Gabriel Agostini

P FCL Nationals

Age 23 LHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	19	MIX2 levels	12	7	46	4.34	3.78	19.6%	9.5%	—	K 13.5% · BB 12.4% · FIP 5.14
2024	20	AWSH	1	1	2	34.71	7.39	5.9%	23.5%	—	K 5.9% · BB 23.5% · FIP 5.58
2025	21	ROKWSH	7	3	12	3.09	4.81	14.0%	21.1%	—	K 9.5% · BB 26.3% · FIP 5.63
2027PROJ	23	MLBWSH	7	0	7	5.23	5.23	22.0%	15.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBWSH	9	0	9	5.00	4.90	22.7%	13.6%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsBrad Mills (age 25) · Joe Adametz (age 23) · Colby Langford (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 133

ERA5.23

FIP5.23

K%22.0%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%6.4%

Proj IP7

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	15	4	32	129	42	6	0	27%	2.2	22.1%	5.8%	16.3%	0.0%	1.11	1.97	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	15	4	32	129	42	6	0	27%	2.2	32.6%	4.7%	27.9%	0.0%	1.11	1.06	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	11	7	35	158	34	19	2	64%	3.2	14.6%	15.0%	-0.4%	1.9%	3.63	4.84	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	11	7	35	158	34	19	2	64%	3.2	21.5%	12.0%	9.5%	1.3%	3.63	3.53	—
2023	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	7	46	199	39	19	4	58%	3.8	13.5%	12.4%	1.1%	2.9%	4.34	5.14	—
2023	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	7	46	199	39	19	4	58%	3.8	19.6%	9.5%	10.1%	2.0%	4.34	3.78	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	1	1	2	17	1	4	0	100%	2.3	5.9%	23.5%	-17.6%	0.0%	34.71	5.58	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	1	1	2	17	1	4	0	100%	2.3	5.9%	23.5%	-17.6%	0.0%	34.71	5.58	—
2024	20	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	1	1	2	17	1	4	0	100%	2.3	5.9%	23.5%	-17.6%	0.0%	34.71	7.39	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	7	3	12	57	8	12	0	43%	1.7	9.5%	26.3%	-16.8%	0.0%	3.09	5.63	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	7	3	12	57	8	12	0	43%	1.7	9.5%	26.3%	-16.8%	0.0%	3.09	5.63	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	7	3	12	57	8	12	0	43%	1.7	14.0%	21.1%	-7.0%	0.0%	3.09	4.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	WSH	7	0	7	30	6	5	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	15.6%	6.4%	3.0%	5.23	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	WSH	19	0	20	84	19	11	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.6%	9.1%	2.9%	5.00	4.90	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	WSH	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	13.6%	9.1%	2.9%	5.00	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	5	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.6%	9.1%	2.9%	5.00	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	117	23	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.6%	9.1%	2.9%	5.00	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		46	22	127	560	85	75	9	48%	2.8	15.2%	13.4%	1.8%	1.6%	3.77	4.39	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	35	200	884	134	118	14	48%	2.8	15.2%	13.4%	1.8%	1.6%	3.77	4.39	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabriel Agostini (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	22.0%	15.6%	3.0%	—	4.90	22.7%	9.1%	20	-0.33	—	—	—
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	80
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	78
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	76
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	76
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	74
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	74
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	73
Joe Kemlage L 2022 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	19.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.278	5.35	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.93	4.42	128	73
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	71
Larson Kindreich L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP-	4.27	24.3%	18.6%	1.6%	.275	4.96	22.3%	6.1%	149	+0.69	4.16	214	71
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	70
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	70
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	69
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	69
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	69
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	69
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	69
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	68
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	68
Rich Hill L 2005 · 4.75 FIP	25	SW	4.75	18.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.293	4.24	21.9%	13.1%	314	-0.51	2.05	1,484	67