JeanPierre Ortiz

JeanPierre Ortiz P Dayton Dragons

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%17.3%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%7.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4050

CMD3050

K†4055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	16	75	19	14	0	0%	1.4	25.3%	18.7%	6.7%	0.0%	3.86	3.33	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	16	75	19	14	0	0%	1.4	25.3%	18.7%	6.7%	0.0%	3.86	3.33	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	16	75	19	14	0	0%	1.4	25.3%	18.7%	6.7%	0.0%	3.86	3.34	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	26	10	91	382	83	33	7	38%	3.5	16.1%	10.2%	5.9%	2.3%	2.86	4.30	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	26	10	91	382	83	33	7	38%	3.5	16.1%	10.2%	5.9%	2.3%	2.86	4.30	—
2025	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	26	10	91	382	83	33	7	38%	3.5	21.7%	8.6%	13.1%	1.8%	2.86	3.36	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	17	17	67	297	62	32	8	100%	3.9	16.1%	12.4%	3.7%	3.4%	5.91	5.16	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	17	17	67	297	62	32	8	100%	3.9	16.1%	12.4%	3.7%	3.4%	5.91	5.16	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A+ RAW	CIN	17	17	67	297	62	32	8	100%	3.9	20.9%	10.8%	10.1%	2.7%	5.91	4.18	—
ROS	22	MLB MLE	CIN	1	1	6	24	4	2	1	100%	5.8	17.3%	10.1%	7.2%	2.9%	4.87	4.87	+0.0
2026 TOT	22	MLB MLE	CIN	—	—	73	321	66	34	9	—	—	20.6%	10.7%	9.9%	2.7%	5.83	5.14	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	15	15	85	360	69	34	10	100%	5.7	19.1%	9.3%	9.8%	2.8%	4.69	4.61	+0.3
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	15	15	87	369	74	33	10	100%	5.8	20.2%	8.8%	11.3%	2.8%	4.53	4.45	+0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	15	15	88	374	78	32	11	100%	5.9	20.8%	8.6%	12.2%	2.8%	4.42	4.36	+0.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	15	15	88	374	79	32	11	100%	5.9	21.0%	8.6%	12.5%	2.8%	4.37	4.34	+0.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	15	15	87	368	77	32	11	100%	5.8	21.0%	8.6%	12.4%	2.9%	4.37	4.37	+0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	14	14	85	357	75	31	11	100%	6.0	20.9%	8.8%	12.1%	3.0%	4.42	4.46	+0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	13	13	81	341	70	31	11	100%	6.2	20.7%	9.0%	11.7%	3.1%	4.52	4.59	+0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	CIN	13	13	76	321	72	27	11	100%	5.8	22.3%	8.5%	13.8%	3.3%	4.51	4.50	+0.4
2027	23	MLB CTX	CIN	7	7	42	177	34	17	5	100%	6.0	19.1%	9.3%	9.8%	2.8%	4.69	4.61	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	11	11	61	258	52	23	7	100%	5.5	20.2%	8.8%	11.3%	2.8%	4.53	4.45	+0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	12	12	72	304	63	26	9	100%	6.0	20.8%	8.6%	12.2%	2.8%	4.42	4.36	+0.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	13	13	77	325	68	28	9	100%	5.9	21.0%	8.6%	12.5%	2.8%	4.37	4.34	+0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	13	13	79	334	70	29	10	100%	6.1	21.0%	8.6%	12.4%	2.9%	4.37	4.37	+0.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	13	13	78	329	69	29	10	100%	6.0	20.9%	8.8%	12.1%	3.0%	4.42	4.46	+0.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	12	12	75	317	65	29	10	100%	6.2	20.7%	9.0%	11.7%	3.1%	4.52	4.59	+0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	CIN	12	12	71	300	67	26	10	100%	5.9	22.3%	8.5%	13.8%	3.3%	4.51	4.50	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		94	94	556	2346	489	205	69	100%	5.9	20.9%	8.7%	12.1%	3.0%	4.46	4.07	+5.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	176	74	25	100%	5.9	20.9%	8.7%	12.1%	3.0%	4.46	4.07	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		55	27	175	754	128	90	19	49%	3.2	17.0%	11.9%	5.1%	2.5%	4.12	4.54	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	31	200	863	147	103	22	49%	3.2	17.0%	11.9%	5.1%	2.5%	4.12	4.54	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
JeanPierre Ortiz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	17.3%	10.1%	2.9%	—	4.47	20.0%	11.1%	261	-0.40	—	—	—
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	92
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.1%	265	+0.44	3.31	408	90
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	89
Ryan Long R 2022 · 4.33 FIP	22	SW	4.33	17.1%	11.6%	2.2%	.263	4.69	16.6%	7.3%	292	+0.36	4.20	430	88
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.1%	6.3%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	87
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.76	16.6%	4.4%	294	-0.28	4.43	388	87
Tyler McKay R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	21	SP-	5.32	15.1%	10.2%	4.0%	.262	4.64	13.2%	2.2%	106	-0.68	3.14	275	86
Braden Webb R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	18.0%	12.5%	2.4%	.276	4.78	17.9%	1.8%	172	+0.30	4.48	308	86
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	86
Nick Davila R 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	18.0%	9.3%	2.1%	.297	4.04	17.2%	11.0%	196	+0.16	3.51	368	86
Houston Roth R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	16.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.263	4.83	20.8%	8.3%	228	+0.20	3.79	406	85
Joey Mancini R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	23	SP-	4.22	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.40	16.6%	6.3%	296	+0.18	3.64	391	84
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	84
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	84
Dillon Tate R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	22	SP-	4.55	14.0%	10.6%	2.4%	.358	4.09	15.7%	8.6%	261	-0.46	3.02	627	83
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2021 · 4.98 FIP	23	SP-	4.98	12.7%	9.1%	3.3%	.348	3.92	16.5%	8.0%	135	-1.06	3.30	218	83
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	83
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	83
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	83
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.7	82	20.4%	8.9%	1.14	4.51
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Michael Fulmer ('23)	3.4	96	20.3%	7.6%	0.99	3.94
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43