Zach Dezenzo — OGILVIE

Zach DezenzoLF Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 26 R/R 6'5" / 220 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 1.320 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION200 act + 133 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL -2214vR 108

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .295 / .335

PA133

HR3

K%31

BB%9

BABIP305

ISO117

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

5510.5%

xwOBA

440.301

POWER60

Barrel%

8613.5

Avg EV

2287.0

Bat Spd

7173.5

EYE55

Chase%

9021.0%

SPEED55

Sprint

5527.7

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 163 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

141

—

wRC+

-25

102

▶▶R

wOBA

153

319

▶▶R

ISO

—

138

—

BABIP

375

364

—

59.1%

30.5%

▶▶R

BB%

4.5%

7.8%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.320 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.3M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.2M
2029	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$1M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	106	19	2	0	3	8	55	2	4	0	179	250	283	533	104	327	47	7	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	102	26	3	0	4	12	37	2	4	0	255	345	402	747	147	355	32	10	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	3 teams	—	485	441	106	21	2	12	32	155	8	24	2	240	304	379	682	138	338	32	7	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	3 teams	—	485	423	124	28	2	21	50	128	8	24	2	293	378	518	896	225	371	26	10	391	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	5 teams	—	364	332	84	21	0	11	26	110	3	6	5	253	313	416	729	163	341	30	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	5 teams	—	364	320	96	22	0	9	38	82	3	6	5	300	380	453	833	153	375	23	10	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	137	124	29	7	0	4	11	45	1	1	0	234	301	387	689	153	329	33	8	291	81	-3	+0	-2	-1	+4	-0.3
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	137	124	29	7	0	4	11	43	1	1	0	234	301	387	689	153	321	31	8	307	93	-1	+0	-2	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	HOU	—	200	173	40	7	0	3	24	61	3	10	1	231	335	324	659	92	339	30	12	308	94	-1	+2	+0	-2	+6	0.4
YTD	26	AAA	HOU	—	200	166	44	8	0	4	31	53	3	10	1	265	390	386	776	120	367	26	16	357	131	+7	+2	+0	-2	+6	1.2
ROS	26	AAA	HOU	100%	133	119	26	5	0	3	12	42	1	4	1	218	295	335	630	117	311	31	9	298	87	-2	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.0
ROS	26	MLB	HOU	100%	133	119	26	5	0	3	12	41	1	4	1	218	295	336	632	118	314	31	9	294	83	-3	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	HOU	—	333	292	66	12	0	6	36	102	4	14	2	226	319	329	648	103	324	31	11	302	89	-4	+2	-0	-4	+9	0.3
TOT	26	AAA	HOU	—	333	292	66	12	0	6	36	103	4	14	2	226	319	328	647	103	325	31	11	304	91	-3	+2	-0	-4	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	HOU	65%	308	274	62	12	1	8	28	96	3	9	1	226	305	365	670	139	314	31	9	301	88	-4	+1	-1	-3	+9	0.2
2028	28	MLB	HOU	65%	348	309	70	14	1	9	32	109	4	9	2	227	307	366	673	139	313	31	9	300	88	-5	+1	-2	-4	+10	0.0
2029	29	MLB	HOU	65%	358	317	70	14	0	9	34	113	4	9	1	221	304	350	654	129	312	32	9	297	86	-6	+1	-3	-4	+10	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	HOU	65%	200	178	40	8	0	5	18	63	2	6	1	225	303	354	657	129	317	32	9	296	85	-3	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.0
2028	28	MLB	HOU	65%	226	201	45	9	0	6	21	71	2	6	1	224	304	358	662	134	316	31	9	295	84	-4	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	HOU	65%	233	207	46	9	0	6	22	74	2	6	1	222	303	353	656	130	315	32	9	293	82	-5	+1	-2	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	966	865	196	39	0	24	87	308	7	23	4	227	302	355	657	128	320	32	9	296	85	-17	+3	-9	-16	+27	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	131	26	0	16	59	207	5	15	3	225	302	352	655	127	318	32	9	296	85	-11	+2	-6	-11	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2250	2022	466	96	4	59	183	725	26	66	12	230	303	369	672	139	324	32	8	297	86	-36	+8	-11	-27	+64	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	135	28	1	17	53	209	8	19	3	231	304	370	674	139	325	32	8	297	86	-10	+3	-3	-8	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	102	26	3	0	4	12	37	2	4	0	255	345	402	747	147	355	32	10	335	115	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	277	245	63	12	1	14	26	79	5	16	0	257	341	486	826	229	320	29	9	363	136	+11	+3	—	—	+8	2.3
2023	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	133	113	46	11	1	4	16	27	1	6	2	407	485	628	1.113	221	494	20	12	475	221	+18	+0	—	—	+4	2.3
2023	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	75	65	15	5	0	3	8	22	2	2	0	231	333	446	779	215	300	29	11	347	124	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	65	62	15	2	0	2	3	22	0	0	0	242	277	371	648	129	342	34	5	289	79	-2	+0	-3	-7	+2	-0.9
2024	24	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	113	96	32	8	0	5	15	25	1	3	2	333	429	573	1.001	240	403	22	13	434	190	+12	-0	—	—	+3	1.5
2024	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	91	81	18	6	0	2	9	23	1	2	1	222	308	370	678	148	286	25	10	307	93	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	24	ROK	FCL Astros	—	22	20	9	3	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	450	500	600	1.100	150	529	14	9	485	230	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	24	INTL	Senadores de San Juan	—	73	61	22	3	0	0	9	9	1	1	2	361	451	410	861	49	407	12	12	384	152	+4	-1	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	109	98	24	6	0	2	11	37	0	1	0	245	321	367	688	122	373	34	10	312	97	-0	+0	-2	-1	+3	-0.1
2025	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	28	26	5	1	0	2	0	6	1	0	0	192	222	462	684	269	158	21	0	285	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	174	160	39	8	0	4	14	59	0	1	0	244	305	369	673	125	361	34	8	303	90	-2	+0	-5	-8	+5	-1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Woodwardlast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,835 PA	9	1,835	33	9	242	299	370	+2	-0	2.2	2.7
	/162	664	12	3	242	299	370	+0.6	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 3
#2Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#4John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,010	25	22	229	301	363	-11	-16	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	17	14	229	301	363	-7.1	-10.5	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Dezenzo (OGILVIE)	26	45	60	55	55	226/319/328	103	325	6	14	31%	11%	91	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Hermosillo 2021 · MLB	26	39→46	49→55	49→55	38	199/276/345	145	291	17	13	36%	6%	72	-0.2	222/309/399	177	296	21	15	31%	7%	101	+1.8	207/290/404	197	249	27	18	29%	6%	92	+0.4
●Trayce Thompson 2017 · MLB	26	44→47	51→65	51→50	44	226/282/393	166	281	19	12	27%	7%	87	+0.8	182/232/318	136	255	16	9	34%	6%	46	-2.0	211/299/435	223	292	31	7	37%	10%	103	+1.1
✕Alex Castellanos 2013 · MLB	26	45→49	51→55	52→50	41	229/293/398	169	302	18	15	30%	6%	93	+1.3	203/267/344	141	286	16	15	33%	6%	69	-0.4	198/258/327	129	294	12	8	35%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	41	47→50	48→50	45	204/288/334	129	286	15	9	32%	9%	76	+0.0	216/303/373	157	299	19	5	32%	9%	92	+1.2	212/305/392	180	282	23	1	32%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	44→42	51→50	51→55	46	225/296/386	161	279	18	12	26%	8%	91	+1.1	222/301/376	154	297	17	17	30%	7%	92	+1.2	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Patrick Kivlehan 2016 · AAA	26	46→50	48→60	50	40	232/277/378	146	294	16	11	27%	5%	81	+0.4	212/264/353	141	293	16	8	32%	6%	69	-0.4	215/282/415	200	278	26	3	32%	7%	90	+0.7
●Corey Brown 2012 · AAA	26	43→49	51→60	50	40	218/278/376	158	307	18	11	34%	7%	81	+0.4	222/276/400	178	313	22	13	35%	6%	86	+0.8	214/267/395	180	298	23	14	35%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	49→55	53→55	42	219/285/370	151	290	16	19	30%	7%	82	+0.5	213/277/349	136	287	15	21	30%	7%	73	-0.1	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2023 · MLB	26	45	50→55	50	40	227/285/381	154	313	18	12	32%	6%	85	+0.7	202/272/369	167	265	21	5	32%	7%	78	+0.2	179/255/348	169	228	22	1	32%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Romy Gonzalez 2023 · MLB	26	42→41	49→50	50→55	36	216/262/360	144	310	18	16	36%	5%	69	-0.4	239/281/392	153	323	17	20	30%	5%	85	+0.7	277/321/443	166	348	17	19	25%	5%	113	+1.4
✕Sean Bouchard 2022 · AA	26	41	50→55	47→50	39	209/263/369	160	294	17	10	34%	6%	72	-0.2	219/309/394	175	294	19	14	30%	10%	98	+1.6	210/314/386	176	278	19	16	30%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Jai Miller 2010 · AAA	25	45→47	49→60	49→55	40	222/281/373	151	318	17	13	34%	7%	82	+0.5	205/267/381	176	351	22	11	45%	7%	79	+0.3	184/253/366	182	333	24	11	49%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Matt Tuiasosopo 2012 · MLB	26	41→50	46→45	50→45	48	205/290/336	131	291	14	9	32%	10%	76	+0.0	223/300/351	128	310	15	5	31%	9%	84	+0.6	224/303/341	118	309	15	2	30%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Rymer Liriano 2017 · MLB	26	48→52	46→50	49→55	42	231/296/361	130	330	13	16	32%	7%	85	+0.7	194/259/313	119	306	14	11	39%	7%	56	-1.3	175/246/290	115	278	15	11	40%	8%	43	-1.5
✕Brent Clevlen 2010 · MLB	26	47→52	48→50	52→50	39	231/281/377	146	329	16	9	34%	6%	82	+0.5	234/288/374	140	342	15	10	34%	7%	84	+0.6	230/293/372	141	339	15	8	34%	8%	83	+0.2
✕Stefan Gartrell 2010 · AAA	26	47→52	51→55	50→45	42	237/292/401	164	311	19	7	30%	6%	93	+1.3	227/282/394	167	296	21	6	30%	6%	88	+0.9	219/276/388	169	282	23	6	30%	6%	79	+0.3
✕Franklin Barreto 2022 · MLB	26	42→48	48→55	54→50	38	210/268/352	141	310	15	15	36%	6%	70	-0.3	176/245/298	122	296	15	16	43%	8%	47	-1.9	126/203/233	107	203	15	17	45%	8%	11	-1.4
✕Tyler Austin 2018 · MLB	26	47→55	50→65	50→45	42	235/292/397	162	322	18	7	32%	7%	92	+1.2	228/291/445	217	310	29	7	35%	8%	105	+2.1	215/283/454	240	278	35	5	36%	8%	102	+1.0
✕Corey Julks 2022 · AA	26	44→51	46→55	49→55	40	219/271/346	128	300	13	14	31%	6%	69	-0.4	229/291/388	159	292	19	19	27%	7%	90	+1.0	225/293/380	155	280	19	21	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Ben Harrison 2008 · AA	26	44→50	48→50	49→50	40	221/281/357	137	303	17	10	32%	6%	77	+0.1	211/277/346	135	318	16	11	36%	7%	73	-0.1	203/274/338	136	303	17	10	37%	7%	68	-0.3