Zach Ehrhard — OGILVIE

Zach EhrhardOF Oklahoma City Comets

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 190 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION379 act + 252 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .311 / .376

PA252

HR7

SB8

K%25

BB%9

BABIP286

ISO148

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$7M	+$5M
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2033	Arb-3	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$38M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	91	79	9	2	0	0	9	36	1	4	1	114	213	139	353	25	200	40	10	165	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	91	77	12	3	0	0	11	25	1	4	1	156	270	195	464	39	222	27	12	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	538	479	109	22	1	14	41	135	11	37	4	228	303	365	669	138	283	25	8	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	538	453	123	30	2	14	67	97	11	37	4	272	379	439	818	168	313	18	12	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	LAD	—	379	331	75	15	1	11	39	98	4	11	7	227	316	378	693	151	282	26	10	302	89	-5	-1	+0	-2	+11	0.3
YTD	23	AAA	LAD	—	379	315	90	19	1	14	55	76	4	11	7	286	398	486	884	200	330	20	15	388	155	+24	-1	+0	-2	+11	3.2
ROS	23	AAA	LAD	10%	252	223	51	10	1	7	24	64	3	8	3	228	311	376	687	148	281	25	9	303	90	-3	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	LAD	10%	25	23	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	217	280	391	671	174	277	24	8	290	80	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.0
FULL	23	AAA	LAD	—	404	354	80	16	1	12	41	104	4	12	7	226	313	379	692	153	280	26	10	301	89	-5	-0	-0	-2	+11	0.4
TOT	23	AAA	LAD	—	631	554	126	25	2	18	63	162	7	19	10	227	314	377	691	150	284	26	10	302	90	-7	-0	-0	-4	+18	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	LAD	42%	581	514	117	23	2	16	55	144	7	18	7	228	311	374	684	146	281	25	9	308	94	-4	+1	-0	-3	+16	1.0
2028	25	MLB	LAD	58%	604	535	124	24	2	18	57	148	7	19	7	232	314	385	699	153	282	25	9	311	96	-2	+1	-0	-4	+17	1.2
2029	26	MLB	LAD	65%	610	540	125	25	2	18	58	148	7	19	7	231	314	385	699	154	283	24	10	313	98	-2	+1	-0	-4	+17	1.3
2030	27	MLB	LAD	66%	609	539	125	25	2	18	58	148	7	19	7	232	315	386	700	154	283	24	10	313	98	-1	+1	-0	-4	+17	1.3
2031	28	MLB	LAD	67%	603	533	123	24	2	18	58	148	7	18	7	231	314	385	699	154	282	25	10	312	97	-2	+1	-1	-4	+17	1.2
2032	29	MLB	LAD	66%	596	526	121	24	2	17	58	147	7	17	6	230	315	380	695	150	281	25	10	310	96	-3	+1	-1	-4	+17	1.0
2033	30	MLB	LAD	65%	587	518	117	23	1	17	57	146	7	15	5	226	311	373	684	147	280	25	10	308	94	-4	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.8
2027	24	MLB	LAD	42%	246	218	50	10	1	7	23	61	3	8	3	229	311	381	692	151	277	25	9	295	84	-5	+0	-0	-1	+7	0.1
2028	25	MLB	LAD	58%	348	308	70	14	1	10	33	85	4	11	4	227	310	377	687	149	278	24	9	298	87	-5	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2029	26	MLB	LAD	65%	394	349	79	16	1	11	37	96	5	12	5	226	309	372	682	146	279	24	9	300	88	-5	+0	-0	-2	+11	0.4
2030	27	MLB	LAD	66%	403	356	82	16	1	12	39	98	5	13	5	230	315	382	697	152	279	24	10	300	88	-5	+1	-0	-2	+11	0.4
2031	28	MLB	LAD	67%	404	357	82	16	1	12	39	99	5	12	5	230	314	381	695	151	278	25	10	299	87	-6	+0	-1	-2	+11	0.3
2032	29	MLB	LAD	66%	393	347	78	15	1	11	38	97	5	11	4	225	310	369	679	144	277	25	10	298	86	-6	+1	-1	-2	+11	0.2
2033	30	MLB	LAD	65%	383	339	76	15	1	11	37	96	4	10	4	224	308	372	680	147	276	25	10	295	84	-7	+0	-1	-2	+11	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2596	2297	522	103	7	75	248	638	31	78	30	227	311	376	687	149	280	25	10	298	86	-40	+4	-3	-16	+74	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	131	26	2	19	62	160	8	20	8	228	312	379	691	151	281	25	10	298	86	-10	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	5071	4486	1021	202	15	143	475	1264	64	174	54	228	310	375	685	147	282	25	9	306	92	-44	+13	-5	-30	+144	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	131	26	2	18	61	162	8	22	7	228	311	374	684	146	283	25	9	306	92	-6	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	91	77	12	3	0	0	11	25	1	4	1	156	270	195	464	39	222	27	12	224	30	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	22	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	398	342	85	20	2	13	41	70	9	30	4	249	344	433	777	184	273	18	10	343	120	+9	+4	—	—	+11	2.5
2025	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	140	111	38	10	0	1	26	27	2	7	0	342	475	459	934	117	440	19	19	421	180	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Raul Mondesilast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,604 PA	6	2,604	108	89	251	326	456	-20	-6	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	28	23	251	326	456	-5.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 11
#3Travis Leelast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA	6	3,147	84	34	257	336	412	-36	-3	9.0	9.0
#3Travis Leelast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA	/162	664	18	7	257	336	412	-7.6	-0.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,603	76	77	231	311	382	-16	+2	4.8	4.8
	/162	664	19	20	231	311	382	-4.0	+0.6	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Ehrhard (OGILVIE)	23	30→48	45→47	55	60	227/314/377	150	284	18	19	26%	10%	90	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	51→55	59→55	46	204/291/370	166	288	19	24	34%	10%	85	+0.7	246/324/427	181	328	21	21	29%	9%	113	+2.6	236/320/399	164	307	19	21	28%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Nick Loftin 2023 · AAA	24	44→53	48→50	53→50	46	225/285/363	138	263	16	18	21%	7%	81	+0.4	240/309/371	131	275	15	13	18%	8%	92	+1.2	240/320/368	128	270	14	11	16%	9%	94	+0.9
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	43→52	48→50	51→55	43	216/280/358	142	286	15	21	29%	7%	77	+0.1	206/268/350	144	278	16	17	31%	7%	70	-0.3	187/250/330	143	255	17	17	33%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Andy Burns 2014 · AA	23	46→56	46→50	54→55	43	227/279/369	142	289	13	19	26%	6%	79	+0.3	233/275/349	116	289	10	13	22%	5%	72	-0.2	204/283/338	134	261	15	10	27%	10%	70	-0.2
✕Leo German 2016 · AAA	23	44→54	42→45	54→55	42	219/276/316	98	274	10	21	24%	5%	65	-0.7	255/291/343	88	340	6	27	26%	4%	76	+0.1	283/316/374	92	367	8	23	24%	3%	90	+0.6
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Mario Lisson 2007 · A	23	45→49	44→55	55	47	219/296/340	121	292	11	22	27%	8%	79	+0.3	215/266/328	113	281	11	19	26%	5%	63	-0.9	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	46→55	46→45	53→55	46	228/295/364	136	304	13	20	29%	8%	85	+0.7	249/321/362	113	327	10	18	24%	9%	95	+1.4	253/329/353	100	328	8	18	23%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Buddy Kennedy 2022 · AA	23	41→51	47→50	50	43	211/277/342	131	291	16	12	32%	8%	72	-0.2	221/301/335	114	288	11	8	25%	9%	79	+0.3	233/314/376	143	270	15	6	19%	8%	93	+0.8
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	46→55	52→55	42	202/273/338	137	283	13	17	32%	7%	69	-0.4	210/275/344	134	293	13	18	31%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Leody Taveras 2022 · MLB	23	42→52	49→50	55	44	215/274/366	151	278	16	22	29%	7%	76	+0.1	242/293/384	142	305	15	19	25%	7%	89	+0.9	247/297/378	132	305	13	20	23%	7%	87	+0.7
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2020 · AAA	23	49→55	44→50	53→50	47	236/295/364	127	291	10	13	22%	7%	84	+0.6	253/314/393	140	315	12	14	22%	8%	99	+1.7	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Aaron Luna 2010 · AA	23	40→44	50	49→45	46	206/312/366	161	263	17	8	27%	8%	95	+1.4	225/323/372	147	282	16	8	25%	8%	100	+1.7	223/327/369	146	277	17	6	24%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA	23	47→48	49→55	57→55	45	236/289/395	160	287	15	16	24%	7%	90	+1.0	235/296/383	148	288	14	17	23%	8%	90	+1.0	234/299/385	150	285	15	17	23%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Phillip Ervin 2016 · AA	24	43→50	43→50	54→55	47	210/282/326	116	268	10	20	25%	8%	69	-0.4	217/288/344	127	270	13	25	24%	7%	77	+0.1	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Cole Gillespie 2007 · A	23	49→59	46→50	52→50	52	239/317/369	129	293	13	15	22%	9%	95	+1.4	230/310/366	136	297	12	13	25%	10%	92	+1.2	225/307/369	144	290	13	14	25%	10%	89	+0.8
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA	24	44→47	42→45	54→55	47	215/290/326	112	285	9	19	27%	8%	73	-0.1	223/284/319	96	286	8	23	24%	7%	68	-0.5	256/300/368	112	305	11	25	19%	5%	85	+0.4
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	50	44	232/297/394	162	296	20	12	28%	7%	93	+1.3	242/301/407	165	320	20	11	29%	7%	98	+1.6	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	45	223/293/342	119	282	12	16	24%	7%	79	+0.3	210/268/294	84	282	6	12	26%	6%	55	-1.4	194/247/254	61	264	3	10	27%	6%	33	-0.8