Zach EhrhardOF
Oklahoma City Comets
Age 23
R/R
5'9" / 190 lbs
AAA
HR +15%K -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 1.5 · 2029
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .302 / .359
PA320
HR8
SB12
K%26
BB%9
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30↗48
PWR
45↗47
SPD
55→55
FLD
45↗51
EYE
48↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.5peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.4 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.5 | $13M | +$12M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $3M | +1.4 | $13M | +$10M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.2 | $11M | +$7M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.0 | $10M | +$5M |
| Totals | $15M | $73M | +$58M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 91 | 81 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .111 | .191 | .136 | .327 | .025 | .184 | 37 | 8 | .158 | -21 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | 2 teams | 538 | 478 | 107 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 130 | 11 | 37 | 4 | .224 | .301 | .362 | .663 | .138 | .276 | 24 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -13 | +6 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 97 | 85 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .247 | .312 | .388 | .700 | .141 | .345 | 33 | 6 | .288 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | 223 | 199 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 61 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .226 | .303 | .357 | .660 | .131 | .295 | 27 | 8 | .300 | 88 | -3 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | LAD | 320 | 284 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 93 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .232 | .306 | .366 | .672 | .134 | .312 | 29 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -5 | +2 | -0 | -2 | +9 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 25% | LAD | 474 | 421 | 99 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 106 | 8 | 15 | 2 | .235 | .316 | .378 | .694 | .143 | .286 | 22 | 9 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 43% | LAD | 502 | 444 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 111 | 8 | 14 | 2 | .236 | .318 | .381 | .699 | .144 | .287 | 22 | 9 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 58% | LAD | 516 | 456 | 109 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 47 | 114 | 8 | 14 | 2 | .239 | .321 | .388 | .709 | .149 | .288 | 22 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 76% | LAD | 521 | 460 | 110 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 116 | 8 | 13 | 2 | .239 | .322 | .387 | .709 | .148 | .288 | 22 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 83% | LAD | 520 | 458 | 109 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 117 | 8 | 12 | 1 | .238 | .322 | .386 | .709 | .148 | .287 | 22 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 90% | LAD | 512 | 451 | 107 | 21 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 116 | 8 | 11 | 1 | .237 | .321 | .386 | .707 | .149 | .287 | 23 | 9 | .317 | 100 | +0 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 502 | 442 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 47 | 116 | 8 | 10 | 1 | .235 | .320 | .380 | .700 | .145 | .285 | 23 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 489 | 433 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 115 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .231 | .315 | .370 | .684 | .139 | .284 | 24 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 471 | 417 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 113 | 7 | 7 | 0 | .228 | .312 | .362 | .674 | .134 | .282 | 24 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 442 | 392 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 109 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .222 | .305 | .352 | .657 | .130 | .281 | 25 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 396 | 350 | 77 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 101 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .220 | .305 | .346 | .651 | .126 | .279 | 26 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6197 | 5482 | 1263 | 254 | 24 | 154 | 561 | 1459 | 98 | 166 | 17 | .230 | .313 | .370 | .683 | .139 | .284 | 24 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -46 | +26 | -20 | -37 | +176 | 10.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 133 | 27 | 3 | 16 | 59 | 153 | 10 | 17 | 2 | .231 | .314 | .372 | .686 | .141 | .285 | 24 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -5 | +3 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 91 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .156 | .270 | .195 | .464 | .039 | .222 | 27 | 12 | .224 | 30 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 398 | 342 | 85 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 70 | 9 | 30 | 4 | .249 | .344 | .433 | .777 | .184 | .273 | 18 | 10 | .343 | 120 | +9 | +4 | — | — | +11 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 140 | 111 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 0 | .342 | .475 | .459 | .934 | .117 | .440 | 19 | 19 | .421 | 180 | +13 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.8 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Zach Ehrhard (OGILVIE) | 23 | 30→48 | 45→47 | 55 | 60 | .223/.302/.359 | .137 | .284 | 8 | 11 | 26% | 9% | 88 | +0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA |
23 | 41→51 | 51→55 | 58→55 | 46 | .207/.294/.372 | .165 | .295 | 18 | 24 | 34% | 10% | 87 | +0.8 | .244/.322/.424 | .180 | .328 | 20 | 21 | 30% | 9% | 112 | +2.6 | .242/.325/.399 | .157 | .318 | 18 | 21 | 28% | 10% | 104 | +1.4 |
|
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA |
23 | 45→49 | 48→55 | 51→55 | 44 | .226/.288/.373 | .147 | .292 | 15 | 21 | 28% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .212/.274/.363 | .151 | .280 | 17 | 17 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .189/.253/.336 | .147 | .253 | 17 | 17 | 32% | 7% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Nick Loftin 2023 · AAA |
24 | 45→52 | 47→50 | 53→50 | 47 | .226/.286/.360 | .134 | .264 | 15 | 17 | 21% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .237/.305/.365 | .128 | .272 | 14 | 13 | 18% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .238/.318/.362 | .124 | .267 | 13 | 11 | 16% | 9% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
✕Andy Burns 2014 · AA |
23 | 47→57 | 47→50 | 53→55 | 45 | .235/.290/.380 | .146 | .294 | 13 | 19 | 24% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .234/.279/.354 | .120 | .288 | 10 | 14 | 22% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .200/.281/.330 | .130 | .257 | 15 | 10 | 27% | 10% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A |
24 | 45→55 | 45 | 52→55 | 45 | .222/.283/.349 | .127 | .289 | 12 | 18 | 27% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .248/.317/.362 | .114 | .326 | 10 | 18 | 25% | 9% | 93 | +1.3 | .253/.327/.352 | .099 | .328 | 8 | 18 | 23% | 9% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
✕Aaron Luna 2010 · AA |
23 | 40→43 | 50 | 49→45 | 46 | .207/.313/.367 | .160 | .264 | 17 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .222/.323/.370 | .148 | .277 | 16 | 7 | 25% | 8% | 100 | +1.7 | .221/.326/.364 | .144 | .274 | 17 | 6 | 24% | 9% | 97 | +1.0 |
|
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA |
23 | 42→41 | 50 | 52→55 | 45 | .218/.284/.375 | .158 | .271 | 18 | 18 | 26% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .182/.253/.314 | .132 | .259 | 17 | 20 | 35% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .178/.268/.330 | .152 | .242 | 18 | 26 | 33% | 8% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Mario Lisson 2007 · A |
23 | 46→49 | 44→55 | 55 | 48 | .223/.301/.345 | .122 | .289 | 11 | 21 | 26% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .215/.269/.328 | .113 | .279 | 11 | 19 | 26% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .233/.305/.376 | .142 | .304 | 18 | 8 | 28% | 8% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
●Jordan Parraz 2008 · A |
23 | 47→56 | 46→50 | 52→50 | 43 | .236/.290/.368 | .132 | .286 | 14 | 18 | 23% | 5% | 84 | +0.6 | .251/.317/.374 | .123 | .311 | 10 | 13 | 21% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .260/.324/.392 | .132 | .318 | 11 | 6 | 20% | 6% | 99 | +1.3 |
|
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A |
24 | 43→48 | 44→50 | 54→65 | 46 | .213/.288/.337 | .124 | .267 | 11 | 22 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .206/.270/.326 | .120 | .262 | 12 | 18 | 25% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .207/.329/.377 | .170 | .285 | 16 | 41 | 30% | 12% | 100 | +0.9 |
|
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA |
23 | 41→45 | 45→55 | 52→55 | 42 | .202/.273/.332 | .129 | .285 | 12 | 17 | 32% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .207/.273/.337 | .130 | .293 | 12 | 18 | 32% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .220/.291/.388 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 25 | 27% | 8% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA |
23 | 47→49 | 46→50 | 57→55 | 46 | .234/.288/.375 | .142 | .285 | 12 | 16 | 23% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .233/.295/.371 | .138 | .286 | 13 | 17 | 22% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .229/.296/.370 | .141 | .279 | 14 | 17 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Leo German 2016 · AAA |
23 | 44→54 | 42→45 | 54→55 | 41 | .218/.274/.316 | .098 | .275 | 10 | 20 | 24% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .254/.292/.345 | .091 | .333 | 6 | 27 | 25% | 4% | 77 | +0.1 | .282/.316/.373 | .091 | .363 | 7 | 23 | 23% | 4% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Phillip Ervin 2016 · AA |
24 | 42→52 | 43→50 | 54→55 | 46 | .208/.277/.324 | .116 | .263 | 11 | 20 | 25% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .216/.287/.341 | .125 | .270 | 13 | 25 | 24% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .238/.302/.379 | .141 | .300 | 14 | 21 | 24% | 7% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
●Lane Thomas 2019 · AAA |
23 | 41→51 | 47→55 | 48→55 | 40 | .207/.265/.343 | .136 | .298 | 15 | 13 | 35% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .220/.285/.379 | .159 | .298 | 18 | 14 | 31% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .248/.312/.427 | .179 | .308 | 21 | 13 | 25% | 7% | 107 | +2.0 |
|
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA |
23 | 38→43 | 48→50 | 57→55 | 45 | .200/.272/.345 | .145 | .264 | 16 | 19 | 30% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .213/.284/.353 | .140 | .278 | 16 | 18 | 28% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .213/.283/.350 | .137 | .276 | 16 | 17 | 28% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
●Josh Lowe 2021 · AA |
23 | 40→50 | 47→55 | 52→60 | 42 | .204/.268/.338 | .135 | .294 | 15 | 19 | 35% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .243/.304/.413 | .170 | .341 | 19 | 26 | 32% | 8% | 101 | +1.8 | .255/.314/.435 | .180 | .350 | 20 | 31 | 31% | 8% | 108 | +1.9 |
|
●Derek Fisher 2017 · AAA |
23 | 44→51 | 49→55 | 55 | 45 | .219/.292/.364 | .144 | .309 | 17 | 20 | 33% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .229/.300/.394 | .165 | .320 | 20 | 18 | 33% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .226/.302/.402 | .176 | .310 | 23 | 18 | 33% | 9% | 95 | +1.0 |
|
✕Yancarlo Angulo 2010 · AAA |
23 | 42→52 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 42 | .211/.268/.330 | .119 | .265 | 11 | 21 | 25% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .226/.281/.321 | .095 | .283 | 7 | 19 | 22% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .246/.302/.357 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 4% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Joe Benson 2011 · AA |
23 | 45→50 | 52→60 | 51→50 | 41 | .226/.298/.400 | .174 | .315 | 18 | 16 | 33% | 7% | 96 | +1.5 | .220/.286/.381 | .161 | .306 | 17 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .202/.268/.342 | .140 | .286 | 13 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.4 |