JeanPierre Ortiz
P
Dayton Dragons
Age 22
RHP
6'0" / 180 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 64 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.84
FIP4.84
K%17.3%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%7.4%
ROS IP64
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 16 | 75 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.3% | 18.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 3.33 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 16 | 75 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.3% | 18.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 3.34 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 26 | 10 | 91 | 382 | 83 | 33 | 7 | 38% | 3.5 | 16.1% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 2.86 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 26 | 10 | 91 | 382 | 83 | 33 | 7 | 38% | 3.5 | 21.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 1.8% | 2.86 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 9 | 9 | 37 | 160 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 4.1 | 15.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.06 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CIN | 13 | 13 | 64 | 270 | 47 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 17.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.84 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 101 | 430 | 80 | 43 | 12 | — | — | 18.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.87 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 66 | 280 | 54 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 6.6 | 19.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.59 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 68 | 287 | 58 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 6.8 | 20.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 69 | 290 | 61 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.9 | 21.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.36 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 69 | 290 | 62 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.9 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 4.33 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 68 | 286 | 61 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.8 | 21.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 5 | 5 | 33 | 139 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.6 | 19.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 48 | 203 | 41 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.9 | 20.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 56 | 236 | 50 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 7.0 | 21.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 60 | 253 | 54 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.7 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 61 | 258 | 55 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.8 | 21.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 38 | 38 | 258 | 1089 | 226 | 96 | 31 | 100% | 6.8 | 20.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.02 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 30 | 30 | 200 | 844 | 175 | 74 | 24 | 100% | 6.7 | 20.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 47 | 19 | 145 | 617 | 106 | 71 | 14 | 40% | 3.1 | 17.2% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 3.54 | 4.32 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 26 | 200 | 851 | 146 | 98 | 19 | 40% | 3.1 | 17.2% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 3.54 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| JeanPierre Ortiz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 17.3% | 9.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.46 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 203 | -0.38 | — | — | — |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 90 |
| Houston Roth R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.58 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .263 | 4.63 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.05 | 3.57 | 389 | 90 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.20 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 2.0% | .263 | 4.46 | 16.6% | 7.3% | 292 | +0.26 | 4.13 | 405 | 89 |
| Cade Winquest R 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.36 | 17.9% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .299 | 3.91 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 158 | -0.45 | 3.34 | 236 | 89 |
| Nick Davila R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 18.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .297 | 3.92 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 196 | -0.04 | 3.26 | 360 | 88 |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 88 |
| John Matthews R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 87 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 86 |
| Nick Garcia R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.31 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .274 | 4.88 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 265 | +0.57 | 4.27 | 384 | 86 |
| Devereaux Harrison R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.70 | 17.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .252 | 4.78 | 16.9% | 4.2% | 272 | +0.08 | 4.52 | 366 | 85 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 85 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .319 | 4.99 | 18.6% | 5.0% | 83 | +1.14 | 3.85 | 156 | 84 |
| Matt Marsh R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 84 |
| Kyle Scott R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.46 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .269 | 3.93 | 15.9% | 4.3% | 42 | -0.53 | 3.93 | 138 | 84 |
| Connor Johnstone R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.49 | 15.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% | .272 | 4.58 | 12.9% | 7.9% | 166 | +0.09 | 3.90 | 319 | 84 |
| Geno Encina R 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 84 |
| Joey Mancini R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .354 | 4.47 | 16.1% | 5.6% | 250 | +0.41 | 3.65 | 345 | 84 |
| Holden Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.37 | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .370 | 4.86 | 15.8% | 4.8% | 63 | +0.49 | 4.37 | 114 | 84 |
| Braden Webb R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.32 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.76 | 17.9% | 1.8% | 172 | +0.44 | 4.32 | 308 | 84 |
| Jake Christianson R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.92 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .309 | 4.78 | 16.4% | 6.1% | 105 | +0.86 | 3.92 | 188 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 67 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 1.10 | 4.53 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |