Zach Dezenzo
LF Sugar Land Space Cowboys| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/AA/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 299 | .314/.402/.473 | 7 | 6 | 114 | — | .265/.334/.428 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLBHOU | 65 | .242/.277/.371 | 2 | 0 | 81 | -0.9 | |
| 2025 | 25 | AAAHOU | 28 | .192/.222/.462 | 2 | 0 | 50 | — | .154/.185/.308 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLBHOU | 109 | .245/.321/.367 | 2 | 1 | 95 | -0.2 | |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA/AAHOU | 257 | .243/.393/.364 | 5 | 12 | 83 | — | .214/.331/.310 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBHOU | 82 | .213/.280/.307 | 1 | 1 | 66 | -0.5 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 27 | MLBHOU | 90 | .214/.303/.345 | 2 | 2 | 84 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ49% MLB | 28 | MLBHOU | 117 | .212/.301/.340 | 3 | 3 | 82 | -0.2 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 117 | 102 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 255 | 345 | 402 | 747 | 147 | 355 | 32 | 10 | 335 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 277 | 245 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 79 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 257 | 341 | 486 | 826 | 229 | 320 | 29 | 9 | 363 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 133 | 113 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 407 | 485 | 628 | 1.113 | 221 | 494 | 20 | 12 | 475 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 75 | 65 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 231 | 333 | 446 | 779 | 215 | 300 | 29 | 11 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 65 | 62 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 277 | 371 | 648 | 129 | 342 | 34 | 5 | 289 | 81 | -1 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 113 | 96 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 333 | 429 | 573 | 1.001 | 240 | 403 | 22 | 13 | 434 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 91 | 81 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 308 | 370 | 678 | 148 | 286 | 25 | 10 | 307 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK | FCL Astros | — | 22 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 450 | 500 | 600 | 1.100 | 150 | 529 | 14 | 9 | 485 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 73 | 61 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 361 | 451 | 410 | 861 | 49 | 407 | 12 | 12 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 109 | 98 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 321 | 367 | 688 | 122 | 373 | 34 | 10 | 312 | 95 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 28 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 222 | 462 | 684 | 269 | 158 | 21 | 0 | 285 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 82 | 75 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 280 | 307 | 587 | 93 | 349 | 38 | 9 | 269 | 66 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 235 | 188 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 49 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 229 | 383 | 340 | 723 | 112 | 289 | 21 | 17 | 341 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 22 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 389 | 500 | 611 | 1.111 | 222 | 462 | 18 | 14 | 487 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 256 | 235 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 234 | 297 | 349 | 646 | 115 | 357 | 35 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -5 | +0 | -5 | -12 | +6 | -1.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 117 | 106 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 52 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 179 | 250 | 283 | 533 | 104 | 310 | 44 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 277 | 252 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 92 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 202 | 272 | 357 | 629 | 155 | 271 | 33 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 133 | 120 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 333 | 385 | 492 | 876 | 158 | 423 | 27 | 7 | 374 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 65 | 62 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 277 | 371 | 648 | 129 | 342 | 34 | 5 | 288 | 81 | -1 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 113 | 100 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 310 | 384 | 510 | 894 | 200 | 389 | 27 | 10 | 380 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 91 | 83 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 193 | 264 | 325 | 589 | 133 | 257 | 31 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 22 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 364 | 429 | 792 | 95 | 402 | 18 | 5 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 109 | 98 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 321 | 367 | 688 | 122 | 373 | 34 | 10 | 309 | 95 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 28 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 308 | 493 | 154 | 147 | 25 | 0 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 82 | 75 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 280 | 307 | 587 | 93 | 349 | 38 | 9 | 266 | 66 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 235 | 200 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 59 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 200 | 319 | 285 | 604 | 85 | 270 | 25 | 12 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 22 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 455 | 579 | 1.033 | 211 | 407 | 23 | 9 | 398 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 117 | 106 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 52 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 179 | 250 | 283 | 533 | 104 | 308 | 44 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 117 | 102 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 255 | 345 | 402 | 747 | 147 | 355 | 32 | 10 | 335 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 485 | 440 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 152 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 241 | 306 | 386 | 692 | 145 | 333 | 31 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 485 | 423 | 124 | 28 | 2 | 21 | 50 | 128 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 293 | 378 | 518 | 896 | 225 | 371 | 26 | 10 | 391 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 5 teams | — | 364 | 331 | 85 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 105 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 257 | 319 | 411 | 729 | 154 | 342 | 29 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA RAW | 5 teams | — | 364 | 320 | 96 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 82 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 300 | 380 | 453 | 833 | 153 | 375 | 23 | 10 | 370 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 137 | 124 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 301 | 387 | 689 | 153 | 325 | 32 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -2 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 137 | 124 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 301 | 387 | 689 | 153 | 321 | 31 | 8 | 307 | 86 | -2 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 339 | 294 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 95 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 214 | 319 | 310 | 628 | 95 | 299 | 28 | 11 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 339 | 281 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 50 | 84 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 235 | 366 | 349 | 715 | 114 | 314 | 25 | 15 | 333 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 117 | 106 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 52 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 179 | 250 | 283 | 533 | 104 | 310 | 44 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 485 | 441 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 152 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 240 | 306 | 385 | 691 | 145 | 320 | 31 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 5 teams | — | 364 | 331 | 85 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 105 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 257 | 319 | 411 | 729 | 154 | 338 | 29 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 137 | 124 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 301 | 387 | 689 | 153 | 327 | 32 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 339 | 291 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 95 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 216 | 319 | 313 | 631 | 96 | 298 | 28 | 11 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 5 teams | — | 364 | 331 | 85 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 105 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 257 | 319 | 411 | 729 | 154 | 338 | 29 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 137 | 124 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 301 | 387 | 689 | 153 | 327 | 32 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 339 | 291 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 95 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 216 | 319 | 313 | 631 | 96 | 298 | 28 | 11 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | HOU | 45% | 309 | 271 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 92 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 212 | 301 | 343 | 644 | 131 | 285 | 30 | 10 | 292 | 84 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +7 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | HOU | 45% | 90 | 80 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 303 | 345 | 649 | 131 | 290 | 30 | 10 | 294 | 84 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | HOU | 49% | 237 | 208 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 71 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 210 | 299 | 338 | 637 | 128 | 284 | 30 | 10 | 289 | 82 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | HOU | 49% | 117 | 103 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 212 | 301 | 340 | 641 | 128 | 288 | 30 | 9 | 291 | 82 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 373 | 338 | 76 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 125 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 225 | 296 | 343 | 639 | 118 | 330 | 34 | 9 | 292 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -6 | -13 | +8 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 133 | 28 | 0 | 14 | 56 | 218 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 226 | 296 | 345 | 641 | 119 | 331 | 34 | 9 | 292 | 85 | -13 | +1 | -10 | -22 | +14 | -3.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1878 | 1678 | 384 | 77 | 5 | 46 | 158 | 578 | 29 | 58 | 11 | 229 | 306 | 363 | 669 | 134 | 317 | 31 | 8 | 295 | 85 | -14 | +2 | -7 | -16 | +15 | -2.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 134 | 27 | 2 | 16 | 55 | 200 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 231 | 309 | 367 | 675 | 136 | 320 | 31 | 8 | 295 | 85 | -13 | +2 | -6 | -15 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 235 PAwOBA .333 → .280 (−53)K% 20.9% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 11.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.98% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.013 | ×1.018 | 21.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×1.018 | 4.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.018 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.05% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .333 → .280; ISO .112 → .090; BABIP .289 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 22 PAwOBA .475 → .398 (−77)K% 18.2% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 9.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 3.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 32.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.65% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .475 → .398; ISO .222 → .180; BABIP .462 → .407. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 28 PAwOBA .286 → .242 (−45)K% 21.4% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 3.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 9.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.891 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 4.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 7.52% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 102, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .286 → .242; ISO .269 → .208; BABIP .158 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 113 PAwOBA .427 → .380 (−47)K% 22.1% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.12% | ÷1.006 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.27% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.76% | ÷1.035 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 26.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.27% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 10.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.04% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.72% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 107, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .427 → .380; ISO .240 → .208; BABIP .403 → .389. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 91 PAwOBA .299 → .246 (−53)K% 25.3% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.27% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.89% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 15.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷0.908 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 9.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.908 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.88% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 82, 3B 82, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .299 → .246; ISO .148 → .122; BABIP .286 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Astros · 22 PAwOBA .473 → .336 (−137)K% 13.6% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.006 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.033 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 5.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷0.984 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 28.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 12.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.111 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 87, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .473 → .336; ISO .150 → .101; BABIP .529 → .402. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 277 PAwOBA .354 → .269 (−86)K% 28.5% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.52% | ÷1.049 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.39% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.81% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.69% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×1.027 | 19.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.23% | ÷0.975 | ×0.840 | ×0.955 | ×1.027 | 6.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.058 | ×0.940 | ×0.955 | ×1.027 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.43% | ÷1.322 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.24% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 112, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .354 → .269; ISO .229 → .151; BABIP .320 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Asheville Tourists · 133 PAwOBA .473 → .374 (−99)K% 20.3% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.30% | ÷0.971 | ×1.310 | — | — | 27.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.03% | ÷1.033 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.88% | ÷0.968 | ×0.870 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 32.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.79% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 9.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷0.980 | ×0.850 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.218 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.35% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 94, 2B 120, 3B 96, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .473 → .374; ISO .221 → .164; BABIP .494 → .423. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .