Caleb Lomavita — OGILVIE

Caleb LomavitaC Harrisburg Senators

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION239 act + 159 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .272 / .360

PA159

HR4

K%28

BB%5

BABIP279

ISO143

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$9M	+$8M
2030	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$8M	+$6M
2031	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$7M	+$5M
2032	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$15M		$41M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	71	63	12	2	0	0	3	17	4	3	2	190	271	222	494	32	255	24	4	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	71	61	13	2	0	0	5	13	4	3	2	213	314	246	560	33	265	18	7	267	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	446	405	95	15	2	5	16	132	19	7	1	235	295	319	614	84	328	30	4	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	446	396	109	17	2	6	23	92	19	7	1	275	343	374	717	98	339	21	5	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	WSH	—	239	219	47	12	2	11	16	67	2	0	0	215	274	438	713	224	252	28	7	298	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
YTD	23	AA	WSH	—	239	212	51	14	2	12	23	52	2	0	0	241	321	495	816	255	260	22	10	354	129	+8	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.9
ROS	23	AA	WSH	2%	159	147	32	7	1	4	8	44	3	1	0	217	272	360	631	143	271	28	5	280	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						271	33	0	265	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	AA	WSH	—	242	222	47	12	2	11	16	68	2	0	0	212	271	432	703	221	248	28	7	298	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
TOT	23	AA	WSH	—	398	366	79	19	3	15	24	111	5	1	0	216	273	407	680	191	263	28	6	291	81	-9	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	WSH	31%	455	418	90	19	2	12	25	122	9	5	1	215	274	356	631	141	272	27	5	284	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.9
2028	25	MLB	WSH	45%	483	443	98	20	3	14	28	127	9	6	1	221	281	375	656	153	274	26	6	289	80	-11	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.2
2029	26	MLB	WSH	51%	499	457	101	21	3	14	30	130	9	6	1	221	282	372	654	151	275	26	6	292	82	-10	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.4
2030	27	MLB	WSH	53%	504	459	103	21	3	15	31	131	9	7	2	224	287	381	668	157	275	26	6	293	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.4
2031	28	MLB	WSH	53%	502	456	101	21	3	14	32	131	9	7	2	221	286	373	659	151	274	26	6	292	82	-10	+1	-1	+9	+14	1.3
2032	29	MLB	WSH	53%	494	451	98	20	2	14	31	130	9	7	2	217	281	364	645	146	274	26	6	290	80	-11	+1	-1	+9	+14	1.1
2033	30	MLB	WSH	52%	485	442	96	20	2	13	31	129	9	6	1	217	282	360	642	143	272	27	6	287	78	-12	+1	-2	+9	+14	0.9
2034	31	MLB	WSH	52%	457	417	89	18	2	12	29	123	8	6	1	213	278	353	630	139	270	27	6	283	75	-13	+1	-3	+8	+13	0.6
2035	32	MLB	WSH	52%	426	389	81	16	2	11	27	116	7	5	1	208	272	344	616	136	266	27	6	278	71	-14	+1	-3	+8	+12	0.3
2036	33	MLB	WSH	52%	386	352	73	14	2	10	24	107	7	4	1	207	272	344	615	136	262	28	6	271	65	-15	+0	-4	+7	+11	-0.1
2027	24	MLB	WSH	31%	141	129	29	6	1	4	8	38	3	1	0	225	286	380	666	155	272	27	6	270	65	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	25	MLB	WSH	45%	215	196	43	9	1	6	13	56	4	2	1	219	282	367	649	148	274	26	6	276	69	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2029	26	MLB	WSH	51%	254	232	51	11	1	7	15	66	5	3	1	220	282	366	648	147	275	26	6	279	72	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2030	27	MLB	WSH	53%	265	241	54	11	1	8	17	69	5	4	1	224	289	378	667	154	275	26	6	280	72	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2031	28	MLB	WSH	53%	268	244	54	11	1	8	17	70	5	4	1	221	286	373	659	152	274	26	6	279	72	-9	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.4
2032	29	MLB	WSH	53%	260	236	52	11	1	7	17	69	5	3	1	220	287	364	651	144	274	27	7	277	70	-9	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.3
2033	30	MLB	WSH	52%	253	231	50	10	1	7	16	67	4	3	1	216	279	359	638	143	272	26	6	275	68	-9	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.2
2034	31	MLB	WSH	52%	237	216	45	9	1	6	15	64	4	3	1	208	272	343	615	134	270	27	6	271	65	-9	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.0
2035	32	MLB	WSH	52%	220	200	42	8	1	6	14	60	4	3	1	210	275	350	625	140	266	27	6	265	61	-10	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.1
2036	33	MLB	WSH	52%	199	181	37	7	1	5	13	55	3	2	1	204	269	337	606	133	262	28	7	258	56	-10	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2315	2109	457	93	10	64	145	615	42	28	9	217	280	361	642	145	273	27	6	274	68	-85	+2	-8	+41	+66	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	128	26	3	18	41	173	12	8	3	216	281	361	643	145	272	27	6	274	68	-24	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	5367	4899	1069	214	27	138	315	1439	111	70	16	218	281	357	638	139	278	27	6	284	76	-149	+8	-14	+96	+152	9.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	130	26	3	17	38	174	13	8	2	219	281	359	640	140	278	27	6	284	76	-18	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	71	61	13	2	0	0	5	13	4	3	2	213	314	246	560	33	265	18	7	267	62	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	37	33	9	1	0	2	4	9	0	0	1	273	351	485	836	212	318	24	11	369	141	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	409	363	100	16	2	4	19	83	19	7	0	275	342	364	706	88	340	20	5	318	101	+1	+1	—	—	+12	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
	/162	664	21	1	241	303	410	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#5Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	9	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
	/162	664	12	5	261	285	388	+6.4	-3.1	1.0	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,318	64	29	218	278	364	+41	-6	4.7	4.5
	/162	664	18	8	218	278	364	+11.9	-1.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Lomavita (OGILVIE)	23	30→41	40→45	40→43	40	216/273/407	191	263	15	1	28%	6%	81	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	39	42→45	47→50	39	198/255/299	101	269	10	10	30%	5%	51	-1.7	211/272/334	123	278	13	9	28%	6%	67	-0.5	201/263/321	120	259	14	7	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2022 · AA	23	43	42→40	47→45	40	213/257/317	104	272	10	5	26%	5%	56	-1.3	225/280/319	94	262	9	8	18%	6%	66	-0.6	215/285/319	104	236	12	5	15%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Luis Vázquez 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	42→50	45	38	210/257/311	101	291	10	11	31%	5%	54	-1.4	229/288/359	130	302	15	9	28%	6%	81	+0.4	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2022 · AA	23	39→46	44→45	48→45	45	198/261/314	116	258	13	6	28%	8%	57	-1.2	214/281/337	123	274	14	7	26%	8%	72	-0.2	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Óscar Hernández 2016 · MLB	23	42	43→50	43→40	38	210/252/323	113	282	10	5	29%	5%	55	-1.4	190/240/303	113	246	12	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	166/216/270	104	214	12	1	28%	5%	24	-1.2
✕Chadwick Tromp 2018 · AA	23	44	39→50	46→40	41	215/258/300	85	275	7	4	24%	5%	51	-1.7	224/281/341	117	280	12	5	24%	6%	73	-0.1	222/279/363	141	273	17	0	25%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	44→55	46→45	37	202/247/323	121	282	12	7	32%	5%	53	-1.5	194/256/297	103	298	10	10	36%	7%	50	-1.7	163/228/254	91	247	10	10	36%	8%	25	-0.9
✕Tony Cruz 2010 · AA	23	44→38	45	50→40	42	219/257/343	124	263	12	4	22%	5%	63	-0.9	231/274/348	117	289	10	3	23%	5%	71	-0.3	241/284/356	116	298	9	0	22%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	42	40→55	50→40	43	203/279/294	91	279	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	209/281/354	145	278	18	4	31%	7%	78	+0.2	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2016 · AA	23	43→48	41→50	43→45	40	214/249/306	92	258	10	4	21%	4%	49	-1.8	215/257/302	87	261	9	4	21%	5%	51	-1.7	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→45	41→45	44→45	44	214/271/309	96	275	9	7	25%	6%	60	-1.0	223/277/326	103	287	9	7	24%	6%	67	-0.5	242/291/349	107	304	9	4	22%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jose Gil 2010 · AA	23	41	39→50	45	38	203/239/290	86	267	6	7	26%	4%	40	-2.4	222/270/354	132	273	15	7	24%	5%	72	-0.2	218/271/355	138	257	17	6	23%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	43→60	47→45	41	202/262/316	114	279	9	10	30%	6%	58	-1.2	196/266/342	146	271	17	7	33%	7%	68	-0.5	213/288/429	216	271	31	1	33%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Tyler Marlette 2016 · AA	23	46→42	46→50	47→45	40	229/272/360	131	295	14	7	27%	5%	73	-0.1	219/264/354	135	290	16	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	214/262/347	134	282	17	4	30%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	44	42→50	42→40	42	213/280/315	102	304	10	4	32%	7%	66	-0.6	212/275/335	123	294	14	4	31%	7%	69	-0.4	225/284/360	135	285	17	2	26%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Juan Zabala 2022 · AA	23	40	44→40	45→50	37	198/253/312	114	299	12	7	36%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/311	97	297	10	16	29%	7%	63	-0.8	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Gilberto Galaviz 2015 · AAA	23	46	42→40	47→30	40	227/260/330	103	272	10	6	21%	4%	60	-1.0	245/281/325	80	282	6	5	15%	4%	67	-0.5	255/292/302	47	285	3	1	11%	3%	62	-0.3
✕Alex De Goti 2019 · AAA	24	44→47	43→45	43→50	42	217/271/328	111	278	11	8	26%	6%	65	-0.7	223/279/344	121	286	12	7	25%	6%	72	-0.2	215/285/328	114	279	10	6	25%	8%	69	-0.4