Dillon Tate
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 32
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION4 act + 50 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123113vR 104
ERA4.36
FIP4.57
K%17.8%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%7.8%
ROS IP50
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+2.0 (43%)
SI (34%)
CH-1.5 (21%)
FB-3.3 (36%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 100% | 1.8 | 21.7% | 0.0% | 21.7% | 4.3% | 1.29 | 3.65 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 100% | 1.8 | 21.7% | 0.0% | 21.7% | 4.3% | 1.29 | 3.53 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 24 | 16 | 82 | 369 | 70 | 33 | 6 | 67% | 3.4 | 14.0% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.70 | 4.72 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 24 | 16 | 82 | 369 | 70 | 33 | 6 | 67% | 3.4 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 4.70 | 3.55 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 83 | 342 | 63 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 14.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 2.81 | 4.29 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 83 | 342 | 63 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 18.4% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 2.81 | 3.44 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 22 | 22 | 123 | 518 | 96 | 34 | 10 | 100% | 5.6 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 4.16 | 3.88 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 22 | 22 | 123 | 518 | 96 | 34 | 10 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.5% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 1.9% | 4.16 | 3.42 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 38 | 3 | 65 | 273 | 60 | 17 | 9 | 8% | 1.7 | 19.3% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 4.27 | 4.24 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 38 | 3 | 65 | 273 | 60 | 17 | 9 | 8% | 1.7 | 22.0% | 6.2% | 15.8% | 3.3% | 4.27 | 3.83 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 12 | 0 | 17 | 64 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 1.5% | 3.24 | 3.04 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 12 | 0 | 17 | 64 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 1.6% | 3.24 | 3.10 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 50 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 4.33 | 3.92 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 50 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 4.33 | 3.97 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 67 | 0 | 74 | 292 | 60 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 4.8% | 15.8% | 1.9% | 3.05 | 3.02 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 67 | 0 | 74 | 292 | 60 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 4.8% | 15.8% | 2.1% | 3.05 | 3.10 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 0 | 11 | 66 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 16.7% | 15.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 15.19 | 4.44 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 0 | 11 | 66 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 16.7% | 15.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 15.19 | 5.07 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 58 | 251 | 47 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 1.2% | 3.70 | 3.10 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 58 | 251 | 47 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 1.2% | 3.70 | 2.98 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 46 | 201 | 46 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 2.36 | 4.04 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 46 | 201 | 46 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 1.5% | 2.36 | 3.65 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 2.45 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | LAA | 47 | 0 | 50 | 209 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 4.36 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | LAA | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 4.36 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 53 | 224 | 38 | 22 | 5 | — | — | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 4.23 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 5 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 17.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 4.36 | 4.19 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 4.66 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 39 | 0 | 41 | 174 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.96 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 4.66 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.96 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 229 | 0 | 257 | 1082 | 203 | 85 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 2.2% | 4.18 | 3.73 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 0 | 200 | 842 | 158 | 66 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 2.2% | 4.18 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 356 | 58 | 639 | 2704 | 457 | 215 | 61 | 16% | 1.8 | 16.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 3.90 | 3.92 | +11.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 111 | 18 | 200 | 847 | 143 | 67 | 19 | 16% | 1.8 | 16.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 3.90 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dillon Tate (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 2.4% | — | 5.00 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 87 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 80 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 79 |
| Logan Kensing R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 79 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 79 |
| Jason Urquidez R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.50 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 1.0% | .386 | 1.76 | 25.5% | 20.7% | 90 | -1.74 | 1.25 | 123 | 78 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 78 |
| Bryan Morris R 2024 · 3.60 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.60 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 1.2% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 102 | 77 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 76 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 76 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 76 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 76 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.15 | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 131 | 76 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 74 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.76 | 16.6% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 299 | 74 |
| Erik Davis R 2025 · 3.44 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.9% | 1.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 227 | 73 |
| Bobby Parnell R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 15.2% | 11.3% | 0.5% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 102 | 73 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .294 | 3.35 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.42 | 3.17 | 225 | 73 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 72 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2029 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.91 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .269 | 5.68 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.77 | 4.91 | 172 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 45 | 17.0% | 10.4% | 1.04 | 4.64 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |