Walbert Urena

P Los Angeles Angels

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs MLB Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 3.6 · 2030

Overview

MLBSP40-MANFG #588Pre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	A+LAA	16	16	77	4.19	4.04	18.5%	15.6%	—	K 14.2% · BB 17.9% · FIP 4.82
2025	21	MIX2 levels	28	28	141	4.34	3.62	20.7%	12.1%	—	K 16.1% · BB 13.3% · FIP 4.31
2026	22	MIX2 levels	31	29	157	3.16	3.45	22.5%	10.6%	2.8	K 22.7% · BB 10.6% · FIP 3.38
2027PROJ	23	MLBLAA	28	28	148	3.96	4.17	24.0%	12.5%	1.3
2028PROJ95% MLB	24	MLBLAA	29	29	160	4.04	4.07	24.6%	12.1%	1.6
2029PROJ95% MLB	25	MLBLAA	28	28	166	4.02	4.00	25.0%	11.8%	1.8

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.8 · Next 3 projected WAR 4.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.000First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$7M2031Arb-2$11M2032Arb-3$16M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo90

xwOBA vs82

Whiff%65

K%53

CompsChase Dollander (age 22) · Mike Baumann (age 23) · Joey Murray (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10395vR 86

ERA3.96

FIP4.17

K%24.0%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%11.5%

Proj IP148

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 148 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$43M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4550

CTRL4040

CMD2030

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9097.9

Whiff%

p6527.7%

p5322.7%

xwOBA vs

p820.281

CH+1.9 (34%)

SI (33%)

SL (14%)

FB-2.6 (52%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$10M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$12M	+$11M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$12M	+$12M
2030	Arb-1	$7M	+1.9	$12M	+$7M
2031	Arb-2	$11M	+1.8	$11M	+$3M
2032	Arb-3	$16M	+1.6	$9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$20M		$66M	+$43M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	12	10	37	170	45	32	2	83%	3.1	18.0%	23.5%	-5.5%	1.7%	3.86	5.52	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	12	10	37	170	45	32	2	83%	3.1	26.5%	18.8%	7.6%	1.2%	3.86	3.96	—
2023	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	22	21	99	446	97	60	5	95%	4.5	16.1%	15.9%	0.2%	1.6%	5.66	4.64	—
2023	19	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	22	21	99	446	97	60	5	95%	4.5	21.7%	13.5%	8.3%	1.1%	5.66	3.62	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	16	16	77	346	64	54	3	100%	4.8	14.2%	17.9%	-3.7%	1.2%	4.19	4.82	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	16	16	77	346	64	54	3	100%	4.8	14.2%	17.9%	-3.7%	1.2%	4.19	4.82	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	16	16	77	346	64	54	3	100%	4.8	18.5%	15.6%	2.9%	0.9%	4.19	4.04	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	141	604	125	73	8	100%	5.0	16.1%	13.3%	2.8%	1.6%	4.34	4.31	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	141	604	125	73	8	100%	5.0	16.1%	13.3%	2.8%	1.6%	4.34	4.31	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	141	604	125	73	8	100%	5.0	20.7%	12.1%	8.6%	1.3%	4.34	3.62	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	29	157	662	149	70	11	94%	5.1	22.7%	10.6%	12.2%	1.6%	3.16	3.38	+2.9
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	29	157	662	149	70	11	94%	5.1	22.7%	10.6%	12.2%	1.6%	3.16	3.38	+2.9
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	29	157	662	149	70	11	94%	5.1	22.5%	10.6%	11.9%	1.7%	3.16	3.45	+2.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			29	27	148	625	142	66	10	93%	5.1	22.7%	10.6%	12.2%	1.6%	2.97	3.40	+2.7
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	LAA	28	28	148	625	150	78	13	100%	5.3	24.0%	12.5%	11.5%	2.1%	3.96	4.17	+1.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAA	30	30	168	709	174	86	14	100%	5.6	24.6%	12.1%	12.5%	2.0%	4.02	4.05	+1.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	LAA	30	30	175	739	184	88	15	100%	5.8	25.0%	11.8%	13.1%	2.0%	4.00	3.98	+1.9
2030	26	MLB MLE	LAA	29	29	175	739	186	87	15	100%	6.0	25.2%	11.8%	13.4%	2.0%	3.98	3.96	+2.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	LAA	29	29	172	728	183	86	15	100%	5.9	25.1%	11.9%	13.3%	2.1%	3.99	4.00	+1.8
2032	28	MLB MLE	LAA	29	29	172	728	182	88	16	100%	5.9	25.0%	12.0%	13.0%	2.2%	4.04	4.08	+1.7
2033	29	MLB MLE	LAA	27	27	165	695	170	85	16	100%	6.1	24.4%	12.3%	12.2%	2.3%	4.16	4.24	+1.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	LAA	26	26	155	653	155	82	16	100%	5.9	23.7%	12.6%	11.2%	2.5%	4.33	4.45	+0.8
2035	31	MLB MLE	LAA	24	24	144	609	140	79	17	100%	6.0	23.0%	12.9%	10.1%	2.7%	4.54	4.68	+0.4
2036	32	MLB MLE	LAA	22	22	134	564	125	75	17	100%	6.1	22.2%	13.3%	8.9%	3.0%	4.78	4.94	-0.1
2037	33	MLB MLE	LAA	20	20	122	517	110	71	17	100%	6.1	21.3%	13.8%	7.6%	3.3%	5.04	5.22	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAA	29	29	160	676	166	82	14	100%	5.5	24.6%	12.1%	12.5%	2.1%	4.04	4.07	+1.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	LAA	28	28	166	701	175	83	14	100%	5.9	25.0%	11.8%	13.1%	2.1%	4.02	4.00	+1.8
2030	26	MLB CTX	LAA	28	28	166	701	176	83	14	100%	5.9	25.2%	11.8%	13.4%	2.1%	4.00	3.98	+1.9
2031	27	MLB CTX	LAA	27	27	164	692	174	82	15	100%	6.1	25.1%	11.9%	13.3%	2.1%	4.01	4.02	+1.8
2032	28	MLB CTX	LAA	27	27	164	692	173	83	15	100%	6.1	25.0%	12.0%	13.0%	2.2%	4.06	4.10	+1.6
2033	29	MLB CTX	LAA	26	26	156	659	161	81	16	100%	6.0	24.4%	12.3%	12.2%	2.4%	4.19	4.27	+1.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	LAA	24	24	147	621	147	78	16	100%	6.1	23.7%	12.6%	11.2%	2.6%	4.36	4.48	+0.8
2035	31	MLB CTX	LAA	23	23	137	578	133	75	16	100%	6.0	23.0%	12.9%	10.1%	2.8%	4.57	4.71	+0.3
2036	32	MLB CTX	LAA	21	21	127	536	119	71	16	100%	6.0	22.2%	13.3%	8.9%	3.1%	4.81	4.97	-0.1
2037	33	MLB CTX	LAA	19	19	116	490	105	67	16	100%	6.1	21.3%	13.8%	7.6%	3.3%	5.08	5.26	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		282	280	1652	6972	1672	851	163	99%	5.9	24.0%	12.2%	11.8%	2.3%	4.16	3.91	+19.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	202	103	20	99%	5.9	24.0%	12.2%	11.8%	2.3%	4.16	3.91	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		109	104	511	2228	399	323	34	95%	4.7	17.9%	14.5%	3.4%	1.5%	4.17	4.27	+13.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	41	200	872	156	126	13	95%	4.7	17.9%	14.5%	3.4%	1.5%	4.17	4.27	+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Walbert Urena (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.17	24.0%	12.5%	2.1%	—	4.00	24.9%	13.0%	518	-0.17	—	—	—
Chase Dollander R 2024 · 3.11 FIP	22	SP	3.11	26.5%	10.6%	1.7%	.315	4.48	20.5%	9.7%	157	+1.37	3.11	275	77
Mike Baumann R 2019 · 3.00 FIP	23	SP	3.00	22.8%	10.3%	0.9%	.269	3.92	21.1%	10.9%	170	+0.92	3.00	559	76
Joey Murray R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	22	SP	3.58	23.4%	9.9%	2.2%	.285	6.12	20.0%	4.6%	21	+2.54	3.58	170	74
Roman Angelo R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP	3.99	22.6%	11.4%	2.5%	.291	5.72	18.6%	5.2%	169	+1.73	3.99	290	74
Wyatt Marks R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	23	SP	4.20	21.3%	10.7%	2.8%	.301	6.34	9.5%	-10.4%	18	+2.14	4.20	152	74
Gavin Williams R 2022 · 3.44 FIP	23	SP	3.44	26.2%	9.9%	2.4%	.238	3.87	25.1%	14.3%	398	+0.43	3.39	697	73
Nolan McLean R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	23	SP	4.40	20.0%	10.1%	3.1%	.292	3.26	25.6%	16.0%	341	-1.14	3.17	451	73
Jaime Schultz R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SP	4.54	23.2%	16.9%	2.3%	.297	3.87	27.5%	14.7%	209	-0.67	2.19	391	72
Nick Nastrini R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	23	SP	4.02	22.8%	11.5%	2.5%	.288	5.95	19.1%	3.2%	168	+1.93	4.02	412	72
Trent Baker R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	23	SP	4.05	19.3%	10.7%	2.2%	.315	4.06	18.1%	9.6%	296	+0.01	3.86	496	72
Austin Love R 2022 · 4.34 FIP	23	SP	4.34	20.6%	10.6%	3.0%	.358	3.58	22.1%	9.7%	56	-0.76	3.58	240	72
Drue Hackenberg R 2024 · 3.17 FIP	22	SP	3.17	21.0%	12.2%	0.5%	.286	4.73	16.9%	3.9%	151	+1.56	3.17	280	72
George Klassen R 2024 · 3.50 FIP	22	SP	3.50	27.0%	13.6%	1.7%	.299	4.01	20.6%	9.1%	221	+0.51	3.50	314	72
Luke Russo R 2024 · 3.74 FIP	23	SP	3.74	21.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.326	5.00	19.6%	8.8%	159	+1.26	3.74	260	71
Louis Varland R 2021 · 3.09 FIP	23	SP	3.09	25.4%	8.3%	2.0%	.313	4.22	22.3%	15.1%	435	+1.13	1.70	689	71
Kyle Wright R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	23	SP	4.32	21.1%	8.6%	3.5%	.307	3.62	22.1%	13.8%	355	-0.70	3.32	669	71
Dinelson Lamet R 2015 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	20.1%	11.8%	2.7%	.272	3.69	24.2%	13.1%	293	-0.67	2.11	778	71
Riley Gowens R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	22.6%	10.3%	3.7%	.279	4.37	21.3%	12.1%	173	-0.18	4.30	295	71
Michael Kopech R 2018 · 3.20 FIP	22	SP	3.20	26.9%	10.6%	1.9%	.308	2.77	36.1%	28.0%	69	-0.43	2.77	800	71
Drey Jameson R 2021 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP	4.16	24.6%	8.7%	3.7%	.310	4.42	20.0%	11.5%	226	+0.26	4.16	400	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	9.4	157	24.0%	12.3%	0.88	4.12
Bob Turley ('51-'63, 17 WAR*)	8.6	156	27.0%*	13.0%*	0.97*	4.22*
Bill Hallahan ('25-'38, 18 WAR*)	8.7	158	26.9%*	12.0%*	0.78*	4.17*
Sheriff Blake ('20-'37, 15 WAR*)	8.1	180	22.8%*	11.5%*	0.82*	4.18*
Ubaldo Jiménez ('17)	9.3	170	21.3%	10.5%	0.90	4.34
Rich Harden ('11)	4.6	103	24.2%	10.7%	1.02	3.76
Gio Gonzalez ('20)	9.7	149	22.6%	9.9%	0.80	3.70