Caleb Lomavita

C Harrisburg Senators
Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1146ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421AWSH71.213/.314/.2460340—.190/.271/.222
202522AA/A+WSH446.275/.343/.3746762—.228/.286/.309
202623AAWSH347.244/.315/.45314278—.222/.274/.391
2027PROJMLE24MLBWSH4.218/.271/.34100720.0
2028PROJ39% MLB25MLBWSH92.221/.275/.34921750.1
2029PROJ56% MLB26MLBWSH160.222/.277/.35242770.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$1M2033Arb-3$1.0M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO77
K%60
wRC+56
wOBA49
Whiff%45
Z-Con%45
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 3.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 83%
CompsJose Gil (age 24) · Abrahan Gutierrez (age 24) · Rodolfo Durán (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .271 / .341
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%5
BABIP278
ISO131
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +3.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.20.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1.0M+$0.3M
2031Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-2$1M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $2M $3M +$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 AFredericksburg Nationals — 7161 13200 5134 32 213314246560 33265 187 267 40 — — — — — —
202522 AAHarrisburg Senators — 3733 9102 490 01 273351485836 212318 2411 369 95 — — — — — —
202522 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 409363 1001624 198319 70 275342364706 88340 205 318 59 — — — — — —
202623 AAHarrisburg Senators — 347311 7617314 30792 20 244315453768 209279 239 335 78 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 7163 12200 3174 32 190271222494 32251 244 228 40 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 3734 9102 3110 01 265324471795 206310 308 309 95 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEWilmington Blue Rocks — 409373 841323 1111319 70 225283295578 70298 283 255 59 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 347320 7115311 21962 20 222274391665 169269 286 284 78 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 7163 12200 3174 32 190271222494 32255 244 228 40 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWFredericksburg Nationals — 7161 13200 5134 32 213314246560 33265 187 267 40 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 446407 931425 1412419 71 229286310596 81310 283 259 62 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 446396 1091726 239219 71 275343374717 98339 215 322 62 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 347320 7115311 21962 20 222274391665 169276 286 284 78 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAWHarrisburg Senators — 347311 7617314 30792 20 244315453768 209279 239 335 78 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 7164 12200 3174 32 188271219490 31251 244 228 40 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 446410 931425 1412419 71 227286307594 80299 283 259 62 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 347321 7115311 21962 20 221274389663 168269 286 284 78 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 7164 12200 3174 32 188271219490 31251 244 228 40 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 446410 931425 1412419 71 227286307594 80299 283 259 62 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 347321 7115311 21962 20 221274389663 168269 286 284 78 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEWSH 2% 380352 761428 181007 41 219271343614 124278 265 274 72 -13 +0 -0 +7 +8 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXWSH 2% 44 1000 010 00 218271341612 123278 250 274 72 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEWSH 39% 238220 49916 12624 31 221275350625 129279 265 279 75 -7 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.2
202926 MLB MLEWSH 56% 287265 591127 15745 41 222277354632 132280 265 282 77 -8 +0 -0 +5 +6 0.4
203027 MLB MLEWSH 62% 310285 631227 17805 41 222279354633 132280 265 282 77 -8 +0 -0 +6 +7 0.4
203128 MLB MLEWSH 65% 320294 661228 18835 41 222279352631 130279 266 282 77 -9 +0 -1 +6 +7 0.3
203229 MLB MLEWSH 64% 316290 641227 18825 31 221278349627 128278 266 280 76 -9 +0 -2 +6 +7 0.2
203330 MLB MLEWSH 64% 311285 621217 18825 31 218274341615 124276 266 276 73 -10 +0 -2 +6 +7 -0.0
202825 MLB CTXWSH 39% 9285 19402 5242 10 221275349623 128279 265 278 75 -3 +0 -0 +2 +2 0.1
202926 MLB CTXWSH 56% 160147 33614 9413 20 222277352629 130279 266 281 77 -4 +0 -0 +3 +3 0.2
203027 MLB CTXWSH 62% 191175 39715 11493 20 222278352631 130279 266 282 77 -5 +0 -0 +3 +4 0.3
203128 MLB CTXWSH 65% 207190 42815 12533 21 222278351629 129279 266 281 77 -6 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.2
203229 MLB CTXWSH 64% 204187 42815 12533 21 220278347625 127278 266 280 76 -6 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.1
203330 MLB CTXWSH 64% 200184 40814 11533 21 217274340614 122276 266 275 73 -7 +0 -2 +4 +4 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1054968 21541525 6027317 113 222279352632 130281 266 280 73 -30 +1 -4 +19 +23 0.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 13225315 3716810 72 221278348626 127281 266 280 73 -19 +1 -2 +12 +14 0.5
Career— MLE — 28532620 5811071663 14675458 359 222278347625 125284 265 276 73 -58 +2 -7 +36 +43 1.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650597 13224414 3317213 82 221277345622 124284 265 276 73 -19 +1 -2 +12 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAHarrisburg Senators · 347 PAwOBA .330 → .284 (−45)K% 22.8% → 27.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.77%÷1.000×1.220——27.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.65%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0126.12%
HBP% /PA0.58%—×0.850—×1.0120.50%
Singles /BIP18.10%÷1.000×0.970×1.029×1.01218.29%
Doubles /BIP7.33%÷1.000×0.860×1.029×1.0126.56%
Triples /BIP1.29%÷1.000×0.950×1.029×1.0121.28%
Home runs /BIP6.03%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0124.76%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .330 → .284; ISO .209 → .171; BABIP .279 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 409 PAwOBA .314 → .255 (−59)K% 20.3% → 27.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.29%÷0.960×1.310——27.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.65%÷0.986×0.600—×0.9982.82%
HBP% /PA4.65%—×0.770—×0.9983.57%
Singles /BIP27.86%÷1.004×0.870×1.022×0.99824.62%
Doubles /BIP5.71%÷0.948×0.780×1.022×0.9984.80%
Triples /BIP0.71%÷1.000×0.850×1.022×0.9980.62%
Home runs /BIP1.43%÷0.967×0.880—×0.9981.30%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 100, K 92, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .314 → .255; ISO .088 → .074; BABIP .340 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAHarrisburg Senators · 37 PAwOBA .359 → .309 (−50)K% 24.3% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.32%÷0.997×1.220——29.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.81%÷0.967×0.700—×1.0278.03%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.009×0.970—×1.02724.69%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷0.887×0.860—×1.0274.15%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.913×0.950—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷0.963×0.780—×1.0276.93%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 102, 2B 77, 3B 83, K 99, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .359 → .309; ISO .212 → .174; BABIP .318 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFredericksburg Nationals · 71 PAwOBA .264 → .228 (−37)K% 18.3% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.31%÷1.038×1.360——23.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.04%÷1.044×0.690——4.65%
HBP% /PA5.63%—×0.780——4.39%
Singles /BIP22.92%÷1.024×0.920×1.050—21.61%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷0.907×0.830×1.050—4.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×1.050—0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.078×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 105, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 108, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .264 → .228; ISO .033 → .031; BABIP .265 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).