'4" / 190 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%22.9%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	15	8	43	170	47	14	1	53%	2.9	18.8%	10.3%	8.5%	0.9%	1.67	3.31	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	15	8	43	170	47	14	1	53%	2.9	27.6%	8.2%	19.4%	0.6%	1.67	2.19	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	10	5	26	141	36	22	4	50%	2.6	17.4%	19.5%	-2.1%	4.0%	10.04	6.28	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	10	5	26	141	36	22	4	50%	2.6	17.4%	19.5%	-2.1%	4.0%	10.04	6.28	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	10	5	26	141	36	22	4	50%	2.6	25.5%	15.6%	9.9%	2.8%	10.04	4.87	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	CHC	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	22.9%	12.6%	10.3%	3.0%	4.79	4.79	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CHC	3	3	20	84	20	10	3	100%	6.7	23.3%	11.5%	11.9%	3.0%	4.66	4.60	+0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	CHC	2	2	9	38	9	4	1	100%	4.5	23.3%	11.5%	11.9%	3.0%	4.66	4.60	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	9	36	8	4	1	100%	8.6	23.3%	11.5%	11.9%	3.0%	4.66	4.22	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	187	94	23	100%	5.9	23.3%	11.5%	11.9%	3.0%	4.66	4.22	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		25	13	69	311	56	45	7	52%	2.8	18.1%	14.5%	3.7%	2.3%	4.83	4.66	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	38	200	901	164	130	21	52%	2.8	18.1%	14.5%	3.7%	2.3%	4.83	4.66	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	22.9%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.60	23.3%	11.9%	20	-0.19	—	—	—
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.83	21.4%	10.7%	156	-0.19	2.44	171	81
Brady Basso L 2021 · 3.93 FIP	23	SP-	3.93	21.8%	8.7%	2.8%	.333	4.20	21.6%	15.5%	179	+0.27	2.24	306	78
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.26	20.8%	9.6%	219	-0.34	2.32	359	75
Mac Lardner L 2022 · 5.08 FIP	24	SW	5.08	17.4%	9.4%	4.1%	.318	3.66	17.5%	8.1%	62	-1.42	3.66	186	74
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	74
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.80	17.3%	7.9%	201	-0.84	2.95	245	73
Jimmy Robbins L 2022 · 3.85 FIP	24	SP-	3.85	23.3%	11.3%	2.3%	.286	4.83	17.9%	2.7%	99	+0.98	3.85	176	73
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	71
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	71
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	71
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	70
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	70
Ismael Guillón L 2016 · 4.38 FIP	24	SW	4.38	24.9%	12.5%	3.3%	.206	4.43	20.1%	6.0%	100	+0.05	4.35	193	69
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	69
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	68
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	68
JP Sears L 2019 · 3.85 FIP	23	SW	3.85	16.8%	8.9%	1.9%	.268	3.34	24.7%	17.8%	222	-0.51	2.18	958	68
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	67
Luis Lugo L 2018 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	15.9%	11.3%	3.3%	.306	4.75	19.3%	8.0%	202	-0.27	4.29	622	67
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	67