Jesus A. Rodriguez
P
DSL Tigers 2
Age 22
LHP
5'11" / 145 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.4%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 13 | 10 | 36 | 169 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 77% | 2.8 | 13.3% | 15.5% | -2.3% | 3.6% | 6.25 | 5.94 | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tigers | 13 | 10 | 36 | 169 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 77% | 2.8 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 6.25 | 4.46 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 179 | 51 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 3.4 | 19.4% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 5.36 | 4.10 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 179 | 51 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 3.4 | 28.5% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 1.1% | 5.36 | 2.70 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 85 | 23 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.4% | 22.1% | -3.7% | 1.6% | 9.35 | 5.23 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 85 | 23 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.1% | 17.6% | 9.4% | 1.2% | 9.35 | 3.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | DET | 2 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | DET | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.19 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 3.81 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 22 | 94 | 433 | 73 | 70 | 10 | 61% | 2.6 | 16.8% | 16.2% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 6.44 | 5.04 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 47 | 200 | 925 | 155 | 149 | 22 | 61% | 2.6 | 16.8% | 16.2% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 6.44 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jesus A. Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.19 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 20 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Williamson L 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 80 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 80 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 76 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 75 |
| Mac Lardner L 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 75 |
| Dalton Pence L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 74 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2029 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 74 |
| Jack Owen L 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.69 | 17.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | .359 | 4.30 | 16.0% | 8.7% | 201 | -0.39 | 3.31 | 221 | 73 |
| Bailey Horn L 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 73 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 72 |
| Jordan Woods L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 72 |
| David Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.74 | 19.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 120 | 72 |
| Jack Patterson L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.08 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 80 | -1.64 | 3.08 | 127 | 72 |
| Hunter Patteson L 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.16 | 21.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | .372 | 5.08 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 287 | +1.92 | 3.16 | 302 | 72 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 71 |
| James Reeves L 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 70 |
| Keyshawn Askew L 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.37 | 25.6% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .274 | 3.78 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 196 | +0.41 | 3.37 | 262 | 70 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.97 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .382 | 3.85 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 311 | -0.12 | 3.10 | 381 | 70 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 70 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2029 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 69 |