Zach Dezenzo — OGILVIE

Zach DezenzoLF Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 26 R/R 6'5" / 220 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 1.320 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION319 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8282vR 79

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP298

ISO141

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

639.7%

xAVG

100.213

POWER60

Barrel%

7812.4

Avg EV

2887.4

Bat Spd

7173.5

EYE55

Chase%

9019.3%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 163 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

141

—

wRC+

-10

102

▶▶R

wOBA

153

319

▶▶R

ISO

—

138

—

BABIP

375

364

—

59.1%

30.5%

▶▶R

BB%

4.5%

7.8%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.320 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.1M		$-2M	-$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	102	26	3	0	4	12	37	2	4	0	255	345	402	747	147	355	32	10	335	113	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	277	245	63	12	1	14	26	79	5	16	0	257	341	486	826	229	320	29	9	363	132	+10	+3	—	—	+6	2.0
2023	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	133	113	46	11	1	4	16	27	1	6	2	407	485	628	1.113	221	494	20	12	475	207	+17	+0	—	—	+3	2.1
2023	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	75	65	15	5	0	3	8	22	2	2	0	231	333	446	779	215	300	29	11	347	121	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	65	62	15	2	0	2	3	22	0	0	0	242	277	371	648	129	342	34	5	289	82	-1	+0	-3	-7	+1	-0.9
2024	24	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	113	96	32	8	0	5	15	25	1	3	2	333	429	573	1.001	240	403	22	13	434	180	+11	-0	—	—	+2	1.3
2024	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	91	81	18	6	0	2	9	23	1	2	1	222	308	370	678	148	286	25	10	307	94	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	24	ROK	FCL Astros	—	22	20	9	3	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	450	500	600	1.100	150	529	14	9	485	215	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2024	24	INTL	Senadores de San Juan	—	73	61	22	3	0	0	9	9	1	1	2	361	451	410	861	49	407	12	12	384	146	+4	-1	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	109	98	24	6	0	2	11	37	0	1	0	245	321	367	688	122	373	34	10	312	97	-0	+0	-2	-1	+2	-0.2
2025	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	28	26	5	1	0	2	0	6	1	0	0	192	222	462	684	269	158	21	0	285	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	174	160	39	8	0	4	14	59	0	1	0	244	305	369	673	125	361	34	8	303	91	-2	+0	-5	-8	+4	-1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	106	19	2	0	3	8	54	2	4	0	179	250	283	533	104	318	46	7	242	50	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2023	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	277	253	50	10	1	8	18	92	5	16	0	198	264	340	604	142	270	33	6	264	65	-12	+3	—	—	+6	-0.2
2023	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	133	119	41	8	1	3	10	37	1	6	2	345	400	504	904	160	447	28	8	385	147	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2024	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	65	62	15	2	0	2	3	22	0	0	0	242	277	371	648	129	342	34	5	286	80	-2	+0	-3	-7	+1	-0.9
2024	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	113	101	28	7	0	4	10	32	1	3	2	277	348	465	814	188	362	28	9	357	128	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	91	84	16	5	0	2	6	28	1	2	1	190	253	321	574	131	260	31	7	247	53	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	24	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	22	21	7	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	333	364	429	792	95	421	18	5	351	124	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	109	98	24	6	0	2	11	37	0	1	0	245	321	367	688	122	373	34	10	308	94	-1	+0	-2	-1	+2	-0.2
2025	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	28	26	5	1	0	2	0	8	1	0	0	192	222	462	684	269	138	29	0	238	47	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	106	19	2	0	3	8	54	2	4	0	179	250	283	533	104	320	46	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	102	26	3	0	4	12	37	2	4	0	255	345	402	747	147	355	32	10	335	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	485	440	108	22	2	13	33	153	8	24	2	245	310	393	703	148	342	32	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	485	423	124	28	2	21	50	128	8	24	2	293	378	518	896	225	371	26	10	391	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	5 teams	—	364	332	82	20	0	10	26	108	3	6	5	247	307	398	705	151	332	30	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	5 teams	—	364	320	96	22	0	9	38	82	3	6	5	300	380	453	833	153	375	23	10	370	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	137	124	29	7	0	4	11	45	1	1	0	234	301	387	689	153	329	33	8	293	85	-2	+0	-2	-1	+3	-0.3
2025	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	137	124	29	7	0	4	11	43	1	1	0	234	301	387	689	153	321	31	8	307	85	-2	+0	-2	-1	+3	-0.3
2022	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	117	106	19	2	0	3	8	54	2	4	0	179	250	283	533	104	318	46	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	485	441	108	22	2	13	33	153	8	24	2	245	310	392	702	147	327	32	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	5 teams	—	364	332	82	20	0	10	26	108	3	6	5	247	307	398	705	151	330	30	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	137	124	29	7	0	4	11	45	1	1	0	234	301	387	689	153	325	33	8	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	485	441	108	22	2	13	33	153	8	24	2	245	310	392	702	147	327	32	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	5 teams	—	364	332	82	20	0	10	26	108	3	6	5	247	307	398	705	151	330	30	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	137	124	29	7	0	4	11	45	1	1	0	234	301	387	689	153	325	33	8	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	HOU	—	319	277	58	9	1	5	35	93	7	12	1	209	313	303	617	94	296	29	11	280	76	-9	+2	+0	-3	+7	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	HOU	—	82	75	16	4	0	1	7	31	0	1	0	213	280	307	587	93	349	38	9	269	76	-2	+0	+0	-3	+2	-0.4
YTD	26	AA RAW	HOU	—	22	18	7	1	0	1	3	4	1	0	0	389	500	611	1.111	222	462	18	14	487	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA RAW	HOU	—	215	172	40	5	1	4	37	44	6	11	1	233	386	343	729	110	290	20	17	343	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB RAW	HOU	—	82	75	16	4	0	1	7	31	0	1	0	213	280	307	587	93	349	38	9	269	68	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
ROS	26	AAA MLE	HOU	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		296	33	11	289	82	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		298	33	11	277	82	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	HOU	—	91	83	17	4	0	1	8	34	0	1	0	205	275	289	564	84	333	37	9	270	76	-3	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
TOT	26	AAA MLE	HOU	—	328	285	59	9	1	5	36	96	7	12	1	207	311	298	609	91	293	29	11	280	76	-9	+2	-0	-4	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	308	271	57	10	1	7	29	96	5	8	1	210	298	332	630	122	295	31	9	288	81	-7	+1	-1	-3	+7	-0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	348	307	65	12	1	8	33	109	5	9	1	212	299	336	634	124	294	31	9	287	80	-8	+1	-2	-4	+8	-0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	200	176	38	7	1	4	19	63	3	5	1	216	303	335	638	119	297	32	10	277	81	-4	+1	-1	-2	+4	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	226	199	43	8	1	5	22	71	3	6	1	216	304	342	645	126	297	31	10	276	80	-5	+1	-1	-2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	609	543	121	23	2	13	56	196	6	12	2	223	302	344	647	122	321	32	9	284	85	-12	+2	-7	-13	+13	-1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	130	25	2	14	60	209	6	13	2	224	303	347	650	122	323	32	9	284	85	-13	+2	-7	-13	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1768	1588	361	73	4	45	141	568	24	52	9	227	300	363	663	136	320	32	8	293	85	-17	+3	-8	-15	+18	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	133	27	1	17	52	209	9	19	3	228	301	365	666	137	320	32	8	293	85	-13	+2	-6	-12	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.4	939	22	19	219	293	345	-10	-13	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	16	13	-7.1	-9.4	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Dezenzo (OGILVIE)	26	45	60	55	55	211/297/333	122	296	6	7	31%	9%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brent Clevlen 2010 · MLB	26	47→52	46→50	52→50	39	227/278/360	133	327	13	9	34%	6%	79	-0.2	234/289/366	132	341	13	10	33%	7%	84	+0.2	234/294/370	136	340	13	8	33%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Michael Hermosillo 2021 · MLB	26	40→47	49→50	49→55	39	202/280/348	147	296	17	13	36%	7%	78	-0.3	220/309/387	167	298	19	15	31%	8%	99	+1.2	201/287/379	178	249	24	18	29%	6%	86	+0.1
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	42→47	46→50	50	39	212/257/343	130	272	13	12	27%	4%	67	-1.1	198/251/312	114	276	11	11	31%	5%	58	-1.7	184/241/291	108	266	11	12	34%	5%	48	-1.6
✕Brandon Barnes 2013 · MLB	27	45→53	47→55	50	41	226/275/367	141	295	14	15	28%	6%	80	-0.2	233/280/352	119	316	11	14	28%	5%	78	-0.3	226/275/335	109	307	10	13	29%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	47→50	54→55	43	214/282/352	138	289	14	19	30%	7%	79	-0.2	212/275/341	129	288	13	21	30%	7%	74	-0.5	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕J.J. Davis 2005 · MLB	26	45	45→50	50→45	48	222/293/343	122	286	13	13	26%	9%	81	-0.1	225/287/382	157	304	20	11	31%	7%	88	+0.4	205/264/359	154	277	22	9	34%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Jai Miller 2011 · MLB	26	42→47	50→55	47→55	37	208/266/361	153	323	18	10	40%	7%	75	-0.5	196/265/366	170	357	21	12	47%	8%	76	-0.4	176/252/352	176	328	23	13	50%	8%	67	-0.8
✕Ryan Rua 2017 · MLB	27	48→54	48→50	51→50	43	239/301/378	138	310	17	11	28%	7%	92	+0.7	216/271/358	142	306	17	12	34%	6%	76	-0.4	196/246/333	137	281	17	12	36%	5%	58	-0.8
●Trayce Thompson 2017 · MLB	26	44→47	50→60	51→50	45	224/281/385	161	276	18	12	26%	7%	86	+0.3	180/232/312	132	253	15	9	34%	6%	51	-2.3	206/295/413	207	291	28	7	37%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	48→50	46	199/285/316	117	280	13	9	32%	9%	73	-0.6	212/301/356	144	295	17	5	32%	9%	88	+0.4	207/301/369	163	277	20	1	31%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	41→46	47→50	51→50	41	206/270/345	139	289	14	10	33%	7%	73	-0.6	224/289/358	134	318	14	10	32%	8%	83	+0.1	222/287/346	124	316	12	9	32%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Junior Lake 2015 · MLB	25	47→55	47→45	49→55	38	234/277/367	133	314	14	17	30%	5%	80	-0.2	227/285/342	115	315	11	17	29%	7%	77	-0.3	228/299/358	130	286	13	19	24%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Brandon Boggs 2009 · MLB	26	45→48	50→55	50	51	222/307/386	164	297	15	10	29%	10%	96	+1.0	214/301/342	128	301	12	8	30%	10%	84	+0.1	201/294/320	119	283	11	7	30%	11%	75	-0.3
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	42→43	49→50	52→50	40	218/266/368	150	278	17	14	28%	6%	76	-0.4	208/258/330	122	282	13	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	179/234/295	116	256	14	13	35%	6%	47	-1.1
✕Casper Wells 2011 · MLB	26	41→44	54→60	45→50	42	216/281/398	182	274	21	10	29%	7%	90	+0.6	224/296/400	176	286	19	8	28%	8%	95	+1.0	219/298/391	173	277	19	6	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Wladimir Balentien 2010 · MLB	26	43→45	52→55	44→50	47	224/287/391	167	270	19	7	25%	8%	90	+0.6	232/287/399	167	280	20	11	24%	7%	92	+0.7	228/276/401	173	268	21	14	24%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	45→42	49→50	52→55	46	225/296/377	152	281	16	12	25%	8%	90	+0.6	223/302/373	150	297	16	17	29%	8%	92	+0.7	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Travis Demeritte 2021 · MLB	26	43→44	50→55	48→50	42	215/284/372	157	306	17	7	34%	8%	84	+0.2	210/270/364	154	320	18	11	38%	7%	78	-0.3	192/251/344	153	290	20	12	39%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Ben Johnson 2007 · MLB	26	46	51→50	51→45	47	234/305/400	166	295	19	11	27%	8%	99	+1.2	230/298/346	116	299	11	10	25%	8%	84	+0.1	225/295/287	62	296	4	6	23%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Franklin Barreto 2022 · MLB	26	43→48	48→55	55→50	38	213/273/360	147	312	16	15	36%	6%	78	-0.3	175/244/292	117	292	14	16	42%	8%	51	-2.2	124/198/224	100	200	14	17	44%	8%	17	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps