Ryan Prager

P Hill City Howlers

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A peak 0.5 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ALynchburg Hil…	2	2	4	4.15	1.95	30.4%	13.0%	—	K 30.4% · BB 13.0% · FIP 2.18
2026	23	MIX2 levels	23	12	71	3.93	3.72	30.6%	13.8%	—	K 23.1% · BB 16.1% · FIP 5.20
2027PROJ	24	MLBCLE	8	8	47	5.14	5.14	23.2%	15.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCLE	5	5	28	4.94	4.86	23.6%	13.3%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCLE	7	7	43	4.84	4.80	23.8%	13.0%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsMark Manfredi Sr. (age 24) · Larson Kindreich (age 24) · Brad Mills (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%23.2%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%8.1%

Proj IP47

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	2	2	4	23	7	3	0	100%	2.2	30.4%	13.0%	17.4%	0.0%	4.15	2.18	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	2	2	4	23	7	3	0	100%	2.2	30.4%	13.0%	17.4%	0.0%	4.15	2.18	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	2	2	4	23	7	3	0	100%	2.2	30.4%	13.0%	17.4%	0.0%	4.15	1.95	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	12	71	304	93	42	8	52%	3.1	23.1%	16.1%	7.0%	3.6%	3.93	5.20	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	12	71	304	93	42	8	52%	3.1	23.1%	16.1%	7.0%	3.6%	3.93	5.20	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	12	71	304	93	42	8	52%	3.1	30.6%	13.8%	16.8%	2.6%	3.93	3.72	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CLE	8	8	47	198	46	30	6	100%	5.9	23.2%	15.2%	8.1%	3.1%	5.14	5.14	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	65	273	64	36	8	100%	5.9	23.6%	13.3%	10.3%	3.1%	4.94	4.86	+0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	65	273	65	35	8	100%	5.9	23.8%	13.0%	10.8%	3.1%	4.84	4.80	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	64	269	64	35	8	100%	5.8	23.8%	12.9%	10.9%	3.1%	4.81	4.81	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	5	5	28	118	28	16	4	100%	5.6	23.6%	13.3%	10.3%	3.1%	4.94	4.86	+0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	7	7	43	182	43	24	6	100%	6.1	23.8%	13.0%	10.8%	3.1%	4.84	4.80	+0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	8	8	49	207	49	27	6	100%	6.1	23.8%	12.9%	10.9%	3.1%	4.81	4.81	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	20	120	506	120	66	16	100%	6.0	23.7%	13.0%	10.7%	3.1%	4.85	4.44	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	200	110	27	100%	6.0	23.7%	13.0%	10.7%	3.1%	4.85	4.44	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		25	14	75	327	77	52	11	56%	3.0	23.6%	15.9%	7.7%	3.4%	3.94	4.98	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	37	200	868	205	138	29	56%	3.0	23.6%	15.9%	7.7%	3.4%	3.94	4.98	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Prager (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	23.2%	15.2%	3.1%	—	4.82	23.7%	10.6%	193	-0.32	—	—	—
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	87
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	79
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	79
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	79
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.81	21.6%	10.9%	156	-0.21	2.44	171	78
Will Johnston L 2024 · 3.94 FIP	23	SP-	3.94	24.8%	11.6%	2.7%	.290	4.56	22.9%	7.5%	104	+0.62	3.94	195	77
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	76
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	76
Ismael Guillón L 2016 · 4.38 FIP	24	SW	4.38	24.9%	12.5%	3.3%	.206	4.43	20.1%	6.0%	100	+0.05	4.35	193	75
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	75
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	74
Dante Biasi L 2022 · 4.91 FIP	24	SP-	4.91	18.7%	15.9%	2.5%	.288	6.65	20.1%	1.7%	69	+1.74	4.91	224	74
Noah Dean L 2024 · 4.41 FIP	23	SP-	4.41	25.4%	18.4%	2.0%	.216	5.93	21.1%	1.3%	74	+1.52	4.41	217	72
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	72
Mac Lardner L 2022 · 5.08 FIP	24	SW	5.08	17.4%	9.4%	4.1%	.318	3.66	17.5%	8.1%	62	-1.42	3.66	186	72
Nate Peterson L 2024 · 5.51 FIP	24	SP-	5.51	19.2%	11.4%	4.7%	.296	4.75	16.0%	3.7%	148	-0.76	4.27	315	71
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	71
John Rooney L 2021 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	25.6%	17.4%	2.9%	.328	4.85	20.0%	9.7%	228	+0.12	3.03	439	70
Jacques Pucheu L 2021 · 4.89 FIP	24	SW	4.89	20.4%	13.5%	3.3%	.209	3.18	21.4%	13.2%	23	-1.71	3.06	134	70
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	60	23.6%	13.5%	1.19	4.92
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*