Zach Ehrhard
OF Oklahoma City Comets| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+BOS | 91 | .156/.270/.195 | 0 | 4 | -4 | — | .111/.191/.136 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA/A+2 orgs | 538 | .272/.379/.439 | 14 | 37 | 85 | — | .231/.309/.365 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAALAD | 640 | .291/.404/.472 | 20 | 28 | 103 | — | .249/.338/.385 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 24 | MLBLAD | 21 | .232/.316/.368 | 1 | 1 | 97 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ42% MLB | 25 | MLBLAD | 219 | .233/.318/.373 | 6 | 8 | 98 | 0.4 | |
| 2029PROJ58% MLB | 26 | MLBLAD | 318 | .234/.318/.375 | 8 | 12 | 99 | 0.6 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 91 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 156 | 270 | 195 | 464 | 39 | 222 | 27 | 12 | 224 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 398 | 342 | 85 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 70 | 9 | 30 | 4 | 249 | 344 | 433 | 777 | 184 | 273 | 18 | 10 | 343 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 140 | 111 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 342 | 475 | 459 | 934 | 117 | 440 | 19 | 19 | 421 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 640 | 532 | 155 | 30 | 3 | 20 | 94 | 129 | 7 | 28 | 11 | 291 | 404 | 472 | 876 | 180 | 346 | 20 | 15 | 388 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 91 | 81 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 191 | 136 | 327 | 25 | 180 | 37 | 8 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 398 | 355 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 87 | 9 | 30 | 4 | 220 | 293 | 372 | 665 | 152 | 245 | 22 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 140 | 122 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 262 | 353 | 344 | 697 | 82 | 362 | 27 | 11 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 640 | 558 | 139 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 68 | 155 | 7 | 28 | 11 | 249 | 338 | 385 | 723 | 136 | 310 | 24 | 11 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 91 | 81 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 191 | 136 | 327 | 25 | 184 | 37 | 8 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 91 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 156 | 270 | 195 | 464 | 39 | 222 | 27 | 12 | 224 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 538 | 477 | 110 | 24 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 125 | 11 | 37 | 4 | 231 | 309 | 365 | 674 | 134 | 283 | 23 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 538 | 453 | 123 | 30 | 2 | 14 | 67 | 97 | 11 | 37 | 4 | 272 | 379 | 439 | 818 | 168 | 313 | 18 | 12 | 363 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 640 | 558 | 139 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 68 | 155 | 7 | 28 | 11 | 249 | 338 | 385 | 723 | 136 | 314 | 24 | 11 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 640 | 532 | 155 | 30 | 3 | 20 | 94 | 129 | 7 | 28 | 11 | 291 | 404 | 472 | 876 | 180 | 346 | 20 | 15 | 388 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 91 | 83 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 191 | 133 | 324 | 24 | 180 | 37 | 8 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 538 | 479 | 110 | 24 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 125 | 11 | 37 | 4 | 230 | 309 | 363 | 672 | 134 | 275 | 23 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 640 | 560 | 139 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 68 | 155 | 7 | 28 | 11 | 248 | 338 | 384 | 722 | 136 | 310 | 24 | 11 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 91 | 83 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 191 | 133 | 324 | 24 | 180 | 37 | 8 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 538 | 479 | 110 | 24 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 125 | 11 | 37 | 4 | 230 | 309 | 363 | 672 | 134 | 275 | 23 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 640 | 560 | 139 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 68 | 155 | 7 | 28 | 11 | 248 | 338 | 384 | 722 | 136 | 310 | 24 | 11 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAD | 10% | 380 | 336 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 88 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 236 | 320 | 372 | 692 | 137 | 290 | 23 | 9 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAD | 10% | 21 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 316 | 368 | 684 | 136 | 283 | 24 | 10 | 308 | 97 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAD | 42% | 517 | 455 | 108 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 50 | 119 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 237 | 321 | 377 | 698 | 140 | 290 | 23 | 10 | 314 | 98 | -1 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 58% | 552 | 487 | 115 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 53 | 127 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 237 | 321 | 379 | 700 | 141 | 290 | 23 | 10 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 62% | 564 | 498 | 118 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 54 | 130 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 237 | 320 | 377 | 697 | 141 | 289 | 23 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 65% | 562 | 497 | 117 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 53 | 131 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 235 | 318 | 374 | 692 | 139 | 288 | 23 | 9 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 65% | 555 | 491 | 115 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 131 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 233 | 315 | 370 | 685 | 136 | 287 | 24 | 9 | 308 | 95 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAD | 65% | 546 | 484 | 111 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 51 | 130 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 230 | 311 | 362 | 673 | 132 | 285 | 24 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -6 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAD | 64% | 297 | 265 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 72 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 306 | 351 | 658 | 126 | 282 | 24 | 9 | 297 | 87 | -5 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAD | 42% | 219 | 193 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 51 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 233 | 318 | 373 | 691 | 140 | 284 | 23 | 10 | 311 | 98 | -0 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 58% | 318 | 281 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 73 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 234 | 318 | 375 | 692 | 141 | 283 | 23 | 9 | 311 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 62% | 352 | 311 | 72 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 81 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 233 | 317 | 373 | 690 | 141 | 283 | 23 | 10 | 310 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 65% | 366 | 324 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 85 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 232 | 315 | 370 | 685 | 139 | 282 | 23 | 10 | 308 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 65% | 359 | 318 | 72 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 84 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 230 | 312 | 366 | 677 | 136 | 281 | 23 | 9 | 305 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAD | 65% | 353 | 313 | 71 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 84 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 226 | 308 | 358 | 666 | 131 | 279 | 24 | 9 | 300 | 91 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAD | 64% | 191 | 169 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 303 | 348 | 651 | 125 | 276 | 24 | 9 | 294 | 87 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2158 | 1909 | 438 | 80 | 7 | 55 | 205 | 504 | 25 | 66 | 20 | 229 | 312 | 365 | 677 | 136 | 281 | 23 | 9 | 306 | 94 | -12 | +5 | -3 | -13 | +47 | 2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 132 | 24 | 2 | 17 | 62 | 152 | 8 | 20 | 6 | 230 | 314 | 367 | 681 | 137 | 280 | 23 | 10 | 306 | 94 | -4 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5072 | 4478 | 1045 | 202 | 19 | 121 | 478 | 1203 | 66 | 188 | 53 | 233 | 316 | 368 | 684 | 135 | 290 | 24 | 9 | 306 | 94 | -20 | +9 | -4 | -23 | +82 | 4.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 134 | 26 | 2 | 16 | 61 | 154 | 8 | 24 | 7 | 233 | 315 | 369 | 685 | 136 | 289 | 24 | 9 | 306 | 94 | -3 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 640 PAwOBA .382 → .320 (−62)K% 20.2% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.16% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 23.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 6.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.65% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .382 → .320; ISO .180 → .143; BABIP .346 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AATulsa Drillers · 398 PAwOBA .338 → .288 (−50)K% 17.6% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.59% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.30% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.38% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 17.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.35% | ÷1.014 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 6.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.137 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.78% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 4.16% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 94, 2B 103, 3B 127, K 97, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .338 → .288; ISO .184 → .159; BABIP .273 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Greenville Drive · 140 PAwOBA .414 → .310 (−105)K% 19.3% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.29% | ÷0.936 | ×1.310 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.57% | ÷1.050 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 10.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.14% | ÷0.974 | ×0.870 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 28.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.90% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 8.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.850 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.117 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 95, 2B 120, 3B 102, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .414 → .310; ISO .117 → .086; BABIP .440 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Greenville Drive · 91 PAwOBA .224 → .162 (−62)K% 27.5% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.47% | ÷0.960 | ×1.310 | — | — | 37.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.09% | ÷0.924 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 8.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.31% | ÷1.013 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 14.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.037 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 4.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.927 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 85, K 92, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .224 → .162; ISO .039 → .027; BABIP .222 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).